Bo3 · Stake Ranked Episode 2
· 2026-05-27
HEROIC
✗
vs
Ninjas in Pyjamas
56%
44%
Series win probability
HERO
2–1
35%
NIP
2–0
24%
HERO
2–0
22%
NIP
2–1
20%
Actual result
Nuke
13–7
NIP
Mirage
13–9
NIP
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — HEROIC is slightly favored at 56% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong dust2 (64% win probability). Ninjas in Pyjamas's best shot is nuke where they hold a 66% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
48%
Nuke · Dust2 · Mirage
Scenario 2
36%
Nuke · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 3
16%
Nuke · Dust2 · Overpass
Nuke
HERO
7
–
13
NIP
34%
66%
Win prob
OT 9%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
HERO
NIP
Opening Kills
HERO
NIP
CT 4v5
HERO
NIP
Map ADR
HERO
NIP
Map Win Rate
HERO
NIP
Recent on Nuke
HEROIC
13-8
vs Aurora
May 8
0-13
vs Monte
Apr 26
13-9
vs Monte
Apr 25
16-14
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 3
7-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 3
Ninjas in Pyjamas
13-9
vs Lynn Vision
May 20
16-14
vs Monte
Apr 26
13-10
vs Monte
Apr 24
13-7
vs Sharks
Apr 23
14-16
vs HEROIC
Apr 3
Dust2
HERO
13
–
9
NIP
64%
36%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
HERO
NIP
CT 4v5
HERO
NIP
Map ADR
HERO
NIP
Map Player Rating
HERO
NIP
Overall Rating
HERO
NIP
Recent on Dust2
HEROIC
13-4
vs magic
May 11
13-11
vs Aurora
May 8
9-13
vs Monte
Apr 26
14-16
vs Monte
Apr 25
13-9
vs BIG
Apr 24
Ninjas in Pyjamas
8-13
vs Lynn Vision
May 20
6-13
vs Monte
Apr 26
7-13
vs Monte
Apr 24
8-13
vs PARIVISION
Mar 19
13-10
vs OG
Mar 15
Mirage
HERO
13
–
10
NIP
64%
36%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
HERO
NIP
After First Death
HERO
NIP
Map ADR
HERO
NIP
Round Win Rate
HERO
NIP
Pick Rate
HERO
NIP
Recent on Mirage
HEROIC
8-13
vs magic
May 11
4-13
vs FURIA
May 10
6-13
vs Gentle Mates
May 10
13-8
vs Monte
Apr 25
13-7
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 3
Ninjas in Pyjamas
19-16
vs 100 Thieves
Apr 25
11-13
vs big
Apr 25
7-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 3
11-13
vs GamerLegion
Apr 2
17-19
vs Liquid
Mar 21
Nuke
HERO
7
–
13
NIP
34%
66%
Win prob
OT 9%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
HERO
NIP
Opening Kills
HERO
NIP
CT 4v5
HERO
NIP
Map ADR
HERO
NIP
Map Win Rate
HERO
NIP
Recent on Nuke
HEROIC
13-8
vs Aurora
May 8
0-13
vs Monte
Apr 26
13-9
vs Monte
Apr 25
16-14
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 3
7-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 3
Ninjas in Pyjamas
13-9
vs Lynn Vision
May 20
16-14
vs Monte
Apr 26
13-10
vs Monte
Apr 24
13-7
vs Sharks
Apr 23
14-16
vs HEROIC
Apr 3
Dust2
HERO
13
–
9
NIP
64%
36%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
HERO
NIP
CT 4v5
HERO
NIP
Map ADR
HERO
NIP
Map Player Rating
HERO
NIP
Overall Rating
HERO
NIP
Recent on Dust2
HEROIC
13-4
vs magic
May 11
13-11
vs Aurora
May 8
9-13
vs Monte
Apr 26
14-16
vs Monte
Apr 25
13-9
vs BIG
Apr 24
Ninjas in Pyjamas
8-13
vs Lynn Vision
May 20
6-13
vs Monte
Apr 26
7-13
vs Monte
Apr 24
8-13
vs PARIVISION
Mar 19
13-10
vs OG
Mar 15
Ancient
HERO
13
–
10
NIP
61%
39%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ban Rate
HERO
NIP
Ranking
HERO
NIP
Opening Kills
HERO
NIP
Map ADR
HERO
NIP
After First Kill
HERO
NIP
Recent on Ancient
HEROIC
10-13
vs Monte
Apr 26
13-9
vs BetBoom
Apr 3
13-5
vs FUT
Mar 7
13-9
vs 100 Thieves
Feb 28
13-10
vs ASTRAL
Feb 26
Ninjas in Pyjamas
3-13
vs Lynn Vision
May 20
9-13
vs B8
May 19
13-5
vs big
Apr 25
13-7
vs Sharks
Apr 23
11-13
vs GamerLegion
Apr 2
Nuke
HERO
7
–
13
NIP
34%
66%
Win prob
OT 9%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
HERO
NIP
Opening Kills
HERO
NIP
CT 4v5
HERO
NIP
Map ADR
HERO
NIP
Map Win Rate
HERO
NIP
Recent on Nuke
HEROIC
13-8
vs Aurora
May 8
0-13
vs Monte
Apr 26
13-9
vs Monte
Apr 25
16-14
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 3
7-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 3
Ninjas in Pyjamas
13-9
vs Lynn Vision
May 20
16-14
vs Monte
Apr 26
13-10
vs Monte
Apr 24
13-7
vs Sharks
Apr 23
14-16
vs HEROIC
Apr 3
Dust2
HERO
13
–
9
NIP
64%
36%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
HERO
NIP
CT 4v5
HERO
NIP
Map ADR
HERO
NIP
Map Player Rating
HERO
NIP
Overall Rating
HERO
NIP
Recent on Dust2
HEROIC
13-4
vs magic
May 11
13-11
vs Aurora
May 8
9-13
vs Monte
Apr 26
14-16
vs Monte
Apr 25
13-9
vs BIG
Apr 24
Ninjas in Pyjamas
8-13
vs Lynn Vision
May 20
6-13
vs Monte
Apr 26
7-13
vs Monte
Apr 24
8-13
vs PARIVISION
Mar 19
13-10
vs OG
Mar 15
Overpass
HERO
13
–
9
NIP
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
HERO
NIP
After First Kill
HERO
NIP
Map ADR
HERO
NIP
Overall Rating
HERO
NIP
Round Win Rate
HERO
NIP
Recent on Overpass
HEROIC
13-7
vs BIG
Apr 24
7-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 1
11-13
vs Tricked
Mar 25
13-3
vs FURIA
Mar 8
13-5
vs Passion UA
Mar 4
Ninjas in Pyjamas
13-11
vs Gentle Mates
Apr 1
13-6
vs Alliance
Mar 15
7-13
vs OG
Mar 15
9-13
vs Legacy
Mar 1
13-16
vs M1X KS
Feb 7
Recent Results
last 11 matches
HEROIC
Ninjas in Pyjamas
L
1-2
vs magic
MirageDust2Inferno
May 11
16d ago
L
0-2
vs FURIA
MirageInferno
May 10
17d ago
L
0-2
vs Gentle Mates
InfernoMirage
May 10
17d ago
W
2-0
vs Aurora
NukeDust2
May 8
19d ago
L
1-3
vs Monte
NukeDust2InfernoAncient
Apr 26
31d ago
W
2-1
vs Monte
NukeDust2Mirage
Apr 25
32d ago
W
2-0
vs BIG
Dust2Overpass
Apr 24
33d ago
W
2-0
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
NukeMirage
Apr 3
54d ago
L
1-2
vs BetBoom
AncientNukeDust2
Apr 3
54d ago
W
2-0
vs Nemesis
NukeMirage
Apr 2
55d ago
L
1-2
vs BetBoom
MirageDust2Overpass
Apr 1
56d ago
L
1-2
vs Lynn Vision
Dust2NukeAncient
May 20
7d ago
L
0-1
vs B8
Ancient
May 19
8d ago
L
1-2
vs Monte
NukeDust2Anubis
Apr 26
31d ago
W
2-0
vs 100 Thieves
MirageAnubis
Apr 25
32d ago
W
2-1
vs big
AncientMirageAnubis
Apr 25
32d ago
L
1-2
vs Monte
NukeDust2Anubis
Apr 24
33d ago
W
2-0
vs Sharks
AncientNuke
Apr 23
34d ago
L
0-2
vs HEROIC
NukeMirage
Apr 3
54d ago
L
1-2
vs GamerLegion
NukeMirageAncient
Apr 2
55d ago
W
2-1
vs Gentle Mates
NukeOverpassAncient
Apr 1
56d ago
L
1-2
vs Liquid
NukeMirageAncient
Mar 21
67d ago
Player Matchups
HEROIC
Ratings
Ninjas in Pyjamas
NI
nilo
EntryADR 76.9KAST 74%
XK
xKacpersky
RiflerADR 82.6KAST 72%
XF
xfl0ud
RiflerADR 77.4KAST 72%
ST
stavn
AWPADR 75.5KAST 71%
SU
susp
RiflerADR 70.2KAST 74%
CA
cairne
EntryADR 73.5KAST 71%
YX
yxngstxr
AWPADR 67.7KAST 73%
SJ
sjuush
RiflerADR 67.9KAST 71%
CH
Chr1zN
RiflerADR 68.2KAST 70%
SN
Snappi
RiflerADR 60.8KAST 67%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Anubis
HERO
7
–
13
NIP
15%
85%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Ban Rate
HERO
NIP
Ranking
HERO
NIP
After First Kill
HERO
NIP
Flash Assists
HERO
NIP
After First Death
HERO
NIP
Recent on Anubis
HEROIC
no data
Ninjas in Pyjamas
2-13
vs Monte
Apr 26
13-11
vs 100 Thieves
Apr 25
13-5
vs big
Apr 25
14-16
vs Monte
Apr 24
13-10
vs SAW
Mar 12
Overpass
HERO
13
–
9
NIP
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
HERO
NIP
After First Kill
HERO
NIP
Map ADR
HERO
NIP
Overall Rating
HERO
NIP
Round Win Rate
HERO
NIP
Recent on Overpass
HEROIC
13-7
vs BIG
Apr 24
7-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 1
11-13
vs Tricked
Mar 25
13-3
vs FURIA
Mar 8
13-5
vs Passion UA
Mar 4
Ninjas in Pyjamas
13-11
vs Gentle Mates
Apr 1
13-6
vs Alliance
Mar 15
7-13
vs OG
Mar 15
9-13
vs Legacy
Mar 1
13-16
vs M1X KS
Feb 7
Ancient
HERO
13
–
10
NIP
61%
39%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ban Rate
HERO
NIP
Ranking
HERO
NIP
Opening Kills
HERO
NIP
Map ADR
HERO
NIP
After First Kill
HERO
NIP
Recent on Ancient
HEROIC
10-13
vs Monte
Apr 26
13-9
vs BetBoom
Apr 3
13-5
vs FUT
Mar 7
13-9
vs 100 Thieves
Feb 28
13-10
vs ASTRAL
Feb 26
Ninjas in Pyjamas
3-13
vs Lynn Vision
May 20
9-13
vs B8
May 19
13-5
vs big
Apr 25
13-7
vs Sharks
Apr 23
11-13
vs GamerLegion
Apr 2
More from Stake Ranked Episode 2
3 matches