Bo3 · Stake Ranked Episode 2
· 2026-05-27
FaZe
vs
Alliance
✗
40%
60%
Series win probability
ALLI
2–0
35%
FAZE
2–1
25%
ALLI
2–1
25%
FAZE
2–0
15%
Actual result
Anubis
13–8
FAZE
Nuke
13–6
FAZE
Model Insights
Alliance has a moderate edge at 60%, favored on 1 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#28 vs #25), a strong anubis (70% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
41%
Dust2 · Anubis · Nuke
Scenario 2
31%
Dust2 · Nuke · Overpass
Scenario 3
28%
Dust2 · Nuke · Ancient
Dust2
FAZE
16
–
14
ALLI
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Trade Score N75 Diff
FAZE
ALLI
Opening Kills
FAZE
ALLI
Map ADR
FAZE
ALLI
Pick Rate
FAZE
ALLI
Ranking
FAZE
ALLI
Recent on Dust2
FaZe
5-13
vs Vitality
May 13
6-13
vs paiN
May 11
5-13
vs Natus Vincere
May 2
13-11
vs G2
May 1
13-4
vs FURIA
Apr 30
Alliance
5-13
vs EYEBALLERS
May 23
13-10
vs Walczaki
May 22
16-13
vs Lavked
May 8
13-9
vs KOLESIE
Apr 21
13-7
vs Inner Circle
Mar 31
Anubis
FAZE
7
–
13
ALLI
30%
70%
Win prob
OT 7%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
FAZE
ALLI
Trade Score N75 Diff
FAZE
ALLI
CT 4v5
FAZE
ALLI
5v4 Rounds
FAZE
ALLI
Ranking
FAZE
ALLI
Recent on Anubis
FaZe
8-13
vs paiN
May 11
7-13
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 29
Alliance
7-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
May 9
13-7
vs Oxuji
Apr 24
13-6
vs KOLESIE
Apr 21
13-0
vs UNiTY
Apr 15
13-11
vs M80
Apr 2
Nuke
FAZE
16
–
14
ALLI
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
FAZE
ALLI
Map Win Rate
FAZE
ALLI
After First Death
FAZE
ALLI
Ranking
FAZE
ALLI
Round Win Rate
FAZE
ALLI
Recent on Nuke
FaZe
14-16
vs Vitality
May 13
13-11
vs NRG
May 12
13-3
vs FURIA
Apr 30
Alliance
13-9
vs Walczaki
May 24
8-13
vs EYEBALLERS
May 23
13-1
vs Walczaki
May 22
3-13
vs Lavked
May 8
13-11
vs Oxuji
Apr 24
Dust2
FAZE
16
–
14
ALLI
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Trade Score N75 Diff
FAZE
ALLI
Opening Kills
FAZE
ALLI
Map ADR
FAZE
ALLI
Pick Rate
FAZE
ALLI
Ranking
FAZE
ALLI
Recent on Dust2
FaZe
5-13
vs Vitality
May 13
6-13
vs paiN
May 11
5-13
vs Natus Vincere
May 2
13-11
vs G2
May 1
13-4
vs FURIA
Apr 30
Alliance
5-13
vs EYEBALLERS
May 23
13-10
vs Walczaki
May 22
16-13
vs Lavked
May 8
13-9
vs KOLESIE
Apr 21
13-7
vs Inner Circle
Mar 31
Nuke
FAZE
16
–
14
ALLI
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
FAZE
ALLI
Map Win Rate
FAZE
ALLI
After First Death
FAZE
ALLI
Ranking
FAZE
ALLI
Round Win Rate
FAZE
ALLI
Recent on Nuke
FaZe
14-16
vs Vitality
May 13
13-11
vs NRG
May 12
13-3
vs FURIA
Apr 30
Alliance
13-9
vs Walczaki
May 24
8-13
vs EYEBALLERS
May 23
13-1
vs Walczaki
May 22
3-13
vs Lavked
May 8
13-11
vs Oxuji
Apr 24
Overpass
FAZE
13
–
11
ALLI
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opening Kills
FAZE
ALLI
Ranking
FAZE
ALLI
Ban Rate
FAZE
ALLI
Trade Score N75 Diff
FAZE
ALLI
Overall Rating
FAZE
ALLI
Recent on Overpass
FaZe
no data
Alliance
5-13
vs EYEBALLERS
May 24
5-13
vs M80
Apr 2
13-11
vs Aurora
Apr 1
13-10
vs Passion UA
Apr 1
11-13
vs Inner Circle
Mar 31
Dust2
FAZE
16
–
14
ALLI
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Trade Score N75 Diff
FAZE
ALLI
Opening Kills
FAZE
ALLI
Map ADR
FAZE
ALLI
Pick Rate
FAZE
ALLI
Ranking
FAZE
ALLI
Recent on Dust2
FaZe
5-13
vs Vitality
May 13
6-13
vs paiN
May 11
5-13
vs Natus Vincere
May 2
13-11
vs G2
May 1
13-4
vs FURIA
Apr 30
Alliance
5-13
vs EYEBALLERS
May 23
13-10
vs Walczaki
May 22
16-13
vs Lavked
May 8
13-9
vs KOLESIE
Apr 21
13-7
vs Inner Circle
Mar 31
Nuke
FAZE
16
–
14
ALLI
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
FAZE
ALLI
Map Win Rate
FAZE
ALLI
After First Death
FAZE
ALLI
Ranking
FAZE
ALLI
Round Win Rate
FAZE
ALLI
Recent on Nuke
FaZe
14-16
vs Vitality
May 13
13-11
vs NRG
May 12
13-3
vs FURIA
Apr 30
Alliance
13-9
vs Walczaki
May 24
8-13
vs EYEBALLERS
May 23
13-1
vs Walczaki
May 22
3-13
vs Lavked
May 8
13-11
vs Oxuji
Apr 24
Ancient
FAZE
11
–
13
ALLI
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
FAZE
ALLI
Opening Kills
FAZE
ALLI
Map ADR
FAZE
ALLI
Trade Score N75 Diff
FAZE
ALLI
After First Death
FAZE
ALLI
Recent on Ancient
FaZe
13-3
vs NRG
May 12
11-13
vs Natus Vincere
May 2
9-13
vs G2
May 1
11-13
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 29
Alliance
13-9
vs EYEBALLERS
May 24
4-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
May 9
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 26
13-5
vs Tricked
Apr 13
13-9
vs Johnny Speeds
Mar 28
Recent Results
last 11 matches
FaZe
Alliance
L
0-2
vs Vitality
NukeDust2
May 13
14d ago
W
2-0
vs NRG
AncientNuke
May 12
15d ago
L
0-2
vs paiN
Dust2Anubis
May 11
16d ago
L
0-2
vs Natus Vincere
Dust2Ancient
May 2
25d ago
W
2-1
vs G2
Dust2AncientMirage
May 1
26d ago
W
2-1
vs FURIA
Dust2MirageNuke
Apr 30
27d ago
L
0-2
vs Natus Vincere
AnubisAncient
Apr 29
28d ago
W
2-0
vs Walczaki
NukeInferno
May 24
3d ago
W
2-1
vs EYEBALLERS
InfernoOverpassAncient
May 24
3d ago
L
0-2
vs EYEBALLERS
NukeDust2
May 23
4d ago
W
2-0
vs Walczaki
NukeDust2
May 22
5d ago
L
0-2
vs Nuclear TigeRES
AncientAnubis
May 9
18d ago
W
2-1
vs Lavked
NukeInfernoDust2
May 8
19d ago
L
0-2
vs Nuclear TigeRES
AncientInferno
Apr 26
31d ago
W
2-0
vs Oxuji
NukeAnubis
Apr 24
33d ago
W
2-1
vs KOLESIE
NukeAnubisDust2
Apr 21
36d ago
W
1-0
vs UNiTY
Anubis
Apr 15
42d ago
W
1-0
vs Tricked
Ancient
Apr 13
44d ago
Player Matchups
FaZe
Ratings
Alliance
FR
frozen
EntryADR 81.5KAST 76%
MA
MaiL09
EntryADR 80.7KAST 76%
TW
Twistzz
RiflerADR 75.8KAST 72%
ER
eraa
AWPADR 79.9KAST 75%
BR
broky
AWPADR 66.6KAST 72%
AV
avid
RiflerADR 78.0KAST 76%
JC
jcobbb
RiflerADR 66.2KAST 69%
TW
twist
RiflerADR 70.4KAST 75%
UP
upE
RiflerADR 63.5KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Mirage
FAZE
13
–
8
ALLI
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Map Win Rate
FAZE
ALLI
After First Kill
FAZE
ALLI
Ban Rate
FAZE
ALLI
Flash Assists
FAZE
ALLI
Map ADR
FAZE
ALLI
Recent on Mirage
FaZe
16-13
vs G2
May 1
7-13
vs FURIA
Apr 30
Alliance
5-13
vs ENCE
Feb 11
10-13
vs SINNERS
Feb 10
Overpass
FAZE
13
–
11
ALLI
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opening Kills
FAZE
ALLI
Ranking
FAZE
ALLI
Ban Rate
FAZE
ALLI
Trade Score N75 Diff
FAZE
ALLI
Overall Rating
FAZE
ALLI
Recent on Overpass
FaZe
no data
Alliance
5-13
vs EYEBALLERS
May 24
5-13
vs M80
Apr 2
13-11
vs Aurora
Apr 1
13-10
vs Passion UA
Apr 1
11-13
vs Inner Circle
Mar 31
Ancient
FAZE
11
–
13
ALLI
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
FAZE
ALLI
Opening Kills
FAZE
ALLI
Map ADR
FAZE
ALLI
Trade Score N75 Diff
FAZE
ALLI
After First Death
FAZE
ALLI
Recent on Ancient
FaZe
13-3
vs NRG
May 12
11-13
vs Natus Vincere
May 2
9-13
vs G2
May 1
11-13
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 29
Alliance
13-9
vs EYEBALLERS
May 24
4-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
May 9
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 26
13-5
vs Tricked
Apr 13
13-9
vs Johnny Speeds
Mar 28
More from Stake Ranked Episode 2
3 matches