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Bo3  ·  CS Asia Championships 2026 · 2026-05-21
The MongolZ ✓
vs
Liquid
64%
36%
Series win probability
TM 2–0 39%
TM 2–1 38%
LIQU 2–0 13%
LIQU 2–1 11%
Actual result
Mirage 13–11 LIQU
Inferno 13–7 TM
Nuke 13–9 TM
Model Insights
The MongolZ is strongly favored at 76%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#6 vs #36), a strong nuke (77% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 38% Mirage · Ancient · Nuke
Scenario 2 32% Ancient · Nuke · Dust2
Scenario 3 30% Ancient · Nuke · Inferno
Mirage
TM 16 – 14 LIQU
52%
48%
Win prob OT 12% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
TM
LIQU
Ranking
TM
LIQU
After First Death
TM
LIQU
CT 4v5
TM
LIQU
Pistol Rounds
TM
LIQU
Recent on Mirage
The MongolZ
9-13 vs B8 May 20
10-13 vs Aurora May 13
12-16 vs Falcons May 12
25-23 vs magic May 9
14-16 vs FUT Apr 10
Liquid
9-13 vs GamerLegion May 13
13-8 vs HAVU Mar 31
16-13 vs Inner Circle Mar 30
10-13 vs The MongolZ Mar 22
19-17 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Mar 21
Ancient
TM 13 – 6 LIQU
74%
26%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Death
TM
LIQU
Ranking
TM
LIQU
CT 4v5
TM
LIQU
Round Win Rate
TM
LIQU
Sniper Score
TM
LIQU
Recent on Ancient
The MongolZ
11-13 vs B8 May 20
13-3 vs Lynn Vision May 19
16-19 vs Spirit May 10
13-2 vs 3DMAX Apr 11
13-9 vs PARIVISION Apr 9
Liquid
13-5 vs M80 May 12
11-13 vs Astralis May 11
5-13 vs 3DMAX Apr 14
2-13 vs Spirit Apr 13
7-13 vs M80 Mar 31
Nuke
TM 13 – 5 LIQU
77%
23%
Win prob OT 3% ✓
Key factors
After First Kill
TM
LIQU
Ranking
TM
LIQU
After First Death
TM
LIQU
Map Win Rate
TM
LIQU
Round Win Rate
TM
LIQU
Recent on Nuke
The MongolZ
13-11 vs B8 May 20
10-13 vs FUT Apr 10
13-8 vs Wildcard Apr 7
13-11 vs Spirit Mar 23
13-11 vs MOUZ Mar 19
Liquid
13-11 vs 3DMAX May 20
6-13 vs GamerLegion May 13
14-16 vs 3DMAX Apr 14
6-13 vs HAVU Mar 31
10-13 vs Sashi Mar 31
Ancient
TM 13 – 6 LIQU
74%
26%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Death
TM
LIQU
Ranking
TM
LIQU
CT 4v5
TM
LIQU
Round Win Rate
TM
LIQU
Sniper Score
TM
LIQU
Recent on Ancient
The MongolZ
11-13 vs B8 May 20
13-3 vs Lynn Vision May 19
16-19 vs Spirit May 10
13-2 vs 3DMAX Apr 11
13-9 vs PARIVISION Apr 9
Liquid
13-5 vs M80 May 12
11-13 vs Astralis May 11
5-13 vs 3DMAX Apr 14
2-13 vs Spirit Apr 13
7-13 vs M80 Mar 31
Nuke
TM 13 – 5 LIQU
77%
23%
Win prob OT 3% ✓
Key factors
After First Kill
TM
LIQU
Ranking
TM
LIQU
After First Death
TM
LIQU
Map Win Rate
TM
LIQU
Round Win Rate
TM
LIQU
Recent on Nuke
The MongolZ
13-11 vs B8 May 20
10-13 vs FUT Apr 10
13-8 vs Wildcard Apr 7
13-11 vs Spirit Mar 23
13-11 vs MOUZ Mar 19
Liquid
13-11 vs 3DMAX May 20
6-13 vs GamerLegion May 13
14-16 vs 3DMAX Apr 14
6-13 vs HAVU Mar 31
10-13 vs Sashi Mar 31
Dust2
TM 13 – 7 LIQU
70%
30%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
TM
LIQU
After First Kill
TM
LIQU
After First Death
TM
LIQU
CT 4v5
TM
LIQU
Map ADR
TM
LIQU
Recent on Dust2
The MongolZ
8-13 vs Falcons May 12
11-13 vs Spirit May 10
13-2 vs G2 May 10
6-13 vs PARIVISION Apr 9
13-11 vs Wildcard Apr 7
Liquid
9-13 vs 3DMAX May 20
9-13 vs PARIVISION May 19
4-13 vs M80 May 12
4-13 vs Astralis May 11
11-13 vs Spirit Apr 13
Ancient
TM 13 – 6 LIQU
74%
26%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Death
TM
LIQU
Ranking
TM
LIQU
CT 4v5
TM
LIQU
Round Win Rate
TM
LIQU
Sniper Score
TM
LIQU
Recent on Ancient
The MongolZ
11-13 vs B8 May 20
13-3 vs Lynn Vision May 19
16-19 vs Spirit May 10
13-2 vs 3DMAX Apr 11
13-9 vs PARIVISION Apr 9
Liquid
13-5 vs M80 May 12
11-13 vs Astralis May 11
5-13 vs 3DMAX Apr 14
2-13 vs Spirit Apr 13
7-13 vs M80 Mar 31
Nuke
TM 13 – 5 LIQU
77%
23%
Win prob OT 3% ✓
Key factors
After First Kill
TM
LIQU
Ranking
TM
LIQU
After First Death
TM
LIQU
Map Win Rate
TM
LIQU
Round Win Rate
TM
LIQU
Recent on Nuke
The MongolZ
13-11 vs B8 May 20
10-13 vs FUT Apr 10
13-8 vs Wildcard Apr 7
13-11 vs Spirit Mar 23
13-11 vs MOUZ Mar 19
Liquid
13-11 vs 3DMAX May 20
6-13 vs GamerLegion May 13
14-16 vs 3DMAX Apr 14
6-13 vs HAVU Mar 31
10-13 vs Sashi Mar 31
Inferno
TM 13 – 6 LIQU
77%
23%
Win prob OT 4% ✗
Key factors
Ranking
TM
LIQU
After First Kill
TM
LIQU
After First Death
TM
LIQU
Map ADR
TM
LIQU
Pistol Rounds
TM
LIQU
Recent on Inferno
The MongolZ
13-11 vs Falcons May 12
19-15 vs G2 May 10
13-4 vs magic May 9
13-5 vs 3DMAX Apr 11
6-13 vs Aurora Mar 27
Liquid
13-11 vs 3DMAX May 20
13-8 vs M80 May 12
9-13 vs M80 Mar 31
6-13 vs OG Mar 15
13-6 vs Alliance Mar 15
Recent Results last 11 matches
The MongolZ
Liquid
L 1-2 vs B8 AncientNukeMirage May 20 7d ago
W 1-0 vs Lynn Vision Ancient May 19 8d ago
L 0-2 vs Aurora OverpassMirage May 13 14d ago
L 1-2 vs Falcons Dust2InfernoMirage May 12 15d ago
L 0-2 vs Spirit Dust2Ancient May 10 17d ago
W 2-0 vs G2 Dust2Inferno May 10 17d ago
W 2-0 vs magic MirageInferno May 9 18d ago
W 2-0 vs 3DMAX InfernoAncient Apr 11 46d ago
L 0-2 vs FUT NukeMirage Apr 10 47d ago
W 2-1 vs PARIVISION Dust2MirageAncient Apr 9 48d ago
W 2-0 vs Wildcard Dust2Nuke Apr 7 50d ago
W 2-1 vs 3DMAX NukeDust2Inferno May 20 7d ago
L 0-1 vs PARIVISION Dust2 May 19 8d ago
L 0-2 vs GamerLegion MirageNuke May 13 14d ago
W 2-1 vs M80 Dust2InfernoAncient May 12 15d ago
L 0-2 vs Astralis Dust2Ancient May 11 16d ago
L 0-2 vs 3DMAX NukeAncient Apr 14 43d ago
L 0-2 vs Spirit AncientDust2 Apr 13 44d ago
L 0-2 vs M80 AncientInferno Mar 31 57d ago
W 2-1 vs HAVU NukeMirageDust2 Mar 31 57d ago
L 0-2 vs Sashi NukeAnubis Mar 31 57d ago
W 2-0 vs Inner Circle MirageAncient Mar 30 58d ago
Player Matchups
The MongolZ
Ratings
Liquid
91
910
AWPADR 74.9KAST 72%
1.12 vs 1.05
NA
NAF
EntryADR 75.5KAST 72%
MZ
mzinho
RiflerADR 74.2KAST 71%
1.06 vs 1.05
MA
malbsMd
RiflerADR 75.5KAST 71%
CO
cobrazera
RiflerADR 72.0KAST 69%
1.00 vs 1.02
EL
EliGE
RiflerADR 76.6KAST 71%
BL
bLitz
EntryADR 73.2KAST 69%
0.95 vs 0.97
UL
ultimate
AWPADR 65.0KAST 69%
TE
Techno
RiflerADR 66.9KAST 69%
0.95 vs 0.89
SI
siuhy
RiflerADR 63.9KAST 68%
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Inferno
TM 13 – 6 LIQU
77%
23%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Ranking
TM
LIQU
After First Kill
TM
LIQU
After First Death
TM
LIQU
Map ADR
TM
LIQU
Pistol Rounds
TM
LIQU
Recent on Inferno
The MongolZ
13-11 vs Falcons May 12
19-15 vs G2 May 10
13-4 vs magic May 9
13-5 vs 3DMAX Apr 11
6-13 vs Aurora Mar 27
Liquid
13-11 vs 3DMAX May 20
13-8 vs M80 May 12
9-13 vs M80 Mar 31
6-13 vs OG Mar 15
13-6 vs Alliance Mar 15
Anubis
TM 7 – 13 LIQU
29%
71%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
Ranking
TM
LIQU
After First Kill
TM
LIQU
Ban Rate
TM
LIQU
Map Firepower
TM
LIQU
Map ADR
TM
LIQU
Recent on Anubis
The MongolZ
no data
Liquid
10-13 vs Sashi Mar 31
Dust2
TM 13 – 7 LIQU
70%
30%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
TM
LIQU
After First Kill
TM
LIQU
After First Death
TM
LIQU
CT 4v5
TM
LIQU
Map ADR
TM
LIQU
Recent on Dust2
The MongolZ
8-13 vs Falcons May 12
11-13 vs Spirit May 10
13-2 vs G2 May 10
6-13 vs PARIVISION Apr 9
13-11 vs Wildcard Apr 7
Liquid
9-13 vs 3DMAX May 20
9-13 vs PARIVISION May 19
4-13 vs M80 May 12
4-13 vs Astralis May 11
11-13 vs Spirit Apr 13
More from CS Asia Championships 2026 7 matches
MOUZ over M80 59% TYLOO over paiN 52% Lynn Vision over PARIVISION 58% Falcons over Legacy 59% MIBR over B8 55% MOUZ over paiN 65% The MongolZ over PARIVISION 57%