Bo3 · CS Asia Championships 2026
· 2026-05-22
Falcons
✓
vs
MOUZ
54%
46%
Series win probability
FALC
2–1
31%
MOUZ
2–0
28%
FALC
2–0
22%
MOUZ
2–1
19%
Actual result
Mirage
13–7
MOUZ
Dust2
13–7
FALC
Nuke
13–10
FALC
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Falcons is slightly favored at 54% but only leads on 1 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong dust2 (62% win probability). Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
36%
Mirage · Inferno · Dust2
Scenario 2
33%
Mirage · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 3
31%
Mirage · Dust2 · Nuke
Mirage
FALC
14
–
16
MOUZ
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
FALC
MOUZ
After First Kill
FALC
MOUZ
After First Death
FALC
MOUZ
Map Firepower
FALC
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
FALC
MOUZ
Recent on Mirage
Falcons
7-13
vs Spirit
May 17
9-13
vs FURIA
May 15
16-12
vs The MongolZ
May 12
13-9
vs 9z
May 10
13-11
vs FURIA
Apr 19
MOUZ
13-2
vs M80
May 21
13-9
vs NRG
May 20
13-2
vs magic
May 17
4-13
vs Gentle Mates
May 9
13-10
vs G2
May 9
Inferno
FALC
10
–
13
MOUZ
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
FALC
MOUZ
Map ADR
FALC
MOUZ
After First Death
FALC
MOUZ
Ban Rate
FALC
MOUZ
Map Firepower
FALC
MOUZ
Recent on Inferno
Falcons
19-15
vs M80
May 20
11-13
vs The MongolZ
May 12
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Apr 13
14-16
vs TYLOO
Mar 22
9-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 20
MOUZ
10-13
vs M80
May 21
7-13
vs TYLOO
May 19
13-7
vs magic
May 17
13-4
vs 9z
May 11
13-7
vs G2
May 9
Dust2
FALC
13
–
8
MOUZ
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 8%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
FALC
MOUZ
Map Win Rate
FALC
MOUZ
Map Firepower
FALC
MOUZ
Overall Rating
FALC
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
FALC
MOUZ
Recent on Dust2
Falcons
13-7
vs Legacy
May 21
13-11
vs BC.Game
May 19
12-16
vs Spirit
May 17
13-5
vs magic
May 16
19-17
vs FURIA
May 15
MOUZ
3-13
vs Spirit
May 16
13-11
vs Aurora
May 14
13-11
vs Aurora
May 11
14-16
vs G2
May 9
5-13
vs Spirit
Apr 17
Mirage
FALC
14
–
16
MOUZ
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
FALC
MOUZ
After First Kill
FALC
MOUZ
After First Death
FALC
MOUZ
Map Firepower
FALC
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
FALC
MOUZ
Recent on Mirage
Falcons
7-13
vs Spirit
May 17
9-13
vs FURIA
May 15
16-12
vs The MongolZ
May 12
13-9
vs 9z
May 10
13-11
vs FURIA
Apr 19
MOUZ
13-2
vs M80
May 21
13-9
vs NRG
May 20
13-2
vs magic
May 17
4-13
vs Gentle Mates
May 9
13-10
vs G2
May 9
Dust2
FALC
13
–
8
MOUZ
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 8%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
FALC
MOUZ
Map Win Rate
FALC
MOUZ
Map Firepower
FALC
MOUZ
Overall Rating
FALC
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
FALC
MOUZ
Recent on Dust2
Falcons
13-7
vs Legacy
May 21
13-11
vs BC.Game
May 19
12-16
vs Spirit
May 17
13-5
vs magic
May 16
19-17
vs FURIA
May 15
MOUZ
3-13
vs Spirit
May 16
13-11
vs Aurora
May 14
13-11
vs Aurora
May 11
14-16
vs G2
May 9
5-13
vs Spirit
Apr 17
Ancient
FALC
10
–
13
MOUZ
41%
59%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
FALC
MOUZ
After First Kill
FALC
MOUZ
Map ADR
FALC
MOUZ
Ranking
FALC
MOUZ
Map Firepower
FALC
MOUZ
Recent on Ancient
Falcons
13-9
vs Legacy
May 21
13-11
vs M80
May 20
10-13
vs Spirit
May 17
13-7
vs magic
May 16
13-10
vs Monte
May 11
MOUZ
22-20
vs B8
May 22
10-13
vs NRG
May 20
9-13
vs 9z
May 11
13-5
vs Gentle Mates
May 9
13-1
vs The MongolZ
Mar 8
Mirage
FALC
14
–
16
MOUZ
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
FALC
MOUZ
After First Kill
FALC
MOUZ
After First Death
FALC
MOUZ
Map Firepower
FALC
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
FALC
MOUZ
Recent on Mirage
Falcons
7-13
vs Spirit
May 17
9-13
vs FURIA
May 15
16-12
vs The MongolZ
May 12
13-9
vs 9z
May 10
13-11
vs FURIA
Apr 19
MOUZ
13-2
vs M80
May 21
13-9
vs NRG
May 20
13-2
vs magic
May 17
4-13
vs Gentle Mates
May 9
13-10
vs G2
May 9
Dust2
FALC
13
–
8
MOUZ
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 8%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
FALC
MOUZ
Map Win Rate
FALC
MOUZ
Map Firepower
FALC
MOUZ
Overall Rating
FALC
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
FALC
MOUZ
Recent on Dust2
Falcons
13-7
vs Legacy
May 21
13-11
vs BC.Game
May 19
12-16
vs Spirit
May 17
13-5
vs magic
May 16
19-17
vs FURIA
May 15
MOUZ
3-13
vs Spirit
May 16
13-11
vs Aurora
May 14
13-11
vs Aurora
May 11
14-16
vs G2
May 9
5-13
vs Spirit
Apr 17
Nuke
FALC
13
–
8
MOUZ
64%
36%
Win prob
OT 9%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
FALC
MOUZ
After First Kill
FALC
MOUZ
After First Death
FALC
MOUZ
Overall Rating
FALC
MOUZ
Map ADR
FALC
MOUZ
Recent on Nuke
Falcons
22-20
vs FURIA
May 15
8-13
vs 9z
May 10
16-14
vs Vitality
Apr 15
13-10
vs FURIA
Mar 23
13-7
vs 3DMAX
Feb 14
MOUZ
13-4
vs paiN
May 21
13-6
vs NRG
May 20
2-13
vs Spirit
May 16
13-8
vs Aurora
May 14
10-13
vs 9z
May 11
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Falcons
MOUZ
W
2-0
vs Legacy
Dust2Ancient
May 21
6d ago
W
2-0
vs M80
InfernoAncient
May 20
7d ago
W
1-0
vs BC.Game
Dust2
May 19
8d ago
L
0-3
vs Spirit
Dust2MirageAncient
May 17
10d ago
W
2-0
vs magic
AncientDust2
May 16
11d ago
W
2-1
vs FURIA
MirageNukeDust2
May 15
12d ago
W
2-1
vs The MongolZ
Dust2InfernoMirage
May 12
15d ago
W
2-0
vs Monte
Dust2Ancient
May 11
16d ago
L
1-2
vs 9z
NukeMirageDust2
May 10
17d ago
W
2-0
vs K27
Dust2Ancient
May 9
18d ago
W
2-0
vs FURIA
Dust2Mirage
Apr 19
38d ago
W
2-1
vs M80
OverpassInfernoMirage
May 21
6d ago
W
2-0
vs paiN
NukeOverpass
May 21
6d ago
W
2-1
vs NRG
AncientNukeMirage
May 20
7d ago
L
0-1
vs TYLOO
Inferno
May 19
8d ago
W
2-0
vs magic
MirageInferno
May 17
10d ago
L
0-2
vs Spirit
Dust2Nuke
May 16
11d ago
W
2-0
vs Aurora
Dust2Nuke
May 14
13d ago
L
1-2
vs 9z
NukeInfernoAncient
May 11
16d ago
W
2-0
vs Aurora
Dust2Nuke
May 11
16d ago
W
2-1
vs Gentle Mates
NukeMirageAncient
May 9
18d ago
W
2-1
vs G2
Dust2MirageInferno
May 9
18d ago
Player Matchups
Falcons
Ratings
MOUZ
M0
m0NESY
AWPADR 80.8KAST 77%
XE
xertioN
RiflerADR 85.1KAST 75%
KY
kyousuke
RiflerADR 80.6KAST 73%
XE
xelex
RiflerADR 79.8KAST 72%
NI
NiKo
EntryADR 73.6KAST 72%
SP
Spinx
EntryADR 74.3KAST 73%
TE
TeSeS
RiflerADR 70.6KAST 73%
JL
jL
RiflerADR 72.8KAST 73%
KA
karrigan
RiflerADR 59.6KAST 66%
TO
torzsi
AWPADR 63.5KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Anubis
FALC
13
–
8
MOUZ
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
FALC
MOUZ
Ban Rate
FALC
MOUZ
Ranking
FALC
MOUZ
Map ADR
FALC
MOUZ
CT 4v5
FALC
MOUZ
Recent on Anubis
Falcons
13-4
vs Spirit
Apr 14
13-11
vs FURIA
Feb 16
13-9
vs FaZe
Feb 15
13-5
vs 3DMAX
Feb 3
7-13
vs Aurora
Feb 1
MOUZ
no data
Nuke
FALC
13
–
8
MOUZ
64%
36%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
FALC
MOUZ
After First Kill
FALC
MOUZ
After First Death
FALC
MOUZ
Overall Rating
FALC
MOUZ
Map ADR
FALC
MOUZ
Recent on Nuke
Falcons
22-20
vs FURIA
May 15
8-13
vs 9z
May 10
16-14
vs Vitality
Apr 15
13-10
vs FURIA
Mar 23
13-7
vs 3DMAX
Feb 14
MOUZ
13-4
vs paiN
May 21
13-6
vs NRG
May 20
2-13
vs Spirit
May 16
13-8
vs Aurora
May 14
10-13
vs 9z
May 11
Ancient
FALC
10
–
13
MOUZ
41%
59%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
FALC
MOUZ
After First Kill
FALC
MOUZ
Map ADR
FALC
MOUZ
Ranking
FALC
MOUZ
Map Firepower
FALC
MOUZ
Recent on Ancient
Falcons
13-9
vs Legacy
May 21
13-11
vs M80
May 20
10-13
vs Spirit
May 17
13-7
vs magic
May 16
13-10
vs Monte
May 11
MOUZ
22-20
vs B8
May 22
10-13
vs NRG
May 20
9-13
vs 9z
May 11
13-5
vs Gentle Mates
May 9
13-1
vs The MongolZ
Mar 8
More from CS Asia Championships 2026
2 matches