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Bo3  ·  Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 · 2026-05-13
SemperFi
vs
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
27%
73%
Series win probability
TD 2–0 52%
TD 2–1 22%
SEMP 2–1 19%
SEMP 2–0 8%
Model Insights
THUNDER dOWNUNDER is strongly favored at 73%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.15 vs 1.07), a significant ranking advantage (#60 vs #87), a strong inferno (74% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 44% Ancient · Inferno · Anubis
Scenario 2 38% Ancient · Inferno · Dust2
Scenario 3 18% Ancient · Inferno · Nuke
Ancient
SEMP 7 – 13 TD
30%
70%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
SEMP
TD
After First Death
SEMP
TD
Ranking
SEMP
TD
Opponent-Rating Diff
SEMP
TD
Map ADR
SEMP
TD
Recent on Ancient
SemperFi
8-13 vs Change The Game May 11
11-13 vs Rare Atom Apr 3
13-16 vs FlyQuest Apr 1
13-11 vs TYLOO Mar 31
13-9 vs Just Swing Mar 28
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
13-5 vs low cortisol Apr 27
13-6 vs SemperFi Mar 16
13-10 vs SemperFi Mar 16
16-19 vs SemperFi Mar 14
11-13 vs SemperFi Mar 13
Inferno
SEMP 7 – 13 TD
26%
74%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
SEMP
TD
Ranking
SEMP
TD
After First Death
SEMP
TD
Round Win Rate
SEMP
TD
Map ADR
SEMP
TD
Recent on Inferno
SemperFi
6-13 vs Kaleido May 12
13-5 vs Change The Game May 11
13-9 vs TYLOO Mar 31
13-11 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Mar 16
13-16 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Mar 16
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
13-10 vs Abyssal Apr 29
11-13 vs SemperFi Mar 16
16-13 vs SemperFi Mar 16
13-2 vs Time Waves Mar 15
7-13 vs Ground Zero Mar 15
Anubis
SEMP 10 – 13 TD
47%
53%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
SEMP
TD
Round Win Rate
SEMP
TD
After First Kill
SEMP
TD
Opponent-Rating Diff
SEMP
TD
Map ADR
SEMP
TD
Recent on Anubis
SemperFi
4-13 vs FlyQuest Apr 1
9-13 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Mar 16
13-9 vs Mindfreak Mar 15
6-13 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Mar 14
13-8 vs Ground Zero Mar 13
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
13-7 vs Alter Ego May 12
10-13 vs Haunted House May 11
13-5 vs Ground Zero May 3
13-7 vs Abyssal Apr 29
13-3 vs low cortisol Apr 27
Ancient
SEMP 7 – 13 TD
30%
70%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
SEMP
TD
After First Death
SEMP
TD
Ranking
SEMP
TD
Opponent-Rating Diff
SEMP
TD
Map ADR
SEMP
TD
Recent on Ancient
SemperFi
8-13 vs Change The Game May 11
11-13 vs Rare Atom Apr 3
13-16 vs FlyQuest Apr 1
13-11 vs TYLOO Mar 31
13-9 vs Just Swing Mar 28
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
13-5 vs low cortisol Apr 27
13-6 vs SemperFi Mar 16
13-10 vs SemperFi Mar 16
16-19 vs SemperFi Mar 14
11-13 vs SemperFi Mar 13
Inferno
SEMP 7 – 13 TD
26%
74%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
SEMP
TD
Ranking
SEMP
TD
After First Death
SEMP
TD
Round Win Rate
SEMP
TD
Map ADR
SEMP
TD
Recent on Inferno
SemperFi
6-13 vs Kaleido May 12
13-5 vs Change The Game May 11
13-9 vs TYLOO Mar 31
13-11 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Mar 16
13-16 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Mar 16
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
13-10 vs Abyssal Apr 29
11-13 vs SemperFi Mar 16
16-13 vs SemperFi Mar 16
13-2 vs Time Waves Mar 15
7-13 vs Ground Zero Mar 15
Dust2
SEMP 7 – 13 TD
24%
76%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
SEMP
TD
Ranking
SEMP
TD
After First Death
SEMP
TD
Opponent-Rating Diff
SEMP
TD
Map ADR
SEMP
TD
Recent on Dust2
SemperFi
13-10 vs Ground Zero Mar 25
13-5 vs Rooster Mar 23
11-13 vs Muttley Crew Mar 21
13-8 vs Arcade Mar 16
13-4 vs Mindfreak Mar 15
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
13-8 vs Alter Ego May 12
10-13 vs Haunted House May 11
13-7 vs Ground Zero May 3
13-8 vs Ground Zero Mar 11
13-3 vs Ground Zero Feb 26
Ancient
SEMP 7 – 13 TD
30%
70%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
SEMP
TD
After First Death
SEMP
TD
Ranking
SEMP
TD
Opponent-Rating Diff
SEMP
TD
Map ADR
SEMP
TD
Recent on Ancient
SemperFi
8-13 vs Change The Game May 11
11-13 vs Rare Atom Apr 3
13-16 vs FlyQuest Apr 1
13-11 vs TYLOO Mar 31
13-9 vs Just Swing Mar 28
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
13-5 vs low cortisol Apr 27
13-6 vs SemperFi Mar 16
13-10 vs SemperFi Mar 16
16-19 vs SemperFi Mar 14
11-13 vs SemperFi Mar 13
Inferno
SEMP 7 – 13 TD
26%
74%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
SEMP
TD
Ranking
SEMP
TD
After First Death
SEMP
TD
Round Win Rate
SEMP
TD
Map ADR
SEMP
TD
Recent on Inferno
SemperFi
6-13 vs Kaleido May 12
13-5 vs Change The Game May 11
13-9 vs TYLOO Mar 31
13-11 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Mar 16
13-16 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Mar 16
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
13-10 vs Abyssal Apr 29
11-13 vs SemperFi Mar 16
16-13 vs SemperFi Mar 16
13-2 vs Time Waves Mar 15
7-13 vs Ground Zero Mar 15
Nuke
SEMP 14 – 16 TD
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
SEMP
TD
Ranking
SEMP
TD
Round Win Rate
SEMP
TD
After First Kill
SEMP
TD
Opponent-Rating Diff
SEMP
TD
Recent on Nuke
SemperFi
13-6 vs Rooster Mar 27
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
13-7 vs Arcade Mar 16
13-11 vs Ground Zero Mar 15
22-20 vs Ground Zero Mar 14
13-6 vs Time Waves Mar 11
13-4 vs Ground Zero Mar 11
Recent Results last 11 matches
SemperFi
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
L 0-2 vs Kaleido InfernoMirage May 12 1d ago
W 2-1 vs Change The Game InfernoAncientMirage May 11 2d ago
L 0-2 vs Rare Atom AncientMirage Apr 3 40d ago
L 0-2 vs FlyQuest AncientAnubis Apr 1 42d ago
W 2-0 vs TYLOO AncientInferno Mar 31 43d ago
W 1-0 vs Just Swing Ancient Mar 28 46d ago
W 2-0 vs Rooster NukeMirage Mar 27 47d ago
W 1-0 vs XDM Mirage Mar 27 47d ago
W 2-0 vs Ground Zero Dust2Mirage Mar 25 49d ago
W 2-0 vs Rooster Dust2Mirage Mar 23 51d ago
W 2-1 vs Muttley Crew Dust2AncientMirage Mar 21 53d ago
W 2-0 vs Alter Ego AnubisDust2 May 12 1d ago
L 0-2 vs Haunted House Dust2Anubis May 11 2d ago
W 2-0 vs Ground Zero Dust2Anubis May 3 10d ago
W 2-1 vs Abyssal OverpassAnubisInferno Apr 29 14d ago
W 2-0 vs low cortisol AnubisAncient Apr 27 16d ago
W 1-0 vs Arcade Nuke Mar 16 58d ago
W 2-1 vs SemperFi AncientInfernoAnubis Mar 16 58d ago
W 2-0 vs SemperFi AncientInferno Mar 16 58d ago
W 1-0 vs Time Waves Inferno Mar 15 59d ago
W 2-1 vs Ground Zero AnubisInfernoNuke Mar 15 59d ago
W 2-1 vs Ground Zero AnubisInfernoNuke Mar 14 60d ago
Player Matchups
SemperFi
Ratings
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
SL
sliimey
EntryADR 83.4KAST 77%
1.27 vs 1.25
AS
asap
EntryADR 82.1KAST 77%
KE
keen
AWPADR 78.9KAST 73%
1.15 vs 1.22
AL
aliStair
AWPADR 73.8KAST 76%
SH
shadiy
RiflerADR 76.5KAST 74%
1.07 vs 1.20
LI
Liazz
RiflerADR 78.4KAST 77%
HA
hazr
RiflerADR 66.9KAST 71%
1.01 vs 1.05
TJ
TjP
RiflerADR 73.5KAST 72%
SA
SaVage
RiflerADR 67.5KAST 71%
1.01 vs 1.04
DE
dexter
RiflerADR 78.5KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Dust2
SEMP 7 – 13 TD
24%
76%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
SEMP
TD
Ranking
SEMP
TD
After First Death
SEMP
TD
Opponent-Rating Diff
SEMP
TD
Map ADR
SEMP
TD
Recent on Dust2
SemperFi
13-10 vs Ground Zero Mar 25
13-5 vs Rooster Mar 23
11-13 vs Muttley Crew Mar 21
13-8 vs Arcade Mar 16
13-4 vs Mindfreak Mar 15
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
13-8 vs Alter Ego May 12
10-13 vs Haunted House May 11
13-7 vs Ground Zero May 3
13-8 vs Ground Zero Mar 11
13-3 vs Ground Zero Feb 26
Overpass
SEMP 9 – 13 TD
42%
58%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
SEMP
TD
After First Kill
SEMP
TD
Ranking
SEMP
TD
Round Win Rate
SEMP
TD
Opponent-Rating Diff
SEMP
TD
Recent on Overpass
SemperFi
13-5 vs Mindfreak Mar 12
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
11-13 vs Abyssal Apr 29
13-10 vs Mindfreak Feb 25
13-6 vs Rooster Feb 8
13-3 vs Underground Feb 6
13-7 vs Mindfreak Feb 6
Nuke
SEMP 14 – 16 TD
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
SEMP
TD
Ranking
SEMP
TD
Round Win Rate
SEMP
TD
After First Kill
SEMP
TD
Opponent-Rating Diff
SEMP
TD
Recent on Nuke
SemperFi
13-6 vs Rooster Mar 27
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
13-7 vs Arcade Mar 16
13-11 vs Ground Zero Mar 15
22-20 vs Ground Zero Mar 14
13-6 vs Time Waves Mar 11
13-4 vs Ground Zero Mar 11
More from Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 3 matches
FlyQuest over 5star 82% Change The Game over Haunted House 61% TYLOO over JiJieHao 80%