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Bo3  ·  Stake Ranked Episode 2 · 2026-05-29
Alliance
vs
Sharks
60%
40%
Series win probability
ALLI 2–0 43%
SHAR 2–1 29%
ALLI 2–1 17%
SHAR 2–0 11%
Actual result
Nuke 13–11 SHAR
Anubis 16–13 SHAR
Model Insights
Alliance has a moderate edge at 60%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong inferno (74% win probability). Sharks's best shot is overpass where they hold a 63% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 36% Inferno · Nuke · Overpass
Scenario 2 35% Inferno · Nuke · Anubis
Scenario 3 28% Inferno · Nuke · Ancient
Inferno
ALLI 13 8 SHAR
74%
26%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
ALLI
SHAR
Trade Score N75 Diff
ALLI
SHAR
Map ADR
ALLI
SHAR
Flash Assists
ALLI
SHAR
Map Player Rating
ALLI
SHAR
Recent on Inferno
Alliance
19-17 vs 3DMAX May 28
13-7 vs Walczaki May 24
22-20 vs EYEBALLERS May 24
13-7 vs Lavked May 8
10-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Apr 26
Sharks
13-11 vs 9z May 27
13-7 vs 100 Thieves May 3
1-13 vs big Apr 25
8-13 vs ODDIK Feb 21
13-1 vs Imperial Feb 20
Nuke
ALLI 13 11 SHAR
58%
42%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
ALLI
SHAR
Map Win Rate
ALLI
SHAR
After First Kill
ALLI
SHAR
CT 4v5
ALLI
SHAR
Round Win Rate
ALLI
SHAR
Recent on Nuke
Alliance
6-13 vs FaZe May 27
13-9 vs Walczaki May 24
8-13 vs EYEBALLERS May 23
13-1 vs Walczaki May 22
3-13 vs Lavked May 8
Sharks
5-13 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas May 28
13-11 vs 9z May 27
8-13 vs FOKUS May 23
3-13 vs Betclic May 22
13-4 vs 100 Thieves May 3
Overpass
ALLI 10 13 SHAR
37%
63%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
ALLI
SHAR
Trade Score N75 Diff
ALLI
SHAR
After First Death
ALLI
SHAR
After First Kill
ALLI
SHAR
Map Win Rate
ALLI
SHAR
Recent on Overpass
Alliance
5-13 vs EYEBALLERS May 24
5-13 vs M80 Apr 2
13-11 vs Aurora Apr 1
13-10 vs Passion UA Apr 1
11-13 vs Inner Circle Mar 31
Sharks
13-16 vs 9z May 27
11-13 vs FOKUS May 23
14-16 vs Inner Circle May 23
13-10 vs big Apr 25
9-13 vs 9z Mar 7
Inferno
ALLI 13 8 SHAR
74%
26%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
ALLI
SHAR
Trade Score N75 Diff
ALLI
SHAR
Map ADR
ALLI
SHAR
Flash Assists
ALLI
SHAR
Map Player Rating
ALLI
SHAR
Recent on Inferno
Alliance
19-17 vs 3DMAX May 28
13-7 vs Walczaki May 24
22-20 vs EYEBALLERS May 24
13-7 vs Lavked May 8
10-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Apr 26
Sharks
13-11 vs 9z May 27
13-7 vs 100 Thieves May 3
1-13 vs big Apr 25
8-13 vs ODDIK Feb 21
13-1 vs Imperial Feb 20
Nuke
ALLI 13 11 SHAR
58%
42%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
ALLI
SHAR
Map Win Rate
ALLI
SHAR
After First Kill
ALLI
SHAR
CT 4v5
ALLI
SHAR
Round Win Rate
ALLI
SHAR
Recent on Nuke
Alliance
6-13 vs FaZe May 27
13-9 vs Walczaki May 24
8-13 vs EYEBALLERS May 23
13-1 vs Walczaki May 22
3-13 vs Lavked May 8
Sharks
5-13 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas May 28
13-11 vs 9z May 27
8-13 vs FOKUS May 23
3-13 vs Betclic May 22
13-4 vs 100 Thieves May 3
Anubis
ALLI 13 7 SHAR
74%
26%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
ALLI
SHAR
Trade Score N75 Diff
ALLI
SHAR
Map ADR
ALLI
SHAR
After First Death
ALLI
SHAR
Map Firepower
ALLI
SHAR
Recent on Anubis
Alliance
13-8 vs 3DMAX May 28
8-13 vs FaZe May 27
7-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 9
13-7 vs Oxuji Apr 24
13-6 vs KOLESIE Apr 21
Sharks
4-13 vs Inner Circle May 23
13-9 vs Betclic May 22
13-5 vs Betclic Apr 24
13-9 vs Fluxo Mar 7
16-13 vs FOLHA AMARELA Feb 17
Inferno
ALLI 13 8 SHAR
74%
26%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
ALLI
SHAR
Trade Score N75 Diff
ALLI
SHAR
Map ADR
ALLI
SHAR
Flash Assists
ALLI
SHAR
Map Player Rating
ALLI
SHAR
Recent on Inferno
Alliance
19-17 vs 3DMAX May 28
13-7 vs Walczaki May 24
22-20 vs EYEBALLERS May 24
13-7 vs Lavked May 8
10-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Apr 26
Sharks
13-11 vs 9z May 27
13-7 vs 100 Thieves May 3
1-13 vs big Apr 25
8-13 vs ODDIK Feb 21
13-1 vs Imperial Feb 20
Nuke
ALLI 13 11 SHAR
58%
42%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
ALLI
SHAR
Map Win Rate
ALLI
SHAR
After First Kill
ALLI
SHAR
CT 4v5
ALLI
SHAR
Round Win Rate
ALLI
SHAR
Recent on Nuke
Alliance
6-13 vs FaZe May 27
13-9 vs Walczaki May 24
8-13 vs EYEBALLERS May 23
13-1 vs Walczaki May 22
3-13 vs Lavked May 8
Sharks
5-13 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas May 28
13-11 vs 9z May 27
8-13 vs FOKUS May 23
3-13 vs Betclic May 22
13-4 vs 100 Thieves May 3
Ancient
ALLI 13 10 SHAR
63%
37%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
ALLI
SHAR
After First Kill
ALLI
SHAR
Trade Score N75 Diff
ALLI
SHAR
Opening Kills
ALLI
SHAR
CT 4v5
ALLI
SHAR
Recent on Ancient
Alliance
13-9 vs EYEBALLERS May 24
4-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 9
9-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Apr 26
13-5 vs Tricked Apr 13
13-9 vs Johnny Speeds Mar 28
Sharks
7-13 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas May 28
13-8 vs FOKUS May 23
13-7 vs Betclic May 22
13-8 vs BET-M May 2
13-11 vs Falcons Force Apr 29
Recent Results last 11 matches
Alliance
Sharks
W 2-1 vs 3DMAX InfernoDust2Anubis May 28 2d ago
L 0-2 vs FaZe AnubisNuke May 27 3d ago
W 2-0 vs Walczaki NukeInferno May 24 6d ago
W 2-1 vs EYEBALLERS InfernoOverpassAncient May 24 6d ago
L 0-2 vs EYEBALLERS NukeDust2 May 23 7d ago
W 2-0 vs Walczaki NukeDust2 May 22 8d ago
L 0-2 vs Nuclear TigeRES AncientAnubis May 9 21d ago
W 2-1 vs Lavked NukeInfernoDust2 May 8 22d ago
L 0-2 vs Nuclear TigeRES AncientInferno Apr 26 34d ago
W 2-0 vs Oxuji NukeAnubis Apr 24 36d ago
W 2-1 vs KOLESIE NukeAnubisDust2 Apr 21 39d ago
L 0-2 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas AncientNuke May 28 2d ago
W 2-1 vs 9z InfernoOverpassNuke May 27 3d ago
L 1-2 vs FOKUS AncientNukeOverpass May 23 7d ago
L 1-2 vs Inner Circle MirageAnubisOverpass May 23 7d ago
W 2-1 vs Betclic AnubisNukeAncient May 22 8d ago
W 2-0 vs 100 Thieves InfernoNuke May 3 27d ago
W 2-1 vs BET-M MirageAncientNuke May 2 28d ago
W 2-0 vs Falcons Force NukeAncient Apr 29 31d ago
L 1-2 vs big InfernoOverpassAncient Apr 25 35d ago
W 2-0 vs Betclic AnubisNuke Apr 24 36d ago
L 0-2 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas AncientNuke Apr 23 37d ago
Player Matchups
Alliance
Ratings
Sharks
ER
eraa
AWPADR 79.4KAST 75%
1.15 vs 1.12
KO
koala
EntryADR 77.3KAST 74%
MA
MaiL09
EntryADR 79.8KAST 76%
1.15 vs 1.11
DO
doc
RiflerADR 77.9KAST 74%
AV
avid
RiflerADR 77.7KAST 75%
1.09 vs 1.07
RD
rdnzao
RiflerADR 76.4KAST 74%
TW
twist
RiflerADR 72.1KAST 76%
1.01 vs 1.04
MA
maxxkor
AWPADR 69.2KAST 74%
UP
upE
RiflerADR 64.2KAST 72%
0.96 vs 0.94
GA
gafolo
RiflerADR 64.3KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Dust2
ALLI 13 3 SHAR
97%
3%
Win prob OT 0%
Key factors
After First Kill
ALLI
SHAR
Map ADR
ALLI
SHAR
Ban Rate
ALLI
SHAR
Ranking
ALLI
SHAR
Trade Score N75 Diff
ALLI
SHAR
Recent on Dust2
Alliance
9-13 vs 3DMAX May 28
5-13 vs EYEBALLERS May 23
13-10 vs Walczaki May 22
16-13 vs Lavked May 8
13-9 vs KOLESIE Apr 21
Sharks
no data
Anubis
ALLI 13 7 SHAR
74%
26%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
ALLI
SHAR
Trade Score N75 Diff
ALLI
SHAR
Map ADR
ALLI
SHAR
After First Death
ALLI
SHAR
Map Firepower
ALLI
SHAR
Recent on Anubis
Alliance
13-8 vs 3DMAX May 28
8-13 vs FaZe May 27
7-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 9
13-7 vs Oxuji Apr 24
13-6 vs KOLESIE Apr 21
Sharks
4-13 vs Inner Circle May 23
13-9 vs Betclic May 22
13-5 vs Betclic Apr 24
13-9 vs Fluxo Mar 7
16-13 vs FOLHA AMARELA Feb 17
Ancient
ALLI 13 10 SHAR
63%
37%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
ALLI
SHAR
After First Kill
ALLI
SHAR
Trade Score N75 Diff
ALLI
SHAR
Opening Kills
ALLI
SHAR
CT 4v5
ALLI
SHAR
Recent on Ancient
Alliance
13-9 vs EYEBALLERS May 24
4-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 9
9-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Apr 26
13-5 vs Tricked Apr 13
13-9 vs Johnny Speeds Mar 28
Sharks
7-13 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas May 28
13-8 vs FOKUS May 23
13-7 vs Betclic May 22
13-8 vs BET-M May 2
13-11 vs Falcons Force Apr 29
Mirage
ALLI 10 13 SHAR
45%
55%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
ALLI
SHAR
After First Kill
ALLI
SHAR
Map ADR
ALLI
SHAR
Map Win Rate
ALLI
SHAR
Ban Rate
ALLI
SHAR
Recent on Mirage
Alliance
5-13 vs ENCE Feb 11
10-13 vs SINNERS Feb 10
Sharks
13-9 vs Inner Circle May 23
2-13 vs BET-M May 2
13-1 vs Imperial Mar 8
11-13 vs 9z Mar 1
13-6 vs RED Canids Feb 27
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