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Bo3  ·  CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · 2026-05-17
ALKA
vs
MIBR Academy
15%
85%
Series win probability
MA 2–0 59%
MA 2–1 26%
ALKA 2–1 10%
ALKA 2–0 5%
Actual result
Nuke 13–6 ALKA
Ancient 13–11 ALKA
Model Insights
MIBR Academy is strongly favored at 85%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.02 vs 0.93), a significant ranking advantage (#149 vs #231), a strong mirage (81% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 36% Nuke · Mirage · Dust2
Scenario 2 35% Nuke · Mirage · Anubis
Scenario 3 29% Nuke · Mirage · Overpass
Nuke
ALKA 7 13 MA
26%
74%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
ALKA
MA
Map ADR
ALKA
MA
Map Win Rate
ALKA
MA
Map Firepower
ALKA
MA
Round Swing
ALKA
MA
Recent on Nuke
ALKA
13-4 vs paiN Academy May 15
13-6 vs ex-KRÜ May 12
9-13 vs METANOIA Wolves Apr 23
7-13 vs 9z Apr 22
9-13 vs UNO MILLE Apr 6
MIBR Academy
13-5 vs Red Feet May 15
13-8 vs ShindeN Apr 29
6-13 vs Galorys Apr 27
13-10 vs Fluxo Apr 26
9-13 vs Galorys Apr 24
Mirage
ALKA 5 13 MA
19%
81%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Ranking
ALKA
MA
Ban Rate
ALKA
MA
After First Death
ALKA
MA
After First Kill
ALKA
MA
Map Win Rate
ALKA
MA
Recent on Mirage
ALKA
13-11 vs paiN Academy May 15
13-5 vs Charrados Apr 1
MIBR Academy
13-3 vs Red Feet May 15
4-13 vs ShindeN Apr 29
1-13 vs Fluxo Apr 26
13-6 vs LP Apr 1
13-8 vs BESTIA Academy Apr 1
Dust2
ALKA 7 13 MA
28%
72%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
ALKA
MA
After First Death
ALKA
MA
Ban Rate
ALKA
MA
Map ADR
ALKA
MA
Map Win Rate
ALKA
MA
Recent on Dust2
ALKA
7-13 vs METANOIA Wolves Apr 23
6-13 vs 9z Apr 22
5-13 vs UNO MILLE Apr 17
8-13 vs UNO MILLE Apr 6
13-10 vs Charrados Apr 1
MIBR Academy
8-13 vs Keyd Stars May 2
13-10 vs Fluxo Apr 26
11-13 vs UNO MILLE Apr 19
13-9 vs Vasco Apr 18
16-13 vs UNO MILLE Apr 16
Nuke
ALKA 7 13 MA
26%
74%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
ALKA
MA
Map ADR
ALKA
MA
Map Win Rate
ALKA
MA
Map Firepower
ALKA
MA
Round Swing
ALKA
MA
Recent on Nuke
ALKA
13-4 vs paiN Academy May 15
13-6 vs ex-KRÜ May 12
9-13 vs METANOIA Wolves Apr 23
7-13 vs 9z Apr 22
9-13 vs UNO MILLE Apr 6
MIBR Academy
13-5 vs Red Feet May 15
13-8 vs ShindeN Apr 29
6-13 vs Galorys Apr 27
13-10 vs Fluxo Apr 26
9-13 vs Galorys Apr 24
Mirage
ALKA 5 13 MA
19%
81%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Ranking
ALKA
MA
Ban Rate
ALKA
MA
After First Death
ALKA
MA
After First Kill
ALKA
MA
Map Win Rate
ALKA
MA
Recent on Mirage
ALKA
13-11 vs paiN Academy May 15
13-5 vs Charrados Apr 1
MIBR Academy
13-3 vs Red Feet May 15
4-13 vs ShindeN Apr 29
1-13 vs Fluxo Apr 26
13-6 vs LP Apr 1
13-8 vs BESTIA Academy Apr 1
Anubis
ALKA 7 13 MA
37%
63%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
ALKA
MA
Map Win Rate
ALKA
MA
Map ADR
ALKA
MA
Map Firepower
ALKA
MA
T Side
ALKA
MA
Recent on Anubis
ALKA
2-13 vs UNO MILLE Apr 17
7-13 vs Charrados Apr 1
7-13 vs paiN Apr 1
4-13 vs Marsborne Apr 1
11-13 vs Keyd Stars Mar 29
MIBR Academy
8-13 vs Keyd Stars May 2
16-12 vs UNO MILLE Apr 16
Nuke
ALKA 7 13 MA
26%
74%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
ALKA
MA
Map ADR
ALKA
MA
Map Win Rate
ALKA
MA
Map Firepower
ALKA
MA
Round Swing
ALKA
MA
Recent on Nuke
ALKA
13-4 vs paiN Academy May 15
13-6 vs ex-KRÜ May 12
9-13 vs METANOIA Wolves Apr 23
7-13 vs 9z Apr 22
9-13 vs UNO MILLE Apr 6
MIBR Academy
13-5 vs Red Feet May 15
13-8 vs ShindeN Apr 29
6-13 vs Galorys Apr 27
13-10 vs Fluxo Apr 26
9-13 vs Galorys Apr 24
Mirage
ALKA 5 13 MA
19%
81%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Ranking
ALKA
MA
Ban Rate
ALKA
MA
After First Death
ALKA
MA
After First Kill
ALKA
MA
Map Win Rate
ALKA
MA
Recent on Mirage
ALKA
13-11 vs paiN Academy May 15
13-5 vs Charrados Apr 1
MIBR Academy
13-3 vs Red Feet May 15
4-13 vs ShindeN Apr 29
1-13 vs Fluxo Apr 26
13-6 vs LP Apr 1
13-8 vs BESTIA Academy Apr 1
Overpass
ALKA 5 13 MA
18%
82%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Ranking
ALKA
MA
After First Death
ALKA
MA
Map ADR
ALKA
MA
Map Firepower
ALKA
MA
CT 5v4
ALKA
MA
Recent on Overpass
ALKA
13-9 vs ex-KRÜ May 12
MIBR Academy
11-13 vs ShindeN Apr 29
5-13 vs Galorys Apr 27
13-3 vs Vasco Apr 18
13-8 vs Crashers Mar 21
13-6 vs Keyd Stars Mar 18
Recent Results last 11 matches
ALKA
MIBR Academy
W 2-0 vs paiN Academy MirageNuke May 15 12d ago
W 2-0 vs ex-KRÜ OverpassNuke May 12 15d ago
L 0-2 vs METANOIA Wolves NukeDust2 Apr 23 34d ago
L 0-2 vs 9z Dust2Nuke Apr 22 35d ago
L 0-2 vs UNO MILLE Dust2Anubis Apr 17 40d ago
L 0-2 vs UNO MILLE NukeDust2 Apr 6 51d ago
W 2-0 vs BESTIA Academy NukeAncient Apr 2 55d ago
W 2-1 vs Charrados AnubisMirageDust2 Apr 1 56d ago
L 0-2 vs paiN AnubisNuke Apr 1 56d ago
L 0-2 vs Marsborne AnubisNuke Apr 1 56d ago
L 0-2 vs Keyd Stars AnubisNuke Mar 29 59d ago
W 2-0 vs Red Feet MirageNuke May 15 12d ago
L 0-2 vs Keyd Stars AnubisDust2 May 2 25d ago
L 1-2 vs ShindeN OverpassNukeMirage Apr 29 28d ago
L 0-2 vs Galorys NukeOverpass Apr 27 30d ago
W 2-1 vs Fluxo Dust2MirageNuke Apr 26 31d ago
L 0-1 vs Galorys Nuke Apr 24 33d ago
L 0-1 vs Bounty Hunters Nuke Apr 24 33d ago
L 0-2 vs UNO MILLE Dust2Nuke Apr 19 38d ago
W 2-0 vs Vasco Dust2Overpass Apr 18 39d ago
W 2-0 vs UNO MILLE Dust2Anubis Apr 16 41d ago
L 0-2 vs Fake do Biru NukeDust2 Apr 8 49d ago
Player Matchups
ALKA
Ratings
MIBR Academy
PR
proSHOW
AWPADR 79.7KAST 72%
1.14 vs 1.07
ST
stormzyn
RiflerADR 76.1KAST 72%
CE
cerolzin
EntryADR 70.3KAST 70%
1.00 vs 1.04
BR
brn$
AWPADR 69.1KAST 72%
VI
vinaabEAST
RiflerADR 68.7KAST 68%
0.93 vs 1.03
LK
lkz
EntryADR 70.7KAST 73%
BA
badran
RiflerADR 61.7KAST 66%
0.84 vs 1.00
FL
fl4sh
RiflerADR 74.9KAST 71%
PU
puni
RiflerADR 61.6KAST 66%
0.78 vs 0.97
JE
Jerr1
RiflerADR 68.3KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Overpass
ALKA 5 13 MA
18%
82%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Ranking
ALKA
MA
After First Death
ALKA
MA
Map ADR
ALKA
MA
Map Firepower
ALKA
MA
CT 5v4
ALKA
MA
Recent on Overpass
ALKA
13-9 vs ex-KRÜ May 12
MIBR Academy
11-13 vs ShindeN Apr 29
5-13 vs Galorys Apr 27
13-3 vs Vasco Apr 18
13-8 vs Crashers Mar 21
13-6 vs Keyd Stars Mar 18
Ancient
ALKA 7 13 MA
28%
72%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
ALKA
MA
Ban Rate
ALKA
MA
After First Death
ALKA
MA
Map ADR
ALKA
MA
CT 4v5
ALKA
MA
Recent on Ancient
ALKA
13-5 vs BESTIA Academy Apr 2
6-13 vs Crashers Mar 26
MIBR Academy
13-2 vs BESTIA Academy Apr 1
10-13 vs Keyd Stars Mar 26
8-13 vs Galorys Mar 19
13-7 vs R2 Mar 15
Anubis
ALKA 7 13 MA
37%
63%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
ALKA
MA
Map Win Rate
ALKA
MA
Map ADR
ALKA
MA
Map Firepower
ALKA
MA
T Side
ALKA
MA
Recent on Anubis
ALKA
2-13 vs UNO MILLE Apr 17
7-13 vs Charrados Apr 1
7-13 vs paiN Apr 1
4-13 vs Marsborne Apr 1
11-13 vs Keyd Stars Mar 29
MIBR Academy
8-13 vs Keyd Stars May 2
16-12 vs UNO MILLE Apr 16
Inferno
ALKA 16 14 MA
51%
49%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
ALKA
MA
Map ADR
ALKA
MA
Side Balance
ALKA
MA
After First Kill
ALKA
MA
Map Firepower
ALKA
MA
Recent on Inferno
ALKA
no data
MIBR Academy
no data
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