Bo3 · CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 Closed Qualifier
· 2026-05-16
Falcons Force
✓
vs
Famalicão
57%
43%
Series win probability
FF
2–1
33%
FAMA
2–0
26%
FF
2–0
24%
FAMA
2–1
17%
Actual result
Dust2
13–3
FF
Mirage
13–1
FF
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Falcons Force is slightly favored at 57% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (0.97 vs 0.90), a significant ranking advantage (#152 vs #176), a strong ancient (66% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
41%
Inferno · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 2
41%
Inferno · Dust2 · Anubis
Scenario 3
18%
Inferno · Dust2 · Mirage
Inferno
FF
16
–
14
FAMA
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FF
FAMA
After First Kill
FF
FAMA
Ranking
FF
FAMA
T Side
FF
FAMA
Overall Rating
FF
FAMA
Recent on Inferno
Falcons Force
9-13
vs B8
Apr 2
8-13
vs B8
Apr 1
13-6
vs Wazabi
Apr 1
4-13
vs EAC
Apr 1
11-13
vs 3dmax
Mar 31
Famalicão
7-13
vs BRUTE
May 15
10-13
vs EC BANGA
Apr 29
8-13
vs UNiTY
Apr 10
7-13
vs MANA
Apr 9
10-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Mar 24
Dust2
FF
11
–
13
FAMA
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FF
FAMA
After First Death
FF
FAMA
Ranking
FF
FAMA
Map ADR
FF
FAMA
Overall Rating
FF
FAMA
Recent on Dust2
Falcons Force
4-13
vs MANA
May 15
12-16
vs Famalicão
May 14
Famalicão
16-12
vs Falcons Force
May 14
5-13
vs HAVU
May 7
1-13
vs TDK
May 5
2-13
vs Walczaki
May 4
7-13
vs Eternal Fire
Apr 25
Ancient
FF
13
–
7
FAMA
66%
34%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
FF
FAMA
Opponent-Rating Diff
FF
FAMA
After First Death
FF
FAMA
Ranking
FF
FAMA
Map ADR
FF
FAMA
Recent on Ancient
Falcons Force
13-4
vs MANA
May 15
10-13
vs Famalicão
May 14
11-13
vs Sharks
Apr 29
0-13
vs B8
Apr 2
13-8
vs Wazabi
Apr 1
Famalicão
13-10
vs Falcons Force
May 14
3-13
vs Walczaki
May 4
4-13
vs PsychoFace
Apr 30
4-13
vs The Last Resort
Apr 24
4-13
vs bestia
Mar 13
Inferno
FF
16
–
14
FAMA
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FF
FAMA
After First Kill
FF
FAMA
Ranking
FF
FAMA
T Side
FF
FAMA
Overall Rating
FF
FAMA
Recent on Inferno
Falcons Force
9-13
vs B8
Apr 2
8-13
vs B8
Apr 1
13-6
vs Wazabi
Apr 1
4-13
vs EAC
Apr 1
11-13
vs 3dmax
Mar 31
Famalicão
7-13
vs BRUTE
May 15
10-13
vs EC BANGA
Apr 29
8-13
vs UNiTY
Apr 10
7-13
vs MANA
Apr 9
10-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Mar 24
Dust2
FF
11
–
13
FAMA
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FF
FAMA
After First Death
FF
FAMA
Ranking
FF
FAMA
Map ADR
FF
FAMA
Overall Rating
FF
FAMA
Recent on Dust2
Falcons Force
4-13
vs MANA
May 15
12-16
vs Famalicão
May 14
Famalicão
16-12
vs Falcons Force
May 14
5-13
vs HAVU
May 7
1-13
vs TDK
May 5
2-13
vs Walczaki
May 4
7-13
vs Eternal Fire
Apr 25
Anubis
FF
13
–
7
FAMA
69%
31%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
FF
FAMA
Opponent-Rating Diff
FF
FAMA
After First Death
FF
FAMA
Ranking
FF
FAMA
Map ADR
FF
FAMA
Recent on Anubis
Falcons Force
13-8
vs EAC
Apr 1
Famalicão
4-13
vs PsychoFace
Apr 30
3-13
vs Eternal Fire
Apr 25
12-16
vs The Last Resort
Apr 24
11-13
vs bankaPEPSI
Apr 22
16-13
vs MANA
Apr 9
Inferno
FF
16
–
14
FAMA
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FF
FAMA
After First Kill
FF
FAMA
Ranking
FF
FAMA
T Side
FF
FAMA
Overall Rating
FF
FAMA
Recent on Inferno
Falcons Force
9-13
vs B8
Apr 2
8-13
vs B8
Apr 1
13-6
vs Wazabi
Apr 1
4-13
vs EAC
Apr 1
11-13
vs 3dmax
Mar 31
Famalicão
7-13
vs BRUTE
May 15
10-13
vs EC BANGA
Apr 29
8-13
vs UNiTY
Apr 10
7-13
vs MANA
Apr 9
10-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Mar 24
Dust2
FF
11
–
13
FAMA
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FF
FAMA
After First Death
FF
FAMA
Ranking
FF
FAMA
Map ADR
FF
FAMA
Overall Rating
FF
FAMA
Recent on Dust2
Falcons Force
4-13
vs MANA
May 15
12-16
vs Famalicão
May 14
Famalicão
16-12
vs Falcons Force
May 14
5-13
vs HAVU
May 7
1-13
vs TDK
May 5
2-13
vs Walczaki
May 4
7-13
vs Eternal Fire
Apr 25
Mirage
FF
16
–
14
FAMA
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FF
FAMA
After First Death
FF
FAMA
Ranking
FF
FAMA
After First Kill
FF
FAMA
Round Win Rate
FF
FAMA
Recent on Mirage
Falcons Force
13-8
vs MANA
May 15
13-10
vs B8
Apr 2
1-13
vs B8
Apr 1
9-13
vs bestia
Mar 31
Famalicão
8-13
vs HAVU
May 7
4-13
vs TDK
May 5
13-9
vs EC BANGA
Apr 29
3-13
vs Atreides
Apr 23
8-13
vs CSDIILIT
Mar 4
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Falcons Force
Famalicão
W
2-1
vs MANA
Dust2AncientMirage
May 15
12d ago
L
0-2
vs Famalicão
Dust2Ancient
May 14
13d ago
L
0-2
vs Sharks
NukeAncient
Apr 29
28d ago
L
1-2
vs B8
InfernoMirageAncient
Apr 2
55d ago
L
0-2
vs B8
InfernoMirage
Apr 1
56d ago
W
2-1
vs Wazabi
AncientNukeInferno
Apr 1
56d ago
W
2-1
vs EAC
InfernoAncientAnubis
Apr 1
56d ago
L
0-1
vs AaB
Ancient
Mar 31
57d ago
L
0-1
vs 3dmax
Inferno
Mar 31
57d ago
W
1-0
vs Sashi Academy
Inferno
Mar 31
57d ago
L
0-1
vs bestia
Mirage
Mar 31
57d ago
L
0-2
vs BRUTE
InfernoOverpass
May 15
12d ago
W
2-0
vs Falcons Force
Dust2Ancient
May 14
13d ago
L
0-2
vs HAVU
Dust2Mirage
May 7
20d ago
L
0-2
vs TDK
MirageDust2
May 5
22d ago
L
0-2
vs Walczaki
Dust2Ancient
May 4
23d ago
L
0-2
vs PsychoFace
AnubisAncient
Apr 30
27d ago
W
2-1
vs EC BANGA
InfernoMirageOverpass
Apr 29
28d ago
L
0-2
vs Eternal Fire
AnubisDust2
Apr 25
32d ago
L
0-2
vs The Last Resort
AncientAnubis
Apr 24
33d ago
L
0-2
vs Atreides
Dust2Mirage
Apr 23
34d ago
L
0-2
vs bankaPEPSI
OverpassAnubis
Apr 22
35d ago
Player Matchups
Falcons Force
Ratings
Famalicão
GR
grecu
AWPADR 71.2KAST 72%
H0
h0t
AWPADR 70.7KAST 66%
NU
NucleonZ
RiflerADR 77.3KAST 70%
SE
seabraez
RiflerADR 69.9KAST 67%
VE
VENO
EntryADR 73.0KAST 67%
P3
P3R3IIRA
EntryADR 72.5KAST 70%
CL
clockzi
RiflerADR 65.7KAST 66%
SP
Sprayy
RiflerADR 62.9KAST 69%
TA
Tapewaare
RiflerADR 61.8KAST 66%
M1
M1KA
RiflerADR 58.6KAST 68%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Nuke
FF
13
–
7
FAMA
81%
19%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FF
FAMA
After First Kill
FF
FAMA
Ranking
FF
FAMA
After First Death
FF
FAMA
Map ADR
FF
FAMA
Recent on Nuke
Falcons Force
2-13
vs Sharks
Apr 29
10-13
vs Wazabi
Apr 1
Famalicão
no data
Anubis
FF
13
–
7
FAMA
69%
31%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
FF
FAMA
Opponent-Rating Diff
FF
FAMA
After First Death
FF
FAMA
Ranking
FF
FAMA
Map ADR
FF
FAMA
Recent on Anubis
Falcons Force
13-8
vs EAC
Apr 1
Famalicão
4-13
vs PsychoFace
Apr 30
3-13
vs Eternal Fire
Apr 25
12-16
vs The Last Resort
Apr 24
11-13
vs bankaPEPSI
Apr 22
16-13
vs MANA
Apr 9
Overpass
FF
10
–
13
FAMA
36%
64%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FF
FAMA
Ranking
FF
FAMA
After First Death
FF
FAMA
After First Kill
FF
FAMA
Opening Kills
FF
FAMA
Recent on Overpass
Falcons Force
no data
Famalicão
3-13
vs BRUTE
May 15
13-8
vs EC BANGA
Apr 29
6-13
vs bankaPEPSI
Apr 22
8-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Mar 24
8-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Mar 24
Mirage
FF
16
–
14
FAMA
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FF
FAMA
After First Death
FF
FAMA
Ranking
FF
FAMA
After First Kill
FF
FAMA
Round Win Rate
FF
FAMA
Recent on Mirage
Falcons Force
13-8
vs MANA
May 15
13-10
vs B8
Apr 2
1-13
vs B8
Apr 1
9-13
vs bestia
Mar 31
Famalicão
8-13
vs HAVU
May 7
4-13
vs TDK
May 5
13-9
vs EC BANGA
Apr 29
3-13
vs Atreides
Apr 23
8-13
vs CSDIILIT
Mar 4
More from CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 Closed Qualifier
2 matches