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Bo3  ·  CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · 2026-05-21
Phantom
vs
Leo ✗
44%
56%
Series win probability
LEO 2–1 37%
LEO 2–0 31%
PHAN 2–0 18%
PHAN 2–1 13%
Actual result
Ancient 13–8 LEO
Nuke 13–9 PHAN
Dust2 13–6 PHAN
Model Insights
Leo has a moderate edge at 69%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#131 vs #101), a strong ancient (74% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 44% Nuke · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 2 37% Dust2 · Ancient · Anubis
Scenario 3 18% Dust2 · Ancient · Overpass
Nuke
PHAN 16 – 14 LEO
51%
49%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
PHAN
LEO
Ban Rate
PHAN
LEO
Ranking
PHAN
LEO
After First Kill
PHAN
LEO
Round Win Rate
PHAN
LEO
Recent on Nuke
Phantom
11-13 vs TNC May 6
13-9 vs GenOne May 5
13-10 vs aAa Apr 28
13-4 vs The Last Resort Apr 27
10-13 vs Hashiras Apr 25
Leo
13-4 vs Lavked Apr 28
13-10 vs BIG Academy Apr 25
5-13 vs Ursa Apr 12
13-7 vs BRUTE Apr 7
13-10 vs ALGO Mar 23
Dust2
PHAN 8 – 13 LEO
35%
65%
Win prob OT 8% ✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
PHAN
LEO
After First Kill
PHAN
LEO
Ranking
PHAN
LEO
After First Death
PHAN
LEO
Map Win Rate
PHAN
LEO
Recent on Dust2
Phantom
13-10 vs GenOne May 5
13-10 vs Lavked May 4
13-10 vs aAa May 3
13-7 vs GenOne Apr 29
4-13 vs aAa Apr 28
Leo
22-18 vs PsychoFace May 18
7-13 vs Lavked Apr 28
11-13 vs Ursa Apr 12
13-3 vs BRUTE Apr 7
13-8 vs megoshort Mar 30
Ancient
PHAN 7 – 13 LEO
26%
74%
Win prob OT 6% ✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
PHAN
LEO
Ranking
PHAN
LEO
Map ADR
PHAN
LEO
Round Win Rate
PHAN
LEO
After First Kill
PHAN
LEO
Recent on Ancient
Phantom
13-6 vs TNC May 6
10-13 vs GenOne May 5
3-13 vs Lavked May 4
13-4 vs aAa May 3
5-13 vs fnatic Apr 30
Leo
6-13 vs Lavked Apr 28
4-13 vs fnatic Apr 27
7-13 vs BIG Academy Apr 25
7-13 vs ESC Apr 1
10-13 vs Rebels Mar 29
Dust2
PHAN 8 – 13 LEO
35%
65%
Win prob OT 8% ✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
PHAN
LEO
After First Kill
PHAN
LEO
Ranking
PHAN
LEO
After First Death
PHAN
LEO
Map Win Rate
PHAN
LEO
Recent on Dust2
Phantom
13-10 vs GenOne May 5
13-10 vs Lavked May 4
13-10 vs aAa May 3
13-7 vs GenOne Apr 29
4-13 vs aAa Apr 28
Leo
22-18 vs PsychoFace May 18
7-13 vs Lavked Apr 28
11-13 vs Ursa Apr 12
13-3 vs BRUTE Apr 7
13-8 vs megoshort Mar 30
Ancient
PHAN 7 – 13 LEO
26%
74%
Win prob OT 6% ✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
PHAN
LEO
Ranking
PHAN
LEO
Map ADR
PHAN
LEO
Round Win Rate
PHAN
LEO
After First Kill
PHAN
LEO
Recent on Ancient
Phantom
13-6 vs TNC May 6
10-13 vs GenOne May 5
3-13 vs Lavked May 4
13-4 vs aAa May 3
5-13 vs fnatic Apr 30
Leo
6-13 vs Lavked Apr 28
4-13 vs fnatic Apr 27
7-13 vs BIG Academy Apr 25
7-13 vs ESC Apr 1
10-13 vs Rebels Mar 29
Anubis
PHAN 7 – 13 LEO
27%
73%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
PHAN
LEO
Ban Rate
PHAN
LEO
Ranking
PHAN
LEO
After First Death
PHAN
LEO
Map ADR
PHAN
LEO
Recent on Anubis
Phantom
13-16 vs fnatic Apr 30
13-8 vs ASTRAL Mar 24
13-5 vs ASTRAL Mar 5
9-13 vs Lazer Cats Feb 26
10-13 vs Alliance Feb 17
Leo
13-6 vs PsychoFace May 18
10-13 vs fnatic Apr 27
16-12 vs BIG Academy Apr 25
13-8 vs ESC Apr 1
13-5 vs MANA Mar 25
Dust2
PHAN 8 – 13 LEO
35%
65%
Win prob OT 8% ✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
PHAN
LEO
After First Kill
PHAN
LEO
Ranking
PHAN
LEO
After First Death
PHAN
LEO
Map Win Rate
PHAN
LEO
Recent on Dust2
Phantom
13-10 vs GenOne May 5
13-10 vs Lavked May 4
13-10 vs aAa May 3
13-7 vs GenOne Apr 29
4-13 vs aAa Apr 28
Leo
22-18 vs PsychoFace May 18
7-13 vs Lavked Apr 28
11-13 vs Ursa Apr 12
13-3 vs BRUTE Apr 7
13-8 vs megoshort Mar 30
Ancient
PHAN 7 – 13 LEO
26%
74%
Win prob OT 6% ✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
PHAN
LEO
Ranking
PHAN
LEO
Map ADR
PHAN
LEO
Round Win Rate
PHAN
LEO
After First Kill
PHAN
LEO
Recent on Ancient
Phantom
13-6 vs TNC May 6
10-13 vs GenOne May 5
3-13 vs Lavked May 4
13-4 vs aAa May 3
5-13 vs fnatic Apr 30
Leo
6-13 vs Lavked Apr 28
4-13 vs fnatic Apr 27
7-13 vs BIG Academy Apr 25
7-13 vs ESC Apr 1
10-13 vs Rebels Mar 29
Overpass
PHAN 11 – 13 LEO
44%
56%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
PHAN
LEO
Ranking
PHAN
LEO
After First Kill
PHAN
LEO
CT 4v5
PHAN
LEO
Ban Rate
PHAN
LEO
Recent on Overpass
Phantom
13-8 vs TNC May 19
9-13 vs Metizport Apr 14
13-10 vs illwill Feb 23
11-13 vs Sashi Feb 23
13-8 vs SINNERS Feb 22
Leo
13-5 vs Rune Eaters Mar 17
13-6 vs Qwentry Mar 12
8-13 vs kONO Feb 14
4-13 vs SPARTA Feb 12
13-6 vs ALGO Feb 10
Recent Results last 11 matches
Phantom
Leo
W 2-0 vs TNC OverpassMirage May 19 8d ago
L 1-2 vs TNC MirageAncientNuke May 6 21d ago
W 2-1 vs GenOne Dust2AncientNuke May 5 22d ago
L 1-2 vs Lavked MirageDust2Ancient May 4 23d ago
W 2-0 vs aAa Dust2Ancient May 3 24d ago
L 0-2 vs fnatic AncientAnubis Apr 30 27d ago
W 2-0 vs GenOne Dust2Ancient Apr 29 28d ago
W 2-1 vs aAa Dust2AncientNuke Apr 28 29d ago
W 2-1 vs The Last Resort AncientMirageNuke Apr 27 30d ago
W 2-0 vs RUSTEC Dust2Mirage Apr 26 31d ago
L 1-2 vs Hashiras Dust2AncientNuke Apr 25 32d ago
W 2-0 vs PsychoFace AnubisDust2 May 18 9d ago
L 1-2 vs Lavked Dust2NukeAncient Apr 28 29d ago
L 1-2 vs fnatic AncientMirageAnubis Apr 27 30d ago
W 2-1 vs BIG Academy AncientNukeAnubis Apr 25 32d ago
L 0-2 vs Ursa Dust2Nuke Apr 12 45d ago
W 2-0 vs BRUTE NukeDust2 Apr 7 50d ago
L 1-2 vs ESC AncientAnubisMirage Apr 1 56d ago
W 2-0 vs megoshort Dust2Inferno Mar 30 58d ago
L 0-2 vs Rebels AncientInferno Mar 29 59d ago
W 2-0 vs CSDIILIT MirageAncient Mar 26 62d ago
L 1-2 vs MANA InfernoAnubisDust2 Mar 25 63d ago
Player Matchups
Phantom
Ratings
Leo
KY
Kylar
EntryADR 72.9KAST 72%
1.11 vs 1.16
ON
OneUn1que
RiflerADR 83.4KAST 76%
KE
KEi
RiflerADR 77.8KAST 72%
1.07 vs 1.08
AM
amster
EntryADR 77.1KAST 73%
MW
mwlky
AWPADR 70.1KAST 71%
1.07 vs 1.06
MA
marat2k
RiflerADR 71.5KAST 75%
KU
Kunai
RiflerADR 75.7KAST 70%
1.02 vs 1.02
KL
kL1o
RiflerADR 71.1KAST 75%
TM
TMB
RiflerADR 67.6KAST 72%
0.94 vs 0.96
MA
Malkiss
AWPADR 66.5KAST 73%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Inferno
PHAN 4 – 13 LEO
11%
89%
Win prob OT 0%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
PHAN
LEO
Ban Rate
PHAN
LEO
Ranking
PHAN
LEO
After First Kill
PHAN
LEO
Map Firepower
PHAN
LEO
Recent on Inferno
Phantom
no data
Leo
13-3 vs megoshort Mar 30
9-13 vs Rebels Mar 29
11-13 vs MANA Mar 25
13-4 vs BIG EQUIPA Mar 21
7-13 vs wave Mar 8
Anubis
PHAN 7 – 13 LEO
27%
73%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
PHAN
LEO
Ban Rate
PHAN
LEO
Ranking
PHAN
LEO
After First Death
PHAN
LEO
Map ADR
PHAN
LEO
Recent on Anubis
Phantom
13-16 vs fnatic Apr 30
13-8 vs ASTRAL Mar 24
13-5 vs ASTRAL Mar 5
9-13 vs Lazer Cats Feb 26
10-13 vs Alliance Feb 17
Leo
13-6 vs PsychoFace May 18
10-13 vs fnatic Apr 27
16-12 vs BIG Academy Apr 25
13-8 vs ESC Apr 1
13-5 vs MANA Mar 25
Mirage
PHAN 13 – 7 LEO
65%
35%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
PHAN
LEO
Ranking
PHAN
LEO
Ban Rate
PHAN
LEO
After First Kill
PHAN
LEO
Map ADR
PHAN
LEO
Recent on Mirage
Phantom
13-11 vs TNC May 19
7-13 vs TNC May 6
11-13 vs Lavked May 4
13-8 vs The Last Resort Apr 27
13-11 vs RUSTEC Apr 26
Leo
13-10 vs fnatic Apr 27
5-13 vs ESC Apr 1
13-11 vs CSDIILIT Mar 26
6-13 vs wave Mar 8
3-13 vs big academy Mar 7
Overpass
PHAN 11 – 13 LEO
44%
56%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
PHAN
LEO
Ranking
PHAN
LEO
After First Kill
PHAN
LEO
CT 4v5
PHAN
LEO
Ban Rate
PHAN
LEO
Recent on Overpass
Phantom
13-8 vs TNC May 19
9-13 vs Metizport Apr 14
13-10 vs illwill Feb 23
11-13 vs Sashi Feb 23
13-8 vs SINNERS Feb 22
Leo
13-5 vs Rune Eaters Mar 17
13-6 vs Qwentry Mar 12
8-13 vs kONO Feb 14
4-13 vs SPARTA Feb 12
13-6 vs ALGO Feb 10
More from CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 1 match
fnatic over BRUTE 67%