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Bo3  ·  CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · 2026-05-22
Ursa
vs
TNC
65%
35%
Series win probability
URSA 2–0 49%
URSA 2–1 30%
TNC 2–1 15%
TNC 2–0 6%
Actual result
Dust2 13–4 TNC
Nuke 13–11 TNC
Model Insights
Ursa is strongly favored at 79%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.09 vs 0.98), a significant ranking advantage (#108 vs #135), a strong dust2 (87% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 52% Dust2 · Nuke · Anubis
Scenario 2 42% Dust2 · Nuke · Mirage
Scenario 3 6% Dust2 · Nuke · Overpass
Dust2
URSA 13 4 TNC
87%
13%
Win prob OT 0%
Key factors
After First Kill
URSA
TNC
Ranking
URSA
TNC
Ban Rate
URSA
TNC
Map Firepower
URSA
TNC
Map ADR
URSA
TNC
Recent on Dust2
Ursa
5-13 vs PsychoFace May 21
13-10 vs Lazer Cats May 18
13-9 vs GenOne May 9
TNC
5-13 vs SPARTA May 13
6-13 vs Oxuji May 11
2-13 vs GenOne Apr 28
13-11 vs Clutchain Apr 24
13-6 vs Rebels Apr 20
Nuke
URSA 13 10 TNC
56%
44%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
URSA
TNC
Ranking
URSA
TNC
Map ADR
URSA
TNC
Map Firepower
URSA
TNC
Round Win Rate
URSA
TNC
Recent on Nuke
Ursa
13-2 vs ALGO May 19
7-13 vs GenOne May 9
TNC
9-13 vs PsychoFace May 20
13-4 vs Lavked May 14
13-8 vs Betclic May 13
5-13 vs Oxuji May 11
16-12 vs FAVBET May 8
Anubis
URSA 13 9 TNC
66%
34%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
URSA
TNC
After First Kill
URSA
TNC
CT 4v5
URSA
TNC
Map Win Rate
URSA
TNC
After First Death
URSA
TNC
Recent on Anubis
Ursa
6-13 vs Oramond May 20
11-13 vs ALGO May 19
TNC
17-19 vs Betclic May 13
13-11 vs FAVBET May 8
11-13 vs megoshort May 3
13-7 vs UNiTY May 1
13-2 vs XI Apr 19
Dust2
URSA 13 4 TNC
87%
13%
Win prob OT 0%
Key factors
After First Kill
URSA
TNC
Ranking
URSA
TNC
Ban Rate
URSA
TNC
Map Firepower
URSA
TNC
Map ADR
URSA
TNC
Recent on Dust2
Ursa
5-13 vs PsychoFace May 21
13-10 vs Lazer Cats May 18
13-9 vs GenOne May 9
TNC
5-13 vs SPARTA May 13
6-13 vs Oxuji May 11
2-13 vs GenOne Apr 28
13-11 vs Clutchain Apr 24
13-6 vs Rebels Apr 20
Nuke
URSA 13 10 TNC
56%
44%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
URSA
TNC
Ranking
URSA
TNC
Map ADR
URSA
TNC
Map Firepower
URSA
TNC
Round Win Rate
URSA
TNC
Recent on Nuke
Ursa
13-2 vs ALGO May 19
7-13 vs GenOne May 9
TNC
9-13 vs PsychoFace May 20
13-4 vs Lavked May 14
13-8 vs Betclic May 13
5-13 vs Oxuji May 11
16-12 vs FAVBET May 8
Mirage
URSA 13 5 TNC
81%
19%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Ranking
URSA
TNC
Map Win Rate
URSA
TNC
Map Firepower
URSA
TNC
CT 4v5
URSA
TNC
Clutch Score
URSA
TNC
Recent on Mirage
Ursa
2-13 vs Oramond May 20
10-13 vs Lazer Cats May 18
TNC
11-13 vs Phantom May 19
11-13 vs Lavked May 14
13-11 vs Betclic May 13
16-14 vs Lavked May 6
13-7 vs Phantom May 6
Dust2
URSA 13 4 TNC
87%
13%
Win prob OT 0%
Key factors
After First Kill
URSA
TNC
Ranking
URSA
TNC
Ban Rate
URSA
TNC
Map Firepower
URSA
TNC
Map ADR
URSA
TNC
Recent on Dust2
Ursa
5-13 vs PsychoFace May 21
13-10 vs Lazer Cats May 18
13-9 vs GenOne May 9
TNC
5-13 vs SPARTA May 13
6-13 vs Oxuji May 11
2-13 vs GenOne Apr 28
13-11 vs Clutchain Apr 24
13-6 vs Rebels Apr 20
Nuke
URSA 13 10 TNC
56%
44%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
URSA
TNC
Ranking
URSA
TNC
Map ADR
URSA
TNC
Map Firepower
URSA
TNC
Round Win Rate
URSA
TNC
Recent on Nuke
Ursa
13-2 vs ALGO May 19
7-13 vs GenOne May 9
TNC
9-13 vs PsychoFace May 20
13-4 vs Lavked May 14
13-8 vs Betclic May 13
5-13 vs Oxuji May 11
16-12 vs FAVBET May 8
Overpass
URSA 13 10 TNC
53%
47%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
URSA
TNC
After First Kill
URSA
TNC
Ranking
URSA
TNC
Map Win Rate
URSA
TNC
Map ADR
URSA
TNC
Recent on Overpass
Ursa
11-13 vs PsychoFace May 21
TNC
10-13 vs PsychoFace May 20
8-13 vs Phantom May 19
9-13 vs FAVBET May 8
13-16 vs Rune Eaters Apr 23
8-13 vs elitenergy Apr 7
Recent Results last 11 matches
Ursa
TNC
L 0-2 vs PsychoFace Dust2Overpass May 21 6d ago
L 0-2 vs Oramond MirageAnubis May 20 7d ago
W 2-1 vs ALGO AnubisInfernoNuke May 19 8d ago
L 1-2 vs Lazer Cats InfernoDust2Mirage May 18 9d ago
L 1-2 vs GenOne NukeDust2Inferno May 9 18d ago
L 0-2 vs PsychoFace OverpassNuke May 20 7d ago
L 0-2 vs Phantom OverpassMirage May 19 8d ago
L 1-2 vs Lavked AncientNukeMirage May 14 13d ago
W 2-1 vs Betclic MirageAnubisNuke May 13 14d ago
L 0-2 vs SPARTA AncientDust2 May 13 14d ago
L 0-2 vs Oxuji NukeDust2 May 11 16d ago
W 2-1 vs FAVBET OverpassNukeAnubis May 8 19d ago
W 2-0 vs Lavked MirageAncient May 6 21d ago
W 2-1 vs Phantom MirageAncientNuke May 6 21d ago
W 2-0 vs UNiTY AncientMirage May 4 23d ago
L 0-2 vs megoshort MirageAnubis May 3 24d ago
Player Matchups
Ursa
Ratings
TNC
AL
Alv
AWPADR 78.7KAST 74%
1.18 vs 1.01
AD
AdrieN
AWPADR 74.1KAST 69%
KA
karnez
EntryADR 80.9KAST 73%
1.15 vs 0.99
MA
maaryy
RiflerADR 72.5KAST 71%
4X
4X1s
RiflerADR 76.8KAST 72%
1.08 vs 0.98
YV
yvro
EntryADR 73.1KAST 70%
SA
Salazar
RiflerADR 66.0KAST 72%
0.97 vs
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Inferno
URSA 13 2 TNC
95%
5%
Win prob OT 0%
Key factors
After First Kill
URSA
TNC
Ban Rate
URSA
TNC
Ranking
URSA
TNC
Map Firepower
URSA
TNC
Map ADR
URSA
TNC
Recent on Inferno
Ursa
13-9 vs ALGO May 19
10-13 vs Lazer Cats May 18
7-13 vs GenOne May 9
TNC
no data
Mirage
URSA 13 5 TNC
81%
19%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Ranking
URSA
TNC
Map Win Rate
URSA
TNC
Map Firepower
URSA
TNC
CT 4v5
URSA
TNC
Clutch Score
URSA
TNC
Recent on Mirage
Ursa
2-13 vs Oramond May 20
10-13 vs Lazer Cats May 18
TNC
11-13 vs Phantom May 19
11-13 vs Lavked May 14
13-11 vs Betclic May 13
16-14 vs Lavked May 6
13-7 vs Phantom May 6
Overpass
URSA 13 10 TNC
53%
47%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
URSA
TNC
After First Kill
URSA
TNC
Ranking
URSA
TNC
Map Win Rate
URSA
TNC
Map ADR
URSA
TNC
Recent on Overpass
Ursa
11-13 vs PsychoFace May 21
TNC
10-13 vs PsychoFace May 20
8-13 vs Phantom May 19
9-13 vs FAVBET May 8
13-16 vs Rune Eaters Apr 23
8-13 vs elitenergy Apr 7
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