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Bo3  ·  BC Game Masters Europe Season 2 Series 2 · 2026-05-22
Ursa
vs
ASTRAL
66%
34%
Series win probability
URSA 2–1 44%
URSA 2–0 37%
ASTR 2–0 13%
ASTR 2–1 6%
Actual result
Mirage 13–5 URSA
Inferno 13–11 ASTR
Nuke 16–14 URSA
Model Insights
Ursa is strongly favored at 82%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a strong inferno (88% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 39% Dust2 · Anubis · Inferno
Scenario 2 39% Dust2 · Inferno · Nuke
Scenario 3 21% Dust2 · Inferno · Mirage
Dust2
URSA 13 7 ASTR
74%
26%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Map ADR
URSA
ASTR
After First Death
URSA
ASTR
Map Firepower
URSA
ASTR
Deaths/Round
URSA
ASTR
Ranking
URSA
ASTR
Recent on Dust2
Ursa
4-13 vs TNC May 22
5-13 vs PsychoFace May 21
13-10 vs Lazer Cats May 18
13-9 vs GenOne May 9
ASTRAL
8-13 vs Eternal Fire May 21
12-16 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects May 19
13-11 vs CYBERSHOKE May 6
8-13 vs Bebop May 2
13-7 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 2
Anubis
URSA 16 14 ASTR
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
URSA
ASTR
Map ADR
URSA
ASTR
Map Firepower
URSA
ASTR
Map Win Rate
URSA
ASTR
Sniper Score
URSA
ASTR
Recent on Anubis
Ursa
6-13 vs Oramond May 20
11-13 vs ALGO May 19
ASTRAL
13-7 vs Project 91 May 20
4-13 vs Passion UA Apr 4
3-13 vs RUSTEC Apr 1
13-8 vs DALUYONG Mar 26
8-13 vs Phantom Mar 24
Inferno
URSA 13 4 ASTR
88%
12%
Win prob OT 0%
Key factors
After First Kill
URSA
ASTR
Ranking
URSA
ASTR
Map Firepower
URSA
ASTR
Map ADR
URSA
ASTR
After First Death
URSA
ASTR
Recent on Inferno
Ursa
13-9 vs ALGO May 19
10-13 vs Lazer Cats May 18
7-13 vs GenOne May 9
ASTRAL
13-8 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects May 19
11-13 vs AM May 5
9-13 vs Bebop May 2
5-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 2
2-13 vs Gentle Mates Apr 29
Dust2
URSA 13 7 ASTR
74%
26%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Map ADR
URSA
ASTR
After First Death
URSA
ASTR
Map Firepower
URSA
ASTR
Deaths/Round
URSA
ASTR
Ranking
URSA
ASTR
Recent on Dust2
Ursa
4-13 vs TNC May 22
5-13 vs PsychoFace May 21
13-10 vs Lazer Cats May 18
13-9 vs GenOne May 9
ASTRAL
8-13 vs Eternal Fire May 21
12-16 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects May 19
13-11 vs CYBERSHOKE May 6
8-13 vs Bebop May 2
13-7 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 2
Inferno
URSA 13 4 ASTR
88%
12%
Win prob OT 0%
Key factors
After First Kill
URSA
ASTR
Ranking
URSA
ASTR
Map Firepower
URSA
ASTR
Map ADR
URSA
ASTR
After First Death
URSA
ASTR
Recent on Inferno
Ursa
13-9 vs ALGO May 19
10-13 vs Lazer Cats May 18
7-13 vs GenOne May 9
ASTRAL
13-8 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects May 19
11-13 vs AM May 5
9-13 vs Bebop May 2
5-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 2
2-13 vs Gentle Mates Apr 29
Nuke
URSA 10 13 ASTR
40%
60%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
URSA
ASTR
After First Kill
URSA
ASTR
Deaths/Round
URSA
ASTR
T Rating
URSA
ASTR
T Side
URSA
ASTR
Recent on Nuke
Ursa
11-13 vs TNC May 22
13-2 vs ALGO May 19
7-13 vs GenOne May 9
ASTRAL
14-16 vs Eternal Fire May 21
11-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 2
13-4 vs Clutchain fe Apr 29
6-13 vs Ursa Apr 11
7-13 vs Qwentry Apr 9
Dust2
URSA 13 7 ASTR
74%
26%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Map ADR
URSA
ASTR
After First Death
URSA
ASTR
Map Firepower
URSA
ASTR
Deaths/Round
URSA
ASTR
Ranking
URSA
ASTR
Recent on Dust2
Ursa
4-13 vs TNC May 22
5-13 vs PsychoFace May 21
13-10 vs Lazer Cats May 18
13-9 vs GenOne May 9
ASTRAL
8-13 vs Eternal Fire May 21
12-16 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects May 19
13-11 vs CYBERSHOKE May 6
8-13 vs Bebop May 2
13-7 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 2
Inferno
URSA 13 4 ASTR
88%
12%
Win prob OT 0%
Key factors
After First Kill
URSA
ASTR
Ranking
URSA
ASTR
Map Firepower
URSA
ASTR
Map ADR
URSA
ASTR
After First Death
URSA
ASTR
Recent on Inferno
Ursa
13-9 vs ALGO May 19
10-13 vs Lazer Cats May 18
7-13 vs GenOne May 9
ASTRAL
13-8 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects May 19
11-13 vs AM May 5
9-13 vs Bebop May 2
5-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 2
2-13 vs Gentle Mates Apr 29
Mirage
URSA 13 9 ASTR
64%
36%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
URSA
ASTR
After First Kill
URSA
ASTR
Map Win Rate
URSA
ASTR
Ranking
URSA
ASTR
CT 4v5
URSA
ASTR
Recent on Mirage
Ursa
2-13 vs Oramond May 20
10-13 vs Lazer Cats May 18
ASTRAL
11-13 vs Project 91 May 20
7-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects May 19
13-4 vs ex-RUBY May 18
8-13 vs CYBERSHOKE May 6
13-7 vs MANA Apr 30
Recent Results last 11 matches
Ursa
ASTRAL
L 0-2 vs PsychoFace Dust2Overpass May 21 6d ago
L 0-2 vs Oramond MirageAnubis May 20 7d ago
W 2-1 vs ALGO AnubisInfernoNuke May 19 8d ago
L 1-2 vs Lazer Cats InfernoDust2Mirage May 18 9d ago
L 1-2 vs GenOne NukeDust2Inferno May 9 18d ago
L 0-2 vs Eternal Fire NukeDust2 May 21 6d ago
W 2-1 vs Project 91 AncientMirageAnubis May 20 7d ago
L 1-2 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects Dust2InfernoMirage May 19 8d ago
W 2-0 vs ex-RUBY AncientMirage May 18 9d ago
L 1-2 vs CYBERSHOKE MirageDust2Ancient May 6 21d ago
L 0-2 vs AM AncientInferno May 5 22d ago
L 0-2 vs Bebop Dust2Inferno May 2 25d ago
L 1-2 vs ex-Zero Tenacity InfernoDust2Nuke May 2 25d ago
W 2-0 vs MANA MirageAncient Apr 30 27d ago
W 2-0 vs Clutchain fe NukeMirage Apr 29 28d ago
L 0-2 vs Gentle Mates AncientInferno Apr 29 28d ago
Player Matchups
Ursa
Ratings
ASTRAL
AL
Alv
AWPADR 78.7KAST 74%
1.18 vs 1.16
SW
swiz
RiflerADR 83.7KAST 73%
KA
karnez
EntryADR 80.9KAST 73%
1.15 vs 1.07
GX
gxx-
AWPADR 75.2KAST 72%
4X
4X1s
RiflerADR 76.8KAST 72%
1.08 vs 1.06
RA
RaY5ive
EntryADR 76.5KAST 72%
SA
Salazar
RiflerADR 66.0KAST 72%
0.97 vs 1.02
NE
Neqy
RiflerADR 77.4KAST 71%
vs 0.98
ME
meowpop
RiflerADR 64.3KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Overpass
URSA 13 4 ASTR
88%
12%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
After First Kill
URSA
ASTR
Map Firepower
URSA
ASTR
After First Death
URSA
ASTR
Ranking
URSA
ASTR
CT 4v5
URSA
ASTR
Recent on Overpass
Ursa
11-13 vs PsychoFace May 21
ASTRAL
no data
Mirage
URSA 13 9 ASTR
64%
36%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
URSA
ASTR
After First Kill
URSA
ASTR
Map Win Rate
URSA
ASTR
Ranking
URSA
ASTR
CT 4v5
URSA
ASTR
Recent on Mirage
Ursa
2-13 vs Oramond May 20
10-13 vs Lazer Cats May 18
ASTRAL
11-13 vs Project 91 May 20
7-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects May 19
13-4 vs ex-RUBY May 18
8-13 vs CYBERSHOKE May 6
13-7 vs MANA Apr 30
Nuke
URSA 10 13 ASTR
40%
60%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
URSA
ASTR
After First Kill
URSA
ASTR
Deaths/Round
URSA
ASTR
T Rating
URSA
ASTR
T Side
URSA
ASTR
Recent on Nuke
Ursa
11-13 vs TNC May 22
13-2 vs ALGO May 19
7-13 vs GenOne May 9
ASTRAL
14-16 vs Eternal Fire May 21
11-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 2
13-4 vs Clutchain fe Apr 29
6-13 vs Ursa Apr 11
7-13 vs Qwentry Apr 9
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