Bo3 · BC Game Masters Europe Season 2 Series 2
· 2026-05-25
ex-RUBY
vs
Ursa
✓
33%
67%
Series win probability
URSA
2–0
38%
URSA
2–1
29%
EX-R
2–1
19%
EX-R
2–0
14%
Actual result
Dust2
19–15
URSA
Nuke
13–11
EX-R
Mirage
22–19
URSA
Model Insights
Ursa has a moderate edge at 67%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.09 vs 1.03), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#107 vs #70), a strong dust2 (68% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
54%
Mirage · Dust2 · Nuke
Scenario 2
24%
Dust2 · Nuke · Overpass
Scenario 3
21%
Dust2 · Nuke · Anubis
Mirage
EX-R
11
–
13
URSA
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-R
URSA
Ranking
EX-R
URSA
After First Death
EX-R
URSA
Pick Rate
EX-R
URSA
T Rating
EX-R
URSA
Recent on Mirage
ex-RUBY
16-19
vs Rune Eaters
May 20
13-11
vs illwill
May 18
4-13
vs ASTRAL
May 18
13-2
vs Nemiga
May 13
7-13
vs Tricked
May 13
Ursa
13-5
vs ASTRAL
May 22
2-13
vs Oramond
May 20
10-13
vs Lazer Cats
May 18
Dust2
EX-R
11
–
13
URSA
32%
68%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-R
URSA
Ranking
EX-R
URSA
T Rating
EX-R
URSA
Map Win Rate
EX-R
URSA
Map ADR
EX-R
URSA
Recent on Dust2
ex-RUBY
13-8
vs Phantom
May 23
11-13
vs GenOne
May 23
13-11
vs Rune Eaters
May 20
13-3
vs illwill
May 18
13-7
vs Johnny Speeds
May 15
Ursa
4-13
vs TNC
May 22
5-13
vs PsychoFace
May 21
13-10
vs Lazer Cats
May 18
13-9
vs GenOne
May 9
Nuke
EX-R
11
–
13
URSA
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-R
URSA
Ranking
EX-R
URSA
Map Win Rate
EX-R
URSA
Map ADR
EX-R
URSA
T Rating
EX-R
URSA
Recent on Nuke
ex-RUBY
13-7
vs GenOne
May 23
13-10
vs Just Players
May 21
13-5
vs HOTU
May 20
13-6
vs GenOne
May 19
22-19
vs INOX Division
May 10
Ursa
13-6
vs aAa
May 25
11-13
vs TNC
May 22
16-14
vs ASTRAL
May 22
13-2
vs ALGO
May 19
7-13
vs GenOne
May 9
Dust2
EX-R
11
–
13
URSA
32%
68%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-R
URSA
Ranking
EX-R
URSA
T Rating
EX-R
URSA
Map Win Rate
EX-R
URSA
Map ADR
EX-R
URSA
Recent on Dust2
ex-RUBY
13-8
vs Phantom
May 23
11-13
vs GenOne
May 23
13-11
vs Rune Eaters
May 20
13-3
vs illwill
May 18
13-7
vs Johnny Speeds
May 15
Ursa
4-13
vs TNC
May 22
5-13
vs PsychoFace
May 21
13-10
vs Lazer Cats
May 18
13-9
vs GenOne
May 9
Nuke
EX-R
11
–
13
URSA
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-R
URSA
Ranking
EX-R
URSA
Map Win Rate
EX-R
URSA
Map ADR
EX-R
URSA
T Rating
EX-R
URSA
Recent on Nuke
ex-RUBY
13-7
vs GenOne
May 23
13-10
vs Just Players
May 21
13-5
vs HOTU
May 20
13-6
vs GenOne
May 19
22-19
vs INOX Division
May 10
Ursa
13-6
vs aAa
May 25
11-13
vs TNC
May 22
16-14
vs ASTRAL
May 22
13-2
vs ALGO
May 19
7-13
vs GenOne
May 9
Overpass
EX-R
16
–
14
URSA
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
EX-R
URSA
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-R
URSA
Overall Rating
EX-R
URSA
T Rating
EX-R
URSA
Map ADR
EX-R
URSA
Recent on Overpass
ex-RUBY
13-10
vs Phantom
May 23
5-13
vs HOTU
May 20
13-7
vs Johnny Speeds
May 15
8-13
vs Nemiga
May 13
8-13
vs Tricked
May 13
Ursa
11-13
vs PsychoFace
May 21
Dust2
EX-R
11
–
13
URSA
32%
68%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-R
URSA
Ranking
EX-R
URSA
T Rating
EX-R
URSA
Map Win Rate
EX-R
URSA
Map ADR
EX-R
URSA
Recent on Dust2
ex-RUBY
13-8
vs Phantom
May 23
11-13
vs GenOne
May 23
13-11
vs Rune Eaters
May 20
13-3
vs illwill
May 18
13-7
vs Johnny Speeds
May 15
Ursa
4-13
vs TNC
May 22
5-13
vs PsychoFace
May 21
13-10
vs Lazer Cats
May 18
13-9
vs GenOne
May 9
Nuke
EX-R
11
–
13
URSA
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-R
URSA
Ranking
EX-R
URSA
Map Win Rate
EX-R
URSA
Map ADR
EX-R
URSA
T Rating
EX-R
URSA
Recent on Nuke
ex-RUBY
13-7
vs GenOne
May 23
13-10
vs Just Players
May 21
13-5
vs HOTU
May 20
13-6
vs GenOne
May 19
22-19
vs INOX Division
May 10
Ursa
13-6
vs aAa
May 25
11-13
vs TNC
May 22
16-14
vs ASTRAL
May 22
13-2
vs ALGO
May 19
7-13
vs GenOne
May 9
Anubis
EX-R
8
–
13
URSA
26%
74%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-R
URSA
Ranking
EX-R
URSA
After First Death
EX-R
URSA
Map Win Rate
EX-R
URSA
T Rating
EX-R
URSA
Recent on Anubis
ex-RUBY
13-6
vs GenOne
May 19
Ursa
6-13
vs Oramond
May 20
11-13
vs ALGO
May 19
Recent Results
last 11 matches
ex-RUBY
Ursa
W
2-0
vs Phantom
Dust2Overpass
May 23
4d ago
W
2-1
vs GenOne
Dust2NukeAncient
May 23
4d ago
W
2-0
vs Just Players
AncientNuke
May 21
6d ago
L
1-2
vs HOTU
NukeAncientOverpass
May 20
7d ago
W
2-1
vs Rune Eaters
Dust2MirageAncient
May 20
7d ago
W
2-0
vs GenOne
NukeAnubis
May 19
8d ago
W
2-0
vs illwill
MirageDust2
May 18
9d ago
L
0-2
vs ASTRAL
AncientMirage
May 18
9d ago
W
2-0
vs Johnny Speeds
Dust2Overpass
May 15
12d ago
L
1-2
vs Nemiga
OverpassMirageAncient
May 13
14d ago
L
0-2
vs Tricked
MirageOverpass
May 13
14d ago
L
0-2
vs TNC
Dust2Nuke
May 22
5d ago
W
2-1
vs ASTRAL
MirageInfernoNuke
May 22
5d ago
L
0-2
vs PsychoFace
Dust2Overpass
May 21
6d ago
L
0-2
vs Oramond
MirageAnubis
May 20
7d ago
W
2-1
vs ALGO
AnubisInfernoNuke
May 19
8d ago
L
1-2
vs Lazer Cats
InfernoDust2Mirage
May 18
9d ago
L
1-2
vs GenOne
NukeDust2Inferno
May 9
18d ago
Player Matchups
ex-RUBY
Ratings
Ursa
YU
YumsaN
AWPADR 73.6KAST 72%
AL
Alv
AWPADR 78.9KAST 74%
SH
sh1nejezzz
EntryADR 68.8KAST 74%
KA
karnez
EntryADR 81.3KAST 73%
H4
H4SAN4TOR
RiflerADR 76.0KAST 73%
4X
4X1s
RiflerADR 76.6KAST 72%
RO
robo
RiflerADR 70.7KAST 72%
SA
Salazar
RiflerADR 65.7KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps
2 maps
Anubis
EX-R
8
–
13
URSA
26%
74%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-R
URSA
Ranking
EX-R
URSA
After First Death
EX-R
URSA
Map Win Rate
EX-R
URSA
T Rating
EX-R
URSA
Recent on Anubis
ex-RUBY
13-6
vs GenOne
May 19
Ursa
6-13
vs Oramond
May 20
11-13
vs ALGO
May 19
Overpass
EX-R
16
–
14
URSA
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
EX-R
URSA
Opponent-Rating Diff
EX-R
URSA
Overall Rating
EX-R
URSA
T Rating
EX-R
URSA
Map ADR
EX-R
URSA
Recent on Overpass
ex-RUBY
13-10
vs Phantom
May 23
5-13
vs HOTU
May 20
13-7
vs Johnny Speeds
May 15
8-13
vs Nemiga
May 13
8-13
vs Tricked
May 13
Ursa
11-13
vs PsychoFace
May 21
More from BC Game Masters Europe Season 2 Series 2
2 matches