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Bo3  ·  CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · 2026-05-25
Ursa
vs
aAa
80%
20%
Series win probability
URSA 2–1 41%
URSA 2–0 39%
AAA 2–0 11%
AAA 2–1 9%
Actual result
Nuke 13–6 URSA
Inferno 13–5 URSA
Model Insights
Ursa is strongly favored at 80%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.09 vs 0.97), a significant ranking advantage (#108 vs #151), a strong inferno (82% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 52% Dust2 · Nuke · Inferno
Scenario 2 35% Nuke · Inferno · Anubis
Scenario 3 13% Nuke · Inferno · Overpass
Dust2
URSA 13 8 AAA
78%
22%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
URSA
AAA
Map ADR
URSA
AAA
Overall Rating
URSA
AAA
After First Kill
URSA
AAA
T Rating
URSA
AAA
Recent on Dust2
Ursa
4-13 vs TNC May 22
5-13 vs PsychoFace May 21
13-10 vs Lazer Cats May 18
13-9 vs GenOne May 9
aAa
8-13 vs G2 Ares May 12
11-13 vs GenOne May 4
10-13 vs Phantom May 3
13-9 vs HYPERSPIRIT May 3
13-4 vs Phantom Apr 28
Nuke
URSA 16 14 AAA
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
URSA
AAA
Ranking
URSA
AAA
After First Kill
URSA
AAA
Map ADR
URSA
AAA
Opening Kills
URSA
AAA
Recent on Nuke
Ursa
11-13 vs TNC May 22
16-14 vs ASTRAL May 22
13-2 vs ALGO May 19
7-13 vs GenOne May 9
aAa
5-13 vs AaB May 4
10-13 vs Phantom Apr 28
4-13 vs Lavked Apr 28
5-13 vs Rebels Apr 27
13-7 vs Misa Apr 25
Inferno
URSA 13 7 AAA
82%
18%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
Ranking
URSA
AAA
After First Death
URSA
AAA
Map ADR
URSA
AAA
Player ADR
URSA
AAA
Opening Kills
URSA
AAA
Recent on Inferno
Ursa
11-13 vs ASTRAL May 22
13-9 vs ALGO May 19
10-13 vs Lazer Cats May 18
7-13 vs GenOne May 9
aAa
8-13 vs Rune Eaters May 13
9-13 vs Rebels Apr 27
Nuke
URSA 16 14 AAA
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
URSA
AAA
Ranking
URSA
AAA
After First Kill
URSA
AAA
Map ADR
URSA
AAA
Opening Kills
URSA
AAA
Recent on Nuke
Ursa
11-13 vs TNC May 22
16-14 vs ASTRAL May 22
13-2 vs ALGO May 19
7-13 vs GenOne May 9
aAa
5-13 vs AaB May 4
10-13 vs Phantom Apr 28
4-13 vs Lavked Apr 28
5-13 vs Rebels Apr 27
13-7 vs Misa Apr 25
Inferno
URSA 13 7 AAA
82%
18%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
Ranking
URSA
AAA
After First Death
URSA
AAA
Map ADR
URSA
AAA
Player ADR
URSA
AAA
Opening Kills
URSA
AAA
Recent on Inferno
Ursa
11-13 vs ASTRAL May 22
13-9 vs ALGO May 19
10-13 vs Lazer Cats May 18
7-13 vs GenOne May 9
aAa
8-13 vs Rune Eaters May 13
9-13 vs Rebels Apr 27
Anubis
URSA 13 8 AAA
78%
22%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
URSA
AAA
Map Win Rate
URSA
AAA
Overall Rating
URSA
AAA
Map ADR
URSA
AAA
T Rating
URSA
AAA
Recent on Anubis
Ursa
6-13 vs Oramond May 20
11-13 vs ALGO May 19
aAa
13-3 vs HYPERSPIRIT May 3
10-13 vs Misa Apr 25
16-12 vs Julie&Cie Apr 5
Nuke
URSA 16 14 AAA
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
URSA
AAA
Ranking
URSA
AAA
After First Kill
URSA
AAA
Map ADR
URSA
AAA
Opening Kills
URSA
AAA
Recent on Nuke
Ursa
11-13 vs TNC May 22
16-14 vs ASTRAL May 22
13-2 vs ALGO May 19
7-13 vs GenOne May 9
aAa
5-13 vs AaB May 4
10-13 vs Phantom Apr 28
4-13 vs Lavked Apr 28
5-13 vs Rebels Apr 27
13-7 vs Misa Apr 25
Inferno
URSA 13 7 AAA
82%
18%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
Ranking
URSA
AAA
After First Death
URSA
AAA
Map ADR
URSA
AAA
Player ADR
URSA
AAA
Opening Kills
URSA
AAA
Recent on Inferno
Ursa
11-13 vs ASTRAL May 22
13-9 vs ALGO May 19
10-13 vs Lazer Cats May 18
7-13 vs GenOne May 9
aAa
8-13 vs Rune Eaters May 13
9-13 vs Rebels Apr 27
Overpass
URSA 13 9 AAA
63%
37%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Win Rate
URSA
AAA
Ranking
URSA
AAA
After First Death
URSA
AAA
Player ADR
URSA
AAA
Map ADR
URSA
AAA
Recent on Overpass
Ursa
11-13 vs PsychoFace May 21
aAa
16-19 vs G2 Ares May 12
7-13 vs AaB May 4
Recent Results last 11 matches
Ursa
aAa
L 0-2 vs TNC Dust2Nuke May 22 5d ago
W 2-1 vs ASTRAL MirageInfernoNuke May 22 5d ago
L 0-2 vs PsychoFace Dust2Overpass May 21 6d ago
L 0-2 vs Oramond MirageAnubis May 20 7d ago
W 2-1 vs ALGO AnubisInfernoNuke May 19 8d ago
L 1-2 vs Lazer Cats InfernoDust2Mirage May 18 9d ago
L 1-2 vs GenOne NukeDust2Inferno May 9 18d ago
L 0-2 vs Rune Eaters InfernoAncient May 13 14d ago
L 0-2 vs G2 Ares OverpassDust2 May 12 15d ago
L 0-2 vs GenOne Dust2Ancient May 4 23d ago
L 0-2 vs AaB NukeOverpass May 4 23d ago
L 0-2 vs Phantom Dust2Ancient May 3 24d ago
W 2-0 vs HYPERSPIRIT Dust2Anubis May 3 24d ago
L 1-2 vs Phantom Dust2AncientNuke Apr 28 29d ago
L 0-2 vs Lavked Dust2Nuke Apr 28 29d ago
L 0-2 vs Rebels NukeInferno Apr 27 30d ago
W 2-1 vs Misa AnubisNukeDust2 Apr 25 32d ago
W 2-1 vs Just Players AncientDust2Nuke Apr 23 34d ago
Player Matchups
Ursa
Ratings
aAa
AL
Alv
AWPADR 78.8KAST 74%
1.18 vs 1.09
TA
Tarkky
EntryADR 80.1KAST 71%
KA
karnez
EntryADR 81.2KAST 73%
1.15 vs 1.02
SL
SLIE9000
RiflerADR 68.5KAST 70%
4X
4X1s
RiflerADR 76.7KAST 72%
1.08 vs 0.95
RA
Rain
AWPADR 65.4KAST 68%
SA
Salazar
RiflerADR 65.8KAST 72%
0.97 vs 0.93
SA
Saax
RiflerADR 68.3KAST 66%
vs 0.79
AS
AsI0K
RiflerADR 57.1KAST 65%
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Mirage
URSA 13 11 AAA
100%
0%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ban Rate
URSA
AAA
Ranking
URSA
AAA
Map ADR
URSA
AAA
After First Death
URSA
AAA
After First Kill
URSA
AAA
Recent on Mirage
Ursa
13-5 vs ASTRAL May 22
2-13 vs Oramond May 20
10-13 vs Lazer Cats May 18
aAa
no data
Anubis
URSA 13 8 AAA
78%
22%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
URSA
AAA
Map Win Rate
URSA
AAA
Overall Rating
URSA
AAA
Map ADR
URSA
AAA
T Rating
URSA
AAA
Recent on Anubis
Ursa
6-13 vs Oramond May 20
11-13 vs ALGO May 19
aAa
13-3 vs HYPERSPIRIT May 3
10-13 vs Misa Apr 25
16-12 vs Julie&Cie Apr 5
Overpass
URSA 13 9 AAA
63%
37%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Win Rate
URSA
AAA
Ranking
URSA
AAA
After First Death
URSA
AAA
Player ADR
URSA
AAA
Map ADR
URSA
AAA
Recent on Overpass
Ursa
11-13 vs PsychoFace May 21
aAa
16-19 vs G2 Ares May 12
7-13 vs AaB May 4
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