· CCT 2026 Europe Series 3
· 2026-05-30
Ursa
vs
TNC
57%
43%
Series win probability
URSA
2–1
34%
URSA
2–0
23%
TNC
2–1
23%
TNC
2–0
21%
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Ursa is slightly favored at 57% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.09 vs 1.03), a significant ranking advantage (#103 vs #126), a strong dust2 (69% win probability). TNC's best shot is nuke where they hold a 67% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
47%
Dust2 · Nuke · Mirage
Scenario 2
35%
Dust2 · Nuke · Anubis
Scenario 3
18%
Dust2 · Nuke · Overpass
Dust2
URSA
13
–
7
TNC
69%
31%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
URSA
TNC
T Rating
URSA
TNC
Map ADR
URSA
TNC
Map Win Rate
URSA
TNC
5v4 Rounds
URSA
TNC
Recent on Dust2
Ursa
11-13
vs FOKUS
May 28
19-15
vs ex-RUBY
May 25
4-13
vs TNC
May 22
5-13
vs PsychoFace
May 21
13-10
vs Lazer Cats
May 18
TNC
6-13
vs TDK
May 29
4-13
vs Phantom
May 28
13-10
vs Young Ninjas
May 28
7-13
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
May 27
13-9
vs Young Ninjas
May 27
Nuke
URSA
9
–
13
TNC
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
URSA
TNC
T 4v5
URSA
TNC
Opening Duels
URSA
TNC
Overall Rating
URSA
TNC
T Rating
URSA
TNC
Recent on Nuke
Ursa
11-13
vs ex-RUBY
May 25
13-6
vs aAa
May 25
11-13
vs TNC
May 22
16-14
vs ASTRAL
May 22
13-2
vs ALGO
May 19
TNC
13-11
vs Phantom
May 28
13-2
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
May 27
10-13
vs Young Ninjas
May 27
10-13
vs Lazer Cats
May 26
17-19
vs Misa
May 25
Mirage
URSA
13
–
10
TNC
60%
40%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opening Duels
URSA
TNC
Overall Rating
URSA
TNC
CT 4v5
URSA
TNC
T Rating
URSA
TNC
Ranking
URSA
TNC
Recent on Mirage
Ursa
22-19
vs ex-RUBY
May 25
13-5
vs ASTRAL
May 22
2-13
vs Oramond
May 20
10-13
vs Lazer Cats
May 18
13-16
vs Oxuji
May 7
TNC
13-2
vs Phantom
May 28
13-7
vs Honvéd
May 28
13-11
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
May 27
13-5
vs HEROIC Academy
May 26
13-8
vs Lazer Cats
May 26
Dust2
URSA
13
–
7
TNC
69%
31%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
URSA
TNC
T Rating
URSA
TNC
Map ADR
URSA
TNC
Map Win Rate
URSA
TNC
5v4 Rounds
URSA
TNC
Recent on Dust2
Ursa
11-13
vs FOKUS
May 28
19-15
vs ex-RUBY
May 25
4-13
vs TNC
May 22
5-13
vs PsychoFace
May 21
13-10
vs Lazer Cats
May 18
TNC
6-13
vs TDK
May 29
4-13
vs Phantom
May 28
13-10
vs Young Ninjas
May 28
7-13
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
May 27
13-9
vs Young Ninjas
May 27
Nuke
URSA
9
–
13
TNC
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
URSA
TNC
T 4v5
URSA
TNC
Opening Duels
URSA
TNC
Overall Rating
URSA
TNC
T Rating
URSA
TNC
Recent on Nuke
Ursa
11-13
vs ex-RUBY
May 25
13-6
vs aAa
May 25
11-13
vs TNC
May 22
16-14
vs ASTRAL
May 22
13-2
vs ALGO
May 19
TNC
13-11
vs Phantom
May 28
13-2
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
May 27
10-13
vs Young Ninjas
May 27
10-13
vs Lazer Cats
May 26
17-19
vs Misa
May 25
Anubis
URSA
16
–
14
TNC
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
URSA
TNC
After First Death
URSA
TNC
Map Win Rate
URSA
TNC
CT 4v5
URSA
TNC
Opening Duels
URSA
TNC
Recent on Anubis
Ursa
6-13
vs Oramond
May 20
11-13
vs ALGO
May 19
13-10
vs HYPERSPIRIT
May 4
13-9
vs BetBoom
Apr 24
9-13
vs big
Apr 9
TNC
16-12
vs Young Ninjas
May 27
13-9
vs HEROIC Academy
May 26
13-8
vs Misa
May 25
17-19
vs Betclic
May 13
13-11
vs FAVBET
May 8
Dust2
URSA
13
–
7
TNC
69%
31%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
URSA
TNC
T Rating
URSA
TNC
Map ADR
URSA
TNC
Map Win Rate
URSA
TNC
5v4 Rounds
URSA
TNC
Recent on Dust2
Ursa
11-13
vs FOKUS
May 28
19-15
vs ex-RUBY
May 25
4-13
vs TNC
May 22
5-13
vs PsychoFace
May 21
13-10
vs Lazer Cats
May 18
TNC
6-13
vs TDK
May 29
4-13
vs Phantom
May 28
13-10
vs Young Ninjas
May 28
7-13
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
May 27
13-9
vs Young Ninjas
May 27
Nuke
URSA
9
–
13
TNC
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
URSA
TNC
T 4v5
URSA
TNC
Opening Duels
URSA
TNC
Overall Rating
URSA
TNC
T Rating
URSA
TNC
Recent on Nuke
Ursa
11-13
vs ex-RUBY
May 25
13-6
vs aAa
May 25
11-13
vs TNC
May 22
16-14
vs ASTRAL
May 22
13-2
vs ALGO
May 19
TNC
13-11
vs Phantom
May 28
13-2
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
May 27
10-13
vs Young Ninjas
May 27
10-13
vs Lazer Cats
May 26
17-19
vs Misa
May 25
Overpass
URSA
13
–
9
TNC
67%
33%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
URSA
TNC
Map ADR
URSA
TNC
Overall Rating
URSA
TNC
After First Kill
URSA
TNC
Opening Duels
URSA
TNC
Recent on Overpass
Ursa
13-16
vs FOKUS
May 28
11-13
vs PsychoFace
May 21
2-13
vs PsychoFace
May 2
8-13
vs BRUTE
Apr 27
19-16
vs GenOne
Apr 22
TNC
13-11
vs Misa
May 25
2-13
vs AM
May 24
10-13
vs PsychoFace
May 20
8-13
vs Phantom
May 19
9-13
vs FAVBET
May 8
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Ursa
TNC
L
0-2
vs FOKUS
OverpassDust2
May 28
2d ago
W
2-1
vs ex-RUBY
Dust2NukeMirage
May 25
5d ago
W
2-0
vs aAa
NukeInferno
May 25
5d ago
L
0-2
vs TNC
Dust2Nuke
May 22
8d ago
W
2-1
vs ASTRAL
MirageInfernoNuke
May 22
8d ago
L
0-2
vs PsychoFace
Dust2Overpass
May 21
9d ago
L
0-2
vs Oramond
MirageAnubis
May 20
10d ago
W
2-1
vs ALGO
AnubisInfernoNuke
May 19
11d ago
L
1-2
vs Lazer Cats
InfernoDust2Mirage
May 18
12d ago
L
1-2
vs GenOne
NukeDust2Inferno
May 9
21d ago
L
1-2
vs Oxuji
NukeDust2Mirage
May 7
23d ago
L
0-2
vs TDK
Dust2Ancient
May 29
1d ago
W
2-1
vs Phantom
Dust2MirageNuke
May 28
2d ago
W
2-0
vs Honvéd
MirageAncient
May 28
2d ago
W
2-0
vs Young Ninjas
AncientDust2
May 28
2d ago
W
2-1
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
MirageDust2Nuke
May 27
3d ago
W
2-1
vs Young Ninjas
NukeDust2Anubis
May 27
3d ago
W
2-0
vs HEROIC Academy
AnubisMirage
May 26
4d ago
W
2-1
vs Lazer Cats
AncientNukeMirage
May 26
4d ago
W
2-1
vs Misa
OverpassNukeAnubis
May 25
5d ago
L
1-2
vs AM
OverpassNukeMirage
May 24
6d ago
W
2-0
vs Ursa
Dust2Nuke
May 22
8d ago
Player Matchups
Ursa
Ratings
TNC
AL
Alv
AWPADR 79.0KAST 74%
TO
tomiko
EntryADR 81.1KAST 73%
KA
karnez
EntryADR 81.2KAST 73%
MA
maaryy
RiflerADR 73.0KAST 72%
4X
4X1s
RiflerADR 76.4KAST 72%
AD
AdrieN
AWPADR 74.6KAST 69%
SA
Salazar
RiflerADR 65.6KAST 72%
YV
yvro
RiflerADR 72.2KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Inferno
URSA
13
–
6
TNC
86%
14%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Ban Rate
URSA
TNC
After First Death
URSA
TNC
After First Kill
URSA
TNC
Flash Assists
URSA
TNC
Map ADR
URSA
TNC
Recent on Inferno
Ursa
13-5
vs aAa
May 25
11-13
vs ASTRAL
May 22
13-9
vs ALGO
May 19
10-13
vs Lazer Cats
May 18
7-13
vs GenOne
May 9
TNC
no data
Overpass
URSA
13
–
9
TNC
67%
33%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
URSA
TNC
Map ADR
URSA
TNC
Overall Rating
URSA
TNC
After First Kill
URSA
TNC
Opening Duels
URSA
TNC
Recent on Overpass
Ursa
13-16
vs FOKUS
May 28
11-13
vs PsychoFace
May 21
2-13
vs PsychoFace
May 2
8-13
vs BRUTE
Apr 27
19-16
vs GenOne
Apr 22
TNC
13-11
vs Misa
May 25
2-13
vs AM
May 24
10-13
vs PsychoFace
May 20
8-13
vs Phantom
May 19
9-13
vs FAVBET
May 8
Ancient
URSA
10
–
13
TNC
37%
63%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ban Rate
URSA
TNC
After First Kill
URSA
TNC
Overall Rating
URSA
TNC
Side Balance
URSA
TNC
Pick Rate
URSA
TNC
Recent on Ancient
Ursa
11-13
vs ASTRAL
Mar 17
TNC
7-13
vs TDK
May 29
19-15
vs Honvéd
May 28
13-8
vs Young Ninjas
May 28
13-1
vs Lazer Cats
May 26
9-13
vs Lavked
May 14
Anubis
URSA
16
–
14
TNC
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
URSA
TNC
After First Death
URSA
TNC
Map Win Rate
URSA
TNC
CT 4v5
URSA
TNC
Opening Duels
URSA
TNC
Recent on Anubis
Ursa
6-13
vs Oramond
May 20
11-13
vs ALGO
May 19
13-10
vs HYPERSPIRIT
May 4
13-9
vs BetBoom
Apr 24
9-13
vs big
Apr 9
TNC
16-12
vs Young Ninjas
May 27
13-9
vs HEROIC Academy
May 26
13-8
vs Misa
May 25
17-19
vs Betclic
May 13
13-11
vs FAVBET
May 8
More from CCT 2026 Europe Series 3
3 matches