Bo3 · XP Game Fest 2026 Finals
· 2026-05-23
Atreides
vs
ENCE
✗
48%
52%
Series win probability
ENCE
2–0
30%
ENCE
2–1
28%
ATRE
2–1
22%
ATRE
2–0
20%
Actual result
Inferno
13–5
ATRE
Overpass
13–4
ATRE
Model Insights
ENCE has a moderate edge at 59%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.19 vs 1.07), a significant ranking advantage (#130 vs #166), a strong nuke (61% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
34%
Mirage · Nuke · Overpass
Scenario 2
33%
Mirage · Nuke · Ancient
Scenario 3
33%
Mirage · Nuke · Inferno
Mirage
ATRE
14
–
16
ENCE
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
ATRE
ENCE
Trade Score N75 Diff
ATRE
ENCE
Rest Days Diff
ATRE
ENCE
Schedule Strength
ATRE
ENCE
Round Win Rate
ATRE
ENCE
Recent on Mirage
Atreides
13-9
vs BRUTE
May 10
13-4
vs NEW VISION
May 9
13-7
vs The Last Resort
May 8
16-13
vs BRUTE
May 4
13-3
vs BRUTE
Apr 23
ENCE
13-9
vs Lilmix
Apr 26
13-9
vs Lilmix
Apr 23
13-6
vs CSDIILIT
Apr 12
13-0
vs CSDIILIT
Apr 11
13-6
vs KUUSAMO
Apr 10
Nuke
ATRE
9
–
13
ENCE
39%
61%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
ATRE
ENCE
Ranking
ATRE
ENCE
Trade Score N75 Diff
ATRE
ENCE
Map Win Rate
ATRE
ENCE
Rest Days Diff
ATRE
ENCE
Recent on Nuke
Atreides
13-4
vs yngods
Apr 24
13-7
vs MANA
Apr 24
19-16
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Apr 22
11-13
vs rustec
Apr 20
13-1
vs Clutchain fe
Apr 18
ENCE
13-5
vs CSDIILIT
Apr 12
13-10
vs CSDIILIT
Apr 11
11-13
vs eLITenergy
Apr 6
13-6
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 4
13-11
vs QUAZAR
Apr 1
Overpass
ATRE
10
–
13
ENCE
43%
57%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
ATRE
ENCE
After First Death
ATRE
ENCE
Trade Score N75 Diff
ATRE
ENCE
After First Kill
ATRE
ENCE
Rest Days Diff
ATRE
ENCE
Recent on Overpass
Atreides
6-13
vs BRUTE
May 10
13-10
vs The Last Resort
May 8
16-14
vs Lilmix
May 6
7-13
vs BRUTE
May 4
13-16
vs BRUTE
Apr 23
ENCE
11-13
vs JiJieHao
Apr 24
13-4
vs Lilmix
Apr 23
10-13
vs STATE
Apr 6
0-13
vs eLITenergy
Apr 6
3-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Apr 5
Mirage
ATRE
14
–
16
ENCE
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
ATRE
ENCE
Trade Score N75 Diff
ATRE
ENCE
Rest Days Diff
ATRE
ENCE
Schedule Strength
ATRE
ENCE
Round Win Rate
ATRE
ENCE
Recent on Mirage
Atreides
13-9
vs BRUTE
May 10
13-4
vs NEW VISION
May 9
13-7
vs The Last Resort
May 8
16-13
vs BRUTE
May 4
13-3
vs BRUTE
Apr 23
ENCE
13-9
vs Lilmix
Apr 26
13-9
vs Lilmix
Apr 23
13-6
vs CSDIILIT
Apr 12
13-0
vs CSDIILIT
Apr 11
13-6
vs KUUSAMO
Apr 10
Nuke
ATRE
9
–
13
ENCE
39%
61%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
ATRE
ENCE
Ranking
ATRE
ENCE
Trade Score N75 Diff
ATRE
ENCE
Map Win Rate
ATRE
ENCE
Rest Days Diff
ATRE
ENCE
Recent on Nuke
Atreides
13-4
vs yngods
Apr 24
13-7
vs MANA
Apr 24
19-16
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Apr 22
11-13
vs rustec
Apr 20
13-1
vs Clutchain fe
Apr 18
ENCE
13-5
vs CSDIILIT
Apr 12
13-10
vs CSDIILIT
Apr 11
11-13
vs eLITenergy
Apr 6
13-6
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 4
13-11
vs QUAZAR
Apr 1
Ancient
ATRE
11
–
13
ENCE
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
ATRE
ENCE
After First Kill
ATRE
ENCE
After First Death
ATRE
ENCE
Trade Score N75 Diff
ATRE
ENCE
Rest Days Diff
ATRE
ENCE
Recent on Ancient
Atreides
6-13
vs DONSTU
May 15
13-5
vs NEW VISION
May 9
13-6
vs Lilmix
May 6
13-6
vs Phantom
Apr 23
13-7
vs vp.prodigy
Apr 22
ENCE
13-9
vs KUUSAMO
Apr 10
8-13
vs STATE
Apr 6
13-5
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 4
13-11
vs UNiTY
Apr 3
5-13
vs Lilmix
Mar 12
Mirage
ATRE
14
–
16
ENCE
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
ATRE
ENCE
Trade Score N75 Diff
ATRE
ENCE
Rest Days Diff
ATRE
ENCE
Schedule Strength
ATRE
ENCE
Round Win Rate
ATRE
ENCE
Recent on Mirage
Atreides
13-9
vs BRUTE
May 10
13-4
vs NEW VISION
May 9
13-7
vs The Last Resort
May 8
16-13
vs BRUTE
May 4
13-3
vs BRUTE
Apr 23
ENCE
13-9
vs Lilmix
Apr 26
13-9
vs Lilmix
Apr 23
13-6
vs CSDIILIT
Apr 12
13-0
vs CSDIILIT
Apr 11
13-6
vs KUUSAMO
Apr 10
Nuke
ATRE
9
–
13
ENCE
39%
61%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
ATRE
ENCE
Ranking
ATRE
ENCE
Trade Score N75 Diff
ATRE
ENCE
Map Win Rate
ATRE
ENCE
Rest Days Diff
ATRE
ENCE
Recent on Nuke
Atreides
13-4
vs yngods
Apr 24
13-7
vs MANA
Apr 24
19-16
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Apr 22
11-13
vs rustec
Apr 20
13-1
vs Clutchain fe
Apr 18
ENCE
13-5
vs CSDIILIT
Apr 12
13-10
vs CSDIILIT
Apr 11
11-13
vs eLITenergy
Apr 6
13-6
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 4
13-11
vs QUAZAR
Apr 1
Inferno
ATRE
11
–
13
ENCE
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
ATRE
ENCE
After First Kill
ATRE
ENCE
Trade Score N75 Diff
ATRE
ENCE
Map Win Rate
ATRE
ENCE
Round Win Rate
ATRE
ENCE
Recent on Inferno
Atreides
13-11
vs DONSTU
May 15
14-16
vs BRUTE
May 10
7-13
vs BRUTE
Apr 23
8-13
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Apr 22
13-5
vs rustec
Apr 20
ENCE
4-13
vs rottweilers
Mar 28
13-16
vs Ursa
Mar 9
8-13
vs Eternal Fire
Feb 27
13-8
vs CSDIILIT
Feb 15
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Atreides
ENCE
L
1-2
vs DONSTU
Dust2InfernoAncient
May 15
12d ago
L
1-2
vs BRUTE
OverpassMirageInferno
May 10
17d ago
W
2-0
vs NEW VISION
AncientMirage
May 9
18d ago
W
2-0
vs The Last Resort
MirageOverpass
May 8
19d ago
W
2-0
vs Lilmix
AncientOverpass
May 6
21d ago
L
1-2
vs BRUTE
OverpassMirageDust2
May 4
23d ago
W
2-0
vs yngods
Dust2Nuke
Apr 24
33d ago
W
2-0
vs MANA
NukeDust2
Apr 24
33d ago
L
1-2
vs BRUTE
MirageOverpassInferno
Apr 23
34d ago
L
1-2
vs Phantom
MirageAncientDust2
Apr 23
34d ago
W
2-0
vs Famalicão
Dust2Mirage
Apr 23
34d ago
W
2-0
vs Lilmix
Dust2Mirage
Apr 26
31d ago
L
0-2
vs JiJieHao
OverpassDust2
Apr 24
33d ago
W
2-0
vs Lilmix
OverpassMirage
Apr 23
34d ago
W
2-0
vs CSDIILIT
NukeMirage
Apr 12
45d ago
W
2-0
vs CSDIILIT
NukeMirage
Apr 11
46d ago
W
2-0
vs KUUSAMO
AncientMirage
Apr 10
47d ago
L
1-2
vs STATE
OverpassMirageAncient
Apr 6
51d ago
L
0-2
vs eLITenergy
OverpassNuke
Apr 6
51d ago
L
0-2
vs Johnny Speeds
MirageOverpass
Apr 5
52d ago
W
2-0
vs Rune Eaters
NukeAncient
Apr 4
53d ago
W
2-0
vs UNiTY
MirageAncient
Apr 3
54d ago
Player Matchups
Atreides
Ratings
ENCE
DE
DEPRESHN
AWPADR 73.1KAST 74%
TE
teme
EntryADR 76.3KAST 76%
SM
smekk
RiflerADR 73.0KAST 75%
HE
HENU
RiflerADR 81.7KAST 73%
GO
Goody
EntryADR 81.8KAST 73%
SC
Schwarz
RiflerADR 77.2KAST 73%
DA
dan1
RiflerADR 67.0KAST 71%
MI
millert
AWPADR 68.7KAST 73%
CH
Chill
RiflerADR 74.7KAST 68%
CL
Cliqq
RiflerADR 67.1KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Anubis
ATRE
5
–
13
ENCE
15%
85%
Win prob
OT 1%
Key factors
Ban Rate
ATRE
ENCE
After First Kill
ATRE
ENCE
Ranking
ATRE
ENCE
Trade Score N75 Diff
ATRE
ENCE
Map Firepower
ATRE
ENCE
Recent on Anubis
Atreides
no data
ENCE
10-13
vs Sashi
Mar 4
16-13
vs ww
Mar 1
9-13
vs CYBERSHOKE
Feb 26
13-8
vs 100 Thieves
Feb 25
13-7
vs Tricked
Feb 13
Ancient
ATRE
11
–
13
ENCE
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
ATRE
ENCE
After First Kill
ATRE
ENCE
After First Death
ATRE
ENCE
Trade Score N75 Diff
ATRE
ENCE
Rest Days Diff
ATRE
ENCE
Recent on Ancient
Atreides
6-13
vs DONSTU
May 15
13-5
vs NEW VISION
May 9
13-6
vs Lilmix
May 6
13-6
vs Phantom
Apr 23
13-7
vs vp.prodigy
Apr 22
ENCE
13-9
vs KUUSAMO
Apr 10
8-13
vs STATE
Apr 6
13-5
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 4
13-11
vs UNiTY
Apr 3
5-13
vs Lilmix
Mar 12
Inferno
ATRE
11
–
13
ENCE
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
ATRE
ENCE
After First Kill
ATRE
ENCE
Trade Score N75 Diff
ATRE
ENCE
Map Win Rate
ATRE
ENCE
Round Win Rate
ATRE
ENCE
Recent on Inferno
Atreides
13-11
vs DONSTU
May 15
14-16
vs BRUTE
May 10
7-13
vs BRUTE
Apr 23
8-13
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Apr 22
13-5
vs rustec
Apr 20
ENCE
4-13
vs rottweilers
Mar 28
13-16
vs Ursa
Mar 9
8-13
vs Eternal Fire
Feb 27
13-8
vs CSDIILIT
Feb 15
Dust2
ATRE
14
–
16
ENCE
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
ATRE
ENCE
After First Death
ATRE
ENCE
After First Kill
ATRE
ENCE
Trade Score N75 Diff
ATRE
ENCE
Rest Days Diff
ATRE
ENCE
Recent on Dust2
Atreides
9-13
vs DONSTU
May 15
15-19
vs BRUTE
May 4
13-10
vs yngods
Apr 24
13-4
vs MANA
Apr 24
8-13
vs Phantom
Apr 23
ENCE
13-4
vs Lilmix
Apr 26
5-13
vs JiJieHao
Apr 24
5-13
vs ASTRAL
Mar 29
8-13
vs Bebop
Mar 26
8-13
vs Dziuseppe
Mar 16
More from XP Game Fest 2026 Finals
2 matches