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Bo3  ·  Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 1 · 2026-05-27
TNC
vs
ex-Zero Tenacity
30%
70%
Series win probability
ET 2–0 41%
ET 2–1 29%
TNC 2–1 19%
TNC 2–0 12%
Actual result
Mirage 13–11 TNC
Dust2 13–7 ET
Nuke 13–2 TNC
Model Insights
ex-Zero Tenacity has a moderate edge at 69%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong dust2 (74% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 50% Nuke · Dust2 · Mirage
Scenario 2 32% Nuke · Mirage · Anubis
Scenario 3 17% Nuke · Mirage · Overpass
Nuke
TNC 10 13 ET
45%
55%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
TNC
ET
Map ADR
TNC
ET
vs Top 30
TNC
ET
Round Win Rate
TNC
ET
Schedule Strength
TNC
ET
Recent on Nuke
TNC
10-13 vs Lazer Cats May 26
17-19 vs Misa May 25
13-8 vs AM May 24
13-11 vs Ursa May 22
9-13 vs PsychoFace May 20
ex-Zero Tenacity
13-2 vs Just Players May 26
13-7 vs Leo May 25
13-6 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects May 24
8-13 vs Lavked May 20
13-3 vs Young Ninjas May 16
Dust2
TNC 7 13 ET
26%
74%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
TNC
ET
After First Kill
TNC
ET
After First Death
TNC
ET
Map ADR
TNC
ET
5v4 Rounds
TNC
ET
Recent on Dust2
TNC
13-4 vs Ursa May 22
5-13 vs SPARTA May 13
6-13 vs Oxuji May 11
2-13 vs GenOne Apr 28
13-11 vs Clutchain Apr 24
ex-Zero Tenacity
13-6 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects May 24
13-2 vs Julie&Cie May 23
11-13 vs Subtop De France May 21
19-15 vs Lavked May 20
14-16 vs fnatic May 18
Mirage
TNC 11 13 ET
39%
61%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
TNC
ET
Map ADR
TNC
ET
CT 4v5
TNC
ET
Overall Rating
TNC
ET
Schedule Strength
TNC
ET
Recent on Mirage
TNC
13-5 vs HEROIC Academy May 26
13-8 vs Lazer Cats May 26
9-13 vs AM May 24
11-13 vs Phantom May 19
11-13 vs Lavked May 14
ex-Zero Tenacity
4-13 vs Just Players May 26
9-13 vs ASTRAL May 25
13-11 vs Julie&Cie May 23
7-13 vs Lavked May 20
10-13 vs Just Players May 15
Nuke
TNC 10 13 ET
45%
55%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
TNC
ET
Map ADR
TNC
ET
vs Top 30
TNC
ET
Round Win Rate
TNC
ET
Schedule Strength
TNC
ET
Recent on Nuke
TNC
10-13 vs Lazer Cats May 26
17-19 vs Misa May 25
13-8 vs AM May 24
13-11 vs Ursa May 22
9-13 vs PsychoFace May 20
ex-Zero Tenacity
13-2 vs Just Players May 26
13-7 vs Leo May 25
13-6 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects May 24
8-13 vs Lavked May 20
13-3 vs Young Ninjas May 16
Mirage
TNC 11 13 ET
39%
61%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
TNC
ET
Map ADR
TNC
ET
CT 4v5
TNC
ET
Overall Rating
TNC
ET
Schedule Strength
TNC
ET
Recent on Mirage
TNC
13-5 vs HEROIC Academy May 26
13-8 vs Lazer Cats May 26
9-13 vs AM May 24
11-13 vs Phantom May 19
11-13 vs Lavked May 14
ex-Zero Tenacity
4-13 vs Just Players May 26
9-13 vs ASTRAL May 25
13-11 vs Julie&Cie May 23
7-13 vs Lavked May 20
10-13 vs Just Players May 15
Anubis
TNC 11 13 ET
45%
55%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
TNC
ET
After First Kill
TNC
ET
After First Death
TNC
ET
Map Win Rate
TNC
ET
Map ADR
TNC
ET
Recent on Anubis
TNC
13-9 vs HEROIC Academy May 26
13-8 vs Misa May 25
17-19 vs Betclic May 13
13-11 vs FAVBET May 8
11-13 vs megoshort May 3
ex-Zero Tenacity
14-16 vs Just Players May 26
13-7 vs Leo May 25
13-5 vs ALGO May 23
8-13 vs SAW May 22
13-11 vs Subtop De France May 21
Nuke
TNC 10 13 ET
45%
55%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
TNC
ET
Map ADR
TNC
ET
vs Top 30
TNC
ET
Round Win Rate
TNC
ET
Schedule Strength
TNC
ET
Recent on Nuke
TNC
10-13 vs Lazer Cats May 26
17-19 vs Misa May 25
13-8 vs AM May 24
13-11 vs Ursa May 22
9-13 vs PsychoFace May 20
ex-Zero Tenacity
13-2 vs Just Players May 26
13-7 vs Leo May 25
13-6 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects May 24
8-13 vs Lavked May 20
13-3 vs Young Ninjas May 16
Mirage
TNC 11 13 ET
39%
61%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
TNC
ET
Map ADR
TNC
ET
CT 4v5
TNC
ET
Overall Rating
TNC
ET
Schedule Strength
TNC
ET
Recent on Mirage
TNC
13-5 vs HEROIC Academy May 26
13-8 vs Lazer Cats May 26
9-13 vs AM May 24
11-13 vs Phantom May 19
11-13 vs Lavked May 14
ex-Zero Tenacity
4-13 vs Just Players May 26
9-13 vs ASTRAL May 25
13-11 vs Julie&Cie May 23
7-13 vs Lavked May 20
10-13 vs Just Players May 15
Overpass
TNC 9 13 ET
31%
69%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
TNC
ET
After First Death
TNC
ET
After First Kill
TNC
ET
CT 4v5
TNC
ET
Map ADR
TNC
ET
Recent on Overpass
TNC
13-11 vs Misa May 25
2-13 vs AM May 24
10-13 vs PsychoFace May 20
8-13 vs Phantom May 19
9-13 vs FAVBET May 8
ex-Zero Tenacity
0-13 vs INOX Division May 5
10-13 vs The Last Resort Apr 23
6-13 vs big Apr 5
7-13 vs RUSTEC Apr 2
8-13 vs ReThink Mar 29
Recent Results last 11 matches
TNC
ex-Zero Tenacity
W 2-0 vs HEROIC Academy AnubisMirage May 26 1d ago
W 2-1 vs Lazer Cats AncientNukeMirage May 26 1d ago
W 2-1 vs Misa OverpassNukeAnubis May 25 2d ago
L 1-2 vs AM OverpassNukeMirage May 24 3d ago
W 2-0 vs Ursa Dust2Nuke May 22 5d ago
L 0-2 vs PsychoFace OverpassNuke May 20 7d ago
L 0-2 vs Phantom OverpassMirage May 19 8d ago
L 1-2 vs Lavked AncientNukeMirage May 14 13d ago
W 2-1 vs Betclic MirageAnubisNuke May 13 14d ago
L 0-2 vs SPARTA AncientDust2 May 13 14d ago
L 0-2 vs Oxuji NukeDust2 May 11 16d ago
L 1-2 vs Just Players AnubisNukeMirage May 26 1d ago
L 0-2 vs ASTRAL InfernoMirage May 25 2d ago
W 2-0 vs Leo AnubisNuke May 25 2d ago
W 2-1 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects Dust2InfernoNuke May 24 3d ago
W 2-0 vs ALGO InfernoAnubis May 23 4d ago
W 2-0 vs Julie&Cie Dust2Mirage May 23 4d ago
L 0-2 vs SAW AnubisInferno May 22 5d ago
W 2-1 vs Subtop De France InfernoDust2Anubis May 21 6d ago
L 1-2 vs Lavked Dust2MirageNuke May 20 7d ago
L 1-2 vs fnatic InfernoAnubisDust2 May 18 9d ago
L 1-2 vs GenOne Dust2InfernoAnubis May 17 10d ago
Player Matchups
TNC
Ratings
ex-Zero Tenacity
TO
tomiko
EntryADR 82.3KAST 73%
1.13 vs 1.14
KI
Kind0
EntryADR 81.9KAST 73%
AD
AdrieN
AWPADR 74.7KAST 69%
1.02 vs 1.09
BR
brutmonster
AWPADR 75.6KAST 70%
MA
maaryy
RiflerADR 72.8KAST 72%
1.00 vs 1.08
CJ
Cjoffo
RiflerADR 69.8KAST 72%
YV
yvro
RiflerADR 72.7KAST 70%
0.98 vs 0.94
EM
emi
RiflerADR 67.6KAST 70%
vs 0.91
AV
aVN
RiflerADR 63.7KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Inferno
TNC 3 13 ET
3%
97%
Win prob OT 0%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
TNC
ET
Ban Rate
TNC
ET
After First Kill
TNC
ET
After First Death
TNC
ET
Opening Kills
TNC
ET
Recent on Inferno
TNC
no data
ex-Zero Tenacity
8-13 vs ASTRAL May 25
2-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects May 24
13-8 vs ALGO May 23
17-19 vs SAW May 22
13-4 vs Subtop De France May 21
Ancient
TNC 13 8 ET
73%
27%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
TNC
ET
Ban Rate
TNC
ET
After First Death
TNC
ET
After First Kill
TNC
ET
Map ADR
TNC
ET
Recent on Ancient
TNC
13-1 vs Lazer Cats May 26
9-13 vs Lavked May 14
3-13 vs SPARTA May 13
13-8 vs Lavked May 6
6-13 vs Phantom May 6
ex-Zero Tenacity
no data
Overpass
TNC 9 13 ET
31%
69%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
TNC
ET
After First Death
TNC
ET
After First Kill
TNC
ET
CT 4v5
TNC
ET
Map ADR
TNC
ET
Recent on Overpass
TNC
13-11 vs Misa May 25
2-13 vs AM May 24
10-13 vs PsychoFace May 20
8-13 vs Phantom May 19
9-13 vs FAVBET May 8
ex-Zero Tenacity
0-13 vs INOX Division May 5
10-13 vs The Last Resort Apr 23
6-13 vs big Apr 5
7-13 vs RUSTEC Apr 2
8-13 vs ReThink Mar 29
Anubis
TNC 11 13 ET
45%
55%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
TNC
ET
After First Kill
TNC
ET
After First Death
TNC
ET
Map Win Rate
TNC
ET
Map ADR
TNC
ET
Recent on Anubis
TNC
13-9 vs HEROIC Academy May 26
13-8 vs Misa May 25
17-19 vs Betclic May 13
13-11 vs FAVBET May 8
11-13 vs megoshort May 3
ex-Zero Tenacity
14-16 vs Just Players May 26
13-7 vs Leo May 25
13-5 vs ALGO May 23
8-13 vs SAW May 22
13-11 vs Subtop De France May 21
More from Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 1 3 matches