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Bo3  ·  Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 1 · 2026-05-30
OG
vs
Just Players
49%
51%
Series win probability
OG 2–1 29%
JP 2–0 28%
JP 2–1 24%
OG 2–0 20%
Actual result
Mirage 16–14 OG
Overpass 13–9 OG
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Just Players is slightly favored at 51% but only leads on 1 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.08 vs 1.03), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#117 vs #55), a strong mirage (67% win probability). OG's best shot is overpass where they hold a 58% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 39% Overpass · Mirage · Ancient
Scenario 2 35% Overpass · Mirage · Dust2
Scenario 3 26% Overpass · Mirage · Nuke
Overpass
OG 13 9 JP
58%
42%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
OG
JP
After First Kill
OG
JP
Overall Rating
OG
JP
After First Death
OG
JP
Map ADR
OG
JP
Recent on Overpass
OG
13-6 vs EAC May 29
13-5 vs Inner Circle May 22
13-8 vs Metizport May 21
17-19 vs ALGO Apr 1
6-13 vs SINNERS Mar 29
Just Players
13-11 vs Acend May 28
13-10 vs AM May 23
9-13 vs Lilmix May 21
22-20 vs SPARTA May 18
13-11 vs The Last Resort Apr 26
Mirage
OG 9 13 JP
33%
67%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
OG
JP
Ban Rate
OG
JP
After First Kill
OG
JP
After First Death
OG
JP
Overall Rating
OG
JP
Recent on Mirage
OG
6-13 vs Inner Circle May 22
Just Players
16-13 vs Tricked May 28
13-4 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 26
13-8 vs Lazer Cats May 25
6-13 vs Bushido Wildcats May 23
2-13 vs Rune Eaters May 22
Ancient
OG 13 11 JP
55%
45%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
OG
JP
Overall Rating
OG
JP
After First Death
OG
JP
CT 4v5
OG
JP
vs Top 30
OG
JP
Recent on Ancient
OG
7-13 vs Betclic May 21
10-13 vs ALGO Apr 1
9-13 vs bestia Mar 30
13-9 vs JiJieHao Mar 29
6-13 vs 9INE Mar 24
Just Players
7-13 vs GenOne May 29
13-10 vs Tricked May 28
13-9 vs ALGO May 25
9-13 vs Lazer Cats May 25
13-8 vs AM May 23
Overpass
OG 13 9 JP
58%
42%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
OG
JP
After First Kill
OG
JP
Overall Rating
OG
JP
After First Death
OG
JP
Map ADR
OG
JP
Recent on Overpass
OG
13-6 vs EAC May 29
13-5 vs Inner Circle May 22
13-8 vs Metizport May 21
17-19 vs ALGO Apr 1
6-13 vs SINNERS Mar 29
Just Players
13-11 vs Acend May 28
13-10 vs AM May 23
9-13 vs Lilmix May 21
22-20 vs SPARTA May 18
13-11 vs The Last Resort Apr 26
Mirage
OG 9 13 JP
33%
67%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
OG
JP
Ban Rate
OG
JP
After First Kill
OG
JP
After First Death
OG
JP
Overall Rating
OG
JP
Recent on Mirage
OG
6-13 vs Inner Circle May 22
Just Players
16-13 vs Tricked May 28
13-4 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 26
13-8 vs Lazer Cats May 25
6-13 vs Bushido Wildcats May 23
2-13 vs Rune Eaters May 22
Dust2
OG 13 8 JP
67%
33%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
OG
JP
Overall Rating
OG
JP
After First Kill
OG
JP
Ban Rate
OG
JP
vs Top 30
OG
JP
Recent on Dust2
OG
10-13 vs Inner Circle May 22
10-13 vs Inner Circle Mar 24
13-1 vs INFINITE Talent Mar 24
23-25 vs Liquid Mar 15
10-13 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Mar 15
Just Players
8-13 vs GenOne May 29
13-11 vs Acend May 28
16-12 vs Lazer Cats May 25
11-13 vs Bushido Wildcats May 23
11-13 vs Rune Eaters May 22
Overpass
OG 13 9 JP
58%
42%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
OG
JP
After First Kill
OG
JP
Overall Rating
OG
JP
After First Death
OG
JP
Map ADR
OG
JP
Recent on Overpass
OG
13-6 vs EAC May 29
13-5 vs Inner Circle May 22
13-8 vs Metizport May 21
17-19 vs ALGO Apr 1
6-13 vs SINNERS Mar 29
Just Players
13-11 vs Acend May 28
13-10 vs AM May 23
9-13 vs Lilmix May 21
22-20 vs SPARTA May 18
13-11 vs The Last Resort Apr 26
Mirage
OG 9 13 JP
33%
67%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
OG
JP
Ban Rate
OG
JP
After First Kill
OG
JP
After First Death
OG
JP
Overall Rating
OG
JP
Recent on Mirage
OG
6-13 vs Inner Circle May 22
Just Players
16-13 vs Tricked May 28
13-4 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 26
13-8 vs Lazer Cats May 25
6-13 vs Bushido Wildcats May 23
2-13 vs Rune Eaters May 22
Nuke
OG 13 10 JP
65%
35%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
OG
JP
Overall Rating
OG
JP
After First Kill
OG
JP
After First Death
OG
JP
Map Win Rate
OG
JP
Recent on Nuke
OG
6-13 vs EAC May 29
13-6 vs Rebels May 21
13-9 vs ALGO Apr 1
11-13 vs 9INE Mar 24
3-13 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Mar 15
Just Players
13-16 vs Tricked May 28
2-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 26
10-13 vs ex-RUBY May 21
13-10 vs OlyBet May 17
13-6 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 15
Recent Results last 11 matches
OG
Just Players
W 2-1 vs EAC OverpassNukeInferno May 29 1d ago
L 1-2 vs Inner Circle OverpassDust2Mirage May 22 8d ago
W 1-0 vs Metizport Overpass May 21 9d ago
L 0-1 vs Betclic Ancient May 21 9d ago
W 1-0 vs Rebels Nuke May 21 9d ago
L 1-2 vs ALGO NukeOverpassAncient Apr 1 59d ago
L 0-2 vs bestia InfernoAncient Mar 30 61d ago
L 0-1 vs SINNERS Overpass Mar 29 62d ago
W 1-0 vs JiJieHao Ancient Mar 29 62d ago
W 1-0 vs big Overpass Mar 29 62d ago
L 0-1 vs Inner Circle Dust2 Mar 24 67d ago
L 0-2 vs GenOne AncientDust2 May 29 1d ago
W 2-1 vs Tricked MirageNukeAncient May 28 2d ago
W 2-0 vs Acend Dust2Overpass May 28 2d ago
W 2-1 vs ex-Zero Tenacity AnubisNukeMirage May 26 4d ago
W 2-0 vs ALGO AnubisAncient May 25 5d ago
W 2-1 vs Lazer Cats AncientDust2Mirage May 25 5d ago
W 2-0 vs AM OverpassAncient May 23 7d ago
L 0-2 vs Bushido Wildcats Dust2Mirage May 23 7d ago
L 0-2 vs Rune Eaters MirageDust2 May 22 8d ago
L 0-2 vs ex-RUBY AncientNuke May 21 9d ago
W 2-1 vs Lilmix OverpassMirageAncient May 21 9d ago
Player Matchups
OG
Ratings
Just Players
AD
adamb
EntryADR 79.8KAST 76%
1.21 vs 1.11
SP
spirit
EntryADR 79.6KAST 74%
SP
spooke
RiflerADR 76.4KAST 74%
1.09 vs 1.11
SS
sstiNiX
AWPADR 78.5KAST 72%
CA
cadiaN
AWPADR 72.2KAST 73%
1.05 vs 1.03
SO
Something
RiflerADR 72.5KAST 71%
PR
pr1metapz
RiflerADR 67.8KAST 73%
1.04 vs
BO
bodyy
RiflerADR 74.2KAST 72%
0.97 vs
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Inferno
OG 13 6 JP
85%
15%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Ranking
OG
JP
After First Kill
OG
JP
Ban Rate
OG
JP
Map ADR
OG
JP
Overall Rating
OG
JP
Recent on Inferno
OG
13-9 vs EAC May 29
8-13 vs bestia Mar 30
13-4 vs INFINITE Talent Mar 24
19-15 vs 9INE Mar 24
13-6 vs Liquid Mar 15
Just Players
no data
Dust2
OG 13 8 JP
67%
33%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
OG
JP
Overall Rating
OG
JP
After First Kill
OG
JP
Ban Rate
OG
JP
vs Top 30
OG
JP
Recent on Dust2
OG
10-13 vs Inner Circle May 22
10-13 vs Inner Circle Mar 24
13-1 vs INFINITE Talent Mar 24
23-25 vs Liquid Mar 15
10-13 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Mar 15
Just Players
8-13 vs GenOne May 29
13-11 vs Acend May 28
16-12 vs Lazer Cats May 25
11-13 vs Bushido Wildcats May 23
11-13 vs Rune Eaters May 22
Nuke
OG 13 10 JP
65%
35%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
OG
JP
Overall Rating
OG
JP
After First Kill
OG
JP
After First Death
OG
JP
Map Win Rate
OG
JP
Recent on Nuke
OG
6-13 vs EAC May 29
13-6 vs Rebels May 21
13-9 vs ALGO Apr 1
11-13 vs 9INE Mar 24
3-13 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Mar 15
Just Players
13-16 vs Tricked May 28
2-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 26
10-13 vs ex-RUBY May 21
13-10 vs OlyBet May 17
13-6 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 15
Anubis
OG 10 13 JP
44%
56%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
OG
JP
Map Win Rate
OG
JP
After First Kill
OG
JP
Ban Rate
OG
JP
After First Death
OG
JP
Recent on Anubis
OG
no data
Just Players
16-14 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 26
13-8 vs ALGO May 25
16-14 vs yngods Apr 4
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