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Bo3  ·  Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 1 Semifinal · 2026-05-31
TDK
vs
OG
45%
55%
Series win probability
OG 2–0 31%
TDK 2–1 27%
OG 2–1 23%
TDK 2–0 18%
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — OG is slightly favored at 55% but only leads on 1 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#54 vs #50), a strong inferno (63% win probability). Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 53% Overpass · Inferno · Dust2
Scenario 2 24% Overpass · Inferno · Mirage
Scenario 3 23% Overpass · Inferno · Ancient
Overpass
TDK 16 – 14 OG
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
TDK
OG
Overall Rating
TDK
OG
Map ADR
TDK
OG
vs Top 30
TDK
OG
Ranking
TDK
OG
Recent on Overpass
TDK
13-9 vs Nemesis May 28
13-5 vs Nemiga May 27
13-7 vs Lavked May 16
13-6 vs MOUZ NXT May 14
13-4 vs KOLESIE May 13
OG
13-9 vs Just Players May 30
13-6 vs EAC May 29
13-5 vs Inner Circle May 22
13-8 vs Metizport May 21
17-19 vs ALGO Apr 1
Inferno
TDK 9 – 13 OG
37%
63%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
TDK
OG
After First Death
TDK
OG
Map ADR
TDK
OG
Flash Assists
TDK
OG
Overall Rating
TDK
OG
Recent on Inferno
TDK
8-13 vs Sashi May 12
7-13 vs INOX Division May 3
10-13 vs magic Mar 3
13-8 vs Alliance Feb 24
13-9 vs kONO Feb 23
OG
13-9 vs EAC May 29
8-13 vs bestia Mar 30
13-4 vs INFINITE Talent Mar 24
19-15 vs 9INE Mar 24
13-6 vs Liquid Mar 15
Dust2
TDK 13 – 10 OG
53%
47%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ban Rate
TDK
OG
Map Win Rate
TDK
OG
After First Death
TDK
OG
Overall Rating
TDK
OG
vs Top 30
TDK
OG
Recent on Dust2
TDK
13-6 vs TNC May 29
4-13 vs Nemesis May 28
13-5 vs Nemiga May 27
8-13 vs fnatic May 14
13-1 vs MOUZ NXT May 14
OG
10-13 vs Inner Circle May 22
10-13 vs Inner Circle Mar 24
13-1 vs INFINITE Talent Mar 24
23-25 vs Liquid Mar 15
10-13 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Mar 15
Overpass
TDK 16 – 14 OG
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
TDK
OG
Overall Rating
TDK
OG
Map ADR
TDK
OG
vs Top 30
TDK
OG
Ranking
TDK
OG
Recent on Overpass
TDK
13-9 vs Nemesis May 28
13-5 vs Nemiga May 27
13-7 vs Lavked May 16
13-6 vs MOUZ NXT May 14
13-4 vs KOLESIE May 13
OG
13-9 vs Just Players May 30
13-6 vs EAC May 29
13-5 vs Inner Circle May 22
13-8 vs Metizport May 21
17-19 vs ALGO Apr 1
Inferno
TDK 9 – 13 OG
37%
63%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
TDK
OG
After First Death
TDK
OG
Map ADR
TDK
OG
Flash Assists
TDK
OG
Overall Rating
TDK
OG
Recent on Inferno
TDK
8-13 vs Sashi May 12
7-13 vs INOX Division May 3
10-13 vs magic Mar 3
13-8 vs Alliance Feb 24
13-9 vs kONO Feb 23
OG
13-9 vs EAC May 29
8-13 vs bestia Mar 30
13-4 vs INFINITE Talent Mar 24
19-15 vs 9INE Mar 24
13-6 vs Liquid Mar 15
Mirage
TDK 13 – 10 OG
53%
47%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
TDK
OG
vs Top 30
TDK
OG
Overall Rating
TDK
OG
CT 4v5
TDK
OG
Round Win Rate
TDK
OG
Recent on Mirage
TDK
13-9 vs Nemesis May 28
11-13 vs Nemiga May 19
13-5 vs Lavked May 16
8-13 vs MOUZ NXT May 14
5-13 vs Lavked May 10
OG
16-14 vs Just Players May 30
6-13 vs Inner Circle May 22
Overpass
TDK 16 – 14 OG
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
TDK
OG
Overall Rating
TDK
OG
Map ADR
TDK
OG
vs Top 30
TDK
OG
Ranking
TDK
OG
Recent on Overpass
TDK
13-9 vs Nemesis May 28
13-5 vs Nemiga May 27
13-7 vs Lavked May 16
13-6 vs MOUZ NXT May 14
13-4 vs KOLESIE May 13
OG
13-9 vs Just Players May 30
13-6 vs EAC May 29
13-5 vs Inner Circle May 22
13-8 vs Metizport May 21
17-19 vs ALGO Apr 1
Inferno
TDK 9 – 13 OG
37%
63%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
TDK
OG
After First Death
TDK
OG
Map ADR
TDK
OG
Flash Assists
TDK
OG
Overall Rating
TDK
OG
Recent on Inferno
TDK
8-13 vs Sashi May 12
7-13 vs INOX Division May 3
10-13 vs magic Mar 3
13-8 vs Alliance Feb 24
13-9 vs kONO Feb 23
OG
13-9 vs EAC May 29
8-13 vs bestia Mar 30
13-4 vs INFINITE Talent Mar 24
19-15 vs 9INE Mar 24
13-6 vs Liquid Mar 15
Ancient
TDK 16 – 14 OG
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Overall Rating
TDK
OG
CT 4v5
TDK
OG
Ranking
TDK
OG
Pistol Rating
TDK
OG
Map ADR
TDK
OG
Recent on Ancient
TDK
13-7 vs TNC May 29
13-7 vs Nemesis May 28
10-13 vs Nemiga May 27
8-13 vs Nemiga May 19
10-13 vs fnatic May 14
OG
7-13 vs Betclic May 21
10-13 vs ALGO Apr 1
9-13 vs bestia Mar 30
13-9 vs JiJieHao Mar 29
6-13 vs 9INE Mar 24
Recent Results last 11 matches
TDK
OG
W 2-0 vs TNC Dust2Ancient May 29 2d ago
W 3-2 vs Nemesis AncientDust2NukeOverpassMirage May 28 3d ago
W 2-1 vs Nemiga Dust2AncientOverpass May 27 4d ago
L 0-2 vs Nemiga AncientMirage May 19 12d ago
W 2-0 vs Lavked MirageOverpass May 16 15d ago
L 1-2 vs fnatic AnubisDust2Ancient May 14 17d ago
W 2-1 vs MOUZ NXT MirageOverpassDust2 May 14 17d ago
W 2-0 vs KOLESIE OverpassAncient May 13 18d ago
L 1-2 vs Sashi InfernoDust2Overpass May 12 19d ago
W 2-1 vs Lavked MirageAnubisDust2 May 10 21d ago
L 0-2 vs Nuclear TigeRES AncientDust2 May 10 21d ago
W 2-0 vs Just Players MirageOverpass May 30 1d ago
W 2-1 vs EAC OverpassNukeInferno May 29 2d ago
L 1-2 vs Inner Circle OverpassDust2Mirage May 22 9d ago
W 1-0 vs Metizport Overpass May 21 10d ago
L 0-1 vs Betclic Ancient May 21 10d ago
W 1-0 vs Rebels Nuke May 21 10d ago
L 1-2 vs ALGO NukeOverpassAncient Apr 1 60d ago
L 0-2 vs bestia InfernoAncient Mar 30 62d ago
L 0-1 vs SINNERS Overpass Mar 29 63d ago
W 1-0 vs JiJieHao Ancient Mar 29 63d ago
W 1-0 vs big Overpass Mar 29 63d ago
Player Matchups
TDK
Ratings
OG
AX
Ax1Le
EntryADR 81.7KAST 74%
1.15 vs 1.19
AD
adamb
EntryADR 78.6KAST 76%
NA
nafany
AWPADR 77.5KAST 70%
1.09 vs 1.10
SP
spooke
RiflerADR 77.2KAST 74%
XA
Xant3r
RiflerADR 68.5KAST 73%
1.03 vs 1.07
CA
cadiaN
AWPADR 73.5KAST 73%
SU
sugaR
RiflerADR 67.2KAST 72%
0.98 vs 1.05
PR
pr1metapz
RiflerADR 67.8KAST 74%
— vs 0.97
BO
bodyy
RiflerADR 74.0KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Anubis
TDK 13 – 7 OG
74%
26%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
TDK
OG
Ban Rate
TDK
OG
CT 4v5
TDK
OG
After First Death
TDK
OG
Pistol Rounds
TDK
OG
Recent on Anubis
TDK
13-9 vs fnatic May 14
16-13 vs Lavked May 10
13-6 vs Oxuji Apr 17
13-11 vs MANA Apr 15
13-8 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects Apr 7
OG
no data
Nuke
TDK 9 – 13 OG
31%
69%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ban Rate
TDK
OG
After First Death
TDK
OG
Overall Rating
TDK
OG
Map ADR
TDK
OG
Ranking
TDK
OG
Recent on Nuke
TDK
11-13 vs Nemesis May 28
OG
6-13 vs EAC May 29
13-6 vs Rebels May 21
13-9 vs ALGO Apr 1
11-13 vs 9INE Mar 24
3-13 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Mar 15
Mirage
TDK 13 – 10 OG
53%
47%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
TDK
OG
vs Top 30
TDK
OG
Overall Rating
TDK
OG
CT 4v5
TDK
OG
Round Win Rate
TDK
OG
Recent on Mirage
TDK
13-9 vs Nemesis May 28
11-13 vs Nemiga May 19
13-5 vs Lavked May 16
8-13 vs MOUZ NXT May 14
5-13 vs Lavked May 10
OG
16-14 vs Just Players May 30
6-13 vs Inner Circle May 22
Ancient
TDK 16 – 14 OG
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Overall Rating
TDK
OG
CT 4v5
TDK
OG
Ranking
TDK
OG
Pistol Rating
TDK
OG
Map ADR
TDK
OG
Recent on Ancient
TDK
13-7 vs TNC May 29
13-7 vs Nemesis May 28
10-13 vs Nemiga May 27
8-13 vs Nemiga May 19
10-13 vs fnatic May 14
OG
7-13 vs Betclic May 21
10-13 vs ALGO Apr 1
9-13 vs bestia Mar 30
13-9 vs JiJieHao Mar 29
6-13 vs 9INE Mar 24
More from Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 1 Semifinal 1 match
Oramond over KOLESIE 56%