Project Leggy
Back
Bo1  ·  IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1 · 2026-06-02
B8
vs
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
57%
43%
Series win probability
Actual result
Dust2 13–11 B8
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — B8 is slightly favored at 57% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#16 vs #58), a strong inferno (67% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 100% Ancient
Ancient
B8 16 14 TD
52%
48%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
B8
TD
After First Kill
B8
TD
Utility Score
B8
TD
Overall Rating
B8
TD
Pick Rate
B8
TD
Recent on Ancient
B8
20-22 vs MOUZ May 22
2-13 vs MIBR May 21
13-11 vs The MongolZ May 20
13-9 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas May 19
13-7 vs FUT May 13
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
13-16 vs Kaleido May 14
13-5 vs low cortisol Apr 27
13-6 vs SemperFi Mar 16
13-10 vs SemperFi Mar 16
16-19 vs SemperFi Mar 14
Recent Results last 11 matches
B8
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
L 0-2 vs MOUZ OverpassAncient May 22 12d ago
L 1-2 vs MIBR InfernoMirageAncient May 21 13d ago
W 2-1 vs The MongolZ AncientNukeMirage May 20 14d ago
W 1-0 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Ancient May 19 15d ago
W 2-0 vs FUT AncientOverpass May 13 21d ago
L 0-2 vs Vitality MirageDust2 May 13 21d ago
W 2-0 vs BC.Game OverpassMirage May 12 22d ago
L 1-2 vs BetBoom MirageNukeDust2 May 11 23d ago
L 0-2 vs Aurora MirageOverpass Apr 15 49d ago
W 2-0 vs Passion UA OverpassMirage Apr 14 50d ago
L 1-2 vs Natus Vincere AncientInfernoDust2 Apr 13 51d ago
L 0-2 vs SemperFi Dust2Nuke May 27 7d ago
L 1-2 vs Lynn Vision Dust2NukeInferno May 16 18d ago
W 2-1 vs Kaleido AnubisAncientInferno May 14 20d ago
W 2-0 vs SemperFi InfernoNuke May 13 21d ago
W 2-1 vs Haunted House AnubisDust2Nuke May 13 21d ago
W 2-0 vs Alter Ego AnubisDust2 May 12 22d ago
L 0-2 vs Haunted House Dust2Anubis May 11 23d ago
W 2-0 vs Ground Zero Dust2Anubis May 3 31d ago
W 2-1 vs Abyssal OverpassAnubisInferno Apr 29 35d ago
W 2-0 vs low cortisol AnubisAncient Apr 27 37d ago
W 1-0 vs Arcade Nuke Mar 16 79d ago
Player Matchups
B8
Ratings
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
NP
npl
EntryADR 80.4KAST 71%
1.14 vs 1.25
AS
asap
RiflerADR 82.9KAST 76%
KE
kensizor
RiflerADR 77.6KAST 72%
1.04 vs 1.17
AL
aliStair
AWPADR 74.7KAST 74%
ES
esenthial
RiflerADR 68.6KAST 72%
1.02 vs 1.14
LI
Liazz
EntryADR 74.7KAST 75%
AL
alex666
RiflerADR 68.0KAST 72%
1.00 vs 1.02
TJ
TjP
RiflerADR 72.2KAST 71%
S1
s1zzi
AWPADR 67.9KAST 70%
0.98 vs 0.96
DE
dexter
RiflerADR 75.8KAST 68%
Unpredicted Maps 5 maps
Anubis
B8 7 13 TD
32%
68%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
Ranking
B8
TD
Ban Rate
B8
TD
After First Kill
B8
TD
Flash Assists
B8
TD
Map Win Rate
B8
TD
Recent on Anubis
B8
3-13 vs FUT Mar 9
7-13 vs Spirit Mar 7
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
13-5 vs Kaleido May 14
13-5 vs Haunted House May 13
13-7 vs Alter Ego May 12
10-13 vs Haunted House May 11
13-5 vs Ground Zero May 3
Overpass
B8 13 11 TD
61%
39%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
B8
TD
After First Kill
B8
TD
Opening Kills
B8
TD
Map Win Rate
B8
TD
Round Win Rate
B8
TD
Recent on Overpass
B8
8-13 vs MOUZ May 22
13-11 vs FUT May 13
13-2 vs BC.Game May 12
6-13 vs Aurora Apr 15
13-9 vs Passion UA Apr 14
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
11-13 vs Abyssal Apr 29
13-10 vs Mindfreak Feb 25
13-6 vs Rooster Feb 8
13-3 vs Underground Feb 6
13-7 vs Mindfreak Feb 6
Nuke
B8 14 16 TD
50%
50%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
B8
TD
Map Win Rate
B8
TD
Side Balance
B8
TD
Schedule Strength
B8
TD
Round Win Rate
B8
TD
Recent on Nuke
B8
11-13 vs The MongolZ May 20
8-13 vs BetBoom May 11
6-13 vs 3DMAX Apr 6
13-8 vs Astralis Apr 5
13-7 vs Wildcard Apr 4
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
10-13 vs SemperFi May 27
10-13 vs Lynn Vision May 16
16-13 vs SemperFi May 13
13-6 vs Haunted House May 13
13-7 vs Arcade Mar 16
Inferno
B8 13 11 TD
67%
33%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
B8
TD
CT 4v5
B8
TD
Ban Rate
B8
TD
Map Win Rate
B8
TD
After First Kill
B8
TD
Recent on Inferno
B8
1-13 vs MIBR May 21
13-4 vs Natus Vincere Apr 13
3-13 vs 3DMAX Apr 6
13-9 vs Falcons Force Apr 2
8-13 vs 3DMAX Apr 2
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
13-6 vs MIBR Jun 2
5-13 vs Lynn Vision May 16
16-12 vs Kaleido May 14
13-4 vs SemperFi May 13
13-10 vs Abyssal Apr 29
Dust2
B8 16 14 TD
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
B8
TD
After First Kill
B8
TD
T Rating
B8
TD
Map ADR
B8
TD
After First Death
B8
TD
Recent on Dust2
B8
8-13 vs Vitality May 13
5-13 vs BetBoom May 11
5-13 vs Natus Vincere Apr 13
13-9 vs Legacy Apr 8
13-11 vs Inner Circle Apr 7
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
9-13 vs SemperFi May 27
13-9 vs Lynn Vision May 16
17-19 vs Haunted House May 13
13-8 vs Alter Ego May 12
10-13 vs Haunted House May 11
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1 14 matches