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Bo1  ·  IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1 · 2026-06-03
NRG
vs
FlyQuest
42%
58%
Series win probability
Actual result
Mirage 13–10 NRG
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — FlyQuest is slightly favored at 58% but only leads on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.13 vs 1.00), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#70 vs #47).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 100% Inferno
Inferno
NRG 11 13 FLYQ
44%
56%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
NRG
FLYQ
After First Death
NRG
FLYQ
After First Kill
NRG
FLYQ
Overall Rating
NRG
FLYQ
CT 4v5
NRG
FLYQ
Recent on Inferno
NRG
10-13 vs GamerLegion Jun 2
13-8 vs LAG Apr 25
11-13 vs Passion UA Apr 25
6-13 vs Legacy Apr 7
13-3 vs Voca Apr 4
FlyQuest
11-13 vs GamerLegion Jun 2
9-13 vs 5star May 12
13-10 vs chinggis warriors Apr 4
Recent Results last 11 matches
NRG
FlyQuest
L 0-1 vs GamerLegion Inferno Jun 2 1d ago
W 1-0 vs SINNERS Nuke Jun 2 1d ago
L 1-2 vs MOUZ AncientNukeMirage May 20 14d ago
L 0-1 vs Legacy Nuke May 19 15d ago
L 0-2 vs FaZe AncientNuke May 12 22d ago
L 0-2 vs FUT AncientOverpass May 11 23d ago
W 2-0 vs Foxtrot MirageNuke Apr 25 39d ago
W 2-0 vs LAG AncientInferno Apr 25 39d ago
L 1-2 vs Passion UA OverpassMirageInferno Apr 25 39d ago
L 0-2 vs Legacy Dust2Inferno Apr 7 57d ago
L 0-2 vs EYEBALLERS NukeMirage Apr 6 58d ago
W 1-0 vs SINNERS Ancient Jun 2 1d ago
L 0-1 vs GamerLegion Inferno Jun 2 1d ago
W 2-0 vs NEXVOID AnubisDust2 May 12 22d ago
L 1-2 vs 5star Dust2AncientInferno May 12 22d ago
L 1-2 vs JiJieHao AncientNukeMirage May 10 24d ago
W 2-0 vs chinggis warriors NukeInferno Apr 4 60d ago
L 1-2 vs TYLOO MirageAnubisNuke Apr 4 60d ago
W 2-0 vs SemperFi AncientAnubis Apr 1 63d ago
W 2-0 vs UR Dust2Anubis Mar 31 64d ago
W 2-0 vs Rare Atom Dust2Anubis Mar 11 84d ago
L 1-2 vs Alter Ego OverpassAnubisDust2 Mar 11 84d ago
Player Matchups
NRG
Ratings
FlyQuest
SO
Sonic
RiflerADR 78.6KAST 72%
1.09 vs 1.19
VE
Vexite
RiflerADR 78.3KAST 75%
BR
br0
EntryADR 77.4KAST 72%
1.09 vs 1.15
JK
jks
EntryADR 80.0KAST 74%
GR
Grim
RiflerADR 76.0KAST 68%
1.05 vs 1.13
ST
story
AWPADR 71.5KAST 75%
NI
nitr0
RiflerADR 61.7KAST 69%
0.91 vs 1.11
NE
nettik
RiflerADR 74.3KAST 79%
OS
oSee
AWPADR 59.9KAST 68%
0.88 vs 1.07
IN
INS
RiflerADR 76.5KAST 74%
Unpredicted Maps 6 maps
Anubis
NRG 6 13 FLYQ
15%
85%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Ranking
NRG
FLYQ
Flash Assists
NRG
FLYQ
Map ADR
NRG
FLYQ
Map Win Rate
NRG
FLYQ
Ban Rate
NRG
FLYQ
Recent on Anubis
NRG
16-19 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Mar 3
10-13 vs Monte Mar 2
FlyQuest
13-7 vs NEXVOID May 12
13-8 vs TYLOO Apr 4
13-4 vs SemperFi Apr 1
13-9 vs UR Mar 31
13-2 vs Rare Atom Mar 11
Dust2
NRG 5 13 FLYQ
15%
85%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Ranking
NRG
FLYQ
Ban Rate
NRG
FLYQ
After First Death
NRG
FLYQ
After First Kill
NRG
FLYQ
Map Win Rate
NRG
FLYQ
Recent on Dust2
NRG
6-13 vs Legacy Apr 7
7-13 vs FURIA Mar 22
8-13 vs Falcons Mar 18
11-13 vs Voca Feb 7
9-13 vs Falcons Feb 2
FlyQuest
13-4 vs NEXVOID May 12
13-7 vs 5star May 12
13-6 vs UR Mar 31
16-13 vs Rare Atom Mar 11
13-16 vs Alter Ego Mar 11
Mirage
NRG 10 13 FLYQ
37%
63%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
NRG
FLYQ
CT 4v5
NRG
FLYQ
Opening Kills
NRG
FLYQ
Round Win Rate
NRG
FLYQ
After First Kill
NRG
FLYQ
Recent on Mirage
NRG
9-13 vs MOUZ May 20
13-0 vs Foxtrot Apr 25
13-9 vs Passion UA Apr 25
6-13 vs EYEBALLERS Apr 6
13-4 vs Voca Apr 4
FlyQuest
11-13 vs JiJieHao May 10
2-13 vs TYLOO Apr 4
13-6 vs Nexus Feb 26
16-14 vs Eternal Fire Feb 26
13-6 vs HYPERSPIRIT Feb 25
Overpass
NRG 14 16 FLYQ
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Map Win Rate
NRG
FLYQ
CT 4v5
NRG
FLYQ
Ranking
NRG
FLYQ
After First Kill
NRG
FLYQ
After First Death
NRG
FLYQ
Recent on Overpass
NRG
9-13 vs FUT May 11
4-13 vs Passion UA Apr 25
FlyQuest
8-13 vs Alter Ego Mar 11
Nuke
NRG 10 13 FLYQ
41%
59%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
NRG
FLYQ
After First Death
NRG
FLYQ
Opening Kills
NRG
FLYQ
CT 4v5
NRG
FLYQ
CT 5v4
NRG
FLYQ
Recent on Nuke
NRG
13-6 vs SINNERS Jun 2
6-13 vs MOUZ May 20
10-13 vs Legacy May 19
11-13 vs FaZe May 12
13-1 vs Foxtrot Apr 25
FlyQuest
13-3 vs JiJieHao May 10
13-4 vs chinggis warriors Apr 4
8-13 vs TYLOO Apr 4
11-13 vs Chinggis Warriors Mar 9
14-16 vs 100 Thieves Feb 28
Ancient
NRG 11 13 FLYQ
42%
58%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
NRG
FLYQ
After First Death
NRG
FLYQ
After First Kill
NRG
FLYQ
Ban Rate
NRG
FLYQ
Overall Rating
NRG
FLYQ
Recent on Ancient
NRG
13-10 vs MOUZ May 20
3-13 vs FaZe May 12
13-16 vs FUT May 11
13-3 vs LAG Apr 25
3-13 vs FUT Apr 5
FlyQuest
16-14 vs SINNERS Jun 2
13-16 vs 5star May 12
8-13 vs JiJieHao May 10
16-13 vs SemperFi Apr 1
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1 7 matches