Bo1 · IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1
· 2026-06-03
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
vs
BIG
✓
30%
70%
Series win probability
Actual result
Inferno
13–7
BIG
Model Insights
BIG is strongly favored at 71%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#28 vs #57), a strong nuke (74% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
100%
Inferno
Inferno
TD
9
–
13
BIG
30%
70%
Win prob
OT 10%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
TD
BIG
After First Kill
TD
BIG
CT 4v5
TD
BIG
Overall Rating
TD
BIG
Round Win Rate
TD
BIG
Recent on Inferno
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
13-6
vs MIBR
Jun 2
5-13
vs Lynn Vision
May 16
16-12
vs Kaleido
May 14
13-4
vs SemperFi
May 13
13-10
vs Abyssal
Apr 29
BIG
13-1
vs Sharks
Apr 25
8-13
vs Nemesis
Apr 10
13-7
vs Bebop
Apr 8
13-8
vs Gentle Mates
Mar 25
13-10
vs Nemesis
Mar 8
Recent Results
last 11 matches
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
BIG
W
1-0
vs MIBR
Inferno
Jun 2
1d ago
L
0-1
vs B8
Dust2
Jun 2
1d ago
L
0-2
vs SemperFi
Dust2Nuke
May 27
7d ago
L
1-2
vs Lynn Vision
Dust2NukeInferno
May 16
18d ago
W
2-1
vs Kaleido
AnubisAncientInferno
May 14
20d ago
W
2-0
vs SemperFi
InfernoNuke
May 13
21d ago
W
2-1
vs Haunted House
AnubisDust2Nuke
May 13
21d ago
W
2-0
vs Alter Ego
AnubisDust2
May 12
22d ago
L
0-2
vs Haunted House
Dust2Anubis
May 11
23d ago
W
2-0
vs Ground Zero
Dust2Anubis
May 3
31d ago
W
2-1
vs Abyssal
OverpassAnubisInferno
Apr 29
35d ago
L
0-1
vs Liquid
Nuke
Jun 2
1d ago
W
1-0
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Nuke
Jun 2
1d ago
L
0-2
vs Nemiga
OverpassMirage
Apr 27
37d ago
W
2-0
vs SPARTA
MirageAncient
Apr 26
38d ago
W
2-1
vs Sharks
InfernoOverpassAncient
Apr 25
39d ago
L
1-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
AncientMirageAnubis
Apr 25
39d ago
W
2-0
vs Acend
AncientOverpass
Apr 24
40d ago
L
0-2
vs HEROIC
Dust2Overpass
Apr 24
40d ago
W
2-1
vs 100 Thieves
MirageAncientDust2
Apr 23
41d ago
W
2-0
vs QWENTRY
NukeAncient
Apr 10
54d ago
L
0-2
vs Nemesis
InfernoAncient
Apr 10
54d ago
Player Matchups
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Ratings
BIG
AS
asap
RiflerADR 82.8KAST 76%
BL
blameF
EntryADR 84.3KAST 77%
AL
aliStair
AWPADR 74.9KAST 74%
JD
JDC
RiflerADR 80.6KAST 74%
LI
Liazz
EntryADR 74.4KAST 75%
GR
gr1ks
AWPADR 74.7KAST 75%
TJ
TjP
RiflerADR 71.7KAST 72%
FA
faveN
RiflerADR 67.8KAST 72%
DE
dexter
RiflerADR 76.1KAST 68%
TA
tabseN
RiflerADR 66.4KAST 73%
Unpredicted Maps
5 maps
Anubis
TD
11
–
13
BIG
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
TD
BIG
CT 4v5
TD
BIG
After First Death
TD
BIG
Map Win Rate
TD
BIG
5v4 Rounds
TD
BIG
Recent on Anubis
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
13-5
vs Kaleido
May 14
13-5
vs Haunted House
May 13
13-7
vs Alter Ego
May 12
10-13
vs Haunted House
May 11
13-5
vs Ground Zero
May 3
BIG
5-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 25
13-9
vs Ursa
Apr 9
13-3
vs FaZe
Apr 5
6-13
vs Betclic
Apr 4
8-13
vs K27
Mar 20
Dust2
TD
14
–
16
BIG
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
TD
BIG
After First Kill
TD
BIG
Flash Assists
TD
BIG
T 4v5
TD
BIG
Overall Rating
TD
BIG
Recent on Dust2
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
11-13
vs B8
Jun 2
9-13
vs SemperFi
May 27
13-9
vs Lynn Vision
May 16
17-19
vs Haunted House
May 13
13-8
vs Alter Ego
May 12
BIG
9-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 24
16-13
vs 100 Thieves
Apr 23
13-4
vs Bebop
Apr 8
3-13
vs FaZe
Apr 5
9-13
vs HOTU
Mar 26
Overpass
TD
14
–
16
BIG
48%
52%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
TD
BIG
After First Kill
TD
BIG
CT 4v5
TD
BIG
After First Death
TD
BIG
Opening Kills
TD
BIG
Recent on Overpass
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
11-13
vs Abyssal
Apr 29
13-10
vs Mindfreak
Feb 25
13-6
vs Rooster
Feb 8
13-3
vs Underground
Feb 6
13-7
vs Mindfreak
Feb 6
BIG
13-16
vs Nemiga
Apr 27
10-13
vs Sharks
Apr 25
13-8
vs Acend
Apr 24
7-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 24
13-9
vs Ursa
Apr 9
Ancient
TD
10
–
13
BIG
32%
68%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
TD
BIG
After First Kill
TD
BIG
CT 4v5
TD
BIG
Pick Rate
TD
BIG
Round Win Rate
TD
BIG
Recent on Ancient
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
13-16
vs Kaleido
May 14
13-5
vs low cortisol
Apr 27
13-6
vs SemperFi
Mar 16
13-10
vs SemperFi
Mar 16
16-19
vs SemperFi
Mar 14
BIG
19-17
vs SPARTA
Apr 26
13-8
vs Sharks
Apr 25
5-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 25
13-9
vs Acend
Apr 24
3-13
vs 100 Thieves
Apr 23
Nuke
TD
9
–
13
BIG
26%
74%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
TD
BIG
Opening Kills
TD
BIG
After First Death
TD
BIG
Ban Rate
TD
BIG
Map ADR
TD
BIG
Recent on Nuke
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
10-13
vs SemperFi
May 27
10-13
vs Lynn Vision
May 16
16-13
vs SemperFi
May 13
13-6
vs Haunted House
May 13
13-7
vs Arcade
Mar 16
BIG
10-13
vs Liquid
Jun 2
13-1
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Jun 2
13-5
vs QWENTRY
Apr 10
9-13
vs Bebop
Apr 8
13-11
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Apr 5
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1
7 matches