Bo3 · IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1
· 2026-06-03
Gaimin Gladiators
✗
vs
HEROIC
53%
47%
Series win probability
GG
2–0
27%
GG
2–1
26%
HERO
2–1
25%
HERO
2–0
22%
Actual result
Dust2
13–5
HERO
Inferno
13–6
HERO
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Gaimin Gladiators is slightly favored at 53% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#59 vs #32). Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
36%
Dust2 · Nuke · Inferno
Scenario 2
35%
Dust2 · Nuke · Overpass
Scenario 3
30%
Dust2 · Nuke · Ancient
Dust2
GG
13
–
11
HERO
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
GG
HERO
CT 4v5
GG
HERO
Map ADR
GG
HERO
Pick Rate
GG
HERO
T Rating
GG
HERO
Recent on Dust2
Gaimin Gladiators
4-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 2
7-13
vs paiN
Apr 5
13-3
vs Bounty Hunters
Apr 4
8-13
vs GameHunters
Apr 3
13-3
vs Yawara
Apr 2
HEROIC
11-13
vs Lynn Vision
Jun 2
11-13
vs 9z
May 28
13-4
vs magic
May 11
13-11
vs Aurora
May 8
9-13
vs Monte
Apr 26
Nuke
GG
14
–
16
HERO
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
GG
HERO
After First Kill
GG
HERO
After First Death
GG
HERO
Opening Kills
GG
HERO
Map ADR
GG
HERO
Recent on Nuke
Gaimin Gladiators
1-13
vs BIG
Jun 2
6-13
vs paiN
Apr 5
13-10
vs RED Canids
Apr 4
13-9
vs Bounty Hunters
Apr 4
13-1
vs GameHunters
Apr 3
HEROIC
10-13
vs Sharks
Jun 2
7-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 27
13-8
vs Aurora
May 8
0-13
vs Monte
Apr 26
13-9
vs Monte
Apr 25
Inferno
GG
16
–
14
HERO
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
GG
HERO
After First Kill
GG
HERO
After First Death
GG
HERO
Map ADR
GG
HERO
T Rating
GG
HERO
Recent on Inferno
Gaimin Gladiators
13-11
vs RED Canids
Apr 4
6-13
vs paiN
Mar 30
13-6
vs lp
Mar 29
13-8
vs MIBR
Mar 26
10-13
vs G2
Mar 1
HEROIC
14-16
vs 9z
May 28
6-13
vs magic
May 11
7-13
vs FURIA
May 10
4-13
vs Gentle Mates
May 10
13-5
vs Monte
Apr 26
Dust2
GG
13
–
11
HERO
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
GG
HERO
CT 4v5
GG
HERO
Map ADR
GG
HERO
Pick Rate
GG
HERO
T Rating
GG
HERO
Recent on Dust2
Gaimin Gladiators
4-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 2
7-13
vs paiN
Apr 5
13-3
vs Bounty Hunters
Apr 4
8-13
vs GameHunters
Apr 3
13-3
vs Yawara
Apr 2
HEROIC
11-13
vs Lynn Vision
Jun 2
11-13
vs 9z
May 28
13-4
vs magic
May 11
13-11
vs Aurora
May 8
9-13
vs Monte
Apr 26
Nuke
GG
14
–
16
HERO
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
GG
HERO
After First Kill
GG
HERO
After First Death
GG
HERO
Opening Kills
GG
HERO
Map ADR
GG
HERO
Recent on Nuke
Gaimin Gladiators
1-13
vs BIG
Jun 2
6-13
vs paiN
Apr 5
13-10
vs RED Canids
Apr 4
13-9
vs Bounty Hunters
Apr 4
13-1
vs GameHunters
Apr 3
HEROIC
10-13
vs Sharks
Jun 2
7-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 27
13-8
vs Aurora
May 8
0-13
vs Monte
Apr 26
13-9
vs Monte
Apr 25
Overpass
GG
11
–
13
HERO
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
GG
HERO
CT 4v5
GG
HERO
Map ADR
GG
HERO
Round Win Rate
GG
HERO
Side Balance
GG
HERO
Recent on Overpass
Gaimin Gladiators
9-13
vs Acend
May 22
15-19
vs Inner Circle
May 22
13-11
vs paiN
Apr 5
13-10
vs ShindeN
Mar 26
HEROIC
16-12
vs 9z
May 28
13-7
vs BIG
Apr 24
7-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 1
11-13
vs Tricked
Mar 25
13-3
vs FURIA
Mar 8
Dust2
GG
13
–
11
HERO
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
GG
HERO
CT 4v5
GG
HERO
Map ADR
GG
HERO
Pick Rate
GG
HERO
T Rating
GG
HERO
Recent on Dust2
Gaimin Gladiators
4-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 2
7-13
vs paiN
Apr 5
13-3
vs Bounty Hunters
Apr 4
8-13
vs GameHunters
Apr 3
13-3
vs Yawara
Apr 2
HEROIC
11-13
vs Lynn Vision
Jun 2
11-13
vs 9z
May 28
13-4
vs magic
May 11
13-11
vs Aurora
May 8
9-13
vs Monte
Apr 26
Nuke
GG
14
–
16
HERO
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
GG
HERO
After First Kill
GG
HERO
After First Death
GG
HERO
Opening Kills
GG
HERO
Map ADR
GG
HERO
Recent on Nuke
Gaimin Gladiators
1-13
vs BIG
Jun 2
6-13
vs paiN
Apr 5
13-10
vs RED Canids
Apr 4
13-9
vs Bounty Hunters
Apr 4
13-1
vs GameHunters
Apr 3
HEROIC
10-13
vs Sharks
Jun 2
7-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 27
13-8
vs Aurora
May 8
0-13
vs Monte
Apr 26
13-9
vs Monte
Apr 25
Ancient
GG
9
–
13
HERO
30%
70%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
GG
HERO
Opening Kills
GG
HERO
Ban Rate
GG
HERO
Map ADR
GG
HERO
T Rating
GG
HERO
Recent on Ancient
Gaimin Gladiators
13-10
vs GameHunters
Apr 3
13-11
vs Yawara
Apr 2
6-13
vs ODDIK
Apr 2
8-13
vs Legacy
Mar 29
12-16
vs MIBR
Mar 26
HEROIC
10-13
vs Monte
Apr 26
13-9
vs BetBoom
Apr 3
13-5
vs FUT
Mar 7
13-9
vs 100 Thieves
Feb 28
13-10
vs ASTRAL
Feb 26
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Gaimin Gladiators
HEROIC
L
0-1
vs BetBoom
Dust2
Jun 2
1d ago
L
0-1
vs BIG
Nuke
Jun 2
1d ago
L
0-2
vs Acend
MirageOverpass
May 22
12d ago
L
0-2
vs Inner Circle
MirageOverpass
May 22
12d ago
L
1-3
vs paiN
NukeOverpassAnubisDust2
Apr 5
59d ago
W
2-0
vs RED Canids
NukeInferno
Apr 4
60d ago
W
2-0
vs Bounty Hunters
NukeDust2
Apr 4
60d ago
W
2-1
vs GameHunters
NukeDust2Ancient
Apr 3
61d ago
W
2-0
vs Yawara
AncientDust2
Apr 2
62d ago
L
0-2
vs ODDIK
AncientDust2
Apr 2
62d ago
L
1-2
vs paiN
Dust2NukeInferno
Mar 30
65d ago
L
0-1
vs Sharks
Nuke
Jun 2
1d ago
L
0-1
vs Lynn Vision
Dust2
Jun 2
1d ago
L
1-2
vs 9z
InfernoOverpassDust2
May 28
6d ago
L
0-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
NukeMirage
May 27
7d ago
L
1-2
vs magic
MirageDust2Inferno
May 11
23d ago
L
0-2
vs FURIA
MirageInferno
May 10
24d ago
L
0-2
vs Gentle Mates
InfernoMirage
May 10
24d ago
W
2-0
vs Aurora
NukeDust2
May 8
26d ago
L
1-3
vs Monte
NukeDust2InfernoAncient
Apr 26
38d ago
W
2-1
vs Monte
NukeDust2Mirage
Apr 25
39d ago
W
2-0
vs BIG
Dust2Overpass
Apr 24
40d ago
Player Matchups
Gaimin Gladiators
Ratings
HEROIC
LU
Luken
RiflerADR 80.5KAST 74%
NI
nilo
EntryADR 78.1KAST 73%
JO
JOTA
EntryADR 80.6KAST 74%
XF
xfl0ud
RiflerADR 79.0KAST 71%
HE
HEN1
AWPADR 71.3KAST 74%
SU
susp
RiflerADR 67.2KAST 72%
FE
fer
RiflerADR 76.0KAST 65%
YX
yxngstxr
AWPADR 64.7KAST 71%
NE
NEKIZ
RiflerADR 61.9KAST 70%
CH
Chr1zN
RiflerADR 66.6KAST 68%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Anubis
GG
13
–
7
HERO
83%
17%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
GG
HERO
After First Death
GG
HERO
After First Kill
GG
HERO
Flash Assists
GG
HERO
Opening Kills
GG
HERO
Recent on Anubis
Gaimin Gladiators
4-13
vs paiN
Apr 5
HEROIC
no data
Mirage
GG
8
–
13
HERO
23%
77%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
GG
HERO
After First Kill
GG
HERO
Ban Rate
GG
HERO
CT 4v5
GG
HERO
Map Win Rate
GG
HERO
Recent on Mirage
Gaimin Gladiators
6-13
vs Acend
May 22
5-13
vs Inner Circle
May 22
HEROIC
9-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 27
8-13
vs magic
May 11
4-13
vs FURIA
May 10
6-13
vs Gentle Mates
May 10
13-8
vs Monte
Apr 25
Ancient
GG
9
–
13
HERO
30%
70%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
GG
HERO
Opening Kills
GG
HERO
Ban Rate
GG
HERO
Map ADR
GG
HERO
T Rating
GG
HERO
Recent on Ancient
Gaimin Gladiators
13-10
vs GameHunters
Apr 3
13-11
vs Yawara
Apr 2
6-13
vs ODDIK
Apr 2
8-13
vs Legacy
Mar 29
12-16
vs MIBR
Mar 26
HEROIC
10-13
vs Monte
Apr 26
13-9
vs BetBoom
Apr 3
13-5
vs FUT
Mar 7
13-9
vs 100 Thieves
Feb 28
13-10
vs ASTRAL
Feb 26
Overpass
GG
11
–
13
HERO
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
GG
HERO
CT 4v5
GG
HERO
Map ADR
GG
HERO
Round Win Rate
GG
HERO
Side Balance
GG
HERO
Recent on Overpass
Gaimin Gladiators
9-13
vs Acend
May 22
15-19
vs Inner Circle
May 22
13-11
vs paiN
Apr 5
13-10
vs ShindeN
Mar 26
HEROIC
16-12
vs 9z
May 28
13-7
vs BIG
Apr 24
7-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 1
11-13
vs Tricked
Mar 25
13-3
vs FURIA
Mar 8
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1
7 matches