Bo3 · IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1
· 2026-06-04
M80
vs
NRG
77%
23%
Series win probability
M80
2–0
49%
M80
2–1
29%
NRG
2–1
14%
NRG
2–0
8%
Model Insights
M80 is strongly favored at 77%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.07 vs 1.01), a strong mirage (77% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
50%
Inferno · Mirage · Ancient
Scenario 2
28%
Inferno · Mirage · Dust2
Scenario 3
22%
Inferno · Mirage · Anubis
Inferno
M80
13
–
9
NRG
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
M80
NRG
Overall Rating
M80
NRG
After First Death
M80
NRG
After First Kill
M80
NRG
Map Win Rate
M80
NRG
Recent on Inferno
M80
20-22
vs B8
Jun 3
13-8
vs Lynn Vision
Jun 2
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 21
15-19
vs Falcons
May 20
8-13
vs Liquid
May 12
NRG
10-13
vs GamerLegion
Jun 2
13-8
vs LAG
Apr 25
11-13
vs Passion UA
Apr 25
6-13
vs Legacy
Apr 7
13-3
vs Voca
Apr 4
Mirage
M80
13
–
8
NRG
77%
23%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
M80
NRG
After First Kill
M80
NRG
After First Death
M80
NRG
Overall Rating
M80
NRG
CT 4v5
M80
NRG
Recent on Mirage
M80
13-6
vs Sharks
Jun 2
13-11
vs Voca
May 28
13-11
vs Iowa Stormboar
May 26
2-13
vs MOUZ
May 21
13-8
vs paiN
May 19
NRG
13-10
vs FlyQuest
Jun 3
9-13
vs MOUZ
May 20
13-0
vs Foxtrot
Apr 25
13-9
vs Passion UA
Apr 25
6-13
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 6
Ancient
M80
13
–
9
NRG
67%
33%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
M80
NRG
Map Win Rate
M80
NRG
Map ADR
M80
NRG
Overall Rating
M80
NRG
After First Kill
M80
NRG
Recent on Ancient
M80
11-13
vs B8
Jun 3
3-13
vs Voca
May 28
13-5
vs Iowa Stormboar
May 26
11-13
vs Falcons
May 20
5-13
vs Liquid
May 12
NRG
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 20
3-13
vs FaZe
May 12
13-16
vs FUT
May 11
13-3
vs LAG
Apr 25
3-13
vs FUT
Apr 5
Inferno
M80
13
–
9
NRG
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
M80
NRG
Overall Rating
M80
NRG
After First Death
M80
NRG
After First Kill
M80
NRG
Map Win Rate
M80
NRG
Recent on Inferno
M80
20-22
vs B8
Jun 3
13-8
vs Lynn Vision
Jun 2
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 21
15-19
vs Falcons
May 20
8-13
vs Liquid
May 12
NRG
10-13
vs GamerLegion
Jun 2
13-8
vs LAG
Apr 25
11-13
vs Passion UA
Apr 25
6-13
vs Legacy
Apr 7
13-3
vs Voca
Apr 4
Mirage
M80
13
–
8
NRG
77%
23%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
M80
NRG
After First Kill
M80
NRG
After First Death
M80
NRG
Overall Rating
M80
NRG
CT 4v5
M80
NRG
Recent on Mirage
M80
13-6
vs Sharks
Jun 2
13-11
vs Voca
May 28
13-11
vs Iowa Stormboar
May 26
2-13
vs MOUZ
May 21
13-8
vs paiN
May 19
NRG
13-10
vs FlyQuest
Jun 3
9-13
vs MOUZ
May 20
13-0
vs Foxtrot
Apr 25
13-9
vs Passion UA
Apr 25
6-13
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 6
Dust2
M80
13
–
5
NRG
82%
18%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
Ranking
M80
NRG
Map Win Rate
M80
NRG
Map ADR
M80
NRG
Opening Kills
M80
NRG
After First Kill
M80
NRG
Recent on Dust2
M80
13-5
vs Voca
May 28
13-4
vs Liquid
May 12
16-14
vs Wildcard
May 3
13-1
vs It's a Secret
Apr 25
13-3
vs Monte
Apr 2
NRG
6-13
vs Legacy
Apr 7
7-13
vs FURIA
Mar 22
8-13
vs Falcons
Mar 18
11-13
vs Voca
Feb 7
9-13
vs Falcons
Feb 2
Inferno
M80
13
–
9
NRG
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
M80
NRG
Overall Rating
M80
NRG
After First Death
M80
NRG
After First Kill
M80
NRG
Map Win Rate
M80
NRG
Recent on Inferno
M80
20-22
vs B8
Jun 3
13-8
vs Lynn Vision
Jun 2
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 21
15-19
vs Falcons
May 20
8-13
vs Liquid
May 12
NRG
10-13
vs GamerLegion
Jun 2
13-8
vs LAG
Apr 25
11-13
vs Passion UA
Apr 25
6-13
vs Legacy
Apr 7
13-3
vs Voca
Apr 4
Mirage
M80
13
–
8
NRG
77%
23%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
M80
NRG
After First Kill
M80
NRG
After First Death
M80
NRG
Overall Rating
M80
NRG
CT 4v5
M80
NRG
Recent on Mirage
M80
13-6
vs Sharks
Jun 2
13-11
vs Voca
May 28
13-11
vs Iowa Stormboar
May 26
2-13
vs MOUZ
May 21
13-8
vs paiN
May 19
NRG
13-10
vs FlyQuest
Jun 3
9-13
vs MOUZ
May 20
13-0
vs Foxtrot
Apr 25
13-9
vs Passion UA
Apr 25
6-13
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 6
Anubis
M80
13
–
10
NRG
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
M80
NRG
Map Win Rate
M80
NRG
Overall Rating
M80
NRG
CT 4v5
M80
NRG
After First Kill
M80
NRG
Recent on Anubis
M80
16-14
vs Voca
May 28
8-13
vs Marsborne
Apr 25
11-13
vs Alliance
Apr 2
13-10
vs Aurora
Mar 31
3-13
vs Liquid
Mar 4
NRG
16-19
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Mar 3
10-13
vs Monte
Mar 2
Recent Results
last 11 matches
M80
NRG
L
0-2
vs B8
AncientInferno
Jun 3
1d ago
W
1-0
vs Lynn Vision
Inferno
Jun 2
2d ago
W
1-0
vs Sharks
Mirage
Jun 2
2d ago
W
3-1
vs Voca
Dust2AnubisAncientMirage
May 28
7d ago
W
2-0
vs Iowa Stormboar
AncientMirage
May 26
9d ago
L
1-2
vs MOUZ
OverpassInfernoMirage
May 21
14d ago
L
0-2
vs Falcons
InfernoAncient
May 20
15d ago
W
1-0
vs paiN
Mirage
May 19
16d ago
L
1-2
vs Liquid
Dust2InfernoAncient
May 12
23d ago
L
0-2
vs Legacy
InfernoMirage
May 11
24d ago
W
2-0
vs Wildcard
Dust2Inferno
May 3
32d ago
W
1-0
vs FlyQuest
Mirage
Jun 3
1d ago
L
0-1
vs GamerLegion
Inferno
Jun 2
2d ago
W
1-0
vs SINNERS
Nuke
Jun 2
2d ago
L
1-2
vs MOUZ
AncientNukeMirage
May 20
15d ago
L
0-1
vs Legacy
Nuke
May 19
16d ago
L
0-2
vs FaZe
AncientNuke
May 12
23d ago
L
0-2
vs FUT
AncientOverpass
May 11
24d ago
W
2-0
vs Foxtrot
MirageNuke
Apr 25
40d ago
W
2-0
vs LAG
AncientInferno
Apr 25
40d ago
L
1-2
vs Passion UA
OverpassMirageInferno
Apr 25
40d ago
L
0-2
vs Legacy
Dust2Inferno
Apr 7
58d ago
Player Matchups
M80
Ratings
NRG
SW
Swisher
EntryADR 77.5KAST 75%
SO
Sonic
RiflerADR 80.0KAST 72%
SL
slaxz-
AWPADR 71.4KAST 73%
BR
br0
EntryADR 77.7KAST 73%
LA
Lake
RiflerADR 77.7KAST 72%
GR
Grim
RiflerADR 75.5KAST 68%
JB
JBa
RiflerADR 69.3KAST 73%
NI
nitr0
RiflerADR 62.0KAST 69%
S1
s1n
RiflerADR 65.2KAST 73%
OS
oSee
AWPADR 60.3KAST 69%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Dust2
M80
13
–
5
NRG
82%
18%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
Ranking
M80
NRG
Map Win Rate
M80
NRG
Map ADR
M80
NRG
Opening Kills
M80
NRG
After First Kill
M80
NRG
Recent on Dust2
M80
13-5
vs Voca
May 28
13-4
vs Liquid
May 12
16-14
vs Wildcard
May 3
13-1
vs It's a Secret
Apr 25
13-3
vs Monte
Apr 2
NRG
6-13
vs Legacy
Apr 7
7-13
vs FURIA
Mar 22
8-13
vs Falcons
Mar 18
11-13
vs Voca
Feb 7
9-13
vs Falcons
Feb 2
Overpass
M80
13
–
8
NRG
76%
24%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
CT 4v5
M80
NRG
Ranking
M80
NRG
Map Win Rate
M80
NRG
Flash Assists
M80
NRG
Map ADR
M80
NRG
Recent on Overpass
M80
3-13
vs MOUZ
May 21
13-5
vs Alliance
Apr 2
13-11
vs Aurora
Mar 31
13-2
vs Johnny Speeds
Mar 24
3-13
vs G2
Mar 3
NRG
9-13
vs FUT
May 11
4-13
vs Passion UA
Apr 25
Anubis
M80
13
–
10
NRG
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
M80
NRG
Map Win Rate
M80
NRG
Overall Rating
M80
NRG
CT 4v5
M80
NRG
After First Kill
M80
NRG
Recent on Anubis
M80
16-14
vs Voca
May 28
8-13
vs Marsborne
Apr 25
11-13
vs Alliance
Apr 2
13-10
vs Aurora
Mar 31
3-13
vs Liquid
Mar 4
NRG
16-19
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Mar 3
10-13
vs Monte
Mar 2
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1
5 matches