Bo3 · IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1
· 2026-06-05
Liquid
vs
FlyQuest
35%
65%
Series win probability
FLYQ
2–0
34%
FLYQ
2–1
30%
LIQU
2–1
20%
LIQU
2–0
15%
Model Insights
FlyQuest has a moderate edge at 65%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.13 vs 1.01), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#65 vs #35), a strong anubis (72% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
38%
Mirage · Anubis · Dust2
Scenario 2
31%
Anubis · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 3
31%
Anubis · Dust2 · Inferno
Mirage
LIQU
16
–
14
FLYQ
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
LIQU
FLYQ
After First Death
LIQU
FLYQ
After First Kill
LIQU
FLYQ
Flash Assists
LIQU
FLYQ
Map ADR
LIQU
FLYQ
Recent on Mirage
Liquid
10-13
vs MIBR
Jun 3
13-11
vs The MongolZ
May 21
9-13
vs GamerLegion
May 13
13-8
vs HAVU
Mar 31
16-13
vs Inner Circle
Mar 30
FlyQuest
10-13
vs NRG
Jun 3
11-13
vs JiJieHao
May 10
2-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 4
13-6
vs Nexus
Feb 26
16-14
vs Eternal Fire
Feb 26
Anubis
LIQU
8
–
13
FLYQ
28%
72%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Ranking
LIQU
FLYQ
Ban Rate
LIQU
FLYQ
CT 4v5
LIQU
FLYQ
Map Win Rate
LIQU
FLYQ
Flash Assists
LIQU
FLYQ
Recent on Anubis
Liquid
10-13
vs Sashi
Mar 31
13-3
vs M80
Mar 4
FlyQuest
13-10
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Jun 4
13-7
vs NEXVOID
May 12
13-8
vs TYLOO
Apr 4
13-4
vs SemperFi
Apr 1
13-9
vs UR
Mar 31
Dust2
LIQU
8
–
13
FLYQ
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
LIQU
FLYQ
Map Win Rate
LIQU
FLYQ
Round Win Rate
LIQU
FLYQ
Map ADR
LIQU
FLYQ
Opening Kills
LIQU
FLYQ
Recent on Dust2
Liquid
9-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 2
9-13
vs 3DMAX
May 20
9-13
vs PARIVISION
May 19
4-13
vs M80
May 12
4-13
vs Astralis
May 11
FlyQuest
13-4
vs NEXVOID
May 12
13-7
vs 5star
May 12
13-6
vs UR
Mar 31
16-13
vs Rare Atom
Mar 11
13-16
vs Alter Ego
Mar 11
Anubis
LIQU
8
–
13
FLYQ
28%
72%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Ranking
LIQU
FLYQ
Ban Rate
LIQU
FLYQ
CT 4v5
LIQU
FLYQ
Map Win Rate
LIQU
FLYQ
Flash Assists
LIQU
FLYQ
Recent on Anubis
Liquid
10-13
vs Sashi
Mar 31
13-3
vs M80
Mar 4
FlyQuest
13-10
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Jun 4
13-7
vs NEXVOID
May 12
13-8
vs TYLOO
Apr 4
13-4
vs SemperFi
Apr 1
13-9
vs UR
Mar 31
Dust2
LIQU
8
–
13
FLYQ
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
LIQU
FLYQ
Map Win Rate
LIQU
FLYQ
Round Win Rate
LIQU
FLYQ
Map ADR
LIQU
FLYQ
Opening Kills
LIQU
FLYQ
Recent on Dust2
Liquid
9-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 2
9-13
vs 3DMAX
May 20
9-13
vs PARIVISION
May 19
4-13
vs M80
May 12
4-13
vs Astralis
May 11
FlyQuest
13-4
vs NEXVOID
May 12
13-7
vs 5star
May 12
13-6
vs UR
Mar 31
16-13
vs Rare Atom
Mar 11
13-16
vs Alter Ego
Mar 11
Ancient
LIQU
10
–
13
FLYQ
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
LIQU
FLYQ
After First Death
LIQU
FLYQ
Map Win Rate
LIQU
FLYQ
Overall Rating
LIQU
FLYQ
T 4v5
LIQU
FLYQ
Recent on Ancient
Liquid
13-5
vs M80
May 12
11-13
vs Astralis
May 11
5-13
vs 3DMAX
Apr 14
2-13
vs Spirit
Apr 13
7-13
vs M80
Mar 31
FlyQuest
16-14
vs SINNERS
Jun 2
13-16
vs 5star
May 12
8-13
vs JiJieHao
May 10
16-13
vs SemperFi
Apr 1
Anubis
LIQU
8
–
13
FLYQ
28%
72%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Ranking
LIQU
FLYQ
Ban Rate
LIQU
FLYQ
CT 4v5
LIQU
FLYQ
Map Win Rate
LIQU
FLYQ
Flash Assists
LIQU
FLYQ
Recent on Anubis
Liquid
10-13
vs Sashi
Mar 31
13-3
vs M80
Mar 4
FlyQuest
13-10
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Jun 4
13-7
vs NEXVOID
May 12
13-8
vs TYLOO
Apr 4
13-4
vs SemperFi
Apr 1
13-9
vs UR
Mar 31
Dust2
LIQU
8
–
13
FLYQ
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
LIQU
FLYQ
Map Win Rate
LIQU
FLYQ
Round Win Rate
LIQU
FLYQ
Map ADR
LIQU
FLYQ
Opening Kills
LIQU
FLYQ
Recent on Dust2
Liquid
9-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 2
9-13
vs 3DMAX
May 20
9-13
vs PARIVISION
May 19
4-13
vs M80
May 12
4-13
vs Astralis
May 11
FlyQuest
13-4
vs NEXVOID
May 12
13-7
vs 5star
May 12
13-6
vs UR
Mar 31
16-13
vs Rare Atom
Mar 11
13-16
vs Alter Ego
Mar 11
Inferno
LIQU
13
–
10
FLYQ
55%
45%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
LIQU
FLYQ
After First Death
LIQU
FLYQ
Round Win Rate
LIQU
FLYQ
Side Balance
LIQU
FLYQ
Overall Rating
LIQU
FLYQ
Recent on Inferno
Liquid
13-11
vs HEROIC
Jun 4
7-13
vs The MongolZ
May 21
13-11
vs 3DMAX
May 20
13-8
vs M80
May 12
9-13
vs M80
Mar 31
FlyQuest
13-3
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Jun 4
11-13
vs GamerLegion
Jun 2
9-13
vs 5star
May 12
13-10
vs chinggis warriors
Apr 4
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Liquid
FlyQuest
W
2-0
vs HEROIC
NukeInferno
Jun 4
1d ago
L
0-1
vs MIBR
Mirage
Jun 3
2d ago
W
1-0
vs BIG
Nuke
Jun 2
3d ago
L
0-1
vs BetBoom
Dust2
Jun 2
3d ago
L
1-2
vs The MongolZ
MirageInfernoNuke
May 21
15d ago
W
2-1
vs 3DMAX
NukeDust2Inferno
May 20
16d ago
L
0-1
vs PARIVISION
Dust2
May 19
17d ago
L
0-2
vs GamerLegion
MirageNuke
May 13
23d ago
W
2-1
vs M80
Dust2InfernoAncient
May 12
24d ago
L
0-2
vs Astralis
Dust2Ancient
May 11
25d ago
L
0-2
vs 3DMAX
NukeAncient
Apr 14
52d ago
W
2-0
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
AnubisInferno
Jun 4
1d ago
L
0-1
vs NRG
Mirage
Jun 3
2d ago
W
1-0
vs SINNERS
Ancient
Jun 2
3d ago
L
0-1
vs GamerLegion
Inferno
Jun 2
3d ago
W
2-0
vs NEXVOID
AnubisDust2
May 12
24d ago
L
1-2
vs 5star
Dust2AncientInferno
May 12
24d ago
L
1-2
vs JiJieHao
AncientNukeMirage
May 10
26d ago
W
2-0
vs chinggis warriors
NukeInferno
Apr 4
62d ago
L
1-2
vs TYLOO
MirageAnubisNuke
Apr 4
62d ago
W
2-0
vs SemperFi
AncientAnubis
Apr 1
65d ago
W
2-0
vs UR
Dust2Anubis
Mar 31
66d ago
Player Matchups
Liquid
Ratings
FlyQuest
MA
malbsMd
RiflerADR 77.5KAST 72%
VE
Vexite
RiflerADR 78.8KAST 75%
NA
NAF
EntryADR 78.3KAST 74%
JK
jks
EntryADR 81.3KAST 75%
EL
EliGE
RiflerADR 77.5KAST 72%
NE
nettik
RiflerADR 74.8KAST 79%
UL
ultimate
AWPADR 66.1KAST 71%
ST
story
AWPADR 70.1KAST 75%
SI
siuhy
RiflerADR 62.9KAST 68%
IN
INS
RiflerADR 76.8KAST 73%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Nuke
LIQU
10
–
13
FLYQ
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
LIQU
FLYQ
After First Death
LIQU
FLYQ
Opening Kills
LIQU
FLYQ
Opening Duels
LIQU
FLYQ
Schedule Strength
LIQU
FLYQ
Recent on Nuke
Liquid
13-5
vs HEROIC
Jun 4
13-10
vs BIG
Jun 2
9-13
vs The MongolZ
May 21
13-11
vs 3DMAX
May 20
6-13
vs GamerLegion
May 13
FlyQuest
13-3
vs JiJieHao
May 10
13-4
vs chinggis warriors
Apr 4
8-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 4
11-13
vs Chinggis Warriors
Mar 9
14-16
vs 100 Thieves
Feb 28
Ancient
LIQU
10
–
13
FLYQ
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
LIQU
FLYQ
After First Death
LIQU
FLYQ
Map Win Rate
LIQU
FLYQ
Overall Rating
LIQU
FLYQ
T 4v5
LIQU
FLYQ
Recent on Ancient
Liquid
13-5
vs M80
May 12
11-13
vs Astralis
May 11
5-13
vs 3DMAX
Apr 14
2-13
vs Spirit
Apr 13
7-13
vs M80
Mar 31
FlyQuest
16-14
vs SINNERS
Jun 2
13-16
vs 5star
May 12
8-13
vs JiJieHao
May 10
16-13
vs SemperFi
Apr 1
Inferno
LIQU
13
–
10
FLYQ
55%
45%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
LIQU
FLYQ
After First Death
LIQU
FLYQ
Round Win Rate
LIQU
FLYQ
Side Balance
LIQU
FLYQ
Overall Rating
LIQU
FLYQ
Recent on Inferno
Liquid
13-11
vs HEROIC
Jun 4
7-13
vs The MongolZ
May 21
13-11
vs 3DMAX
May 20
13-8
vs M80
May 12
9-13
vs M80
Mar 31
FlyQuest
13-3
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Jun 4
11-13
vs GamerLegion
Jun 2
9-13
vs 5star
May 12
13-10
vs chinggis warriors
Apr 4
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1
2 matches