Bo3 · IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1
· 2026-06-05
NRG
vs
BIG
28%
72%
Series win probability
BIG
2–0
46%
BIG
2–1
27%
NRG
2–1
17%
NRG
2–0
10%
Model Insights
BIG is strongly favored at 72%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.09 vs 1.00), a strong mirage (71% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
37%
Mirage · Ancient · Inferno
Scenario 2
37%
Mirage · Ancient · Overpass
Scenario 3
26%
Mirage · Ancient · Nuke
Mirage
NRG
8
–
13
BIG
29%
71%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
NRG
BIG
After First Death
NRG
BIG
CT 4v5
NRG
BIG
Opening Kills
NRG
BIG
Overall Rating
NRG
BIG
Recent on Mirage
NRG
13-10
vs FlyQuest
Jun 3
9-13
vs MOUZ
May 20
13-0
vs Foxtrot
Apr 25
13-9
vs Passion UA
Apr 25
6-13
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 6
BIG
2-13
vs Nemiga
Apr 27
13-11
vs SPARTA
Apr 26
13-11
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 25
13-9
vs 100 Thieves
Apr 23
6-13
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Apr 5
Ancient
NRG
9
–
13
BIG
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
NRG
BIG
After First Kill
NRG
BIG
Side Balance
NRG
BIG
Overall Rating
NRG
BIG
Schedule Strength
NRG
BIG
Recent on Ancient
NRG
6-13
vs M80
Jun 4
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 20
3-13
vs FaZe
May 12
13-16
vs FUT
May 11
13-3
vs LAG
Apr 25
BIG
11-13
vs GamerLegion
Jun 4
19-17
vs SPARTA
Apr 26
13-8
vs Sharks
Apr 25
5-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 25
13-9
vs Acend
Apr 24
Inferno
NRG
8
–
13
BIG
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
NRG
BIG
Map Win Rate
NRG
BIG
CT 4v5
NRG
BIG
After First Death
NRG
BIG
T Rating
NRG
BIG
Recent on Inferno
NRG
10-13
vs M80
Jun 4
10-13
vs GamerLegion
Jun 2
13-8
vs LAG
Apr 25
11-13
vs Passion UA
Apr 25
6-13
vs Legacy
Apr 7
BIG
13-7
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Jun 3
13-1
vs Sharks
Apr 25
8-13
vs Nemesis
Apr 10
13-7
vs Bebop
Apr 8
13-8
vs Gentle Mates
Mar 25
Mirage
NRG
8
–
13
BIG
29%
71%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
NRG
BIG
After First Death
NRG
BIG
CT 4v5
NRG
BIG
Opening Kills
NRG
BIG
Overall Rating
NRG
BIG
Recent on Mirage
NRG
13-10
vs FlyQuest
Jun 3
9-13
vs MOUZ
May 20
13-0
vs Foxtrot
Apr 25
13-9
vs Passion UA
Apr 25
6-13
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 6
BIG
2-13
vs Nemiga
Apr 27
13-11
vs SPARTA
Apr 26
13-11
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 25
13-9
vs 100 Thieves
Apr 23
6-13
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Apr 5
Ancient
NRG
9
–
13
BIG
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
NRG
BIG
After First Kill
NRG
BIG
Side Balance
NRG
BIG
Overall Rating
NRG
BIG
Schedule Strength
NRG
BIG
Recent on Ancient
NRG
6-13
vs M80
Jun 4
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 20
3-13
vs FaZe
May 12
13-16
vs FUT
May 11
13-3
vs LAG
Apr 25
BIG
11-13
vs GamerLegion
Jun 4
19-17
vs SPARTA
Apr 26
13-8
vs Sharks
Apr 25
5-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 25
13-9
vs Acend
Apr 24
Overpass
NRG
7
–
13
BIG
27%
73%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Ban Rate
NRG
BIG
CT 4v5
NRG
BIG
Map Win Rate
NRG
BIG
Ranking
NRG
BIG
Map ADR
NRG
BIG
Recent on Overpass
NRG
9-13
vs FUT
May 11
4-13
vs Passion UA
Apr 25
BIG
14-16
vs GamerLegion
Jun 4
13-16
vs Nemiga
Apr 27
10-13
vs Sharks
Apr 25
13-8
vs Acend
Apr 24
7-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 24
Mirage
NRG
8
–
13
BIG
29%
71%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
NRG
BIG
After First Death
NRG
BIG
CT 4v5
NRG
BIG
Opening Kills
NRG
BIG
Overall Rating
NRG
BIG
Recent on Mirage
NRG
13-10
vs FlyQuest
Jun 3
9-13
vs MOUZ
May 20
13-0
vs Foxtrot
Apr 25
13-9
vs Passion UA
Apr 25
6-13
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 6
BIG
2-13
vs Nemiga
Apr 27
13-11
vs SPARTA
Apr 26
13-11
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 25
13-9
vs 100 Thieves
Apr 23
6-13
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Apr 5
Ancient
NRG
9
–
13
BIG
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
NRG
BIG
After First Kill
NRG
BIG
Side Balance
NRG
BIG
Overall Rating
NRG
BIG
Schedule Strength
NRG
BIG
Recent on Ancient
NRG
6-13
vs M80
Jun 4
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 20
3-13
vs FaZe
May 12
13-16
vs FUT
May 11
13-3
vs LAG
Apr 25
BIG
11-13
vs GamerLegion
Jun 4
19-17
vs SPARTA
Apr 26
13-8
vs Sharks
Apr 25
5-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 25
13-9
vs Acend
Apr 24
Nuke
NRG
8
–
13
BIG
30%
70%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
NRG
BIG
After First Kill
NRG
BIG
CT 4v5
NRG
BIG
Map Win Rate
NRG
BIG
After First Death
NRG
BIG
Recent on Nuke
NRG
13-6
vs SINNERS
Jun 2
6-13
vs MOUZ
May 20
10-13
vs Legacy
May 19
11-13
vs FaZe
May 12
13-1
vs Foxtrot
Apr 25
BIG
10-13
vs Liquid
Jun 2
13-1
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Jun 2
13-5
vs QWENTRY
Apr 10
9-13
vs Bebop
Apr 8
13-11
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Apr 5
Recent Results
last 11 matches
NRG
BIG
L
0-2
vs M80
AncientInferno
Jun 4
1d ago
W
1-0
vs FlyQuest
Mirage
Jun 3
2d ago
L
0-1
vs GamerLegion
Inferno
Jun 2
3d ago
W
1-0
vs SINNERS
Nuke
Jun 2
3d ago
L
1-2
vs MOUZ
AncientNukeMirage
May 20
16d ago
L
0-1
vs Legacy
Nuke
May 19
17d ago
L
0-2
vs FaZe
AncientNuke
May 12
24d ago
L
0-2
vs FUT
AncientOverpass
May 11
25d ago
W
2-0
vs Foxtrot
MirageNuke
Apr 25
41d ago
W
2-0
vs LAG
AncientInferno
Apr 25
41d ago
L
1-2
vs Passion UA
OverpassMirageInferno
Apr 25
41d ago
L
0-2
vs GamerLegion
OverpassAncient
Jun 4
1d ago
W
1-0
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Inferno
Jun 3
2d ago
L
0-1
vs Liquid
Nuke
Jun 2
3d ago
W
1-0
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Nuke
Jun 2
3d ago
L
0-2
vs Nemiga
OverpassMirage
Apr 27
39d ago
W
2-0
vs SPARTA
MirageAncient
Apr 26
40d ago
W
2-1
vs Sharks
InfernoOverpassAncient
Apr 25
41d ago
L
1-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
AncientMirageAnubis
Apr 25
41d ago
W
2-0
vs Acend
AncientOverpass
Apr 24
42d ago
L
0-2
vs HEROIC
Dust2Overpass
Apr 24
42d ago
W
2-1
vs 100 Thieves
MirageAncientDust2
Apr 23
43d ago
Player Matchups
NRG
Ratings
BIG
SO
Sonic
RiflerADR 78.9KAST 71%
BL
blameF
EntryADR 84.3KAST 77%
BR
br0
EntryADR 77.1KAST 73%
GR
gr1ks
AWPADR 75.8KAST 76%
GR
Grim
RiflerADR 76.2KAST 68%
JD
JDC
RiflerADR 79.5KAST 74%
NI
nitr0
RiflerADR 61.5KAST 69%
FA
faveN
RiflerADR 68.1KAST 72%
OS
oSee
AWPADR 59.6KAST 68%
TA
tabseN
RiflerADR 65.9KAST 73%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Dust2
NRG
9
–
13
BIG
27%
73%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
NRG
BIG
After First Kill
NRG
BIG
Map Win Rate
NRG
BIG
Schedule Strength
NRG
BIG
Map ADR
NRG
BIG
Recent on Dust2
NRG
6-13
vs Legacy
Apr 7
7-13
vs FURIA
Mar 22
8-13
vs Falcons
Mar 18
11-13
vs Voca
Feb 7
9-13
vs Falcons
Feb 2
BIG
9-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 24
16-13
vs 100 Thieves
Apr 23
13-4
vs Bebop
Apr 8
3-13
vs FaZe
Apr 5
9-13
vs HOTU
Mar 26
Overpass
NRG
7
–
13
BIG
27%
73%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Ban Rate
NRG
BIG
CT 4v5
NRG
BIG
Map Win Rate
NRG
BIG
Ranking
NRG
BIG
Map ADR
NRG
BIG
Recent on Overpass
NRG
9-13
vs FUT
May 11
4-13
vs Passion UA
Apr 25
BIG
14-16
vs GamerLegion
Jun 4
13-16
vs Nemiga
Apr 27
10-13
vs Sharks
Apr 25
13-8
vs Acend
Apr 24
7-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 24
Nuke
NRG
8
–
13
BIG
30%
70%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
NRG
BIG
After First Kill
NRG
BIG
CT 4v5
NRG
BIG
Map Win Rate
NRG
BIG
After First Death
NRG
BIG
Recent on Nuke
NRG
13-6
vs SINNERS
Jun 2
6-13
vs MOUZ
May 20
10-13
vs Legacy
May 19
11-13
vs FaZe
May 12
13-1
vs Foxtrot
Apr 25
BIG
10-13
vs Liquid
Jun 2
13-1
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Jun 2
13-5
vs QWENTRY
Apr 10
9-13
vs Bebop
Apr 8
13-11
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Apr 5
Anubis
NRG
10
–
13
BIG
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
NRG
BIG
Map Win Rate
NRG
BIG
After First Death
NRG
BIG
Map ADR
NRG
BIG
T Rating
NRG
BIG
Recent on Anubis
NRG
16-19
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Mar 3
10-13
vs Monte
Mar 2
BIG
5-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 25
13-9
vs Ursa
Apr 9
13-3
vs FaZe
Apr 5
6-13
vs Betclic
Apr 4
8-13
vs K27
Mar 20
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1
2 matches