Bo1 · IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2
· 2026-06-06
Astralis
vs
GamerLegion
57%
43%
Series win probability
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Astralis is slightly favored at 58% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.05 vs 1.01), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#10 vs #9), a strong mirage (69% win probability). GamerLegion's best shot is ancient where they hold a 58% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
100%
Ancient
Ancient
ASTR
11
–
13
GAME
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ASTR
GAME
Ranking
ASTR
GAME
Round Win Rate
ASTR
GAME
Best Player
ASTR
GAME
Map Win Rate
ASTR
GAME
Recent on Ancient
Astralis
8-13
vs GamerLegion
May 13
13-11
vs Liquid
May 11
5-13
vs FUT
Apr 11
16-14
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
13-9
vs The MongolZ
Apr 6
GamerLegion
13-11
vs BIG
Jun 4
8-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 3
13-9
vs Legacy
May 16
13-8
vs Astralis
May 13
13-1
vs Natus Vincere
May 12
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Astralis
GamerLegion
W
2-0
vs SINNERS
MirageInferno
May 13
24d ago
L
0-2
vs GamerLegion
MirageAncient
May 13
24d ago
L
0-2
vs Legacy
Dust2Nuke
May 12
25d ago
W
2-0
vs Liquid
Dust2Ancient
May 11
26d ago
L
0-2
vs GamerLegion
OverpassInferno
May 1
36d ago
W
2-0
vs FUT
MirageNuke
Apr 30
37d ago
L
0-2
vs G2
Dust2Overpass
Apr 29
38d ago
L
1-3
vs FUT
AncientMirageNukeDust2
Apr 11
56d ago
W
2-0
vs 3DMAX
Dust2Overpass
Apr 10
57d ago
W
2-1
vs EYEBALLERS
MirageAncientInferno
Apr 9
58d ago
W
2-0
vs The MongolZ
MirageAncient
Apr 6
61d ago
W
2-0
vs BIG
OverpassAncient
Jun 4
2d ago
L
0-2
vs BetBoom
NukeAncient
Jun 3
3d ago
W
1-0
vs NRG
Inferno
Jun 2
4d ago
W
1-0
vs FlyQuest
Inferno
Jun 2
4d ago
L
0-3
vs Natus Vincere
MirageAnubisNuke
May 17
20d ago
W
2-1
vs Legacy
AncientMirageInferno
May 16
21d ago
W
2-1
vs paiN
OverpassNukeInferno
May 15
22d ago
W
2-0
vs Liquid
MirageNuke
May 13
24d ago
W
2-0
vs Astralis
MirageAncient
May 13
24d ago
L
1-2
vs Natus Vincere
InfernoAncientMirage
May 12
25d ago
W
2-1
vs SINNERS
MirageInfernoNuke
May 11
26d ago
Player Matchups
Astralis
Ratings
GamerLegion
ST
Staehr
RiflerADR 80.5KAST 72%
RE
REZ
RiflerADR 79.6KAST 73%
JA
jabbi
EntryADR 75.8KAST 72%
PR
PR
EntryADR 76.8KAST 72%
PH
phzy
AWPADR 72.4KAST 72%
HY
hypex
AWPADR 65.2KAST 74%
RY
ryu
RiflerADR 70.5KAST 70%
TA
Tauson
RiflerADR 68.9KAST 69%
HO
HooXi
RiflerADR 62.1KAST 69%
SN
Snax
RiflerADR 64.2KAST 67%
Unpredicted Maps
6 maps
Anubis
ASTR
8
–
13
GAME
26%
74%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ASTR
GAME
Round Win Rate
ASTR
GAME
Star Player
ASTR
GAME
Pistol Rounds
ASTR
GAME
T Opening Kills
ASTR
GAME
Recent on Anubis
Astralis
no data
GamerLegion
9-13
vs Natus Vincere
May 17
8-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 4
14-16
vs Alliance
Mar 27
13-10
vs illwill
Feb 23
Nuke
ASTR
13
–
10
GAME
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ASTR
GAME
Ranking
ASTR
GAME
Round Win Rate
ASTR
GAME
Opening Kills
ASTR
GAME
Days With Lineup Diff
ASTR
GAME
Recent on Nuke
Astralis
6-13
vs Legacy
May 12
13-10
vs FUT
Apr 30
16-14
vs FUT
Apr 11
8-13
vs B8
Apr 5
13-11
vs Aurora
Mar 14
GamerLegion
2-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 3
13-16
vs Natus Vincere
May 17
13-6
vs paiN
May 15
13-6
vs Liquid
May 13
13-8
vs SINNERS
May 11
Dust2
ASTR
13
–
11
GAME
61%
39%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ASTR
GAME
Ranking
ASTR
GAME
Experience
ASTR
GAME
Star Player
ASTR
GAME
Ban Rate
ASTR
GAME
Recent on Dust2
Astralis
8-13
vs Legacy
May 12
13-4
vs Liquid
May 11
5-13
vs G2
Apr 29
3-13
vs FUT
Apr 11
13-11
vs 3DMAX
Apr 10
GamerLegion
11-13
vs ex-RUBY
Feb 6
Overpass
ASTR
10
–
13
GAME
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opening Kills
ASTR
GAME
Round Win Rate
ASTR
GAME
Ranking
ASTR
GAME
Days With Lineup Diff
ASTR
GAME
Pistol Rounds
ASTR
GAME
Recent on Overpass
Astralis
8-13
vs GamerLegion
May 1
9-13
vs G2
Apr 29
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Apr 10
13-5
vs MIBR
Apr 4
16-12
vs FUT
Mar 15
GamerLegion
16-14
vs BIG
Jun 4
6-13
vs paiN
May 15
14-16
vs Vitality
May 2
13-8
vs Astralis
May 1
13-1
vs Sashi
Feb 23
Mirage
ASTR
13
–
9
GAME
69%
31%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ASTR
GAME
Ranking
ASTR
GAME
Opening Kills
ASTR
GAME
Round Win Rate
ASTR
GAME
Map Win Rate
ASTR
GAME
Recent on Mirage
Astralis
13-11
vs SINNERS
May 13
3-13
vs GamerLegion
May 13
13-5
vs FUT
Apr 30
5-13
vs FUT
Apr 11
8-13
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
GamerLegion
3-13
vs Natus Vincere
May 17
3-13
vs Legacy
May 16
13-9
vs Liquid
May 13
13-3
vs Astralis
May 13
11-13
vs Natus Vincere
May 12
Inferno
ASTR
13
–
9
GAME
61%
39%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ASTR
GAME
Ranking
ASTR
GAME
Days With Lineup Diff
ASTR
GAME
Best Player
ASTR
GAME
Opening Score
ASTR
GAME
Recent on Inferno
Astralis
13-8
vs SINNERS
May 13
14-16
vs GamerLegion
May 1
13-2
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
10-13
vs Aurora
Mar 14
13-4
vs FURIA
Mar 10
GamerLegion
13-10
vs NRG
Jun 2
13-11
vs FlyQuest
Jun 2
13-6
vs Legacy
May 16
13-8
vs paiN
May 15
4-13
vs Natus Vincere
May 12
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2
7 matches