Bo1 · IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2
· 2026-06-06
Monte
vs
BIG
50%
50%
Series win probability
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — BIG is slightly favored at 50% but only leads on 1 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.09 vs 1.04), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#28 vs #21), a strong ancient (69% win probability). Monte's best shot is dust2 where they hold a 62% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
100%
Mirage
Mirage
MONT
8
–
13
BIG
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
MONT
BIG
Ranking
MONT
BIG
5v4 Rounds
MONT
BIG
Best Player
MONT
BIG
After First Kill
MONT
BIG
Recent on Mirage
Monte
16-12
vs The Huns
May 12
8-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 25
10-13
vs M80
Apr 2
11-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 6
13-10
vs PARIVISION
Mar 4
BIG
16-12
vs NRG
Jun 5
2-13
vs Nemiga
Apr 27
13-11
vs SPARTA
Apr 26
13-11
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 25
13-9
vs 100 Thieves
Apr 23
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Monte
BIG
L
0-2
vs G2
AncientDust2
May 13
24d ago
W
2-1
vs The Huns
NukeDust2Mirage
May 12
25d ago
L
0-2
vs Falcons
Dust2Ancient
May 11
26d ago
W
2-0
vs magic
AncientDust2
May 10
27d ago
L
0-2
vs FURIA
NukeOverpass
May 9
28d ago
W
2-1
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
NukeDust2Anubis
Apr 26
41d ago
W
3-1
vs HEROIC
NukeDust2InfernoAncient
Apr 26
41d ago
L
1-2
vs HEROIC
NukeDust2Mirage
Apr 25
42d ago
W
2-1
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
NukeDust2Anubis
Apr 24
43d ago
W
2-0
vs Betclic
NukeDust2
Apr 23
44d ago
L
1-2
vs M80
InfernoDust2Mirage
Apr 2
65d ago
W
2-1
vs NRG
Dust2NukeMirage
Jun 5
1d ago
L
0-2
vs GamerLegion
OverpassAncient
Jun 4
2d ago
W
1-0
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Inferno
Jun 3
3d ago
L
0-1
vs Liquid
Nuke
Jun 2
4d ago
W
1-0
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Nuke
Jun 2
4d ago
L
0-2
vs Nemiga
OverpassMirage
Apr 27
40d ago
W
2-0
vs SPARTA
MirageAncient
Apr 26
41d ago
W
2-1
vs Sharks
InfernoOverpassAncient
Apr 25
42d ago
L
1-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
AncientMirageAnubis
Apr 25
42d ago
W
2-0
vs Acend
AncientOverpass
Apr 24
43d ago
L
0-2
vs HEROIC
Dust2Overpass
Apr 24
43d ago
Player Matchups
Monte
Ratings
BIG
AF
afro
AWPADR 76.6KAST 72%
BL
blameF
EntryADR 84.4KAST 77%
RA
Rainwaker
EntryADR 74.6KAST 73%
GR
gr1ks
AWPADR 75.1KAST 75%
BY
Bymas
RiflerADR 64.9KAST 70%
JD
JDC
RiflerADR 79.4KAST 74%
GI
Gizmy
RiflerADR 72.3KAST 70%
FA
faveN
RiflerADR 68.2KAST 72%
AZ
AZUWU
RiflerADR 67.6KAST 68%
TA
tabseN
RiflerADR 66.4KAST 73%
Unpredicted Maps
7 maps
Overpass
MONT
5
–
13
BIG
13%
87%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
MONT
BIG
Round Win Rate
MONT
BIG
Ranking
MONT
BIG
Ban Rate
MONT
BIG
Experience
MONT
BIG
Recent on Overpass
Monte
3-13
vs FURIA
May 9
3-13
vs 9INE
Mar 25
11-13
vs FaZe
Mar 8
16-19
vs fnatic
Feb 21
BIG
14-16
vs GamerLegion
Jun 4
13-16
vs Nemiga
Apr 27
10-13
vs Sharks
Apr 25
13-8
vs Acend
Apr 24
7-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 24
Inferno
MONT
7
–
13
BIG
26%
74%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
MONT
BIG
Round Win Rate
MONT
BIG
Ranking
MONT
BIG
Round Win %
MONT
BIG
5v4 Rounds
MONT
BIG
Recent on Inferno
Monte
5-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
13-8
vs M80
Apr 2
13-11
vs 9INE
Mar 25
1-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 6
13-7
vs PARIVISION
Mar 4
BIG
13-7
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Jun 3
13-1
vs Sharks
Apr 25
8-13
vs Nemesis
Apr 10
13-7
vs Bebop
Apr 8
13-8
vs Gentle Mates
Mar 25
Mirage
MONT
8
–
13
BIG
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
MONT
BIG
Ranking
MONT
BIG
5v4 Rounds
MONT
BIG
Best Player
MONT
BIG
After First Kill
MONT
BIG
Recent on Mirage
Monte
16-12
vs The Huns
May 12
8-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 25
10-13
vs M80
Apr 2
11-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 6
13-10
vs PARIVISION
Mar 4
BIG
16-12
vs NRG
Jun 5
2-13
vs Nemiga
Apr 27
13-11
vs SPARTA
Apr 26
13-11
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 25
13-9
vs 100 Thieves
Apr 23
Anubis
MONT
11
–
13
BIG
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
MONT
BIG
Ranking
MONT
BIG
After First Death
MONT
BIG
Map Win Rate
MONT
BIG
Best Player
MONT
BIG
Recent on Anubis
Monte
13-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
16-14
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 24
13-11
vs Alliance
Mar 31
13-8
vs Passion UA
Mar 31
10-13
vs BetBoom
Mar 25
BIG
5-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 25
13-9
vs Ursa
Apr 9
13-3
vs FaZe
Apr 5
6-13
vs Betclic
Apr 4
8-13
vs K27
Mar 20
Ancient
MONT
8
–
13
BIG
31%
69%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
MONT
BIG
Ranking
MONT
BIG
After First Death
MONT
BIG
T Side
MONT
BIG
Opening Kills
MONT
BIG
Recent on Ancient
Monte
2-13
vs G2
May 13
10-13
vs Falcons
May 11
13-11
vs magic
May 10
13-10
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
13-4
vs M80
Apr 1
BIG
11-13
vs GamerLegion
Jun 4
19-17
vs SPARTA
Apr 26
13-8
vs Sharks
Apr 25
5-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 25
13-9
vs Acend
Apr 24
Nuke
MONT
13
–
10
BIG
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
MONT
BIG
Multi-Kills
MONT
BIG
Opening Kills
MONT
BIG
Overall Rating
MONT
BIG
Side Balance
MONT
BIG
Recent on Nuke
Monte
13-2
vs The Huns
May 12
3-13
vs FURIA
May 9
14-16
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
13-0
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
9-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 25
BIG
12-16
vs NRG
Jun 5
10-13
vs Liquid
Jun 2
13-1
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Jun 2
13-5
vs QWENTRY
Apr 10
9-13
vs Bebop
Apr 8
Dust2
MONT
13
–
9
BIG
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
MONT
BIG
Ranking
MONT
BIG
Flash Assists
MONT
BIG
Ban Rate
MONT
BIG
After First Death
MONT
BIG
Recent on Dust2
Monte
4-13
vs G2
May 13
10-13
vs The Huns
May 12
11-13
vs Falcons
May 11
13-7
vs magic
May 10
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
BIG
13-5
vs NRG
Jun 5
9-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 24
16-13
vs 100 Thieves
Apr 23
13-4
vs Bebop
Apr 8
3-13
vs FaZe
Apr 5
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2
7 matches