Bo1 · IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2
· 2026-06-06
paiN
vs
BIG
41%
59%
Series win probability
Model Insights
BIG has a moderate edge at 59%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.08 vs 1.03), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#29 vs #20), a strong overpass (65% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
100%
Mirage
Mirage
PAIN
16
–
14
BIG
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
PAIN
BIG
Opening Kills
PAIN
BIG
Ranking
PAIN
BIG
Map Win Rate
PAIN
BIG
Best Player
PAIN
BIG
Recent on Mirage
paiN
9-13
vs TYLOO
Jun 6
13-5
vs TYLOO
May 21
8-13
vs M80
May 19
13-8
vs ShindeN
Apr 4
13-5
vs Fluxo
Apr 4
BIG
8-13
vs Monte
Jun 6
16-12
vs NRG
Jun 5
2-13
vs Nemiga
Apr 27
13-11
vs SPARTA
Apr 26
13-11
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 25
Recent Results
last 11 matches
paiN
BIG
W
2-1
vs TYLOO
MirageNukeOverpass
May 21
16d ago
L
0-2
vs MOUZ
NukeOverpass
May 21
16d ago
W
2-0
vs BC.Game
Dust2Anubis
May 20
17d ago
L
0-1
vs M80
Mirage
May 19
18d ago
L
1-2
vs GamerLegion
OverpassNukeInferno
May 15
22d ago
L
1-2
vs BetBoom
Dust2NukeAnubis
May 13
24d ago
W
2-1
vs FUT
NukeOverpassDust2
May 12
25d ago
W
2-0
vs FaZe
Dust2Anubis
May 11
26d ago
W
3-1
vs Gaimin Gladiators
NukeOverpassAnubisDust2
Apr 5
62d ago
W
2-1
vs ShindeN
MirageInfernoNuke
Apr 4
63d ago
W
2-0
vs Fluxo
MirageNuke
Apr 4
63d ago
W
2-1
vs NRG
Dust2NukeMirage
Jun 5
1d ago
L
0-2
vs GamerLegion
OverpassAncient
Jun 4
2d ago
W
1-0
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Inferno
Jun 3
3d ago
L
0-1
vs Liquid
Nuke
Jun 2
4d ago
W
1-0
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Nuke
Jun 2
4d ago
L
0-2
vs Nemiga
OverpassMirage
Apr 27
40d ago
W
2-0
vs SPARTA
MirageAncient
Apr 26
41d ago
W
2-1
vs Sharks
InfernoOverpassAncient
Apr 25
42d ago
L
1-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
AncientMirageAnubis
Apr 25
42d ago
W
2-0
vs Acend
AncientOverpass
Apr 24
43d ago
L
0-2
vs HEROIC
Dust2Overpass
Apr 24
43d ago
Player Matchups
paiN
Ratings
BIG
SN
snow
RiflerADR 75.0KAST 72%
BL
blameF
EntryADR 84.0KAST 76%
PI
piriajr
EntryADR 76.5KAST 70%
JD
JDC
RiflerADR 79.8KAST 74%
BI
biguzera
RiflerADR 70.3KAST 73%
GR
gr1ks
AWPADR 74.6KAST 75%
VS
vsm
RiflerADR 69.8KAST 69%
FA
faveN
RiflerADR 68.2KAST 72%
SA
saffee
AWPADR 67.8KAST 70%
TA
tabseN
RiflerADR 66.4KAST 73%
Unpredicted Maps
6 maps
Ancient
PAIN
6
–
13
BIG
15%
85%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
PAIN
BIG
Ranking
PAIN
BIG
Experience
PAIN
BIG
Ban Rate
PAIN
BIG
Star Player
PAIN
BIG
Recent on Ancient
paiN
no data
BIG
11-13
vs GamerLegion
Jun 4
19-17
vs SPARTA
Apr 26
13-8
vs Sharks
Apr 25
5-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 25
13-9
vs Acend
Apr 24
Inferno
PAIN
8
–
13
BIG
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
PAIN
BIG
Round Win Rate
PAIN
BIG
Ranking
PAIN
BIG
Map Win Rate
PAIN
BIG
5v4 Rounds
PAIN
BIG
Recent on Inferno
paiN
8-13
vs GamerLegion
May 15
4-13
vs ShindeN
Apr 4
13-6
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Mar 30
9-13
vs 9z
Mar 29
13-11
vs lp
Mar 27
BIG
13-7
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Jun 3
13-1
vs Sharks
Apr 25
8-13
vs Nemesis
Apr 10
13-7
vs Bebop
Apr 8
13-8
vs Gentle Mates
Mar 25
Anubis
PAIN
13
–
9
BIG
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
PAIN
BIG
Ranking
PAIN
BIG
Flash Assists
PAIN
BIG
After First Death
PAIN
BIG
5v4 Rounds
PAIN
BIG
Recent on Anubis
paiN
13-4
vs BC.Game
May 20
5-13
vs BetBoom
May 13
13-8
vs FaZe
May 11
13-4
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Apr 5
13-7
vs ALKA
Apr 1
BIG
5-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 25
13-9
vs Ursa
Apr 9
13-3
vs FaZe
Apr 5
6-13
vs Betclic
Apr 4
8-13
vs K27
Mar 20
Dust2
PAIN
11
–
13
BIG
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
PAIN
BIG
Map Win Rate
PAIN
BIG
Ranking
PAIN
BIG
Round Win Rate
PAIN
BIG
Days With Lineup Diff
PAIN
BIG
Recent on Dust2
paiN
13-8
vs BC.Game
May 20
11-13
vs BetBoom
May 13
13-11
vs FUT
May 12
13-6
vs FaZe
May 11
13-7
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Apr 5
BIG
13-5
vs NRG
Jun 5
9-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 24
16-13
vs 100 Thieves
Apr 23
13-4
vs Bebop
Apr 8
3-13
vs FaZe
Apr 5
Nuke
PAIN
11
–
13
BIG
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
PAIN
BIG
Map Win Rate
PAIN
BIG
Map Player Rating
PAIN
BIG
Round Win Rate
PAIN
BIG
Ban Rate
PAIN
BIG
Recent on Nuke
paiN
8-13
vs TYLOO
May 21
4-13
vs MOUZ
May 21
6-13
vs GamerLegion
May 15
13-6
vs BetBoom
May 13
13-8
vs FUT
May 12
BIG
12-16
vs NRG
Jun 5
10-13
vs Liquid
Jun 2
13-1
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Jun 2
13-5
vs QWENTRY
Apr 10
9-13
vs Bebop
Apr 8
Overpass
PAIN
7
–
13
BIG
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
PAIN
BIG
Ranking
PAIN
BIG
Round Win Rate
PAIN
BIG
Map Win Rate
PAIN
BIG
Best Player
PAIN
BIG
Recent on Overpass
paiN
13-6
vs TYLOO
May 21
7-13
vs MOUZ
May 21
13-6
vs GamerLegion
May 15
10-13
vs FUT
May 12
11-13
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Apr 5
BIG
14-16
vs GamerLegion
Jun 4
13-16
vs Nemiga
Apr 27
10-13
vs Sharks
Apr 25
13-8
vs Acend
Apr 24
7-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 24
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2
13 matches