Bo3 · IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2
· 2026-06-07
FlyQuest
vs
paiN
57%
43%
Series win probability
FLYQ
2–0
34%
FLYQ
2–1
33%
PAIN
2–1
18%
PAIN
2–0
16%
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — FlyQuest is slightly favored at 57% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.13 vs 1.03), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#56 vs #21), a strong anubis (69% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
41%
Anubis · Nuke · Dust2
Scenario 2
32%
Anubis · Nuke · Inferno
Scenario 3
27%
Anubis · Nuke · Mirage
Anubis
FLYQ
13
–
8
PAIN
69%
31%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FLYQ
PAIN
Ranking
FLYQ
PAIN
Round Win Rate
FLYQ
PAIN
Overall Rating
FLYQ
PAIN
Flash Assists
FLYQ
PAIN
Recent on Anubis
FlyQuest
13-2
vs Liquid
Jun 5
13-10
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Jun 4
13-7
vs NEXVOID
May 12
13-8
vs TYLOO
Apr 4
13-4
vs SemperFi
Apr 1
paiN
13-4
vs BC.Game
May 20
5-13
vs BetBoom
May 13
13-8
vs FaZe
May 11
13-4
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Apr 5
13-7
vs ALKA
Apr 1
Nuke
FLYQ
16
–
14
PAIN
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
FLYQ
PAIN
Map Player Rating
FLYQ
PAIN
Round Win Rate
FLYQ
PAIN
Overall Rating
FLYQ
PAIN
Map Win Rate
FLYQ
PAIN
Recent on Nuke
FlyQuest
13-3
vs JiJieHao
May 10
13-4
vs chinggis warriors
Apr 4
8-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 4
11-13
vs Chinggis Warriors
Mar 9
14-16
vs 100 Thieves
Feb 28
paiN
8-13
vs TYLOO
May 21
4-13
vs MOUZ
May 21
6-13
vs GamerLegion
May 15
13-6
vs BetBoom
May 13
13-8
vs FUT
May 12
Dust2
FLYQ
13
–
8
PAIN
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FLYQ
PAIN
Ranking
FLYQ
PAIN
Round Win Rate
FLYQ
PAIN
Overall Rating
FLYQ
PAIN
Best Player
FLYQ
PAIN
Recent on Dust2
FlyQuest
9-13
vs 9z
Jun 6
7-13
vs Legacy
Jun 6
13-4
vs NEXVOID
May 12
13-7
vs 5star
May 12
13-6
vs UR
Mar 31
paiN
13-8
vs BC.Game
May 20
11-13
vs BetBoom
May 13
13-11
vs FUT
May 12
13-6
vs FaZe
May 11
13-7
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Apr 5
Anubis
FLYQ
13
–
8
PAIN
69%
31%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FLYQ
PAIN
Ranking
FLYQ
PAIN
Round Win Rate
FLYQ
PAIN
Overall Rating
FLYQ
PAIN
Flash Assists
FLYQ
PAIN
Recent on Anubis
FlyQuest
13-2
vs Liquid
Jun 5
13-10
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Jun 4
13-7
vs NEXVOID
May 12
13-8
vs TYLOO
Apr 4
13-4
vs SemperFi
Apr 1
paiN
13-4
vs BC.Game
May 20
5-13
vs BetBoom
May 13
13-8
vs FaZe
May 11
13-4
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Apr 5
13-7
vs ALKA
Apr 1
Nuke
FLYQ
16
–
14
PAIN
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
FLYQ
PAIN
Map Player Rating
FLYQ
PAIN
Round Win Rate
FLYQ
PAIN
Overall Rating
FLYQ
PAIN
Map Win Rate
FLYQ
PAIN
Recent on Nuke
FlyQuest
13-3
vs JiJieHao
May 10
13-4
vs chinggis warriors
Apr 4
8-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 4
11-13
vs Chinggis Warriors
Mar 9
14-16
vs 100 Thieves
Feb 28
paiN
8-13
vs TYLOO
May 21
4-13
vs MOUZ
May 21
6-13
vs GamerLegion
May 15
13-6
vs BetBoom
May 13
13-8
vs FUT
May 12
Inferno
FLYQ
13
–
8
PAIN
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FLYQ
PAIN
Ranking
FLYQ
PAIN
Round Win Rate
FLYQ
PAIN
Overall Rating
FLYQ
PAIN
Flash Assists
FLYQ
PAIN
Recent on Inferno
FlyQuest
13-7
vs Liquid
Jun 5
13-3
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Jun 4
11-13
vs GamerLegion
Jun 2
9-13
vs 5star
May 12
13-10
vs chinggis warriors
Apr 4
paiN
8-13
vs GamerLegion
May 15
4-13
vs ShindeN
Apr 4
13-6
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Mar 30
9-13
vs 9z
Mar 29
13-11
vs lp
Mar 27
Anubis
FLYQ
13
–
8
PAIN
69%
31%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FLYQ
PAIN
Ranking
FLYQ
PAIN
Round Win Rate
FLYQ
PAIN
Overall Rating
FLYQ
PAIN
Flash Assists
FLYQ
PAIN
Recent on Anubis
FlyQuest
13-2
vs Liquid
Jun 5
13-10
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Jun 4
13-7
vs NEXVOID
May 12
13-8
vs TYLOO
Apr 4
13-4
vs SemperFi
Apr 1
paiN
13-4
vs BC.Game
May 20
5-13
vs BetBoom
May 13
13-8
vs FaZe
May 11
13-4
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Apr 5
13-7
vs ALKA
Apr 1
Nuke
FLYQ
16
–
14
PAIN
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
FLYQ
PAIN
Map Player Rating
FLYQ
PAIN
Round Win Rate
FLYQ
PAIN
Overall Rating
FLYQ
PAIN
Map Win Rate
FLYQ
PAIN
Recent on Nuke
FlyQuest
13-3
vs JiJieHao
May 10
13-4
vs chinggis warriors
Apr 4
8-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 4
11-13
vs Chinggis Warriors
Mar 9
14-16
vs 100 Thieves
Feb 28
paiN
8-13
vs TYLOO
May 21
4-13
vs MOUZ
May 21
6-13
vs GamerLegion
May 15
13-6
vs BetBoom
May 13
13-8
vs FUT
May 12
Mirage
FLYQ
7
–
13
PAIN
17%
83%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FLYQ
PAIN
Ranking
FLYQ
PAIN
Flash Assists
FLYQ
PAIN
Best Player
FLYQ
PAIN
Opening Kills
FLYQ
PAIN
Recent on Mirage
FlyQuest
10-13
vs NRG
Jun 3
11-13
vs JiJieHao
May 10
2-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 4
13-6
vs Nexus
Feb 26
16-14
vs Eternal Fire
Feb 26
paiN
9-13
vs TYLOO
Jun 6
13-5
vs TYLOO
May 21
8-13
vs M80
May 19
13-8
vs ShindeN
Apr 4
13-5
vs Fluxo
Apr 4
Recent Results
last 11 matches
FlyQuest
paiN
L
0-1
vs 9z
Dust2
Jun 6
1d ago
L
0-1
vs Legacy
Dust2
Jun 6
1d ago
W
2-0
vs Liquid
AnubisInferno
Jun 5
2d ago
W
2-0
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
AnubisInferno
Jun 4
3d ago
L
0-1
vs NRG
Mirage
Jun 3
4d ago
W
1-0
vs SINNERS
Ancient
Jun 2
5d ago
L
0-1
vs GamerLegion
Inferno
Jun 2
5d ago
W
2-0
vs NEXVOID
AnubisDust2
May 12
26d ago
L
1-2
vs 5star
Dust2AncientInferno
May 12
26d ago
L
1-2
vs JiJieHao
AncientNukeMirage
May 10
28d ago
W
2-0
vs chinggis warriors
NukeInferno
Apr 4
64d ago
L
0-1
vs TYLOO
Mirage
Jun 6
1d ago
L
0-1
vs BIG
Overpass
Jun 6
1d ago
W
2-1
vs TYLOO
MirageNukeOverpass
May 21
17d ago
L
0-2
vs MOUZ
NukeOverpass
May 21
17d ago
W
2-0
vs BC.Game
Dust2Anubis
May 20
18d ago
L
0-1
vs M80
Mirage
May 19
19d ago
L
1-2
vs GamerLegion
OverpassNukeInferno
May 15
23d ago
L
1-2
vs BetBoom
Dust2NukeAnubis
May 13
25d ago
W
2-1
vs FUT
NukeOverpassDust2
May 12
26d ago
W
2-0
vs FaZe
Dust2Anubis
May 11
27d ago
W
3-1
vs Gaimin Gladiators
NukeOverpassAnubisDust2
Apr 5
63d ago
Player Matchups
FlyQuest
Ratings
paiN
VE
Vexite
RiflerADR 79.2KAST 75%
SN
snow
RiflerADR 74.4KAST 72%
JK
jks
EntryADR 81.6KAST 75%
PI
piriajr
EntryADR 76.7KAST 70%
NE
nettik
RiflerADR 75.2KAST 79%
VS
vsm
RiflerADR 69.6KAST 69%
ST
story
AWPADR 70.1KAST 75%
BI
biguzera
RiflerADR 69.7KAST 72%
IN
INS
RiflerADR 76.9KAST 73%
SA
saffee
AWPADR 68.0KAST 69%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Mirage
FLYQ
7
–
13
PAIN
17%
83%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FLYQ
PAIN
Ranking
FLYQ
PAIN
Flash Assists
FLYQ
PAIN
Best Player
FLYQ
PAIN
Opening Kills
FLYQ
PAIN
Recent on Mirage
FlyQuest
10-13
vs NRG
Jun 3
11-13
vs JiJieHao
May 10
2-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 4
13-6
vs Nexus
Feb 26
16-14
vs Eternal Fire
Feb 26
paiN
9-13
vs TYLOO
Jun 6
13-5
vs TYLOO
May 21
8-13
vs M80
May 19
13-8
vs ShindeN
Apr 4
13-5
vs Fluxo
Apr 4
Overpass
FLYQ
7
–
13
PAIN
24%
76%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
FLYQ
PAIN
Map Player Rating
FLYQ
PAIN
Flash Assists
FLYQ
PAIN
Map Win Rate
FLYQ
PAIN
Experience
FLYQ
PAIN
Recent on Overpass
FlyQuest
8-13
vs Alter Ego
Mar 11
paiN
9-13
vs BIG
Jun 6
13-6
vs TYLOO
May 21
7-13
vs MOUZ
May 21
13-6
vs GamerLegion
May 15
10-13
vs FUT
May 12
Ancient
FLYQ
13
–
10
PAIN
66%
34%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FLYQ
PAIN
Ranking
FLYQ
PAIN
Star Player
FLYQ
PAIN
Ban Rate
FLYQ
PAIN
Overall Rating
FLYQ
PAIN
Recent on Ancient
FlyQuest
16-14
vs SINNERS
Jun 2
13-16
vs 5star
May 12
8-13
vs JiJieHao
May 10
16-13
vs SemperFi
Apr 1
paiN
no data
Inferno
FLYQ
13
–
8
PAIN
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FLYQ
PAIN
Ranking
FLYQ
PAIN
Round Win Rate
FLYQ
PAIN
Overall Rating
FLYQ
PAIN
Flash Assists
FLYQ
PAIN
Recent on Inferno
FlyQuest
13-7
vs Liquid
Jun 5
13-3
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Jun 4
11-13
vs GamerLegion
Jun 2
9-13
vs 5star
May 12
13-10
vs chinggis warriors
Apr 4
paiN
8-13
vs GamerLegion
May 15
4-13
vs ShindeN
Apr 4
13-6
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Mar 30
9-13
vs 9z
Mar 29
13-11
vs lp
Mar 27
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2
7 matches