Bo3 · IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2
· 2026-06-08
M80
vs
Legacy
14%
86%
Series win probability
LEGA
2–0
55%
LEGA
2–1
30%
M80
2–1
11%
M80
2–0
4%
Model Insights
Legacy is strongly favored at 86%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a strong mirage (89% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
42%
Inferno · Mirage · Dust2
Scenario 2
40%
Mirage · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 3
18%
Mirage · Dust2 · Overpass
Inferno
M80
10
–
13
LEGA
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
M80
LEGA
Ranking
M80
LEGA
Map Player Rating
M80
LEGA
After First Death
M80
LEGA
Opening Score
M80
LEGA
Recent on Inferno
M80
13-10
vs NRG
Jun 4
20-22
vs B8
Jun 3
13-8
vs Lynn Vision
Jun 2
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 21
15-19
vs Falcons
May 20
Legacy
13-5
vs MIBR
May 23
13-11
vs The MongolZ
May 22
6-13
vs GamerLegion
May 16
13-11
vs Natus Vincere
May 13
13-5
vs M80
May 11
Mirage
M80
5
–
13
LEGA
11%
89%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
M80
LEGA
Map Player Rating
M80
LEGA
Ranking
M80
LEGA
After First Death
M80
LEGA
Best Player
M80
LEGA
Recent on Mirage
M80
8-13
vs G2
Jun 6
13-10
vs B8
Jun 6
13-6
vs Sharks
Jun 2
13-11
vs Voca
May 28
13-11
vs Iowa Stormboar
May 26
Legacy
16-12
vs MIBR
May 23
13-6
vs Falcons
May 23
10-13
vs The MongolZ
May 22
13-4
vs BetBoom
May 17
13-3
vs GamerLegion
May 16
Dust2
M80
8
–
13
LEGA
26%
74%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
M80
LEGA
Ranking
M80
LEGA
Map Player Rating
M80
LEGA
After First Death
M80
LEGA
Trade Score
M80
LEGA
Recent on Dust2
M80
2-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 7
13-5
vs Voca
May 28
13-4
vs Liquid
May 12
16-14
vs Wildcard
May 3
13-1
vs It's a Secret
Apr 25
Legacy
13-7
vs FlyQuest
Jun 6
13-6
vs Falcons
May 23
7-13
vs Falcons
May 21
13-6
vs Natus Vincere
May 13
13-8
vs Astralis
May 12
Mirage
M80
5
–
13
LEGA
11%
89%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
M80
LEGA
Map Player Rating
M80
LEGA
Ranking
M80
LEGA
After First Death
M80
LEGA
Best Player
M80
LEGA
Recent on Mirage
M80
8-13
vs G2
Jun 6
13-10
vs B8
Jun 6
13-6
vs Sharks
Jun 2
13-11
vs Voca
May 28
13-11
vs Iowa Stormboar
May 26
Legacy
16-12
vs MIBR
May 23
13-6
vs Falcons
May 23
10-13
vs The MongolZ
May 22
13-4
vs BetBoom
May 17
13-3
vs GamerLegion
May 16
Dust2
M80
8
–
13
LEGA
26%
74%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
M80
LEGA
Ranking
M80
LEGA
Map Player Rating
M80
LEGA
After First Death
M80
LEGA
Trade Score
M80
LEGA
Recent on Dust2
M80
2-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 7
13-5
vs Voca
May 28
13-4
vs Liquid
May 12
16-14
vs Wildcard
May 3
13-1
vs It's a Secret
Apr 25
Legacy
13-7
vs FlyQuest
Jun 6
13-6
vs Falcons
May 23
7-13
vs Falcons
May 21
13-6
vs Natus Vincere
May 13
13-8
vs Astralis
May 12
Ancient
M80
7
–
13
LEGA
23%
77%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
M80
LEGA
Ranking
M80
LEGA
Map Player Rating
M80
LEGA
Round Win Rate
M80
LEGA
Map Win Rate
M80
LEGA
Recent on Ancient
M80
13-6
vs NRG
Jun 4
11-13
vs B8
Jun 3
3-13
vs Voca
May 28
13-5
vs Iowa Stormboar
May 26
11-13
vs Falcons
May 20
Legacy
11-13
vs Monte
Jun 7
13-9
vs Falcons
May 23
9-13
vs Falcons
May 21
16-12
vs TYLOO
May 20
9-13
vs GamerLegion
May 16
Mirage
M80
5
–
13
LEGA
11%
89%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
M80
LEGA
Map Player Rating
M80
LEGA
Ranking
M80
LEGA
After First Death
M80
LEGA
Best Player
M80
LEGA
Recent on Mirage
M80
8-13
vs G2
Jun 6
13-10
vs B8
Jun 6
13-6
vs Sharks
Jun 2
13-11
vs Voca
May 28
13-11
vs Iowa Stormboar
May 26
Legacy
16-12
vs MIBR
May 23
13-6
vs Falcons
May 23
10-13
vs The MongolZ
May 22
13-4
vs BetBoom
May 17
13-3
vs GamerLegion
May 16
Dust2
M80
8
–
13
LEGA
26%
74%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
M80
LEGA
Ranking
M80
LEGA
Map Player Rating
M80
LEGA
After First Death
M80
LEGA
Trade Score
M80
LEGA
Recent on Dust2
M80
2-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 7
13-5
vs Voca
May 28
13-4
vs Liquid
May 12
16-14
vs Wildcard
May 3
13-1
vs It's a Secret
Apr 25
Legacy
13-7
vs FlyQuest
Jun 6
13-6
vs Falcons
May 23
7-13
vs Falcons
May 21
13-6
vs Natus Vincere
May 13
13-8
vs Astralis
May 12
Overpass
M80
7
–
13
LEGA
20%
80%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
M80
LEGA
Map Player Rating
M80
LEGA
Ranking
M80
LEGA
Opening Kills
M80
LEGA
Round Win Rate
M80
LEGA
Recent on Overpass
M80
3-13
vs MOUZ
May 21
13-5
vs Alliance
Apr 2
13-11
vs Aurora
Mar 31
13-2
vs Johnny Speeds
Mar 24
3-13
vs G2
Mar 3
Legacy
19-16
vs TYLOO
May 20
8-13
vs Galorys
Mar 27
13-8
vs Aurora
Mar 13
13-9
vs Aurora
Mar 6
13-9
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Mar 1
Recent Results
last 11 matches
M80
Legacy
L
0-1
vs BetBoom
Dust2
Jun 7
1d ago
L
0-1
vs G2
Mirage
Jun 6
2d ago
W
1-0
vs B8
Mirage
Jun 6
2d ago
W
2-0
vs NRG
AncientInferno
Jun 4
4d ago
L
0-2
vs B8
AncientInferno
Jun 3
5d ago
W
1-0
vs Lynn Vision
Inferno
Jun 2
6d ago
W
1-0
vs Sharks
Mirage
Jun 2
6d ago
W
3-1
vs Voca
Dust2AnubisAncientMirage
May 28
11d ago
W
2-0
vs Iowa Stormboar
AncientMirage
May 26
13d ago
L
1-2
vs MOUZ
OverpassInfernoMirage
May 21
18d ago
L
0-2
vs Falcons
InfernoAncient
May 20
19d ago
L
0-1
vs Monte
Ancient
Jun 7
1d ago
L
0-1
vs MIBR
Nuke
Jun 6
2d ago
W
1-0
vs FlyQuest
Dust2
Jun 6
2d ago
W
2-0
vs MIBR
MirageInferno
May 23
16d ago
W
3-1
vs Falcons
NukeAncientMirageDust2
May 23
16d ago
W
2-1
vs The MongolZ
InfernoMirageNuke
May 22
17d ago
L
0-2
vs Falcons
Dust2Ancient
May 21
18d ago
W
2-0
vs TYLOO
OverpassAncient
May 20
19d ago
W
1-0
vs NRG
Nuke
May 19
20d ago
W
2-0
vs BetBoom
MirageNuke
May 17
22d ago
L
1-2
vs GamerLegion
AncientMirageInferno
May 16
23d ago
Player Matchups
M80
Ratings
Legacy
SW
Swisher
EntryADR 76.5KAST 74%
DU
dumau
EntryADR 85.6KAST 74%
LA
Lake
RiflerADR 78.2KAST 72%
LA
latto
RiflerADR 80.1KAST 78%
SL
slaxz-
AWPADR 70.8KAST 73%
SA
saadzin
AWPADR 69.0KAST 75%
JB
JBa
RiflerADR 69.6KAST 73%
N1
n1ssim
RiflerADR 68.3KAST 74%
S1
s1n
RiflerADR 64.8KAST 73%
AR
arT
RiflerADR 71.7KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Nuke
M80
5
–
13
LEGA
6%
94%
Win prob
OT 1%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
M80
LEGA
Opponent-Rating Diff
M80
LEGA
Ranking
M80
LEGA
Experience
M80
LEGA
Ban Rate
M80
LEGA
Recent on Nuke
M80
no data
Legacy
8-13
vs MIBR
Jun 6
11-13
vs Falcons
May 23
13-10
vs The MongolZ
May 22
13-10
vs NRG
May 19
13-3
vs BetBoom
May 17
Overpass
M80
7
–
13
LEGA
20%
80%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
M80
LEGA
Map Player Rating
M80
LEGA
Ranking
M80
LEGA
Opening Kills
M80
LEGA
Round Win Rate
M80
LEGA
Recent on Overpass
M80
3-13
vs MOUZ
May 21
13-5
vs Alliance
Apr 2
13-11
vs Aurora
Mar 31
13-2
vs Johnny Speeds
Mar 24
3-13
vs G2
Mar 3
Legacy
19-16
vs TYLOO
May 20
8-13
vs Galorys
Mar 27
13-8
vs Aurora
Mar 13
13-9
vs Aurora
Mar 6
13-9
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Mar 1
Anubis
M80
7
–
13
LEGA
20%
80%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
M80
LEGA
Ranking
M80
LEGA
Map Player Rating
M80
LEGA
Ban Rate
M80
LEGA
Best Player
M80
LEGA
Recent on Anubis
M80
16-14
vs Voca
May 28
8-13
vs Marsborne
Apr 25
11-13
vs Alliance
Apr 2
13-10
vs Aurora
Mar 31
3-13
vs Liquid
Mar 4
Legacy
13-11
vs 9z
Apr 26
11-13
vs 9z
Mar 30
Ancient
M80
7
–
13
LEGA
23%
77%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
M80
LEGA
Ranking
M80
LEGA
Map Player Rating
M80
LEGA
Round Win Rate
M80
LEGA
Map Win Rate
M80
LEGA
Recent on Ancient
M80
13-6
vs NRG
Jun 4
11-13
vs B8
Jun 3
3-13
vs Voca
May 28
13-5
vs Iowa Stormboar
May 26
11-13
vs Falcons
May 20
Legacy
11-13
vs Monte
Jun 7
13-9
vs Falcons
May 23
9-13
vs Falcons
May 21
16-12
vs TYLOO
May 20
9-13
vs GamerLegion
May 16
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2
5 matches