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Bo3  ·  IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 · 2026-06-09
Monte
vs
paiN
36%
64%
Series win probability
PAIN 2–1 32%
PAIN 2–0 31%
MONT 2–0 19%
MONT 2–1 17%
Model Insights
paiN has a moderate edge at 64%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#21 vs #19), a strong mirage (65% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 43% Dust2 · Nuke · Mirage
Scenario 2 31% Dust2 · Nuke · Anubis
Scenario 3 26% Dust2 · Nuke · Inferno
Dust2
MONT 11 – 13 PAIN
42%
58%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
MONT
PAIN
Map Player Rating
MONT
PAIN
Round Win Rate
MONT
PAIN
Map Win Rate
MONT
PAIN
Days With Lineup Opp
MONT
PAIN
Recent on Dust2
Monte
8-13 vs BetBoom Jun 8
4-13 vs G2 May 13
10-13 vs The Huns May 12
11-13 vs Falcons May 11
13-7 vs magic May 10
paiN
13-8 vs BC.Game May 20
11-13 vs BetBoom May 13
13-11 vs FUT May 12
13-6 vs FaZe May 11
13-7 vs Gaimin Gladiators Apr 5
Nuke
MONT 10 – 13 PAIN
46%
54%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
MONT
PAIN
Ranking
MONT
PAIN
Round Win Rate
MONT
PAIN
Experience
MONT
PAIN
After First Death
MONT
PAIN
Recent on Nuke
Monte
7-13 vs BetBoom Jun 8
13-2 vs The Huns May 12
3-13 vs FURIA May 9
14-16 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Apr 26
13-0 vs HEROIC Apr 26
paiN
13-11 vs Astralis Jun 8
13-7 vs FlyQuest Jun 7
8-13 vs TYLOO May 21
4-13 vs MOUZ May 21
6-13 vs GamerLegion May 15
Mirage
MONT 10 – 13 PAIN
35%
65%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
MONT
PAIN
5v4 Rounds
MONT
PAIN
Days With Lineup Opp
MONT
PAIN
Round Win %
MONT
PAIN
Multi-Kills
MONT
PAIN
Recent on Mirage
Monte
13-6 vs BetBoom Jun 8
13-8 vs BIG Jun 6
19-22 vs G2 Jun 6
16-12 vs The Huns May 12
8-13 vs HEROIC Apr 25
paiN
9-13 vs TYLOO Jun 6
13-5 vs TYLOO May 21
8-13 vs M80 May 19
13-8 vs ShindeN Apr 4
13-5 vs Fluxo Apr 4
Dust2
MONT 11 – 13 PAIN
42%
58%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
MONT
PAIN
Map Player Rating
MONT
PAIN
Round Win Rate
MONT
PAIN
Map Win Rate
MONT
PAIN
Days With Lineup Opp
MONT
PAIN
Recent on Dust2
Monte
8-13 vs BetBoom Jun 8
4-13 vs G2 May 13
10-13 vs The Huns May 12
11-13 vs Falcons May 11
13-7 vs magic May 10
paiN
13-8 vs BC.Game May 20
11-13 vs BetBoom May 13
13-11 vs FUT May 12
13-6 vs FaZe May 11
13-7 vs Gaimin Gladiators Apr 5
Nuke
MONT 10 – 13 PAIN
46%
54%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
MONT
PAIN
Ranking
MONT
PAIN
Round Win Rate
MONT
PAIN
Experience
MONT
PAIN
After First Death
MONT
PAIN
Recent on Nuke
Monte
7-13 vs BetBoom Jun 8
13-2 vs The Huns May 12
3-13 vs FURIA May 9
14-16 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Apr 26
13-0 vs HEROIC Apr 26
paiN
13-11 vs Astralis Jun 8
13-7 vs FlyQuest Jun 7
8-13 vs TYLOO May 21
4-13 vs MOUZ May 21
6-13 vs GamerLegion May 15
Anubis
MONT 10 – 13 PAIN
39%
61%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
MONT
PAIN
Map Win Rate
MONT
PAIN
After First Death
MONT
PAIN
Map Player Rating
MONT
PAIN
Trade Score
MONT
PAIN
Recent on Anubis
Monte
13-2 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Apr 26
16-14 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Apr 24
13-11 vs Alliance Mar 31
13-8 vs Passion UA Mar 31
10-13 vs BetBoom Mar 25
paiN
13-10 vs FlyQuest Jun 7
13-4 vs BC.Game May 20
5-13 vs BetBoom May 13
13-8 vs FaZe May 11
13-4 vs Gaimin Gladiators Apr 5
Dust2
MONT 11 – 13 PAIN
42%
58%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
MONT
PAIN
Map Player Rating
MONT
PAIN
Round Win Rate
MONT
PAIN
Map Win Rate
MONT
PAIN
Days With Lineup Opp
MONT
PAIN
Recent on Dust2
Monte
8-13 vs BetBoom Jun 8
4-13 vs G2 May 13
10-13 vs The Huns May 12
11-13 vs Falcons May 11
13-7 vs magic May 10
paiN
13-8 vs BC.Game May 20
11-13 vs BetBoom May 13
13-11 vs FUT May 12
13-6 vs FaZe May 11
13-7 vs Gaimin Gladiators Apr 5
Nuke
MONT 10 – 13 PAIN
46%
54%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
MONT
PAIN
Ranking
MONT
PAIN
Round Win Rate
MONT
PAIN
Experience
MONT
PAIN
After First Death
MONT
PAIN
Recent on Nuke
Monte
7-13 vs BetBoom Jun 8
13-2 vs The Huns May 12
3-13 vs FURIA May 9
14-16 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Apr 26
13-0 vs HEROIC Apr 26
paiN
13-11 vs Astralis Jun 8
13-7 vs FlyQuest Jun 7
8-13 vs TYLOO May 21
4-13 vs MOUZ May 21
6-13 vs GamerLegion May 15
Inferno
MONT 10 – 13 PAIN
37%
63%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
MONT
PAIN
Ranking
MONT
PAIN
Map Win Rate
MONT
PAIN
Multi-Kills
MONT
PAIN
Sniper Score
MONT
PAIN
Recent on Inferno
Monte
5-13 vs HEROIC Apr 26
13-8 vs M80 Apr 2
13-11 vs 9INE Mar 25
1-13 vs Natus Vincere Mar 6
13-7 vs PARIVISION Mar 4
paiN
8-13 vs GamerLegion May 15
4-13 vs ShindeN Apr 4
13-6 vs Gaimin Gladiators Mar 30
9-13 vs 9z Mar 29
13-11 vs lp Mar 27
Recent Results last 11 matches
Monte
paiN
L 1-2 vs BetBoom NukeMirageDust2 Jun 8 0d ago
W 1-0 vs Legacy Ancient Jun 7 1d ago
W 1-0 vs BIG Mirage Jun 6 2d ago
L 0-1 vs G2 Mirage Jun 6 2d ago
L 0-2 vs G2 AncientDust2 May 13 26d ago
W 2-1 vs The Huns NukeDust2Mirage May 12 27d ago
L 0-2 vs Falcons Dust2Ancient May 11 28d ago
W 2-0 vs magic AncientDust2 May 10 29d ago
L 0-2 vs FURIA NukeOverpass May 9 30d ago
W 2-1 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas NukeDust2Anubis Apr 26 43d ago
W 3-1 vs HEROIC NukeDust2InfernoAncient Apr 26 43d ago
W 2-0 vs Astralis NukeOverpass Jun 8 0d ago
W 2-0 vs FlyQuest NukeAnubis Jun 7 1d ago
L 0-1 vs TYLOO Mirage Jun 6 2d ago
L 0-1 vs BIG Overpass Jun 6 2d ago
W 2-1 vs TYLOO MirageNukeOverpass May 21 18d ago
L 0-2 vs MOUZ NukeOverpass May 21 18d ago
W 2-0 vs BC.Game Dust2Anubis May 20 19d ago
L 0-1 vs M80 Mirage May 19 20d ago
L 1-2 vs GamerLegion OverpassNukeInferno May 15 24d ago
L 1-2 vs BetBoom Dust2NukeAnubis May 13 26d ago
W 2-1 vs FUT NukeOverpassDust2 May 12 27d ago
Player Matchups
Monte
Ratings
paiN
AF
afro
AWPADR 74.5KAST 72%
1.15 vs 1.12
SN
snow
RiflerADR 76.8KAST 73%
RA
Rainwaker
EntryADR 75.8KAST 72%
1.13 vs 1.09
PI
piriajr
EntryADR 76.9KAST 72%
BY
Bymas
RiflerADR 65.0KAST 71%
0.97 vs 1.03
BI
biguzera
RiflerADR 71.2KAST 73%
GI
Gizmy
RiflerADR 70.6KAST 69%
0.97 vs 1.02
VS
vsm
RiflerADR 70.4KAST 70%
AZ
AZUWU
RiflerADR 69.9KAST 70%
0.97 vs 1.01
SA
saffee
AWPADR 67.7KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Ancient
MONT 13 – 6 PAIN
87%
13%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
MONT
PAIN
Ban Rate
MONT
PAIN
After First Death
MONT
PAIN
Pistol Rounds
MONT
PAIN
Experience
MONT
PAIN
Recent on Ancient
Monte
13-11 vs Legacy Jun 7
2-13 vs G2 May 13
10-13 vs Falcons May 11
13-11 vs magic May 10
13-10 vs HEROIC Apr 26
paiN
no data
Overpass
MONT 8 – 13 PAIN
29%
71%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
MONT
PAIN
Round Win Rate
MONT
PAIN
Ranking
MONT
PAIN
After First Kill
MONT
PAIN
Flash Assists
MONT
PAIN
Recent on Overpass
Monte
3-13 vs FURIA May 9
3-13 vs 9INE Mar 25
11-13 vs FaZe Mar 8
16-19 vs fnatic Feb 21
paiN
13-4 vs Astralis Jun 8
9-13 vs BIG Jun 6
13-6 vs TYLOO May 21
7-13 vs MOUZ May 21
13-6 vs GamerLegion May 15
Inferno
MONT 10 – 13 PAIN
37%
63%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
MONT
PAIN
Ranking
MONT
PAIN
Map Win Rate
MONT
PAIN
Multi-Kills
MONT
PAIN
Sniper Score
MONT
PAIN
Recent on Inferno
Monte
5-13 vs HEROIC Apr 26
13-8 vs M80 Apr 2
13-11 vs 9INE Mar 25
1-13 vs Natus Vincere Mar 6
13-7 vs PARIVISION Mar 4
paiN
8-13 vs GamerLegion May 15
4-13 vs ShindeN Apr 4
13-6 vs Gaimin Gladiators Mar 30
9-13 vs 9z Mar 29
13-11 vs lp Mar 27
Anubis
MONT 10 – 13 PAIN
39%
61%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
MONT
PAIN
Map Win Rate
MONT
PAIN
After First Death
MONT
PAIN
Map Player Rating
MONT
PAIN
Trade Score
MONT
PAIN
Recent on Anubis
Monte
13-2 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Apr 26
16-14 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Apr 24
13-11 vs Alliance Mar 31
13-8 vs Passion UA Mar 31
10-13 vs BetBoom Mar 25
paiN
13-10 vs FlyQuest Jun 7
13-4 vs BC.Game May 20
5-13 vs BetBoom May 13
13-8 vs FaZe May 11
13-4 vs Gaimin Gladiators Apr 5
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 2 matches
Legacy over TYLOO 95% B8 over BIG 55%