Bo3 · IEM Cologne Major 2026
· 2026-06-11
Falcons
vs
G2
44%
56%
Series win probability
G2
2–0
28%
FALC
2–1
25%
G2
2–1
25%
FALC
2–0
22%
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — G2 is slightly favored at 56% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.10 vs 1.05), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#11 vs #3).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
50%
Mirage · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 2
27%
Mirage · Dust2 · Inferno
Scenario 3
23%
Mirage · Dust2 · Anubis
Mirage
FALC
10
–
13
G2
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
FALC
G2
Map Player Rating
FALC
G2
Best Player
FALC
G2
Map Win Rate
FALC
G2
Elo Diff
FALC
G2
Recent on Mirage
Falcons
6-13
vs Legacy
May 23
7-13
vs MOUZ
May 22
7-13
vs Spirit
May 17
9-13
vs FURIA
May 15
16-12
vs The MongolZ
May 12
G2
13-8
vs BIG
Jun 8
13-8
vs M80
Jun 6
22-19
vs Monte
Jun 6
13-5
vs PARIVISION
May 12
10-13
vs MOUZ
May 9
Dust2
FALC
14
–
16
G2
49%
51%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
FALC
G2
Map Player Rating
FALC
G2
Best Player
FALC
G2
After First Death
FALC
G2
Elo Diff
FALC
G2
Recent on Dust2
Falcons
6-13
vs Legacy
May 23
13-7
vs MOUZ
May 22
13-7
vs Legacy
May 21
13-11
vs BC.Game
May 19
12-16
vs Spirit
May 17
G2
6-13
vs Spirit
May 15
13-4
vs Monte
May 13
11-13
vs PARIVISION
May 12
2-13
vs The MongolZ
May 10
16-14
vs MOUZ
May 9
Ancient
FALC
16
–
14
G2
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
FALC
G2
Map Player Rating
FALC
G2
Map Win Rate
FALC
G2
Pistol Rating
FALC
G2
Elo Diff
FALC
G2
Recent on Ancient
Falcons
9-13
vs Legacy
May 23
13-9
vs Legacy
May 21
13-11
vs M80
May 20
10-13
vs Spirit
May 17
13-7
vs magic
May 16
G2
4-13
vs FUT
Jun 7
11-13
vs Spirit
May 15
13-2
vs Monte
May 13
16-12
vs PARIVISION
May 12
13-1
vs Fisher College
May 8
Mirage
FALC
10
–
13
G2
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
FALC
G2
Map Player Rating
FALC
G2
Best Player
FALC
G2
Map Win Rate
FALC
G2
Elo Diff
FALC
G2
Recent on Mirage
Falcons
6-13
vs Legacy
May 23
7-13
vs MOUZ
May 22
7-13
vs Spirit
May 17
9-13
vs FURIA
May 15
16-12
vs The MongolZ
May 12
G2
13-8
vs BIG
Jun 8
13-8
vs M80
Jun 6
22-19
vs Monte
Jun 6
13-5
vs PARIVISION
May 12
10-13
vs MOUZ
May 9
Dust2
FALC
14
–
16
G2
49%
51%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
FALC
G2
Map Player Rating
FALC
G2
Best Player
FALC
G2
After First Death
FALC
G2
Elo Diff
FALC
G2
Recent on Dust2
Falcons
6-13
vs Legacy
May 23
13-7
vs MOUZ
May 22
13-7
vs Legacy
May 21
13-11
vs BC.Game
May 19
12-16
vs Spirit
May 17
G2
6-13
vs Spirit
May 15
13-4
vs Monte
May 13
11-13
vs PARIVISION
May 12
2-13
vs The MongolZ
May 10
16-14
vs MOUZ
May 9
Inferno
FALC
9
–
13
G2
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FALC
G2
Ranking
FALC
G2
Days With Lineup Opp
FALC
G2
Elo Diff
FALC
G2
Star Player
FALC
G2
Recent on Inferno
Falcons
19-15
vs M80
May 20
11-13
vs The MongolZ
May 12
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Apr 13
14-16
vs TYLOO
Mar 22
9-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 20
G2
13-3
vs BIG
Jun 8
15-19
vs The MongolZ
May 10
7-13
vs MOUZ
May 9
13-5
vs Fisher College
May 8
13-6
vs 3DMAX
Apr 15
Mirage
FALC
10
–
13
G2
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
FALC
G2
Map Player Rating
FALC
G2
Best Player
FALC
G2
Map Win Rate
FALC
G2
Elo Diff
FALC
G2
Recent on Mirage
Falcons
6-13
vs Legacy
May 23
7-13
vs MOUZ
May 22
7-13
vs Spirit
May 17
9-13
vs FURIA
May 15
16-12
vs The MongolZ
May 12
G2
13-8
vs BIG
Jun 8
13-8
vs M80
Jun 6
22-19
vs Monte
Jun 6
13-5
vs PARIVISION
May 12
10-13
vs MOUZ
May 9
Dust2
FALC
14
–
16
G2
49%
51%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
FALC
G2
Map Player Rating
FALC
G2
Best Player
FALC
G2
After First Death
FALC
G2
Elo Diff
FALC
G2
Recent on Dust2
Falcons
6-13
vs Legacy
May 23
13-7
vs MOUZ
May 22
13-7
vs Legacy
May 21
13-11
vs BC.Game
May 19
12-16
vs Spirit
May 17
G2
6-13
vs Spirit
May 15
13-4
vs Monte
May 13
11-13
vs PARIVISION
May 12
2-13
vs The MongolZ
May 10
16-14
vs MOUZ
May 9
Anubis
FALC
11
–
13
G2
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
FALC
G2
Round Win Rate
FALC
G2
Map Win Rate
FALC
G2
Opening Kills
FALC
G2
4v5 Rounds
FALC
G2
Recent on Anubis
Falcons
13-4
vs Spirit
Apr 14
13-11
vs FURIA
Feb 16
13-9
vs FaZe
Feb 15
13-5
vs 3DMAX
Feb 3
7-13
vs Aurora
Feb 1
G2
11-13
vs FUT
Jun 7
10-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 4
13-2
vs Fluxo
Mar 30
10-13
vs BetBoom
Mar 30
11-13
vs Aurora
Mar 9
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Falcons
G2
L
1-3
vs Legacy
NukeAncientMirageDust2
May 23
19d ago
W
2-1
vs MOUZ
MirageDust2Nuke
May 22
20d ago
W
2-0
vs Legacy
Dust2Ancient
May 21
21d ago
W
2-0
vs M80
InfernoAncient
May 20
22d ago
W
1-0
vs BC.Game
Dust2
May 19
23d ago
L
0-3
vs Spirit
Dust2MirageAncient
May 17
25d ago
W
2-0
vs magic
AncientDust2
May 16
26d ago
W
2-1
vs FURIA
MirageNukeDust2
May 15
27d ago
W
2-1
vs The MongolZ
Dust2InfernoMirage
May 12
30d ago
W
2-0
vs Monte
Dust2Ancient
May 11
31d ago
L
1-2
vs 9z
NukeMirageDust2
May 10
32d ago
W
2-0
vs BIG
InfernoMirage
Jun 8
3d ago
L
1-2
vs FUT
AnubisOverpassAncient
Jun 7
4d ago
W
1-0
vs M80
Mirage
Jun 6
5d ago
W
1-0
vs Monte
Mirage
Jun 6
5d ago
L
0-2
vs Spirit
Dust2Ancient
May 15
27d ago
W
2-0
vs Monte
AncientDust2
May 13
29d ago
W
2-1
vs PARIVISION
MirageDust2Ancient
May 12
30d ago
L
0-2
vs The MongolZ
Dust2Inferno
May 10
32d ago
L
1-2
vs MOUZ
Dust2MirageInferno
May 9
33d ago
W
2-0
vs Fisher College
AncientInferno
May 8
34d ago
L
1-2
vs FaZe
Dust2AncientMirage
May 1
41d ago
Player Matchups
Falcons
Ratings
G2
M0
m0NESY
AWPADR 80.2KAST 77%
HE
HeavyGod
EntryADR 76.8KAST 75%
KY
kyousuke
RiflerADR 81.7KAST 73%
NE
NertZ
RiflerADR 81.9KAST 73%
NI
NiKo
EntryADR 73.1KAST 72%
HU
huNter-
RiflerADR 74.9KAST 74%
TE
TeSeS
RiflerADR 70.0KAST 73%
MA
MATYS
RiflerADR 72.8KAST 75%
KA
karrigan
RiflerADR 58.8KAST 67%
SU
SunPayus
AWPADR 70.9KAST 76%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Nuke
FALC
13
–
8
G2
69%
31%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
FALC
G2
Map Player Rating
FALC
G2
Ban Rate
FALC
G2
Map Win Rate
FALC
G2
Round Win %
FALC
G2
Recent on Nuke
Falcons
13-11
vs Legacy
May 23
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 22
22-20
vs FURIA
May 15
8-13
vs 9z
May 10
16-14
vs Vitality
Apr 15
G2
no data
Inferno
FALC
9
–
13
G2
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FALC
G2
Ranking
FALC
G2
Days With Lineup Opp
FALC
G2
Elo Diff
FALC
G2
Star Player
FALC
G2
Recent on Inferno
Falcons
19-15
vs M80
May 20
11-13
vs The MongolZ
May 12
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Apr 13
14-16
vs TYLOO
Mar 22
9-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 20
G2
13-3
vs BIG
Jun 8
15-19
vs The MongolZ
May 10
7-13
vs MOUZ
May 9
13-5
vs Fisher College
May 8
13-6
vs 3DMAX
Apr 15
Anubis
FALC
11
–
13
G2
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
FALC
G2
Round Win Rate
FALC
G2
Map Win Rate
FALC
G2
Opening Kills
FALC
G2
4v5 Rounds
FALC
G2
Recent on Anubis
Falcons
13-4
vs Spirit
Apr 14
13-11
vs FURIA
Feb 16
13-9
vs FaZe
Feb 15
13-5
vs 3DMAX
Feb 3
7-13
vs Aurora
Feb 1
G2
11-13
vs FUT
Jun 7
10-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 4
13-2
vs Fluxo
Mar 30
10-13
vs BetBoom
Mar 30
11-13
vs Aurora
Mar 9
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026
7 matches