Project Leggy
‹ Back
Bo3  ·  IEM Cologne Major 2026 · 2026-06-11
Natus Vincere
vs
Spirit
34%
66%
Series win probability
SPIR 2–0 35%
SPIR 2–1 31%
NAVI 2–1 18%
NAVI 2–0 16%
Model Insights
Spirit has a moderate edge at 66%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong dust2 (69% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 48% Mirage · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 2 33% Mirage · Dust2 · Anubis
Scenario 3 19% Mirage · Dust2 · Nuke
Mirage
NAVI 16 – 14 SPIR
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
NAVI
SPIR
Round Win Rate
NAVI
SPIR
Opening Score
NAVI
SPIR
Best Player
NAVI
SPIR
Map Win Rate
NAVI
SPIR
Recent on Mirage
Natus Vincere
13-3 vs GamerLegion May 17
13-11 vs GamerLegion May 12
13-4 vs Passion UA May 11
13-10 vs GamerLegion Apr 30
4-13 vs Vitality Apr 17
Spirit
13-3 vs 9z Jun 7
13-5 vs BetBoom Jun 6
13-1 vs MIBR Jun 6
13-7 vs Falcons May 17
13-11 vs FURIA May 11
Dust2
NAVI 8 – 13 SPIR
31%
69%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
NAVI
SPIR
Round Win Rate
NAVI
SPIR
Ranking
NAVI
SPIR
Opening Kills
NAVI
SPIR
Opening Score
NAVI
SPIR
Recent on Dust2
Natus Vincere
11-13 vs Vitality May 15
6-13 vs Legacy May 13
3-13 vs Vitality May 3
13-5 vs FaZe May 2
6-13 vs Vitality Apr 17
Spirit
16-12 vs Falcons May 17
13-3 vs MOUZ May 16
13-6 vs G2 May 15
13-8 vs FURIA May 11
13-11 vs The MongolZ May 10
Ancient
NAVI 10 – 13 SPIR
37%
63%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
NAVI
SPIR
Ranking
NAVI
SPIR
Opening Score
NAVI
SPIR
Best Player
NAVI
SPIR
Multi-Kills
NAVI
SPIR
Recent on Ancient
Natus Vincere
13-8 vs BetBoom May 16
13-8 vs Legacy May 13
1-13 vs GamerLegion May 12
13-11 vs FaZe May 2
13-4 vs GamerLegion Apr 30
Spirit
13-10 vs Falcons May 17
13-11 vs G2 May 15
19-16 vs The MongolZ May 10
13-3 vs The Huns May 9
13-8 vs RED Canids Apr 15
Mirage
NAVI 16 – 14 SPIR
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
NAVI
SPIR
Round Win Rate
NAVI
SPIR
Opening Score
NAVI
SPIR
Best Player
NAVI
SPIR
Map Win Rate
NAVI
SPIR
Recent on Mirage
Natus Vincere
13-3 vs GamerLegion May 17
13-11 vs GamerLegion May 12
13-4 vs Passion UA May 11
13-10 vs GamerLegion Apr 30
4-13 vs Vitality Apr 17
Spirit
13-3 vs 9z Jun 7
13-5 vs BetBoom Jun 6
13-1 vs MIBR Jun 6
13-7 vs Falcons May 17
13-11 vs FURIA May 11
Dust2
NAVI 8 – 13 SPIR
31%
69%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
NAVI
SPIR
Round Win Rate
NAVI
SPIR
Ranking
NAVI
SPIR
Opening Kills
NAVI
SPIR
Opening Score
NAVI
SPIR
Recent on Dust2
Natus Vincere
11-13 vs Vitality May 15
6-13 vs Legacy May 13
3-13 vs Vitality May 3
13-5 vs FaZe May 2
6-13 vs Vitality Apr 17
Spirit
16-12 vs Falcons May 17
13-3 vs MOUZ May 16
13-6 vs G2 May 15
13-8 vs FURIA May 11
13-11 vs The MongolZ May 10
Anubis
NAVI 13 – 10 SPIR
54%
46%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
NAVI
SPIR
Ranking
NAVI
SPIR
After First Kill
NAVI
SPIR
Flash Assists
NAVI
SPIR
T 5v4
NAVI
SPIR
Recent on Anubis
Natus Vincere
13-9 vs GamerLegion May 17
13-11 vs Vitality May 15
16-13 vs Passion UA May 11
11-13 vs Vitality May 3
13-7 vs FaZe Apr 29
Spirit
4-13 vs Falcons Apr 14
3-13 vs PARIVISION Mar 21
13-10 vs G2 Mar 8
13-7 vs B8 Mar 7
13-8 vs G2 Feb 3
Mirage
NAVI 16 – 14 SPIR
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
NAVI
SPIR
Round Win Rate
NAVI
SPIR
Opening Score
NAVI
SPIR
Best Player
NAVI
SPIR
Map Win Rate
NAVI
SPIR
Recent on Mirage
Natus Vincere
13-3 vs GamerLegion May 17
13-11 vs GamerLegion May 12
13-4 vs Passion UA May 11
13-10 vs GamerLegion Apr 30
4-13 vs Vitality Apr 17
Spirit
13-3 vs 9z Jun 7
13-5 vs BetBoom Jun 6
13-1 vs MIBR Jun 6
13-7 vs Falcons May 17
13-11 vs FURIA May 11
Dust2
NAVI 8 – 13 SPIR
31%
69%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
NAVI
SPIR
Round Win Rate
NAVI
SPIR
Ranking
NAVI
SPIR
Opening Kills
NAVI
SPIR
Opening Score
NAVI
SPIR
Recent on Dust2
Natus Vincere
11-13 vs Vitality May 15
6-13 vs Legacy May 13
3-13 vs Vitality May 3
13-5 vs FaZe May 2
6-13 vs Vitality Apr 17
Spirit
16-12 vs Falcons May 17
13-3 vs MOUZ May 16
13-6 vs G2 May 15
13-8 vs FURIA May 11
13-11 vs The MongolZ May 10
Nuke
NAVI 7 – 13 SPIR
20%
80%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
NAVI
SPIR
Best Player
NAVI
SPIR
Opening Score
NAVI
SPIR
After First Death
NAVI
SPIR
Round Win %
NAVI
SPIR
Recent on Nuke
Natus Vincere
16-13 vs GamerLegion May 17
13-6 vs BetBoom May 16
12-16 vs Vitality May 3
13-16 vs FURIA Apr 14
13-10 vs Aurora Mar 23
Spirit
13-1 vs 9z Jun 7
13-2 vs MOUZ May 16
10-13 vs Vitality Apr 19
11-13 vs The MongolZ Mar 23
13-9 vs B8 Mar 7
Recent Results last 11 matches
Natus Vincere
Spirit
W 3-0 vs GamerLegion MirageAnubisNuke May 17 25d ago
W 2-0 vs BetBoom AncientNuke May 16 26d ago
W 2-1 vs Vitality Dust2AnubisInferno May 15 27d ago
L 1-2 vs Legacy InfernoAncientDust2 May 13 29d ago
W 2-1 vs GamerLegion InfernoAncientMirage May 12 30d ago
W 2-0 vs Passion UA AnubisMirage May 11 31d ago
L 0-3 vs Vitality NukeAnubisDust2 May 3 39d ago
W 2-0 vs FaZe Dust2Ancient May 2 40d ago
W 2-0 vs GamerLegion MirageAncient Apr 30 42d ago
W 2-0 vs FaZe AnubisAncient Apr 29 43d ago
L 0-2 vs Vitality MirageDust2 Apr 17 55d ago
W 2-0 vs 9z MirageNuke Jun 7 4d ago
W 1-0 vs BetBoom Mirage Jun 6 5d ago
W 1-0 vs MIBR Mirage Jun 6 5d ago
W 3-0 vs Falcons Dust2MirageAncient May 17 25d ago
W 2-0 vs MOUZ Dust2Nuke May 16 26d ago
W 2-0 vs G2 Dust2Ancient May 15 27d ago
W 2-1 vs FURIA Dust2OverpassMirage May 11 31d ago
W 2-0 vs The MongolZ Dust2Ancient May 10 32d ago
W 2-0 vs The Huns Dust2Ancient May 9 33d ago
L 0-3 vs Vitality MirageNukeDust2 Apr 19 53d ago
W 2-0 vs Falcons Dust2Mirage Apr 18 54d ago
Player Matchups
Natus Vincere
Ratings
Spirit
MA
makazze
RiflerADR 83.6KAST 75%
1.21 vs 1.47
DO
donk
EntryADR 97.5KAST 78%
W0
w0nderful
AWPADR 74.5KAST 76%
1.19 vs 1.12
SH
sh1ro
AWPADR 73.7KAST 76%
B1
b1t
EntryADR 77.5KAST 76%
1.13 vs 1.10
TN
tN1R
RiflerADR 74.8KAST 74%
IM
iM
RiflerADR 79.1KAST 75%
1.10 vs 1.01
MA
magixx
RiflerADR 69.2KAST 75%
AL
Aleksib
RiflerADR 61.0KAST 73%
0.91 vs 0.95
ZO
zont1x
RiflerADR 65.5KAST 74%
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Overpass
NAVI 6 – 13 SPIR
11%
89%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
NAVI
SPIR
Ban Rate
NAVI
SPIR
Round Win %
NAVI
SPIR
Star Player
NAVI
SPIR
Flash Assists
NAVI
SPIR
Recent on Overpass
Natus Vincere
no data
Spirit
12-16 vs FURIA May 11
13-2 vs RED Canids Apr 15
9-13 vs The MongolZ Mar 23
13-6 vs 9z Mar 22
13-7 vs 3DMAX Mar 6
Nuke
NAVI 7 – 13 SPIR
20%
80%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
NAVI
SPIR
Best Player
NAVI
SPIR
Opening Score
NAVI
SPIR
After First Death
NAVI
SPIR
Round Win %
NAVI
SPIR
Recent on Nuke
Natus Vincere
16-13 vs GamerLegion May 17
13-6 vs BetBoom May 16
12-16 vs Vitality May 3
13-16 vs FURIA Apr 14
13-10 vs Aurora Mar 23
Spirit
13-1 vs 9z Jun 7
13-2 vs MOUZ May 16
10-13 vs Vitality Apr 19
11-13 vs The MongolZ Mar 23
13-9 vs B8 Mar 7
Anubis
NAVI 13 – 10 SPIR
54%
46%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
NAVI
SPIR
Ranking
NAVI
SPIR
After First Kill
NAVI
SPIR
Flash Assists
NAVI
SPIR
T 5v4
NAVI
SPIR
Recent on Anubis
Natus Vincere
13-9 vs GamerLegion May 17
13-11 vs Vitality May 15
16-13 vs Passion UA May 11
11-13 vs Vitality May 3
13-7 vs FaZe Apr 29
Spirit
4-13 vs Falcons Apr 14
3-13 vs PARIVISION Mar 21
13-10 vs G2 Mar 8
13-7 vs B8 Mar 7
13-8 vs G2 Feb 3
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026 7 matches
9z over PARIVISION 94% BetBoom over The MongolZ 64% Vitality over FUT 67% MOUZ over Legacy 82% G2 over Falcons 58% FURIA over B8 77% Aurora over Monte 72%