Bo3 · IEM Cologne Major 2026
· 2026-06-11
Aurora
✓
vs
Monte
72%
28%
Series win probability
AURO
2–0
41%
MONT
2–1
25%
AURO
2–1
21%
MONT
2–0
13%
Actual result
Nuke
13–10
AURO
Anubis
13–7
AURO
Model Insights
Aurora is strongly favored at 72%, holding a map advantage on 2 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a strong dust2 (65% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
39%
Dust2 · Nuke · Anubis
Scenario 2
31%
Dust2 · Nuke · Inferno
Scenario 3
29%
Dust2 · Nuke · Mirage
Dust2
AURO
13
–
10
MONT
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
AURO
MONT
After First Death
AURO
MONT
Round Win Rate
AURO
MONT
Trade Score
AURO
MONT
Pistol Rating
AURO
MONT
Recent on Dust2
Aurora
11-13
vs MOUZ
May 14
11-13
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-3
vs The Huns
May 10
16-14
vs PARIVISION
May 10
11-13
vs HEROIC
May 8
Monte
13-11
vs paiN
Jun 9
8-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 8
4-13
vs G2
May 13
10-13
vs The Huns
May 12
11-13
vs Falcons
May 11
Nuke
AURO
13
–
10
MONT
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
AURO
MONT
Round Win Rate
AURO
MONT
Map Player Rating
AURO
MONT
Map Win Rate
AURO
MONT
Best Player
AURO
MONT
Recent on Nuke
Aurora
8-13
vs MOUZ
May 14
15-19
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-4
vs The Huns
May 10
8-13
vs HEROIC
May 8
13-10
vs INFINITE
Mar 30
Monte
13-5
vs paiN
Jun 9
7-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 8
13-2
vs The Huns
May 12
3-13
vs FURIA
May 9
14-16
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
Anubis
AURO
11
–
13
MONT
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Map Player Rating
AURO
MONT
Ranking
AURO
MONT
Opening Kills
AURO
MONT
Best Player
AURO
MONT
Map Win Rate
AURO
MONT
Recent on Anubis
Aurora
13-7
vs PARIVISION
May 10
9-13
vs Alliance
Apr 1
10-13
vs M80
Mar 31
8-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 23
13-11
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 15
Monte
13-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
16-14
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 24
13-11
vs Alliance
Mar 31
13-8
vs Passion UA
Mar 31
10-13
vs BetBoom
Mar 25
Dust2
AURO
13
–
10
MONT
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
AURO
MONT
After First Death
AURO
MONT
Round Win Rate
AURO
MONT
Trade Score
AURO
MONT
Pistol Rating
AURO
MONT
Recent on Dust2
Aurora
11-13
vs MOUZ
May 14
11-13
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-3
vs The Huns
May 10
16-14
vs PARIVISION
May 10
11-13
vs HEROIC
May 8
Monte
13-11
vs paiN
Jun 9
8-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 8
4-13
vs G2
May 13
10-13
vs The Huns
May 12
11-13
vs Falcons
May 11
Nuke
AURO
13
–
10
MONT
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
AURO
MONT
Round Win Rate
AURO
MONT
Map Player Rating
AURO
MONT
Map Win Rate
AURO
MONT
Best Player
AURO
MONT
Recent on Nuke
Aurora
8-13
vs MOUZ
May 14
15-19
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-4
vs The Huns
May 10
8-13
vs HEROIC
May 8
13-10
vs INFINITE
Mar 30
Monte
13-5
vs paiN
Jun 9
7-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 8
13-2
vs The Huns
May 12
3-13
vs FURIA
May 9
14-16
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
Inferno
AURO
13
–
6
MONT
86%
14%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
AURO
MONT
Ranking
AURO
MONT
Round Win Rate
AURO
MONT
Flash Assists
AURO
MONT
After First Kill
AURO
MONT
Recent on Inferno
Aurora
4-13
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 15
13-2
vs Alliance
Apr 1
13-3
vs M80
Mar 31
5-13
vs Vitality
Mar 28
13-6
vs The MongolZ
Mar 27
Monte
5-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
13-8
vs M80
Apr 2
13-11
vs 9INE
Mar 25
1-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 6
13-7
vs PARIVISION
Mar 4
Dust2
AURO
13
–
10
MONT
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
AURO
MONT
After First Death
AURO
MONT
Round Win Rate
AURO
MONT
Trade Score
AURO
MONT
Pistol Rating
AURO
MONT
Recent on Dust2
Aurora
11-13
vs MOUZ
May 14
11-13
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-3
vs The Huns
May 10
16-14
vs PARIVISION
May 10
11-13
vs HEROIC
May 8
Monte
13-11
vs paiN
Jun 9
8-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 8
4-13
vs G2
May 13
10-13
vs The Huns
May 12
11-13
vs Falcons
May 11
Nuke
AURO
13
–
10
MONT
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
AURO
MONT
Round Win Rate
AURO
MONT
Map Player Rating
AURO
MONT
Map Win Rate
AURO
MONT
Best Player
AURO
MONT
Recent on Nuke
Aurora
8-13
vs MOUZ
May 14
15-19
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-4
vs The Huns
May 10
8-13
vs HEROIC
May 8
13-10
vs INFINITE
Mar 30
Monte
13-5
vs paiN
Jun 9
7-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 8
13-2
vs The Huns
May 12
3-13
vs FURIA
May 9
14-16
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
Mirage
AURO
13
–
9
MONT
70%
30%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
AURO
MONT
Round Win Rate
AURO
MONT
Map Player Rating
AURO
MONT
Trade Score
AURO
MONT
Multi-Kills
AURO
MONT
Recent on Mirage
Aurora
13-10
vs The MongolZ
May 13
13-7
vs B8
Apr 15
13-11
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 15
8-13
vs MOUZ
Apr 14
13-4
vs HOTU
Apr 13
Monte
13-6
vs BetBoom
Jun 8
13-8
vs BIG
Jun 6
19-22
vs G2
Jun 6
16-12
vs The Huns
May 12
8-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 25
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Aurora
Monte
L
0-2
vs MOUZ
Dust2Nuke
May 14
30d ago
W
2-0
vs The MongolZ
OverpassMirage
May 13
31d ago
L
0-2
vs MOUZ
Dust2Nuke
May 11
33d ago
W
2-0
vs The Huns
NukeDust2
May 10
34d ago
W
2-0
vs PARIVISION
AnubisDust2
May 10
34d ago
L
0-2
vs HEROIC
NukeDust2
May 8
36d ago
W
2-0
vs B8
MirageOverpass
Apr 15
59d ago
L
1-2
vs Natus Vincere
InfernoMirageDust2
Apr 15
59d ago
L
0-2
vs MOUZ
Dust2Mirage
Apr 14
60d ago
W
2-0
vs HOTU
MirageDust2
Apr 13
61d ago
L
1-2
vs Alliance
InfernoAnubisOverpass
Apr 1
73d ago
W
2-0
vs paiN
NukeDust2
Jun 9
4d ago
L
1-2
vs BetBoom
NukeMirageDust2
Jun 8
5d ago
W
1-0
vs Legacy
Ancient
Jun 7
6d ago
W
1-0
vs BIG
Mirage
Jun 6
7d ago
L
0-1
vs G2
Mirage
Jun 6
7d ago
L
0-2
vs G2
AncientDust2
May 13
31d ago
W
2-1
vs The Huns
NukeDust2Mirage
May 12
32d ago
L
0-2
vs Falcons
Dust2Ancient
May 11
33d ago
W
2-0
vs magic
AncientDust2
May 10
34d ago
L
0-2
vs FURIA
NukeOverpass
May 9
35d ago
W
2-1
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
NukeDust2Anubis
Apr 26
48d ago
Player Matchups
Aurora
Ratings
Monte
WI
Wicadia
EntryADR 82.1KAST 71%
AF
afro
AWPADR 74.6KAST 72%
WO
woxic
AWPADR 74.1KAST 72%
RA
Rainwaker
EntryADR 76.5KAST 73%
XA
XANTARES
RiflerADR 78.2KAST 72%
GI
Gizmy
RiflerADR 70.6KAST 69%
SO
soulfly
RiflerADR 66.6KAST 72%
AZ
AZUWU
RiflerADR 70.0KAST 70%
MA
MAJ3R
RiflerADR 64.9KAST 70%
BY
Bymas
RiflerADR 64.6KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Overpass
AURO
13
–
5
MONT
89%
11%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
AURO
MONT
Ranking
AURO
MONT
Ban Rate
AURO
MONT
Round Win Rate
AURO
MONT
Flash Assists
AURO
MONT
Recent on Overpass
Aurora
13-11
vs The MongolZ
May 13
13-6
vs B8
Apr 15
11-13
vs Alliance
Apr 1
13-7
vs Sashi
Mar 31
11-13
vs M80
Mar 31
Monte
3-13
vs FURIA
May 9
3-13
vs 9INE
Mar 25
11-13
vs FaZe
Mar 8
16-19
vs fnatic
Feb 21
Inferno
AURO
13
–
6
MONT
86%
14%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
AURO
MONT
Ranking
AURO
MONT
Round Win Rate
AURO
MONT
Flash Assists
AURO
MONT
After First Kill
AURO
MONT
Recent on Inferno
Aurora
4-13
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 15
13-2
vs Alliance
Apr 1
13-3
vs M80
Mar 31
5-13
vs Vitality
Mar 28
13-6
vs The MongolZ
Mar 27
Monte
5-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
13-8
vs M80
Apr 2
13-11
vs 9INE
Mar 25
1-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 6
13-7
vs PARIVISION
Mar 4
Mirage
AURO
13
–
9
MONT
70%
30%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
AURO
MONT
Round Win Rate
AURO
MONT
Map Player Rating
AURO
MONT
Trade Score
AURO
MONT
Multi-Kills
AURO
MONT
Recent on Mirage
Aurora
13-10
vs The MongolZ
May 13
13-7
vs B8
Apr 15
13-11
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 15
8-13
vs MOUZ
Apr 14
13-4
vs HOTU
Apr 13
Monte
13-6
vs BetBoom
Jun 8
13-8
vs BIG
Jun 6
19-22
vs G2
Jun 6
16-12
vs The Huns
May 12
8-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 25
Ancient
AURO
13
–
11
MONT
54%
46%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
AURO
MONT
Map Player Rating
AURO
MONT
Opening Kills
AURO
MONT
Ban Rate
AURO
MONT
Round Win Rate
AURO
MONT
Recent on Ancient
Aurora
22-25
vs Vitality
Feb 3
Monte
13-11
vs Legacy
Jun 7
2-13
vs G2
May 13
10-13
vs Falcons
May 11
13-11
vs magic
May 10
13-10
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026
6 matches