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Bo3  ·  IEM Cologne Major 2026 · 2026-06-11
MOUZ
vs
Legacy
82%
18%
Series win probability
MOUZ 2–0 55%
MOUZ 2–1 24%
LEGA 2–1 15%
LEGA 2–0 5%
Model Insights
MOUZ is strongly favored at 82%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a strong mirage (85% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 35% Mirage · Dust2 · Inferno
Scenario 2 35% Mirage · Dust2 · Nuke
Scenario 3 30% Mirage · Dust2 · Overpass
Mirage
MOUZ 13 – 7 LEGA
85%
15%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MOUZ
LEGA
Ranking
MOUZ
LEGA
Map Player Rating
MOUZ
LEGA
Map Win Rate
MOUZ
LEGA
Days With Lineup Diff
MOUZ
LEGA
Recent on Mirage
MOUZ
13-7 vs Falcons May 22
13-2 vs M80 May 21
13-9 vs NRG May 20
13-2 vs magic May 17
4-13 vs Gentle Mates May 9
Legacy
13-7 vs TYLOO Jun 9
16-12 vs MIBR May 23
13-6 vs Falcons May 23
10-13 vs The MongolZ May 22
13-4 vs BetBoom May 17
Dust2
MOUZ 13 – 11 LEGA
65%
35%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MOUZ
LEGA
Map Player Rating
MOUZ
LEGA
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
LEGA
Best Player
MOUZ
LEGA
Map Win Rate
MOUZ
LEGA
Recent on Dust2
MOUZ
7-13 vs Falcons May 22
3-13 vs Spirit May 16
13-11 vs Aurora May 14
13-11 vs Aurora May 11
14-16 vs G2 May 9
Legacy
13-8 vs M80 Jun 8
13-7 vs FlyQuest Jun 6
13-6 vs Falcons May 23
7-13 vs Falcons May 21
13-6 vs Natus Vincere May 13
Inferno
MOUZ 13 – 10 LEGA
61%
39%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MOUZ
LEGA
Map Player Rating
MOUZ
LEGA
Best Player
MOUZ
LEGA
Opening Score
MOUZ
LEGA
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
LEGA
Recent on Inferno
MOUZ
10-13 vs M80 May 21
7-13 vs TYLOO May 19
13-7 vs magic May 17
13-4 vs 9z May 11
13-7 vs G2 May 9
Legacy
13-4 vs TYLOO Jun 9
16-13 vs M80 Jun 8
13-5 vs MIBR May 23
13-11 vs The MongolZ May 22
6-13 vs GamerLegion May 16
Mirage
MOUZ 13 – 7 LEGA
85%
15%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MOUZ
LEGA
Ranking
MOUZ
LEGA
Map Player Rating
MOUZ
LEGA
Map Win Rate
MOUZ
LEGA
Days With Lineup Diff
MOUZ
LEGA
Recent on Mirage
MOUZ
13-7 vs Falcons May 22
13-2 vs M80 May 21
13-9 vs NRG May 20
13-2 vs magic May 17
4-13 vs Gentle Mates May 9
Legacy
13-7 vs TYLOO Jun 9
16-12 vs MIBR May 23
13-6 vs Falcons May 23
10-13 vs The MongolZ May 22
13-4 vs BetBoom May 17
Dust2
MOUZ 13 – 11 LEGA
65%
35%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MOUZ
LEGA
Map Player Rating
MOUZ
LEGA
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
LEGA
Best Player
MOUZ
LEGA
Map Win Rate
MOUZ
LEGA
Recent on Dust2
MOUZ
7-13 vs Falcons May 22
3-13 vs Spirit May 16
13-11 vs Aurora May 14
13-11 vs Aurora May 11
14-16 vs G2 May 9
Legacy
13-8 vs M80 Jun 8
13-7 vs FlyQuest Jun 6
13-6 vs Falcons May 23
7-13 vs Falcons May 21
13-6 vs Natus Vincere May 13
Nuke
MOUZ 13 – 10 LEGA
61%
39%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MOUZ
LEGA
Opening Kills
MOUZ
LEGA
Best Player
MOUZ
LEGA
Ranking
MOUZ
LEGA
Opening Score
MOUZ
LEGA
Recent on Nuke
MOUZ
10-13 vs Falcons May 22
13-4 vs paiN May 21
13-6 vs NRG May 20
2-13 vs Spirit May 16
13-8 vs Aurora May 14
Legacy
8-13 vs MIBR Jun 6
11-13 vs Falcons May 23
13-10 vs The MongolZ May 22
13-10 vs NRG May 19
13-3 vs BetBoom May 17
Mirage
MOUZ 13 – 7 LEGA
85%
15%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MOUZ
LEGA
Ranking
MOUZ
LEGA
Map Player Rating
MOUZ
LEGA
Map Win Rate
MOUZ
LEGA
Days With Lineup Diff
MOUZ
LEGA
Recent on Mirage
MOUZ
13-7 vs Falcons May 22
13-2 vs M80 May 21
13-9 vs NRG May 20
13-2 vs magic May 17
4-13 vs Gentle Mates May 9
Legacy
13-7 vs TYLOO Jun 9
16-12 vs MIBR May 23
13-6 vs Falcons May 23
10-13 vs The MongolZ May 22
13-4 vs BetBoom May 17
Dust2
MOUZ 13 – 11 LEGA
65%
35%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MOUZ
LEGA
Map Player Rating
MOUZ
LEGA
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
LEGA
Best Player
MOUZ
LEGA
Map Win Rate
MOUZ
LEGA
Recent on Dust2
MOUZ
7-13 vs Falcons May 22
3-13 vs Spirit May 16
13-11 vs Aurora May 14
13-11 vs Aurora May 11
14-16 vs G2 May 9
Legacy
13-8 vs M80 Jun 8
13-7 vs FlyQuest Jun 6
13-6 vs Falcons May 23
7-13 vs Falcons May 21
13-6 vs Natus Vincere May 13
Overpass
MOUZ 13 – 4 LEGA
91%
9%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MOUZ
LEGA
Map Player Rating
MOUZ
LEGA
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
LEGA
T Side
MOUZ
LEGA
Best Player
MOUZ
LEGA
Recent on Overpass
MOUZ
13-3 vs MIBR May 23
13-8 vs B8 May 22
13-3 vs M80 May 21
13-7 vs paiN May 21
Legacy
19-16 vs TYLOO May 20
8-13 vs Galorys Mar 27
13-8 vs Aurora Mar 13
13-9 vs Aurora Mar 6
13-9 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Mar 1
Recent Results last 11 matches
MOUZ
Legacy
W 2-0 vs MIBR OverpassAncient May 23 19d ago
W 2-0 vs B8 OverpassAncient May 22 20d ago
L 1-2 vs Falcons MirageDust2Nuke May 22 20d ago
W 2-1 vs M80 OverpassInfernoMirage May 21 21d ago
W 2-0 vs paiN NukeOverpass May 21 21d ago
W 2-1 vs NRG AncientNukeMirage May 20 22d ago
L 0-1 vs TYLOO Inferno May 19 23d ago
W 2-0 vs magic MirageInferno May 17 25d ago
L 0-2 vs Spirit Dust2Nuke May 16 26d ago
W 2-0 vs Aurora Dust2Nuke May 14 28d ago
L 1-2 vs 9z NukeInfernoAncient May 11 31d ago
W 2-0 vs TYLOO MirageInferno Jun 9 2d ago
W 2-0 vs M80 Dust2Inferno Jun 8 3d ago
L 0-1 vs Monte Ancient Jun 7 4d ago
L 0-1 vs MIBR Nuke Jun 6 5d ago
W 1-0 vs FlyQuest Dust2 Jun 6 5d ago
W 2-0 vs MIBR MirageInferno May 23 19d ago
W 3-1 vs Falcons NukeAncientMirageDust2 May 23 19d ago
W 2-1 vs The MongolZ InfernoMirageNuke May 22 20d ago
L 0-2 vs Falcons Dust2Ancient May 21 21d ago
W 2-0 vs TYLOO OverpassAncient May 20 22d ago
W 1-0 vs NRG Nuke May 19 23d ago
Player Matchups
MOUZ
Ratings
Legacy
XE
xertioN
RiflerADR 85.9KAST 75%
1.21 vs 1.20
LA
latto
RiflerADR 80.1KAST 78%
XE
xelex
RiflerADR 77.6KAST 71%
1.12 vs 1.19
DU
dumau
EntryADR 85.2KAST 74%
SP
Spinx
EntryADR 71.0KAST 72%
1.02 vs 1.08
SA
saadzin
AWPADR 68.8KAST 75%
TO
torzsi
AWPADR 63.2KAST 71%
0.98 vs 1.03
N1
n1ssim
RiflerADR 67.5KAST 74%
— vs 0.96
AR
arT
RiflerADR 71.8KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Ancient
MOUZ 13 – 5 LEGA
92%
8%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MOUZ
LEGA
Map Player Rating
MOUZ
LEGA
Best Player
MOUZ
LEGA
T Side
MOUZ
LEGA
Multi-Kills
MOUZ
LEGA
Recent on Ancient
MOUZ
13-1 vs MIBR May 23
22-20 vs B8 May 22
10-13 vs NRG May 20
9-13 vs 9z May 11
13-5 vs Gentle Mates May 9
Legacy
11-13 vs Monte Jun 7
13-9 vs Falcons May 23
9-13 vs Falcons May 21
16-12 vs TYLOO May 20
9-13 vs GamerLegion May 16
Overpass
MOUZ 13 – 4 LEGA
91%
9%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MOUZ
LEGA
Map Player Rating
MOUZ
LEGA
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
LEGA
T Side
MOUZ
LEGA
Best Player
MOUZ
LEGA
Recent on Overpass
MOUZ
13-3 vs MIBR May 23
13-8 vs B8 May 22
13-3 vs M80 May 21
13-7 vs paiN May 21
Legacy
19-16 vs TYLOO May 20
8-13 vs Galorys Mar 27
13-8 vs Aurora Mar 13
13-9 vs Aurora Mar 6
13-9 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Mar 1
Nuke
MOUZ 13 – 10 LEGA
61%
39%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MOUZ
LEGA
Opening Kills
MOUZ
LEGA
Best Player
MOUZ
LEGA
Ranking
MOUZ
LEGA
Opening Score
MOUZ
LEGA
Recent on Nuke
MOUZ
10-13 vs Falcons May 22
13-4 vs paiN May 21
13-6 vs NRG May 20
2-13 vs Spirit May 16
13-8 vs Aurora May 14
Legacy
8-13 vs MIBR Jun 6
11-13 vs Falcons May 23
13-10 vs The MongolZ May 22
13-10 vs NRG May 19
13-3 vs BetBoom May 17
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026 7 matches
9z over PARIVISION 94% BetBoom over The MongolZ 64% Vitality over FUT 69% G2 over Falcons 56% FURIA over B8 77% Spirit over Natus Vincere 66% Aurora over Monte 72%