Bo3 · ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Finals
· 2026-05-26
Nemesis
vs
INOX Division
✗
47%
53%
Series win probability
ID
2–1
29%
NEME
2–0
26%
ID
2–0
24%
NEME
2–1
21%
Actual result
Inferno
16–12
NEME
Ancient
13–6
NEME
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — INOX Division is slightly favored at 53% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.15 vs 1.08), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#80 vs #38). Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
37%
Nuke · Inferno · Ancient
Scenario 2
32%
Nuke · Inferno · Dust2
Scenario 3
31%
Nuke · Inferno · Overpass
Nuke
NEME
14
–
16
ID
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
NEME
ID
Overall Rating
NEME
ID
Map ADR
NEME
ID
T Side
NEME
ID
Round Win Rate
NEME
ID
Recent on Nuke
Nemesis
13-10
vs Walczaki
May 18
8-13
vs CYBERSHOKE
May 8
13-8
vs Hashiras
Apr 27
13-6
vs ESC
Apr 10
13-4
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
INOX Division
13-10
vs HOTU
May 12
19-22
vs ex-RUBY
May 10
13-4
vs BRUTE
May 10
7-13
vs Nemiga
May 9
16-12
vs BRUTE
May 9
Inferno
NEME
13
–
11
ID
55%
45%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
NEME
ID
Map Win Rate
NEME
ID
CT 4v5
NEME
ID
Overall Rating
NEME
ID
Round Win Rate
NEME
ID
Recent on Inferno
Nemesis
4-13
vs Walczaki
May 18
13-5
vs fnatic
Apr 29
13-11
vs Hashiras
Apr 27
13-8
vs big
Apr 10
13-8
vs STATE
Mar 31
INOX Division
19-15
vs BRUTE
May 10
13-7
vs Betclic
May 7
13-5
vs The Last Resort
May 7
9-13
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
May 5
13-7
vs TDK
May 3
Ancient
NEME
10
–
13
ID
41%
59%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
NEME
ID
After First Death
NEME
ID
Pick Rate
NEME
ID
After First Kill
NEME
ID
Overall Rating
NEME
ID
Recent on Ancient
Nemesis
13-5
vs SPARTA
May 3
13-8
vs fnatic
Apr 29
13-9
vs The Last Resort
Apr 25
13-5
vs big
Apr 10
13-11
vs RUSTEC
Apr 8
INOX Division
6-13
vs HOTU
May 12
13-7
vs Omega
May 8
13-8
vs Betclic
May 7
13-1
vs The Last Resort
May 7
11-13
vs Walczaki
May 6
Nuke
NEME
14
–
16
ID
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
NEME
ID
Overall Rating
NEME
ID
Map ADR
NEME
ID
T Side
NEME
ID
Round Win Rate
NEME
ID
Recent on Nuke
Nemesis
13-10
vs Walczaki
May 18
8-13
vs CYBERSHOKE
May 8
13-8
vs Hashiras
Apr 27
13-6
vs ESC
Apr 10
13-4
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
INOX Division
13-10
vs HOTU
May 12
19-22
vs ex-RUBY
May 10
13-4
vs BRUTE
May 10
7-13
vs Nemiga
May 9
16-12
vs BRUTE
May 9
Inferno
NEME
13
–
11
ID
55%
45%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
NEME
ID
Map Win Rate
NEME
ID
CT 4v5
NEME
ID
Overall Rating
NEME
ID
Round Win Rate
NEME
ID
Recent on Inferno
Nemesis
4-13
vs Walczaki
May 18
13-5
vs fnatic
Apr 29
13-11
vs Hashiras
Apr 27
13-8
vs big
Apr 10
13-8
vs STATE
Mar 31
INOX Division
19-15
vs BRUTE
May 10
13-7
vs Betclic
May 7
13-5
vs The Last Resort
May 7
9-13
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
May 5
13-7
vs TDK
May 3
Dust2
NEME
8
–
13
ID
39%
61%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
NEME
ID
After First Kill
NEME
ID
Opening Kills
NEME
ID
CT 4v5
NEME
ID
After First Death
NEME
ID
Recent on Dust2
Nemesis
2-13
vs CYBERSHOKE
May 8
13-9
vs SPARTA
May 3
13-7
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 23
13-6
vs ESC
Apr 10
9-13
vs RUSTEC
Apr 8
INOX Division
22-25
vs HOTU
May 12
13-4
vs MOUZ NXT
May 11
13-4
vs ex-RUBY
May 10
13-3
vs BRUTE
May 9
11-13
vs Omega
May 8
Nuke
NEME
14
–
16
ID
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
NEME
ID
Overall Rating
NEME
ID
Map ADR
NEME
ID
T Side
NEME
ID
Round Win Rate
NEME
ID
Recent on Nuke
Nemesis
13-10
vs Walczaki
May 18
8-13
vs CYBERSHOKE
May 8
13-8
vs Hashiras
Apr 27
13-6
vs ESC
Apr 10
13-4
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
INOX Division
13-10
vs HOTU
May 12
19-22
vs ex-RUBY
May 10
13-4
vs BRUTE
May 10
7-13
vs Nemiga
May 9
16-12
vs BRUTE
May 9
Inferno
NEME
13
–
11
ID
55%
45%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
NEME
ID
Map Win Rate
NEME
ID
CT 4v5
NEME
ID
Overall Rating
NEME
ID
Round Win Rate
NEME
ID
Recent on Inferno
Nemesis
4-13
vs Walczaki
May 18
13-5
vs fnatic
Apr 29
13-11
vs Hashiras
Apr 27
13-8
vs big
Apr 10
13-8
vs STATE
Mar 31
INOX Division
19-15
vs BRUTE
May 10
13-7
vs Betclic
May 7
13-5
vs The Last Resort
May 7
9-13
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
May 5
13-7
vs TDK
May 3
Overpass
NEME
16
–
14
ID
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
NEME
ID
After First Death
NEME
ID
Ban Rate
NEME
ID
Overall Rating
NEME
ID
Map Win Rate
NEME
ID
Recent on Overpass
Nemesis
13-10
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 23
13-8
vs Rebels
Apr 2
4-13
vs Nemiga
Apr 1
13-10
vs Nemiga
Mar 24
13-3
vs TDK
Mar 21
INOX Division
13-4
vs MOUZ NXT
May 11
7-13
vs ex-RUBY
May 10
11-13
vs Nemiga
May 9
13-8
vs Omega
May 8
13-0
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
May 5
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Nemesis
INOX Division
L
1-2
vs Walczaki
NukeInfernoMirage
May 18
9d ago
L
0-2
vs CYBERSHOKE
Dust2Nuke
May 8
19d ago
W
2-0
vs SPARTA
Dust2Ancient
May 3
24d ago
W
2-0
vs fnatic
InfernoAncient
Apr 29
28d ago
W
2-0
vs Hashiras
InfernoNuke
Apr 27
30d ago
W
2-0
vs The Last Resort
AncientMirage
Apr 25
32d ago
W
2-0
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Dust2Overpass
Apr 23
34d ago
W
2-0
vs ESC
NukeDust2
Apr 10
47d ago
W
2-0
vs big
InfernoAncient
Apr 10
47d ago
W
2-0
vs EYEBALLERS
NukeMirage
Apr 9
48d ago
W
2-1
vs RUSTEC
Dust2AncientMirage
Apr 8
49d ago
L
1-2
vs HOTU
NukeDust2Ancient
May 12
15d ago
W
2-0
vs MOUZ NXT
OverpassDust2
May 11
16d ago
L
1-2
vs ex-RUBY
Dust2OverpassNuke
May 10
17d ago
W
2-0
vs BRUTE
InfernoNuke
May 10
17d ago
L
1-2
vs Nemiga
NukeAnubisOverpass
May 9
18d ago
W
2-0
vs BRUTE
Dust2Nuke
May 9
18d ago
W
2-1
vs Omega
OverpassDust2Ancient
May 8
19d ago
W
2-1
vs Betclic
InfernoAnubisAncient
May 7
20d ago
W
2-0
vs The Last Resort
AncientInferno
May 7
20d ago
L
1-2
vs Walczaki
NukeDust2Ancient
May 6
21d ago
W
2-1
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
InfernoOverpassNuke
May 5
22d ago
Player Matchups
Nemesis
Ratings
INOX Division
R3
r3salt
EntryADR 80.9KAST 74%
FE
FenomeN
AWPADR 81.3KAST 80%
MA
mag1k3Y
AWPADR 70.3KAST 75%
K0
k0s
RiflerADR 80.9KAST 75%
TE
tex1y
RiflerADR 75.0KAST 75%
FI
finW
EntryADR 75.6KAST 76%
SD
Sdaim
RiflerADR 76.0KAST 73%
K1
k1slll
RiflerADR 79.6KAST 76%
SE
SELLTER
RiflerADR 70.1KAST 72%
GO
gooddeph
RiflerADR 65.5KAST 74%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Mirage
NEME
13
–
7
ID
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Ranking
NEME
ID
After First Kill
NEME
ID
Opening Kills
NEME
ID
Ban Rate
NEME
ID
After First Death
NEME
ID
Recent on Mirage
Nemesis
10-13
vs Walczaki
May 18
13-8
vs The Last Resort
Apr 25
13-4
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
13-8
vs RUSTEC
Apr 8
13-9
vs ECSTATIC
Apr 3
INOX Division
no data
Anubis
NEME
7
–
13
ID
17%
83%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Ranking
NEME
ID
Opening Kills
NEME
ID
After First Kill
NEME
ID
Ban Rate
NEME
ID
Flash Assists
NEME
ID
Recent on Anubis
Nemesis
no data
INOX Division
13-8
vs Nemiga
May 9
1-13
vs Betclic
May 7
13-8
vs RUSTEC
Apr 25
13-5
vs EC BANGA
Apr 25
Dust2
NEME
8
–
13
ID
39%
61%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
NEME
ID
After First Kill
NEME
ID
Opening Kills
NEME
ID
CT 4v5
NEME
ID
After First Death
NEME
ID
Recent on Dust2
Nemesis
2-13
vs CYBERSHOKE
May 8
13-9
vs SPARTA
May 3
13-7
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 23
13-6
vs ESC
Apr 10
9-13
vs RUSTEC
Apr 8
INOX Division
22-25
vs HOTU
May 12
13-4
vs MOUZ NXT
May 11
13-4
vs ex-RUBY
May 10
13-3
vs BRUTE
May 9
11-13
vs Omega
May 8
Overpass
NEME
16
–
14
ID
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
NEME
ID
After First Death
NEME
ID
Ban Rate
NEME
ID
Overall Rating
NEME
ID
Map Win Rate
NEME
ID
Recent on Overpass
Nemesis
13-10
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 23
13-8
vs Rebels
Apr 2
4-13
vs Nemiga
Apr 1
13-10
vs Nemiga
Mar 24
13-3
vs TDK
Mar 21
INOX Division
13-4
vs MOUZ NXT
May 11
7-13
vs ex-RUBY
May 10
11-13
vs Nemiga
May 9
13-8
vs Omega
May 8
13-0
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
May 5