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Bo3  ·  NODWIN Clutch Series 9 Closed Qualifier · 2026-05-26
RUSTEC
vs
Lilmix
77%
23%
Series win probability
RUST 2–0 56%
RUST 2–1 21%
LILM 2–1 17%
LILM 2–0 6%
Actual result
Inferno 13–7 RUST
Anubis 13–11 RUST
Model Insights
RUSTEC is strongly favored at 77%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.07 vs 0.99), a significant ranking advantage (#120 vs #182), a strong dust2 (82% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 41% Dust2 · Overpass · Mirage
Scenario 2 31% Dust2 · Overpass · Inferno
Scenario 3 28% Dust2 · Overpass · Ancient
Dust2
RUST 13 6 LILM
82%
18%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Ranking
RUST
LILM
After First Kill
RUST
LILM
Map Win Rate
RUST
LILM
After First Death
RUST
LILM
CT 4v5
RUST
LILM
Recent on Dust2
RUSTEC
9-13 vs BRUTE Apr 26
13-2 vs INOX Division Apr 26
3-13 vs Phantom Apr 26
13-8 vs aimclub Apr 25
16-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 24
Lilmix
7-13 vs Vexar May 26
16-13 vs G2 Ares May 25
6-13 vs Bushido Wildcats May 22
8-13 vs INFINITE May 2
7-13 vs G2 Ares May 2
Overpass
RUST 13 8 LILM
69%
31%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
RUST
LILM
Map Win Rate
RUST
LILM
CT 4v5
RUST
LILM
Opening Kills
RUST
LILM
Map ADR
RUST
LILM
Recent on Overpass
RUSTEC
13-9 vs Entropy May 25
16-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 24
13-7 vs playersclub Apr 23
13-4 vs Atreides Apr 20
13-11 vs STATE Apr 3
Lilmix
22-25 vs Bushido Wildcats May 22
13-9 vs Just Players May 21
14-16 vs Atreides May 6
13-8 vs Aurora Young Blud May 5
13-10 vs STATE Apr 27
Mirage
RUST 13 11 LILM
56%
44%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
RUST
LILM
After First Death
RUST
LILM
CT 4v5
RUST
LILM
Overall Rating
RUST
LILM
T Rating
RUST
LILM
Recent on Mirage
RUSTEC
13-10 vs Entropy May 25
13-8 vs BRUTE Apr 26
11-13 vs Phantom Apr 26
10-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 24
13-5 vs playersclub Apr 23
Lilmix
13-16 vs Just Players May 21
13-10 vs Aurora Young Blud May 5
5-13 vs INFINITE May 2
11-13 vs G2 Ares May 2
13-10 vs Ursa Apr 28
Dust2
RUST 13 6 LILM
82%
18%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Ranking
RUST
LILM
After First Kill
RUST
LILM
Map Win Rate
RUST
LILM
After First Death
RUST
LILM
CT 4v5
RUST
LILM
Recent on Dust2
RUSTEC
9-13 vs BRUTE Apr 26
13-2 vs INOX Division Apr 26
3-13 vs Phantom Apr 26
13-8 vs aimclub Apr 25
16-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 24
Lilmix
7-13 vs Vexar May 26
16-13 vs G2 Ares May 25
6-13 vs Bushido Wildcats May 22
8-13 vs INFINITE May 2
7-13 vs G2 Ares May 2
Overpass
RUST 13 8 LILM
69%
31%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
RUST
LILM
Map Win Rate
RUST
LILM
CT 4v5
RUST
LILM
Opening Kills
RUST
LILM
Map ADR
RUST
LILM
Recent on Overpass
RUSTEC
13-9 vs Entropy May 25
16-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 24
13-7 vs playersclub Apr 23
13-4 vs Atreides Apr 20
13-11 vs STATE Apr 3
Lilmix
22-25 vs Bushido Wildcats May 22
13-9 vs Just Players May 21
14-16 vs Atreides May 6
13-8 vs Aurora Young Blud May 5
13-10 vs STATE Apr 27
Inferno
RUST 13 10 LILM
74%
26%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
RUST
LILM
Map Win Rate
RUST
LILM
CT 4v5
RUST
LILM
After First Death
RUST
LILM
Map ADR
RUST
LILM
Recent on Inferno
RUSTEC
13-11 vs BRUTE Apr 26
13-5 vs INOX Division Apr 26
13-4 vs aimclub Apr 25
10-13 vs Hashiras Apr 22
5-13 vs Atreides Apr 20
Lilmix
13-7 vs Vexar May 26
13-5 vs G2 Ares May 25
13-3 vs NEW VISION May 24
13-6 vs ROUNDS May 2
13-10 vs INFINITE May 2
Dust2
RUST 13 6 LILM
82%
18%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Ranking
RUST
LILM
After First Kill
RUST
LILM
Map Win Rate
RUST
LILM
After First Death
RUST
LILM
CT 4v5
RUST
LILM
Recent on Dust2
RUSTEC
9-13 vs BRUTE Apr 26
13-2 vs INOX Division Apr 26
3-13 vs Phantom Apr 26
13-8 vs aimclub Apr 25
16-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 24
Lilmix
7-13 vs Vexar May 26
16-13 vs G2 Ares May 25
6-13 vs Bushido Wildcats May 22
8-13 vs INFINITE May 2
7-13 vs G2 Ares May 2
Overpass
RUST 13 8 LILM
69%
31%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
RUST
LILM
Map Win Rate
RUST
LILM
CT 4v5
RUST
LILM
Opening Kills
RUST
LILM
Map ADR
RUST
LILM
Recent on Overpass
RUSTEC
13-9 vs Entropy May 25
16-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 24
13-7 vs playersclub Apr 23
13-4 vs Atreides Apr 20
13-11 vs STATE Apr 3
Lilmix
22-25 vs Bushido Wildcats May 22
13-9 vs Just Players May 21
14-16 vs Atreides May 6
13-8 vs Aurora Young Blud May 5
13-10 vs STATE Apr 27
Ancient
RUST 13 9 LILM
70%
30%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
RUST
LILM
Flash Assists
RUST
LILM
Overall Rating
RUST
LILM
T Rating
RUST
LILM
Ban Rate
RUST
LILM
Recent on Ancient
RUSTEC
5-13 vs INOX Division Apr 25
11-13 vs Nemesis Apr 8
13-7 vs Oxuji Mar 24
13-9 vs Nemesis Mar 9
3-13 vs K27 Feb 2
Lilmix
6-13 vs Vexar May 26
9-13 vs NEW VISION May 24
10-13 vs Just Players May 21
6-13 vs Atreides May 6
6-13 vs Aurora Young Blud May 5
Recent Results last 11 matches
RUSTEC
Lilmix
W 2-0 vs Entropy OverpassMirage May 25 2d ago
W 2-1 vs BRUTE InfernoDust2Mirage Apr 26 31d ago
W 2-0 vs INOX Division Dust2Inferno Apr 26 31d ago
L 0-2 vs Phantom Dust2Mirage Apr 26 31d ago
L 0-2 vs INOX Division AncientAnubis Apr 25 32d ago
W 2-0 vs aimclub Dust2Inferno Apr 25 32d ago
W 2-1 vs ex-RUBY OverpassMirageDust2 Apr 24 33d ago
W 2-0 vs playersclub OverpassMirage Apr 23 34d ago
L 0-2 vs Hashiras Dust2Inferno Apr 22 35d ago
W 2-1 vs Atreides InfernoNukeOverpass Apr 20 37d ago
L 1-2 vs Nemesis Dust2AncientMirage Apr 8 49d ago
W 2-0 vs G2 Ares InfernoDust2 May 25 2d ago
L 1-2 vs NEW VISION InfernoNukeAncient May 24 3d ago
L 0-2 vs Bushido Wildcats Dust2Overpass May 22 5d ago
L 1-2 vs Just Players OverpassMirageAncient May 21 6d ago
L 0-2 vs Atreides AncientOverpass May 6 21d ago
W 2-1 vs Aurora Young Blud AncientMirageOverpass May 5 22d ago
W 2-0 vs ROUNDS InfernoAncient May 2 25d ago
L 1-2 vs INFINITE InfernoDust2Mirage May 2 25d ago
L 0-2 vs G2 Ares MirageDust2 May 2 25d ago
W 2-1 vs Ursa Dust2MirageInferno Apr 28 29d ago
L 0-2 vs Lavked AncientMirage Apr 27 30d ago
Player Matchups
RUSTEC
Ratings
Lilmix
BR
Brilliance
EntryADR 76.8KAST 73%
1.11 vs 1.06
WO
Wonder
RiflerADR 71.4KAST 72%
YO
youka
AWPADR 74.8KAST 73%
1.11 vs 1.01
BS
bsover
AWPADR 77.3KAST 67%
SU
supra
RiflerADR 75.4KAST 72%
1.09 vs 1.00
WA
walleN
RiflerADR 69.9KAST 71%
JA
jakekeS
RiflerADR 73.0KAST 72%
1.04 vs 0.99
JA
Jackinho
EntryADR 74.2KAST 69%
AN
anttzz
RiflerADR 66.9KAST 72%
1.00 vs 0.83
QU
quix
RiflerADR 64.6KAST 67%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Nuke
RUST 13 7 LILM
86%
14%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Ranking
RUST
LILM
Ban Rate
RUST
LILM
After First Death
RUST
LILM
Overall Rating
RUST
LILM
Map ADR
RUST
LILM
Recent on Nuke
RUSTEC
13-11 vs Atreides Apr 20
13-9 vs STATE Apr 3
13-6 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Apr 2
13-7 vs ASTRAL Apr 1
13-5 vs Rune Eaters Mar 30
Lilmix
10-13 vs NEW VISION May 24
Anubis
RUST 13 8 LILM
78%
22%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
RUST
LILM
CT 4v5
RUST
LILM
Ban Rate
RUST
LILM
Opening Kills
RUST
LILM
Overall Rating
RUST
LILM
Recent on Anubis
RUSTEC
8-13 vs INOX Division Apr 25
13-3 vs ASTRAL Apr 1
9-13 vs K27 Feb 2
Lilmix
no data
Inferno
RUST 13 10 LILM
74%
26%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
RUST
LILM
Map Win Rate
RUST
LILM
CT 4v5
RUST
LILM
After First Death
RUST
LILM
Map ADR
RUST
LILM
Recent on Inferno
RUSTEC
13-11 vs BRUTE Apr 26
13-5 vs INOX Division Apr 26
13-4 vs aimclub Apr 25
10-13 vs Hashiras Apr 22
5-13 vs Atreides Apr 20
Lilmix
13-7 vs Vexar May 26
13-5 vs G2 Ares May 25
13-3 vs NEW VISION May 24
13-6 vs ROUNDS May 2
13-10 vs INFINITE May 2
Ancient
RUST 13 9 LILM
70%
30%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
RUST
LILM
Flash Assists
RUST
LILM
Overall Rating
RUST
LILM
T Rating
RUST
LILM
Ban Rate
RUST
LILM
Recent on Ancient
RUSTEC
5-13 vs INOX Division Apr 25
11-13 vs Nemesis Apr 8
13-7 vs Oxuji Mar 24
13-9 vs Nemesis Mar 9
3-13 vs K27 Feb 2
Lilmix
6-13 vs Vexar May 26
9-13 vs NEW VISION May 24
10-13 vs Just Players May 21
6-13 vs Atreides May 6
6-13 vs Aurora Young Blud May 5
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