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Bo3  ·  NODWIN Clutch Series 9 Closed Qualifier · 2026-05-26
ASTRAL
vs
MANA
67%
33%
Series win probability
ASTR 2–0 34%
ASTR 2–1 33%
MANA 2–0 17%
MANA 2–1 16%
Actual result
Dust2 16–12 MANA
Ancient 13–10 ASTR
Mirage 13–11 MANA
Model Insights
ASTRAL has a moderate edge at 67%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#113 vs #142), a strong mirage (68% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 46% Ancient · Dust2 · Mirage
Scenario 2 31% Ancient · Mirage · Inferno
Scenario 3 23% Ancient · Mirage · Nuke
Ancient
ASTR 13 10 MANA
61%
39%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ASTR
MANA
Map Win Rate
ASTR
MANA
CT 4v5
ASTR
MANA
Ranking
ASTR
MANA
Map ADR
ASTR
MANA
Recent on Ancient
ASTRAL
13-6 vs GenOne May 26
13-7 vs Rebels May 26
13-9 vs SAW May 24
13-9 vs MASONIC May 23
13-16 vs Omega May 23
MANA
10-13 vs Falcons Force May 25
10-13 vs Prestige May 25
7-13 vs GenOne May 23
4-13 vs Falcons Force May 15
Dust2
ASTR 13 10 MANA
55%
45%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ASTR
MANA
After First Death
ASTR
MANA
Ranking
ASTR
MANA
Round Win Rate
ASTR
MANA
Pick Rate
ASTR
MANA
Recent on Dust2
ASTRAL
6-13 vs GenOne May 26
13-9 vs MASONIC May 23
6-13 vs Omega May 23
8-13 vs Eternal Fire May 21
12-16 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects May 19
MANA
13-7 vs Falcons Force May 25
9-13 vs Hashiras May 24
7-13 vs GenOne May 23
13-4 vs Falcons Force May 15
6-13 vs BRUTE May 14
Mirage
ASTR 13 9 MANA
68%
32%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ASTR
MANA
CT 4v5
ASTR
MANA
Ban Rate
ASTR
MANA
After First Death
ASTR
MANA
Map ADR
ASTR
MANA
Recent on Mirage
ASTRAL
13-9 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 25
13-10 vs brazylijski luz May 25
5-13 vs Ursa May 22
11-13 vs Project 91 May 20
7-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects May 19
MANA
13-6 vs Falcons Force May 25
13-6 vs Prestige May 25
8-13 vs Falcons Force May 15
9-13 vs BRUTE May 14
Ancient
ASTR 13 10 MANA
61%
39%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ASTR
MANA
Map Win Rate
ASTR
MANA
CT 4v5
ASTR
MANA
Ranking
ASTR
MANA
Map ADR
ASTR
MANA
Recent on Ancient
ASTRAL
13-6 vs GenOne May 26
13-7 vs Rebels May 26
13-9 vs SAW May 24
13-9 vs MASONIC May 23
13-16 vs Omega May 23
MANA
10-13 vs Falcons Force May 25
10-13 vs Prestige May 25
7-13 vs GenOne May 23
4-13 vs Falcons Force May 15
Mirage
ASTR 13 9 MANA
68%
32%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ASTR
MANA
CT 4v5
ASTR
MANA
Ban Rate
ASTR
MANA
After First Death
ASTR
MANA
Map ADR
ASTR
MANA
Recent on Mirage
ASTRAL
13-9 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 25
13-10 vs brazylijski luz May 25
5-13 vs Ursa May 22
11-13 vs Project 91 May 20
7-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects May 19
MANA
13-6 vs Falcons Force May 25
13-6 vs Prestige May 25
8-13 vs Falcons Force May 15
9-13 vs BRUTE May 14
Inferno
ASTR 13 11 MANA
58%
42%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ASTR
MANA
Ranking
ASTR
MANA
Opening Kills
ASTR
MANA
After First Kill
ASTR
MANA
Map ADR
ASTR
MANA
Recent on Inferno
ASTRAL
2-13 vs Rebels May 26
13-8 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 25
13-6 vs brazylijski luz May 25
14-16 vs MASONIC May 23
13-11 vs Ursa May 22
MANA
13-5 vs BRUTE May 14
Ancient
ASTR 13 10 MANA
61%
39%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ASTR
MANA
Map Win Rate
ASTR
MANA
CT 4v5
ASTR
MANA
Ranking
ASTR
MANA
Map ADR
ASTR
MANA
Recent on Ancient
ASTRAL
13-6 vs GenOne May 26
13-7 vs Rebels May 26
13-9 vs SAW May 24
13-9 vs MASONIC May 23
13-16 vs Omega May 23
MANA
10-13 vs Falcons Force May 25
10-13 vs Prestige May 25
7-13 vs GenOne May 23
4-13 vs Falcons Force May 15
Mirage
ASTR 13 9 MANA
68%
32%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ASTR
MANA
CT 4v5
ASTR
MANA
Ban Rate
ASTR
MANA
After First Death
ASTR
MANA
Map ADR
ASTR
MANA
Recent on Mirage
ASTRAL
13-9 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 25
13-10 vs brazylijski luz May 25
5-13 vs Ursa May 22
11-13 vs Project 91 May 20
7-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects May 19
MANA
13-6 vs Falcons Force May 25
13-6 vs Prestige May 25
8-13 vs Falcons Force May 15
9-13 vs BRUTE May 14
Nuke
ASTR 13 10 MANA
68%
32%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ASTR
MANA
Ban Rate
ASTR
MANA
CT 4v5
ASTR
MANA
After First Death
ASTR
MANA
Pistol Rating
ASTR
MANA
Recent on Nuke
ASTRAL
6-13 vs GenOne May 26
14-16 vs Ursa May 22
14-16 vs Eternal Fire May 21
11-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 2
13-4 vs Clutchain fe Apr 29
MANA
7-13 vs Hashiras May 24
Recent Results last 11 matches
ASTRAL
MANA
W 2-0 vs ex-Zero Tenacity InfernoMirage May 25 2d ago
W 2-0 vs brazylijski luz MirageInferno May 25 2d ago
W 2-0 vs SAW AncientAnubis May 24 3d ago
W 2-1 vs MASONIC InfernoDust2Ancient May 23 4d ago
L 0-2 vs Omega Dust2Ancient May 23 4d ago
L 1-2 vs Ursa MirageInfernoNuke May 22 5d ago
L 0-2 vs Eternal Fire NukeDust2 May 21 6d ago
W 2-1 vs Project 91 AncientMirageAnubis May 20 7d ago
L 1-2 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects Dust2InfernoMirage May 19 8d ago
W 2-0 vs ex-RUBY AncientMirage May 18 9d ago
L 1-2 vs CYBERSHOKE MirageDust2Ancient May 6 21d ago
W 2-1 vs Falcons Force AncientDust2Mirage May 25 2d ago
L 1-2 vs Prestige AncientMirageAnubis May 25 2d ago
L 0-2 vs Hashiras Dust2Nuke May 24 3d ago
L 0-2 vs GenOne Dust2Ancient May 23 4d ago
L 1-2 vs Falcons Force Dust2AncientMirage May 15 12d ago
L 1-2 vs BRUTE InfernoMirageDust2 May 14 13d ago
Player Matchups
ASTRAL
Ratings
MANA
SW
swiz
EntryADR 84.1KAST 73%
1.17 vs 1.10
AM
ammar
EntryADR 73.1KAST 73%
GX
gxx-
AWPADR 75.1KAST 72%
1.07 vs 1.08
BL
BledarD
AWPADR 75.8KAST 71%
RA
RaY5ive
RiflerADR 74.1KAST 72%
1.02 vs 1.03
SE
SENER1
RiflerADR 73.3KAST 72%
NE
Neqy
RiflerADR 76.6KAST 71%
1.00 vs 0.96
CE
cerber
RiflerADR 70.5KAST 70%
ME
meowpop
RiflerADR 64.2KAST 71%
0.97 vs
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Anubis
ASTR 13 7 MANA
83%
17%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ASTR
MANA
Ban Rate
ASTR
MANA
Map ADR
ASTR
MANA
Map Player Rating
ASTR
MANA
Ranking
ASTR
MANA
Recent on Anubis
ASTRAL
13-5 vs Rebels May 26
19-16 vs SAW May 24
13-7 vs Project 91 May 20
4-13 vs Passion UA Apr 4
3-13 vs RUSTEC Apr 1
MANA
9-13 vs Prestige May 25
Nuke
ASTR 13 10 MANA
68%
32%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ASTR
MANA
Ban Rate
ASTR
MANA
CT 4v5
ASTR
MANA
After First Death
ASTR
MANA
Pistol Rating
ASTR
MANA
Recent on Nuke
ASTRAL
6-13 vs GenOne May 26
14-16 vs Ursa May 22
14-16 vs Eternal Fire May 21
11-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 2
13-4 vs Clutchain fe Apr 29
MANA
7-13 vs Hashiras May 24
Overpass
ASTR 9 13 MANA
33%
67%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ASTR
MANA
After First Death
ASTR
MANA
After First Kill
ASTR
MANA
Ban Rate
ASTR
MANA
Opening Kills
ASTR
MANA
Recent on Overpass
ASTRAL
no data
MANA
no data
Inferno
ASTR 13 11 MANA
58%
42%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ASTR
MANA
Ranking
ASTR
MANA
Opening Kills
ASTR
MANA
After First Kill
ASTR
MANA
Map ADR
ASTR
MANA
Recent on Inferno
ASTRAL
2-13 vs Rebels May 26
13-8 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 25
13-6 vs brazylijski luz May 25
14-16 vs MASONIC May 23
13-11 vs Ursa May 22
MANA
13-5 vs BRUTE May 14
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