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Bo3  ·  IEM Cologne Major 2026 · 2026-06-12
FURIA
vs
MOUZ
46%
54%
Series win probability
MOUZ 2–0 41%
MOUZ 2–1 30%
FURI 2–1 16%
FURI 2–0 13%
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — MOUZ is slightly favored at 54% but only leads on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong nuke (65% win probability). Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 37% Overpass · Nuke · Mirage
Scenario 2 34% Nuke · Mirage · Dust2
Scenario 3 28% Nuke · Mirage · Inferno
Overpass
FURI 8 – 13 MOUZ
37%
63%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FURI
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
FURI
MOUZ
Ranking
FURI
MOUZ
Map Win Rate
FURI
MOUZ
Opening Score
FURI
MOUZ
Recent on Overpass
FURIA
10-13 vs Gentle Mates May 12
16-12 vs Spirit May 11
13-3 vs Monte May 9
10-13 vs Vitality Apr 18
13-11 vs TYLOO Mar 18
MOUZ
13-3 vs MIBR May 23
13-8 vs B8 May 22
13-3 vs M80 May 21
13-7 vs paiN May 21
Nuke
FURI 9 – 13 MOUZ
35%
65%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FURI
MOUZ
Ranking
FURI
MOUZ
Days With Lineup Diff
FURI
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
FURI
MOUZ
Opening Score
FURI
MOUZ
Recent on Nuke
FURIA
20-22 vs Falcons May 15
13-11 vs Gentle Mates May 12
13-3 vs Monte May 9
3-13 vs FaZe Apr 30
5-13 vs GamerLegion Apr 29
MOUZ
13-6 vs Legacy Jun 11
10-13 vs Falcons May 22
13-4 vs paiN May 21
13-6 vs NRG May 20
2-13 vs Spirit May 16
Mirage
FURI 9 – 13 MOUZ
35%
65%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FURI
MOUZ
Ranking
FURI
MOUZ
After First Death
FURI
MOUZ
Opening Score
FURI
MOUZ
Best Player
FURI
MOUZ
Recent on Mirage
FURIA
13-10 vs B8 Jun 11
13-9 vs Falcons May 15
11-13 vs Spirit May 11
13-4 vs HEROIC May 10
13-7 vs FaZe Apr 30
MOUZ
13-7 vs Falcons May 22
13-2 vs M80 May 21
13-9 vs NRG May 20
13-2 vs magic May 17
4-13 vs Gentle Mates May 9
Nuke
FURI 9 – 13 MOUZ
35%
65%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FURI
MOUZ
Ranking
FURI
MOUZ
Days With Lineup Diff
FURI
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
FURI
MOUZ
Opening Score
FURI
MOUZ
Recent on Nuke
FURIA
20-22 vs Falcons May 15
13-11 vs Gentle Mates May 12
13-3 vs Monte May 9
3-13 vs FaZe Apr 30
5-13 vs GamerLegion Apr 29
MOUZ
13-6 vs Legacy Jun 11
10-13 vs Falcons May 22
13-4 vs paiN May 21
13-6 vs NRG May 20
2-13 vs Spirit May 16
Mirage
FURI 9 – 13 MOUZ
35%
65%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FURI
MOUZ
Ranking
FURI
MOUZ
After First Death
FURI
MOUZ
Opening Score
FURI
MOUZ
Best Player
FURI
MOUZ
Recent on Mirage
FURIA
13-10 vs B8 Jun 11
13-9 vs Falcons May 15
11-13 vs Spirit May 11
13-4 vs HEROIC May 10
13-7 vs FaZe Apr 30
MOUZ
13-7 vs Falcons May 22
13-2 vs M80 May 21
13-9 vs NRG May 20
13-2 vs magic May 17
4-13 vs Gentle Mates May 9
Dust2
FURI 16 – 14 MOUZ
51%
49%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FURI
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
FURI
MOUZ
Opening Score
FURI
MOUZ
Ranking
FURI
MOUZ
Best Player
FURI
MOUZ
Recent on Dust2
FURIA
17-19 vs Falcons May 15
8-13 vs Spirit May 11
4-13 vs FaZe Apr 30
11-13 vs Falcons Apr 19
13-9 vs MOUZ Apr 15
MOUZ
13-5 vs Legacy Jun 11
7-13 vs Falcons May 22
3-13 vs Spirit May 16
13-11 vs Aurora May 14
13-11 vs Aurora May 11
Nuke
FURI 9 – 13 MOUZ
35%
65%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FURI
MOUZ
Ranking
FURI
MOUZ
Days With Lineup Diff
FURI
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
FURI
MOUZ
Opening Score
FURI
MOUZ
Recent on Nuke
FURIA
20-22 vs Falcons May 15
13-11 vs Gentle Mates May 12
13-3 vs Monte May 9
3-13 vs FaZe Apr 30
5-13 vs GamerLegion Apr 29
MOUZ
13-6 vs Legacy Jun 11
10-13 vs Falcons May 22
13-4 vs paiN May 21
13-6 vs NRG May 20
2-13 vs Spirit May 16
Mirage
FURI 9 – 13 MOUZ
35%
65%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FURI
MOUZ
Ranking
FURI
MOUZ
After First Death
FURI
MOUZ
Opening Score
FURI
MOUZ
Best Player
FURI
MOUZ
Recent on Mirage
FURIA
13-10 vs B8 Jun 11
13-9 vs Falcons May 15
11-13 vs Spirit May 11
13-4 vs HEROIC May 10
13-7 vs FaZe Apr 30
MOUZ
13-7 vs Falcons May 22
13-2 vs M80 May 21
13-9 vs NRG May 20
13-2 vs magic May 17
4-13 vs Gentle Mates May 9
Inferno
FURI 13 – 7 MOUZ
85%
15%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FURI
MOUZ
Ranking
FURI
MOUZ
5v4 Rounds
FURI
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
FURI
MOUZ
Round Win %
FURI
MOUZ
Recent on Inferno
FURIA
13-4 vs B8 Jun 11
13-6 vs Gentle Mates May 12
13-7 vs HEROIC May 10
13-5 vs GamerLegion Apr 29
13-3 vs Passion UA Apr 13
MOUZ
10-13 vs M80 May 21
7-13 vs TYLOO May 19
13-7 vs magic May 17
13-4 vs 9z May 11
13-7 vs G2 May 9
Recent Results last 11 matches
FURIA
MOUZ
W 2-0 vs B8 MirageInferno Jun 11 1d ago
L 1-2 vs Falcons MirageNukeDust2 May 15 28d ago
W 2-1 vs Gentle Mates NukeOverpassInferno May 12 31d ago
L 1-2 vs Spirit Dust2OverpassMirage May 11 32d ago
W 2-0 vs HEROIC MirageInferno May 10 33d ago
W 2-0 vs Monte NukeOverpass May 9 34d ago
L 1-2 vs FaZe Dust2MirageNuke Apr 30 43d ago
L 1-2 vs GamerLegion InfernoNukeMirage Apr 29 44d ago
L 0-2 vs Falcons Dust2Mirage Apr 19 54d ago
L 0-2 vs Vitality OverpassAncient Apr 18 55d ago
W 2-0 vs MOUZ MirageDust2 Apr 15 58d ago
W 2-0 vs Legacy Dust2Nuke Jun 11 1d ago
W 2-0 vs MIBR OverpassAncient May 23 20d ago
W 2-0 vs B8 OverpassAncient May 22 21d ago
L 1-2 vs Falcons MirageDust2Nuke May 22 21d ago
W 2-1 vs M80 OverpassInfernoMirage May 21 22d ago
W 2-0 vs paiN NukeOverpass May 21 22d ago
W 2-1 vs NRG AncientNukeMirage May 20 23d ago
L 0-1 vs TYLOO Inferno May 19 24d ago
W 2-0 vs magic MirageInferno May 17 26d ago
L 0-2 vs Spirit Dust2Nuke May 16 27d ago
W 2-0 vs Aurora Dust2Nuke May 14 29d ago
Player Matchups
FURIA
Ratings
MOUZ
KS
KSCERATO
EntryADR 82.9KAST 76%
1.20 vs 1.22
XE
xertioN
RiflerADR 86.5KAST 75%
MO
molodoy
AWPADR 77.4KAST 74%
1.14 vs 1.11
XE
xelex
RiflerADR 76.7KAST 72%
YE
YEKINDAR
RiflerADR 78.7KAST 74%
1.07 vs 1.03
SP
Spinx
EntryADR 71.6KAST 72%
YU
yuurih
RiflerADR 67.4KAST 76%
1.01 vs 1.00
TO
torzsi
AWPADR 63.1KAST 72%
FA
FalleN
RiflerADR 65.0KAST 73%
0.95 vs —
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Ancient
FURI 5 – 13 MOUZ
8%
92%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FURI
MOUZ
Ranking
FURI
MOUZ
Ban Rate
FURI
MOUZ
Round Win %
FURI
MOUZ
After First Kill
FURI
MOUZ
Recent on Ancient
FURIA
10-13 vs Vitality Apr 18
MOUZ
13-1 vs MIBR May 23
22-20 vs B8 May 22
10-13 vs NRG May 20
9-13 vs 9z May 11
13-5 vs Gentle Mates May 9
Inferno
FURI 13 – 7 MOUZ
85%
15%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FURI
MOUZ
Ranking
FURI
MOUZ
5v4 Rounds
FURI
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
FURI
MOUZ
Round Win %
FURI
MOUZ
Recent on Inferno
FURIA
13-4 vs B8 Jun 11
13-6 vs Gentle Mates May 12
13-7 vs HEROIC May 10
13-5 vs GamerLegion Apr 29
13-3 vs Passion UA Apr 13
MOUZ
10-13 vs M80 May 21
7-13 vs TYLOO May 19
13-7 vs magic May 17
13-4 vs 9z May 11
13-7 vs G2 May 9
Dust2
FURI 16 – 14 MOUZ
51%
49%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FURI
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
FURI
MOUZ
Opening Score
FURI
MOUZ
Ranking
FURI
MOUZ
Best Player
FURI
MOUZ
Recent on Dust2
FURIA
17-19 vs Falcons May 15
8-13 vs Spirit May 11
4-13 vs FaZe Apr 30
11-13 vs Falcons Apr 19
13-9 vs MOUZ Apr 15
MOUZ
13-5 vs Legacy Jun 11
7-13 vs Falcons May 22
3-13 vs Spirit May 16
13-11 vs Aurora May 14
13-11 vs Aurora May 11
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026 7 matches
The MongolZ over B8 58% FUT over G2 53% Monte over PARIVISION 61% Falcons over BetBoom 58% Natus Vincere over Legacy 73% Spirit over Aurora 86% Vitality over 9z 82%