Bo3 · IEM Cologne Major 2026
· 2026-06-12
PARIVISION
vs
Monte
39%
61%
Series win probability
MONT
2–1
37%
MONT
2–0
26%
PARI
2–0
24%
PARI
2–1
13%
Model Insights
Monte has a moderate edge at 61%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.04 vs 1.00), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#19 vs #16), a strong ancient (74% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
53%
Dust2 · Mirage · Ancient
Scenario 2
26%
Dust2 · Mirage · Inferno
Scenario 3
22%
Dust2 · Mirage · Anubis
Dust2
PARI
16
–
14
MONT
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
PARI
MONT
Trade Score
PARI
MONT
After First Death
PARI
MONT
Opening Score
PARI
MONT
Map Player Rating
PARI
MONT
Recent on Dust2
PARIVISION
13-8
vs 9z
Jun 11
13-10
vs Lynn Vision
May 21
4-13
vs The MongolZ
May 21
13-9
vs Liquid
May 19
13-11
vs G2
May 12
Monte
13-11
vs paiN
Jun 9
8-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 8
4-13
vs G2
May 13
10-13
vs The Huns
May 12
11-13
vs Falcons
May 11
Mirage
PARI
10
–
13
MONT
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
PARI
MONT
Map Player Rating
PARI
MONT
Map Win Rate
PARI
MONT
Ranking
PARI
MONT
Opening Kills
PARI
MONT
Recent on Mirage
PARIVISION
11-13
vs The MongolZ
May 21
6-13
vs MIBR
May 20
5-13
vs G2
May 12
13-5
vs Fisher College
May 10
8-13
vs The MongolZ
Apr 9
Monte
13-6
vs BetBoom
Jun 8
13-8
vs BIG
Jun 6
19-22
vs G2
Jun 6
16-12
vs The Huns
May 12
8-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 25
Ancient
PARI
8
–
13
MONT
26%
74%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
PARI
MONT
Round Win Rate
PARI
MONT
Best Player
PARI
MONT
Trade Score
PARI
MONT
Ranking
PARI
MONT
Recent on Ancient
PARIVISION
13-9
vs Lynn Vision
May 21
4-13
vs MIBR
May 20
12-16
vs G2
May 12
13-2
vs Fisher College
May 10
8-13
vs 9z
May 9
Monte
13-11
vs Legacy
Jun 7
2-13
vs G2
May 13
10-13
vs Falcons
May 11
13-11
vs magic
May 10
13-10
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
Dust2
PARI
16
–
14
MONT
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
PARI
MONT
Trade Score
PARI
MONT
After First Death
PARI
MONT
Opening Score
PARI
MONT
Map Player Rating
PARI
MONT
Recent on Dust2
PARIVISION
13-8
vs 9z
Jun 11
13-10
vs Lynn Vision
May 21
4-13
vs The MongolZ
May 21
13-9
vs Liquid
May 19
13-11
vs G2
May 12
Monte
13-11
vs paiN
Jun 9
8-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 8
4-13
vs G2
May 13
10-13
vs The Huns
May 12
11-13
vs Falcons
May 11
Mirage
PARI
10
–
13
MONT
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
PARI
MONT
Map Player Rating
PARI
MONT
Map Win Rate
PARI
MONT
Ranking
PARI
MONT
Opening Kills
PARI
MONT
Recent on Mirage
PARIVISION
11-13
vs The MongolZ
May 21
6-13
vs MIBR
May 20
5-13
vs G2
May 12
13-5
vs Fisher College
May 10
8-13
vs The MongolZ
Apr 9
Monte
13-6
vs BetBoom
Jun 8
13-8
vs BIG
Jun 6
19-22
vs G2
Jun 6
16-12
vs The Huns
May 12
8-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 25
Inferno
PARI
10
–
13
MONT
43%
57%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opening Kills
PARI
MONT
Map Player Rating
PARI
MONT
Trade Score
PARI
MONT
Map Win Rate
PARI
MONT
Best Player
PARI
MONT
Recent on Inferno
PARIVISION
9-13
vs 9z
Jun 11
6-13
vs 9z
May 9
9-13
vs 3DMAX
Apr 7
16-14
vs FOKUS
Apr 5
13-10
vs Legacy
Apr 4
Monte
5-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
13-8
vs M80
Apr 2
13-11
vs 9INE
Mar 25
1-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 6
13-7
vs PARIVISION
Mar 4
Dust2
PARI
16
–
14
MONT
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
PARI
MONT
Trade Score
PARI
MONT
After First Death
PARI
MONT
Opening Score
PARI
MONT
Map Player Rating
PARI
MONT
Recent on Dust2
PARIVISION
13-8
vs 9z
Jun 11
13-10
vs Lynn Vision
May 21
4-13
vs The MongolZ
May 21
13-9
vs Liquid
May 19
13-11
vs G2
May 12
Monte
13-11
vs paiN
Jun 9
8-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 8
4-13
vs G2
May 13
10-13
vs The Huns
May 12
11-13
vs Falcons
May 11
Mirage
PARI
10
–
13
MONT
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
PARI
MONT
Map Player Rating
PARI
MONT
Map Win Rate
PARI
MONT
Ranking
PARI
MONT
Opening Kills
PARI
MONT
Recent on Mirage
PARIVISION
11-13
vs The MongolZ
May 21
6-13
vs MIBR
May 20
5-13
vs G2
May 12
13-5
vs Fisher College
May 10
8-13
vs The MongolZ
Apr 9
Monte
13-6
vs BetBoom
Jun 8
13-8
vs BIG
Jun 6
19-22
vs G2
Jun 6
16-12
vs The Huns
May 12
8-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 25
Anubis
PARI
11
–
13
MONT
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opening Kills
PARI
MONT
Map Win Rate
PARI
MONT
Ranking
PARI
MONT
Trade Score
PARI
MONT
Opening Score
PARI
MONT
Recent on Anubis
PARIVISION
7-13
vs Aurora
May 10
13-3
vs Spirit
Mar 21
Monte
7-13
vs Aurora
Jun 11
13-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
16-14
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 24
13-11
vs Alliance
Mar 31
13-8
vs Passion UA
Mar 31
Recent Results
last 11 matches
PARIVISION
Monte
L
1-2
vs 9z
OverpassDust2Inferno
Jun 11
1d ago
W
2-0
vs Lynn Vision
AncientDust2
May 21
22d ago
L
0-2
vs The MongolZ
Dust2Mirage
May 21
22d ago
L
0-2
vs MIBR
MirageAncient
May 20
23d ago
W
1-0
vs Liquid
Dust2
May 19
24d ago
L
1-2
vs G2
MirageDust2Ancient
May 12
31d ago
W
2-0
vs Fisher College
MirageAncient
May 10
33d ago
L
0-2
vs Aurora
AnubisDust2
May 10
33d ago
L
0-2
vs 9z
InfernoAncient
May 9
34d ago
L
1-2
vs The MongolZ
Dust2MirageAncient
Apr 9
64d ago
W
2-0
vs Wildcard
MirageDust2
Apr 8
65d ago
L
0-2
vs Aurora
NukeAnubis
Jun 11
1d ago
W
2-0
vs paiN
NukeDust2
Jun 9
3d ago
L
1-2
vs BetBoom
NukeMirageDust2
Jun 8
4d ago
W
1-0
vs Legacy
Ancient
Jun 7
5d ago
W
1-0
vs BIG
Mirage
Jun 6
6d ago
L
0-1
vs G2
Mirage
Jun 6
6d ago
L
0-2
vs G2
AncientDust2
May 13
30d ago
W
2-1
vs The Huns
NukeDust2Mirage
May 12
31d ago
L
0-2
vs Falcons
Dust2Ancient
May 11
32d ago
W
2-0
vs magic
AncientDust2
May 10
33d ago
L
0-2
vs FURIA
NukeOverpass
May 9
34d ago
Player Matchups
PARIVISION
Ratings
Monte
ZW
zweih
EntryADR 72.4KAST 72%
AF
afro
AWPADR 74.7KAST 72%
JA
Jame
AWPADR 72.0KAST 74%
RA
Rainwaker
EntryADR 76.2KAST 72%
XI
xiELO
RiflerADR 68.5KAST 70%
AZ
AZUWU
RiflerADR 69.7KAST 70%
NO
nota
RiflerADR 69.6KAST 71%
GI
Gizmy
RiflerADR 70.1KAST 69%
BE
BELCHONOKK
RiflerADR 64.3KAST 69%
BY
Bymas
RiflerADR 63.9KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Overpass
PARI
7
–
13
MONT
20%
80%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
PARI
MONT
Ranking
PARI
MONT
Round Win %
PARI
MONT
Best Player
PARI
MONT
5v4 Rounds
PARI
MONT
Recent on Overpass
PARIVISION
1-13
vs 9z
Jun 11
10-13
vs Vitality
Feb 22
3-13
vs MOUZ
Feb 14
11-13
vs Astralis
Feb 1
Monte
3-13
vs FURIA
May 9
3-13
vs 9INE
Mar 25
11-13
vs FaZe
Mar 8
16-19
vs fnatic
Feb 21
Inferno
PARI
10
–
13
MONT
43%
57%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opening Kills
PARI
MONT
Map Player Rating
PARI
MONT
Trade Score
PARI
MONT
Map Win Rate
PARI
MONT
Best Player
PARI
MONT
Recent on Inferno
PARIVISION
9-13
vs 9z
Jun 11
6-13
vs 9z
May 9
9-13
vs 3DMAX
Apr 7
16-14
vs FOKUS
Apr 5
13-10
vs Legacy
Apr 4
Monte
5-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
13-8
vs M80
Apr 2
13-11
vs 9INE
Mar 25
1-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 6
13-7
vs PARIVISION
Mar 4
Anubis
PARI
11
–
13
MONT
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opening Kills
PARI
MONT
Map Win Rate
PARI
MONT
Ranking
PARI
MONT
Trade Score
PARI
MONT
Opening Score
PARI
MONT
Recent on Anubis
PARIVISION
7-13
vs Aurora
May 10
13-3
vs Spirit
Mar 21
Monte
7-13
vs Aurora
Jun 11
13-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
16-14
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 24
13-11
vs Alliance
Mar 31
13-8
vs Passion UA
Mar 31
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026
7 matches