Bo3 · IEM Cologne Major 2026
· 2026-06-13
Aurora
vs
G2
33%
67%
Series win probability
G2
2–1
45%
G2
2–0
33%
AURO
2–0
17%
AURO
2–1
5%
Model Insights
G2 has a moderate edge at 67%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.10 vs 1.03), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#12 vs #11), a strong anubis (90% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
36%
Dust2 · Inferno · Anubis
Scenario 2
35%
Dust2 · Anubis · Overpass
Scenario 3
29%
Dust2 · Anubis · Mirage
Dust2
AURO
14
–
16
G2
49%
51%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
AURO
G2
T 5v4
AURO
G2
Round Win Rate
AURO
G2
Opening Kills
AURO
G2
Map Win Rate
AURO
G2
Recent on Dust2
Aurora
13-9
vs Spirit
Jun 12
11-13
vs MOUZ
May 14
11-13
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-3
vs The Huns
May 10
16-14
vs PARIVISION
May 10
G2
8-13
vs Falcons
Jun 11
6-13
vs Spirit
May 15
13-4
vs Monte
May 13
11-13
vs PARIVISION
May 12
2-13
vs The MongolZ
May 10
Inferno
AURO
10
–
13
G2
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
AURO
G2
After First Death
AURO
G2
T 5v4
AURO
G2
Opening Kills
AURO
G2
Overall Rating
AURO
G2
Recent on Inferno
Aurora
4-13
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 15
13-2
vs Alliance
Apr 1
13-3
vs M80
Mar 31
5-13
vs Vitality
Mar 28
13-6
vs The MongolZ
Mar 27
G2
13-10
vs Falcons
Jun 11
13-3
vs BIG
Jun 8
15-19
vs The MongolZ
May 10
7-13
vs MOUZ
May 9
13-5
vs Fisher College
May 8
Anubis
AURO
7
–
13
G2
10%
90%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Map Win Rate
AURO
G2
Round Win Rate
AURO
G2
After First Death
AURO
G2
Opening Kills
AURO
G2
Map Player Rating
AURO
G2
Recent on Anubis
Aurora
4-13
vs Spirit
Jun 12
13-7
vs Monte
Jun 11
13-7
vs PARIVISION
May 10
9-13
vs Alliance
Apr 1
10-13
vs M80
Mar 31
G2
11-13
vs FUT
Jun 7
10-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 4
13-2
vs Fluxo
Mar 30
10-13
vs BetBoom
Mar 30
11-13
vs Aurora
Mar 9
Dust2
AURO
14
–
16
G2
49%
51%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
AURO
G2
T 5v4
AURO
G2
Round Win Rate
AURO
G2
Opening Kills
AURO
G2
Map Win Rate
AURO
G2
Recent on Dust2
Aurora
13-9
vs Spirit
Jun 12
11-13
vs MOUZ
May 14
11-13
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-3
vs The Huns
May 10
16-14
vs PARIVISION
May 10
G2
8-13
vs Falcons
Jun 11
6-13
vs Spirit
May 15
13-4
vs Monte
May 13
11-13
vs PARIVISION
May 12
2-13
vs The MongolZ
May 10
Anubis
AURO
7
–
13
G2
10%
90%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Map Win Rate
AURO
G2
Round Win Rate
AURO
G2
After First Death
AURO
G2
Opening Kills
AURO
G2
Map Player Rating
AURO
G2
Recent on Anubis
Aurora
4-13
vs Spirit
Jun 12
13-7
vs Monte
Jun 11
13-7
vs PARIVISION
May 10
9-13
vs Alliance
Apr 1
10-13
vs M80
Mar 31
G2
11-13
vs FUT
Jun 7
10-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 4
13-2
vs Fluxo
Mar 30
10-13
vs BetBoom
Mar 30
11-13
vs Aurora
Mar 9
Overpass
AURO
9
–
13
G2
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
AURO
G2
After First Death
AURO
G2
Round Win Rate
AURO
G2
Opening Kills
AURO
G2
Map Win Rate
AURO
G2
Recent on Overpass
Aurora
13-11
vs The MongolZ
May 13
13-6
vs B8
Apr 15
11-13
vs Alliance
Apr 1
13-7
vs Sashi
Mar 31
11-13
vs M80
Mar 31
G2
13-5
vs FUT
Jun 12
13-7
vs FUT
Jun 7
13-11
vs Vitality
Apr 30
13-9
vs Astralis
Apr 29
13-3
vs Gentle Mates
Apr 13
Dust2
AURO
14
–
16
G2
49%
51%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
AURO
G2
T 5v4
AURO
G2
Round Win Rate
AURO
G2
Opening Kills
AURO
G2
Map Win Rate
AURO
G2
Recent on Dust2
Aurora
13-9
vs Spirit
Jun 12
11-13
vs MOUZ
May 14
11-13
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-3
vs The Huns
May 10
16-14
vs PARIVISION
May 10
G2
8-13
vs Falcons
Jun 11
6-13
vs Spirit
May 15
13-4
vs Monte
May 13
11-13
vs PARIVISION
May 12
2-13
vs The MongolZ
May 10
Anubis
AURO
7
–
13
G2
10%
90%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Map Win Rate
AURO
G2
Round Win Rate
AURO
G2
After First Death
AURO
G2
Opening Kills
AURO
G2
Map Player Rating
AURO
G2
Recent on Anubis
Aurora
4-13
vs Spirit
Jun 12
13-7
vs Monte
Jun 11
13-7
vs PARIVISION
May 10
9-13
vs Alliance
Apr 1
10-13
vs M80
Mar 31
G2
11-13
vs FUT
Jun 7
10-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 4
13-2
vs Fluxo
Mar 30
10-13
vs BetBoom
Mar 30
11-13
vs Aurora
Mar 9
Mirage
AURO
13
–
10
G2
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
AURO
G2
After First Death
AURO
G2
Overall Rating
AURO
G2
Opening Kills
AURO
G2
Multi-Kills
AURO
G2
Recent on Mirage
Aurora
13-10
vs The MongolZ
May 13
13-7
vs B8
Apr 15
13-11
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 15
8-13
vs MOUZ
Apr 14
13-4
vs HOTU
Apr 13
G2
13-9
vs FUT
Jun 12
13-8
vs BIG
Jun 8
13-8
vs M80
Jun 6
22-19
vs Monte
Jun 6
13-5
vs PARIVISION
May 12
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Aurora
G2
L
1-2
vs Spirit
Dust2AnubisNuke
Jun 12
1d ago
W
2-0
vs Monte
NukeAnubis
Jun 11
2d ago
L
0-2
vs MOUZ
Dust2Nuke
May 14
30d ago
W
2-0
vs The MongolZ
OverpassMirage
May 13
31d ago
L
0-2
vs MOUZ
Dust2Nuke
May 11
33d ago
W
2-0
vs The Huns
NukeDust2
May 10
34d ago
W
2-0
vs PARIVISION
AnubisDust2
May 10
34d ago
L
0-2
vs HEROIC
NukeDust2
May 8
36d ago
W
2-0
vs B8
MirageOverpass
Apr 15
59d ago
L
1-2
vs Natus Vincere
InfernoMirageDust2
Apr 15
59d ago
L
0-2
vs MOUZ
Dust2Mirage
Apr 14
60d ago
W
2-1
vs FUT
OverpassAncientMirage
Jun 12
1d ago
L
1-2
vs Falcons
InfernoDust2Ancient
Jun 11
2d ago
W
2-0
vs BIG
InfernoMirage
Jun 8
5d ago
L
1-2
vs FUT
AnubisOverpassAncient
Jun 7
6d ago
W
1-0
vs M80
Mirage
Jun 6
7d ago
W
1-0
vs Monte
Mirage
Jun 6
7d ago
L
0-2
vs Spirit
Dust2Ancient
May 15
29d ago
W
2-0
vs Monte
AncientDust2
May 13
31d ago
W
2-1
vs PARIVISION
MirageDust2Ancient
May 12
32d ago
L
0-2
vs The MongolZ
Dust2Inferno
May 10
34d ago
L
1-2
vs MOUZ
Dust2MirageInferno
May 9
35d ago
Player Matchups
Aurora
Ratings
G2
WI
Wicadia
RiflerADR 81.2KAST 71%
HE
HeavyGod
EntryADR 77.6KAST 75%
XA
XANTARES
EntryADR 77.8KAST 72%
NE
NertZ
RiflerADR 80.4KAST 73%
WO
woxic
AWPADR 71.9KAST 70%
HU
huNter-
RiflerADR 74.9KAST 74%
SO
soulfly
RiflerADR 67.0KAST 72%
MA
MATYS
RiflerADR 72.6KAST 75%
MA
MAJ3R
RiflerADR 64.6KAST 68%
SU
SunPayus
AWPADR 70.4KAST 76%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Nuke
AURO
13
–
7
G2
88%
12%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
AURO
G2
After First Death
AURO
G2
Map Player Rating
AURO
G2
T 5v4
AURO
G2
Opening Kills
AURO
G2
Recent on Nuke
Aurora
5-13
vs Spirit
Jun 12
13-10
vs Monte
Jun 11
8-13
vs MOUZ
May 14
15-19
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-4
vs The Huns
May 10
G2
no data
Mirage
AURO
13
–
10
G2
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
AURO
G2
After First Death
AURO
G2
Overall Rating
AURO
G2
Opening Kills
AURO
G2
Multi-Kills
AURO
G2
Recent on Mirage
Aurora
13-10
vs The MongolZ
May 13
13-7
vs B8
Apr 15
13-11
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 15
8-13
vs MOUZ
Apr 14
13-4
vs HOTU
Apr 13
G2
13-9
vs FUT
Jun 12
13-8
vs BIG
Jun 8
13-8
vs M80
Jun 6
22-19
vs Monte
Jun 6
13-5
vs PARIVISION
May 12
Ancient
AURO
9
–
13
G2
32%
68%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
AURO
G2
Ban Rate
AURO
G2
Opening Kills
AURO
G2
After First Death
AURO
G2
Map Player Rating
AURO
G2
Recent on Ancient
Aurora
22-25
vs Vitality
Feb 3
G2
6-13
vs FUT
Jun 12
13-16
vs Falcons
Jun 11
4-13
vs FUT
Jun 7
11-13
vs Spirit
May 15
13-2
vs Monte
May 13
Overpass
AURO
9
–
13
G2
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
AURO
G2
After First Death
AURO
G2
Round Win Rate
AURO
G2
Opening Kills
AURO
G2
Map Win Rate
AURO
G2
Recent on Overpass
Aurora
13-11
vs The MongolZ
May 13
13-6
vs B8
Apr 15
11-13
vs Alliance
Apr 1
13-7
vs Sashi
Mar 31
11-13
vs M80
Mar 31
G2
13-5
vs FUT
Jun 12
13-7
vs FUT
Jun 7
13-11
vs Vitality
Apr 30
13-9
vs Astralis
Apr 29
13-3
vs Gentle Mates
Apr 13
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026
7 matches