Bo3 · IEM Cologne Major 2026
· 2026-06-13
Falcons
vs
Monte
89%
11%
Series win probability
FALC
2–0
71%
FALC
2–1
18%
MONT
2–1
8%
MONT
2–0
2%
Model Insights
Falcons is strongly favored at 89%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a strong dust2 (88% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
40%
Mirage · Dust2 · Nuke
Scenario 2
39%
Dust2 · Nuke · Ancient
Scenario 3
21%
Dust2 · Nuke · Anubis
Mirage
FALC
13
–
8
MONT
81%
19%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FALC
MONT
After First Kill
FALC
MONT
Opening Kills
FALC
MONT
T 5v4
FALC
MONT
Ranking
FALC
MONT
Recent on Mirage
Falcons
6-13
vs Legacy
May 23
7-13
vs MOUZ
May 22
7-13
vs Spirit
May 17
9-13
vs FURIA
May 15
16-12
vs The MongolZ
May 12
Monte
7-13
vs PARIVISION
Jun 12
13-6
vs BetBoom
Jun 8
13-8
vs BIG
Jun 6
19-22
vs G2
Jun 6
16-12
vs The Huns
May 12
Dust2
FALC
13
–
7
MONT
88%
12%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FALC
MONT
After First Kill
FALC
MONT
Ranking
FALC
MONT
After First Death
FALC
MONT
Round Win Rate
FALC
MONT
Recent on Dust2
Falcons
13-8
vs G2
Jun 11
6-13
vs Legacy
May 23
13-7
vs MOUZ
May 22
13-7
vs Legacy
May 21
13-11
vs BC.Game
May 19
Monte
13-11
vs paiN
Jun 9
8-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 8
4-13
vs G2
May 13
10-13
vs The Huns
May 12
11-13
vs Falcons
May 11
Nuke
FALC
13
–
9
MONT
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FALC
MONT
After First Death
FALC
MONT
Ranking
FALC
MONT
Map Player Rating
FALC
MONT
Map Win Rate
FALC
MONT
Recent on Nuke
Falcons
11-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 12
13-11
vs Legacy
May 23
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 22
22-20
vs FURIA
May 15
8-13
vs 9z
May 10
Monte
10-13
vs Aurora
Jun 11
13-5
vs paiN
Jun 9
7-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 8
13-2
vs The Huns
May 12
3-13
vs FURIA
May 9
Dust2
FALC
13
–
7
MONT
88%
12%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FALC
MONT
After First Kill
FALC
MONT
Ranking
FALC
MONT
After First Death
FALC
MONT
Round Win Rate
FALC
MONT
Recent on Dust2
Falcons
13-8
vs G2
Jun 11
6-13
vs Legacy
May 23
13-7
vs MOUZ
May 22
13-7
vs Legacy
May 21
13-11
vs BC.Game
May 19
Monte
13-11
vs paiN
Jun 9
8-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 8
4-13
vs G2
May 13
10-13
vs The Huns
May 12
11-13
vs Falcons
May 11
Nuke
FALC
13
–
9
MONT
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FALC
MONT
After First Death
FALC
MONT
Ranking
FALC
MONT
Map Player Rating
FALC
MONT
Map Win Rate
FALC
MONT
Recent on Nuke
Falcons
11-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 12
13-11
vs Legacy
May 23
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 22
22-20
vs FURIA
May 15
8-13
vs 9z
May 10
Monte
10-13
vs Aurora
Jun 11
13-5
vs paiN
Jun 9
7-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 8
13-2
vs The Huns
May 12
3-13
vs FURIA
May 9
Ancient
FALC
13
–
8
MONT
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FALC
MONT
After First Kill
FALC
MONT
Round Win Rate
FALC
MONT
After First Death
FALC
MONT
Ranking
FALC
MONT
Recent on Ancient
Falcons
10-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 12
16-13
vs G2
Jun 11
9-13
vs Legacy
May 23
13-9
vs Legacy
May 21
13-11
vs M80
May 20
Monte
13-9
vs PARIVISION
Jun 12
13-11
vs Legacy
Jun 7
2-13
vs G2
May 13
10-13
vs Falcons
May 11
13-11
vs magic
May 10
Dust2
FALC
13
–
7
MONT
88%
12%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FALC
MONT
After First Kill
FALC
MONT
Ranking
FALC
MONT
After First Death
FALC
MONT
Round Win Rate
FALC
MONT
Recent on Dust2
Falcons
13-8
vs G2
Jun 11
6-13
vs Legacy
May 23
13-7
vs MOUZ
May 22
13-7
vs Legacy
May 21
13-11
vs BC.Game
May 19
Monte
13-11
vs paiN
Jun 9
8-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 8
4-13
vs G2
May 13
10-13
vs The Huns
May 12
11-13
vs Falcons
May 11
Nuke
FALC
13
–
9
MONT
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FALC
MONT
After First Death
FALC
MONT
Ranking
FALC
MONT
Map Player Rating
FALC
MONT
Map Win Rate
FALC
MONT
Recent on Nuke
Falcons
11-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 12
13-11
vs Legacy
May 23
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 22
22-20
vs FURIA
May 15
8-13
vs 9z
May 10
Monte
10-13
vs Aurora
Jun 11
13-5
vs paiN
Jun 9
7-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 8
13-2
vs The Huns
May 12
3-13
vs FURIA
May 9
Anubis
FALC
13
–
5
MONT
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FALC
MONT
After First Death
FALC
MONT
After First Kill
FALC
MONT
Opening Kills
FALC
MONT
T 5v4
FALC
MONT
Recent on Anubis
Falcons
13-4
vs Spirit
Apr 14
13-11
vs FURIA
Feb 16
13-9
vs FaZe
Feb 15
13-5
vs 3DMAX
Feb 3
7-13
vs Aurora
Feb 1
Monte
7-13
vs Aurora
Jun 11
13-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
16-14
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 24
13-11
vs Alliance
Mar 31
13-8
vs Passion UA
Mar 31
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Falcons
Monte
L
0-2
vs BetBoom
NukeAncient
Jun 12
1d ago
W
2-1
vs G2
InfernoDust2Ancient
Jun 11
2d ago
L
1-3
vs Legacy
NukeAncientMirageDust2
May 23
21d ago
W
2-1
vs MOUZ
MirageDust2Nuke
May 22
22d ago
W
2-0
vs Legacy
Dust2Ancient
May 21
23d ago
W
2-0
vs M80
InfernoAncient
May 20
24d ago
W
1-0
vs BC.Game
Dust2
May 19
25d ago
L
0-3
vs Spirit
Dust2MirageAncient
May 17
27d ago
W
2-0
vs magic
AncientDust2
May 16
28d ago
W
2-1
vs FURIA
MirageNukeDust2
May 15
29d ago
W
2-1
vs The MongolZ
Dust2InfernoMirage
May 12
32d ago
W
2-1
vs PARIVISION
MirageAncientInferno
Jun 12
1d ago
L
0-2
vs Aurora
NukeAnubis
Jun 11
2d ago
W
2-0
vs paiN
NukeDust2
Jun 9
4d ago
L
1-2
vs BetBoom
NukeMirageDust2
Jun 8
5d ago
W
1-0
vs Legacy
Ancient
Jun 7
6d ago
W
1-0
vs BIG
Mirage
Jun 6
7d ago
L
0-1
vs G2
Mirage
Jun 6
7d ago
L
0-2
vs G2
AncientDust2
May 13
31d ago
W
2-1
vs The Huns
NukeDust2Mirage
May 12
32d ago
L
0-2
vs Falcons
Dust2Ancient
May 11
33d ago
W
2-0
vs magic
AncientDust2
May 10
34d ago
Player Matchups
Falcons
Ratings
Monte
M0
m0NESY
AWPADR 80.7KAST 76%
AF
afro
AWPADR 74.6KAST 72%
KY
kyousuke
RiflerADR 80.9KAST 73%
RA
Rainwaker
EntryADR 75.9KAST 73%
NI
NiKo
EntryADR 73.6KAST 72%
GI
Gizmy
RiflerADR 70.5KAST 70%
TE
TeSeS
RiflerADR 69.6KAST 73%
AZ
AZUWU
RiflerADR 69.3KAST 70%
KA
karrigan
RiflerADR 58.2KAST 67%
BY
Bymas
RiflerADR 64.0KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Anubis
FALC
13
–
5
MONT
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FALC
MONT
After First Death
FALC
MONT
After First Kill
FALC
MONT
Opening Kills
FALC
MONT
T 5v4
FALC
MONT
Recent on Anubis
Falcons
13-4
vs Spirit
Apr 14
13-11
vs FURIA
Feb 16
13-9
vs FaZe
Feb 15
13-5
vs 3DMAX
Feb 3
7-13
vs Aurora
Feb 1
Monte
7-13
vs Aurora
Jun 11
13-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
16-14
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 24
13-11
vs Alliance
Mar 31
13-8
vs Passion UA
Mar 31
Ancient
FALC
13
–
8
MONT
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FALC
MONT
After First Kill
FALC
MONT
Round Win Rate
FALC
MONT
After First Death
FALC
MONT
Ranking
FALC
MONT
Recent on Ancient
Falcons
10-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 12
16-13
vs G2
Jun 11
9-13
vs Legacy
May 23
13-9
vs Legacy
May 21
13-11
vs M80
May 20
Monte
13-9
vs PARIVISION
Jun 12
13-11
vs Legacy
Jun 7
2-13
vs G2
May 13
10-13
vs Falcons
May 11
13-11
vs magic
May 10
Inferno
FALC
13
–
10
MONT
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FALC
MONT
After First Death
FALC
MONT
Ranking
FALC
MONT
Opening Kills
FALC
MONT
Map Player Rating
FALC
MONT
Recent on Inferno
Falcons
10-13
vs G2
Jun 11
19-15
vs M80
May 20
11-13
vs The MongolZ
May 12
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Apr 13
14-16
vs TYLOO
Mar 22
Monte
13-5
vs PARIVISION
Jun 12
5-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
13-8
vs M80
Apr 2
13-11
vs 9INE
Mar 25
1-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 6
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026
7 matches