Bo3 · IEM Cologne Major 2026
· 2026-06-13
Vitality
vs
MOUZ
56%
44%
Series win probability
VIT
2–0
49%
VIT
2–1
25%
MOUZ
2–1
17%
MOUZ
2–0
9%
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Vitality is slightly favored at 55% but only leads on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.15 vs 1.07), a strong dust2 (75% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
35%
Dust2 · Mirage · Inferno
Scenario 2
34%
Dust2 · Inferno · Overpass
Scenario 3
31%
Dust2 · Inferno · Nuke
Dust2
VIT
13
–
7
MOUZ
75%
25%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
VIT
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
VIT
MOUZ
Map Player Rating
VIT
MOUZ
Overall Rating
VIT
MOUZ
Opening Kills
VIT
MOUZ
Recent on Dust2
Vitality
11-13
vs 9z
Jun 12
13-11
vs Natus Vincere
May 15
13-5
vs FaZe
May 13
13-8
vs B8
May 13
13-10
vs BC.Game
May 11
MOUZ
13-5
vs Legacy
Jun 11
7-13
vs Falcons
May 22
3-13
vs Spirit
May 16
13-11
vs Aurora
May 14
13-11
vs Aurora
May 11
Mirage
VIT
13
–
10
MOUZ
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
VIT
MOUZ
Overall Rating
VIT
MOUZ
After First Death
VIT
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
VIT
MOUZ
Map Player Rating
VIT
MOUZ
Recent on Mirage
Vitality
9-13
vs 9z
Jun 12
13-5
vs B8
May 13
13-7
vs BC.Game
May 11
13-1
vs GamerLegion
May 2
16-13
vs G2
Apr 30
MOUZ
13-7
vs Falcons
May 22
13-2
vs M80
May 21
13-9
vs NRG
May 20
13-2
vs magic
May 17
4-13
vs Gentle Mates
May 9
Inferno
VIT
13
–
11
MOUZ
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
VIT
MOUZ
Map Player Rating
VIT
MOUZ
Overall Rating
VIT
MOUZ
After First Death
VIT
MOUZ
Map Win Rate
VIT
MOUZ
Recent on Inferno
Vitality
13-4
vs 9z
Jun 12
3-13
vs Natus Vincere
May 15
16-13
vs G2
Apr 14
13-7
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 29
13-5
vs Aurora
Mar 28
MOUZ
13-5
vs FURIA
Jun 12
10-13
vs M80
May 21
7-13
vs TYLOO
May 19
13-7
vs magic
May 17
13-4
vs 9z
May 11
Dust2
VIT
13
–
7
MOUZ
75%
25%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
VIT
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
VIT
MOUZ
Map Player Rating
VIT
MOUZ
Overall Rating
VIT
MOUZ
Opening Kills
VIT
MOUZ
Recent on Dust2
Vitality
11-13
vs 9z
Jun 12
13-11
vs Natus Vincere
May 15
13-5
vs FaZe
May 13
13-8
vs B8
May 13
13-10
vs BC.Game
May 11
MOUZ
13-5
vs Legacy
Jun 11
7-13
vs Falcons
May 22
3-13
vs Spirit
May 16
13-11
vs Aurora
May 14
13-11
vs Aurora
May 11
Inferno
VIT
13
–
11
MOUZ
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
VIT
MOUZ
Map Player Rating
VIT
MOUZ
Overall Rating
VIT
MOUZ
After First Death
VIT
MOUZ
Map Win Rate
VIT
MOUZ
Recent on Inferno
Vitality
13-4
vs 9z
Jun 12
3-13
vs Natus Vincere
May 15
16-13
vs G2
Apr 14
13-7
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 29
13-5
vs Aurora
Mar 28
MOUZ
13-5
vs FURIA
Jun 12
10-13
vs M80
May 21
7-13
vs TYLOO
May 19
13-7
vs magic
May 17
13-4
vs 9z
May 11
Overpass
VIT
9
–
13
MOUZ
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
VIT
MOUZ
Overall Rating
VIT
MOUZ
After First Kill
VIT
MOUZ
Ranking
VIT
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
VIT
MOUZ
Recent on Overpass
Vitality
13-2
vs FUT
Jun 11
13-8
vs BetBoom
May 12
16-14
vs GamerLegion
May 2
11-13
vs G2
Apr 30
13-10
vs FURIA
Apr 18
MOUZ
7-13
vs FURIA
Jun 12
13-3
vs MIBR
May 23
13-8
vs B8
May 22
13-3
vs M80
May 21
13-7
vs paiN
May 21
Dust2
VIT
13
–
7
MOUZ
75%
25%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
VIT
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
VIT
MOUZ
Map Player Rating
VIT
MOUZ
Overall Rating
VIT
MOUZ
Opening Kills
VIT
MOUZ
Recent on Dust2
Vitality
11-13
vs 9z
Jun 12
13-11
vs Natus Vincere
May 15
13-5
vs FaZe
May 13
13-8
vs B8
May 13
13-10
vs BC.Game
May 11
MOUZ
13-5
vs Legacy
Jun 11
7-13
vs Falcons
May 22
3-13
vs Spirit
May 16
13-11
vs Aurora
May 14
13-11
vs Aurora
May 11
Inferno
VIT
13
–
11
MOUZ
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
VIT
MOUZ
Map Player Rating
VIT
MOUZ
Overall Rating
VIT
MOUZ
After First Death
VIT
MOUZ
Map Win Rate
VIT
MOUZ
Recent on Inferno
Vitality
13-4
vs 9z
Jun 12
3-13
vs Natus Vincere
May 15
16-13
vs G2
Apr 14
13-7
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 29
13-5
vs Aurora
Mar 28
MOUZ
13-5
vs FURIA
Jun 12
10-13
vs M80
May 21
7-13
vs TYLOO
May 19
13-7
vs magic
May 17
13-4
vs 9z
May 11
Nuke
VIT
11
–
13
MOUZ
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
VIT
MOUZ
After First Death
VIT
MOUZ
Overall Rating
VIT
MOUZ
Map Win Rate
VIT
MOUZ
Map Player Rating
VIT
MOUZ
Recent on Nuke
Vitality
13-8
vs FUT
Jun 11
16-14
vs FaZe
May 13
8-13
vs BetBoom
May 12
16-12
vs Natus Vincere
May 3
13-11
vs FUT
Apr 29
MOUZ
5-13
vs FURIA
Jun 12
13-6
vs Legacy
Jun 11
10-13
vs Falcons
May 22
13-4
vs paiN
May 21
13-6
vs NRG
May 20
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Vitality
MOUZ
L
1-2
vs 9z
InfernoMirageDust2
Jun 12
1d ago
W
2-1
vs FUT
AnubisOverpassNuke
Jun 11
2d ago
L
1-2
vs Natus Vincere
Dust2AnubisInferno
May 15
29d ago
W
2-0
vs FaZe
NukeDust2
May 13
31d ago
W
2-0
vs B8
MirageDust2
May 13
31d ago
L
1-2
vs BetBoom
AnubisOverpassNuke
May 12
32d ago
W
2-0
vs BC.Game
MirageDust2
May 11
33d ago
W
3-0
vs Natus Vincere
NukeAnubisDust2
May 3
41d ago
W
2-0
vs GamerLegion
MirageOverpass
May 2
42d ago
W
2-1
vs G2
MirageOverpassDust2
Apr 30
44d ago
W
2-1
vs FUT
MirageDust2Nuke
Apr 29
45d ago
L
1-2
vs FURIA
NukeInfernoOverpass
Jun 12
1d ago
W
2-0
vs Legacy
Dust2Nuke
Jun 11
2d ago
W
2-0
vs MIBR
OverpassAncient
May 23
21d ago
W
2-0
vs B8
OverpassAncient
May 22
22d ago
L
1-2
vs Falcons
MirageDust2Nuke
May 22
22d ago
W
2-1
vs M80
OverpassInfernoMirage
May 21
23d ago
W
2-0
vs paiN
NukeOverpass
May 21
23d ago
W
2-1
vs NRG
AncientNukeMirage
May 20
24d ago
L
0-1
vs TYLOO
Inferno
May 19
25d ago
W
2-0
vs magic
MirageInferno
May 17
27d ago
L
0-2
vs Spirit
Dust2Nuke
May 16
28d ago
Player Matchups
Vitality
Ratings
MOUZ
ZY
ZywOo
AWPADR 86.1KAST 78%
XE
xertioN
RiflerADR 85.6KAST 75%
FL
flameZ
RiflerADR 78.5KAST 77%
XE
xelex
RiflerADR 75.9KAST 71%
RO
ropz
EntryADR 76.7KAST 76%
SP
Spinx
EntryADR 71.2KAST 72%
ME
mezii
RiflerADR 67.5KAST 76%
TO
torzsi
AWPADR 64.1KAST 72%
AP
apEX
RiflerADR 74.4KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Nuke
VIT
11
–
13
MOUZ
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
VIT
MOUZ
After First Death
VIT
MOUZ
Overall Rating
VIT
MOUZ
Map Win Rate
VIT
MOUZ
Map Player Rating
VIT
MOUZ
Recent on Nuke
Vitality
13-8
vs FUT
Jun 11
16-14
vs FaZe
May 13
8-13
vs BetBoom
May 12
16-12
vs Natus Vincere
May 3
13-11
vs FUT
Apr 29
MOUZ
5-13
vs FURIA
Jun 12
13-6
vs Legacy
Jun 11
10-13
vs Falcons
May 22
13-4
vs paiN
May 21
13-6
vs NRG
May 20
Ancient
VIT
9
–
13
MOUZ
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
VIT
MOUZ
After First Death
VIT
MOUZ
Ban Rate
VIT
MOUZ
Map Win Rate
VIT
MOUZ
Overall Rating
VIT
MOUZ
Recent on Ancient
Vitality
13-10
vs FURIA
Apr 18
25-22
vs Aurora
Feb 3
MOUZ
13-1
vs MIBR
May 23
22-20
vs B8
May 22
10-13
vs NRG
May 20
9-13
vs 9z
May 11
13-5
vs Gentle Mates
May 9
Overpass
VIT
9
–
13
MOUZ
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
VIT
MOUZ
Overall Rating
VIT
MOUZ
After First Kill
VIT
MOUZ
Ranking
VIT
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
VIT
MOUZ
Recent on Overpass
Vitality
13-2
vs FUT
Jun 11
13-8
vs BetBoom
May 12
16-14
vs GamerLegion
May 2
11-13
vs G2
Apr 30
13-10
vs FURIA
Apr 18
MOUZ
7-13
vs FURIA
Jun 12
13-3
vs MIBR
May 23
13-8
vs B8
May 22
13-3
vs M80
May 21
13-7
vs paiN
May 21
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026
7 matches