Bo3 · IEM Cologne Major 2026
· 2026-06-13
Spirit
vs
9z
98%
2%
Series win probability
SPIR
2–0
80%
SPIR
2–1
18%
9Z
2–1
1%
9Z
2–0
1%
Model Insights
Spirit is strongly favored at 98%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.15 vs 1.07), a strong nuke (93% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
41%
Dust2 · Overpass · Nuke
Scenario 2
31%
Dust2 · Nuke · Ancient
Scenario 3
27%
Dust2 · Nuke · Mirage
Dust2
SPIR
13
–
7
9Z
87%
13%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPIR
9Z
Opening Kills
SPIR
9Z
Map Player Rating
SPIR
9Z
Overall Rating
SPIR
9Z
T 5v4
SPIR
9Z
Recent on Dust2
Spirit
9-13
vs Aurora
Jun 12
13-1
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 11
16-12
vs Falcons
May 17
13-3
vs MOUZ
May 16
13-6
vs G2
May 15
9z
13-11
vs Vitality
Jun 12
8-13
vs PARIVISION
Jun 11
13-9
vs FlyQuest
Jun 6
13-11
vs HEROIC
May 28
9-13
vs magic
May 15
Overpass
SPIR
13
–
6
9Z
92%
8%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPIR
9Z
Map Win Rate
SPIR
9Z
After First Death
SPIR
9Z
Overall Rating
SPIR
9Z
Opening Kills
SPIR
9Z
Recent on Overpass
Spirit
12-16
vs FURIA
May 11
13-2
vs RED Canids
Apr 15
9-13
vs The MongolZ
Mar 23
13-6
vs 9z
Mar 22
13-7
vs 3DMAX
Mar 6
9z
13-1
vs PARIVISION
Jun 11
13-10
vs TYLOO
Jun 8
19-16
vs FaZe
May 29
12-16
vs HEROIC
May 28
16-13
vs Sharks
May 27
Nuke
SPIR
13
–
5
9Z
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPIR
9Z
Overall Rating
SPIR
9Z
Opening Kills
SPIR
9Z
After First Death
SPIR
9Z
Map Player Rating
SPIR
9Z
Recent on Nuke
Spirit
13-5
vs Aurora
Jun 12
13-1
vs 9z
Jun 7
13-2
vs MOUZ
May 16
10-13
vs Vitality
Apr 19
11-13
vs The MongolZ
Mar 23
9z
1-13
vs Spirit
Jun 7
13-5
vs Astralis
Jun 6
11-13
vs Sharks
May 27
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-8
vs Falcons
May 10
Dust2
SPIR
13
–
7
9Z
87%
13%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPIR
9Z
Opening Kills
SPIR
9Z
Map Player Rating
SPIR
9Z
Overall Rating
SPIR
9Z
T 5v4
SPIR
9Z
Recent on Dust2
Spirit
9-13
vs Aurora
Jun 12
13-1
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 11
16-12
vs Falcons
May 17
13-3
vs MOUZ
May 16
13-6
vs G2
May 15
9z
13-11
vs Vitality
Jun 12
8-13
vs PARIVISION
Jun 11
13-9
vs FlyQuest
Jun 6
13-11
vs HEROIC
May 28
9-13
vs magic
May 15
Nuke
SPIR
13
–
5
9Z
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPIR
9Z
Overall Rating
SPIR
9Z
Opening Kills
SPIR
9Z
After First Death
SPIR
9Z
Map Player Rating
SPIR
9Z
Recent on Nuke
Spirit
13-5
vs Aurora
Jun 12
13-1
vs 9z
Jun 7
13-2
vs MOUZ
May 16
10-13
vs Vitality
Apr 19
11-13
vs The MongolZ
Mar 23
9z
1-13
vs Spirit
Jun 7
13-5
vs Astralis
Jun 6
11-13
vs Sharks
May 27
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-8
vs Falcons
May 10
Ancient
SPIR
13
–
5
9Z
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPIR
9Z
After First Death
SPIR
9Z
Overall Rating
SPIR
9Z
T 5v4
SPIR
9Z
Opening Kills
SPIR
9Z
Recent on Ancient
Spirit
13-10
vs Falcons
May 17
13-11
vs G2
May 15
19-16
vs The MongolZ
May 10
13-3
vs The Huns
May 9
13-8
vs RED Canids
Apr 15
9z
9-13
vs FaZe
May 29
11-13
vs magic
May 15
13-9
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-8
vs PARIVISION
May 9
13-11
vs Legacy
Apr 26
Dust2
SPIR
13
–
7
9Z
87%
13%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPIR
9Z
Opening Kills
SPIR
9Z
Map Player Rating
SPIR
9Z
Overall Rating
SPIR
9Z
T 5v4
SPIR
9Z
Recent on Dust2
Spirit
9-13
vs Aurora
Jun 12
13-1
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 11
16-12
vs Falcons
May 17
13-3
vs MOUZ
May 16
13-6
vs G2
May 15
9z
13-11
vs Vitality
Jun 12
8-13
vs PARIVISION
Jun 11
13-9
vs FlyQuest
Jun 6
13-11
vs HEROIC
May 28
9-13
vs magic
May 15
Nuke
SPIR
13
–
5
9Z
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPIR
9Z
Overall Rating
SPIR
9Z
Opening Kills
SPIR
9Z
After First Death
SPIR
9Z
Map Player Rating
SPIR
9Z
Recent on Nuke
Spirit
13-5
vs Aurora
Jun 12
13-1
vs 9z
Jun 7
13-2
vs MOUZ
May 16
10-13
vs Vitality
Apr 19
11-13
vs The MongolZ
Mar 23
9z
1-13
vs Spirit
Jun 7
13-5
vs Astralis
Jun 6
11-13
vs Sharks
May 27
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-8
vs Falcons
May 10
Mirage
SPIR
13
–
5
9Z
92%
8%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPIR
9Z
After First Death
SPIR
9Z
Map Player Rating
SPIR
9Z
Overall Rating
SPIR
9Z
Opening Kills
SPIR
9Z
Recent on Mirage
Spirit
13-3
vs 9z
Jun 7
13-5
vs BetBoom
Jun 6
13-1
vs MIBR
Jun 6
13-7
vs Falcons
May 17
13-11
vs FURIA
May 11
9z
13-9
vs Vitality
Jun 12
3-13
vs Spirit
Jun 7
15-19
vs FaZe
May 29
13-2
vs magic
May 15
9-13
vs Falcons
May 10
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Spirit
9z
W
2-1
vs Aurora
Dust2AnubisNuke
Jun 12
1d ago
W
2-0
vs Natus Vincere
Dust2Anubis
Jun 11
2d ago
W
2-0
vs 9z
MirageNuke
Jun 7
6d ago
W
1-0
vs BetBoom
Mirage
Jun 6
7d ago
W
1-0
vs MIBR
Mirage
Jun 6
7d ago
W
3-0
vs Falcons
Dust2MirageAncient
May 17
27d ago
W
2-0
vs MOUZ
Dust2Nuke
May 16
28d ago
W
2-0
vs G2
Dust2Ancient
May 15
29d ago
W
2-1
vs FURIA
Dust2OverpassMirage
May 11
33d ago
W
2-0
vs The MongolZ
Dust2Ancient
May 10
34d ago
W
2-0
vs The Huns
Dust2Ancient
May 9
35d ago
W
2-1
vs Vitality
InfernoMirageDust2
Jun 12
1d ago
W
2-1
vs PARIVISION
OverpassDust2Inferno
Jun 11
2d ago
W
2-0
vs TYLOO
OverpassInferno
Jun 8
5d ago
L
0-2
vs Spirit
MirageNuke
Jun 7
6d ago
W
1-0
vs FlyQuest
Dust2
Jun 6
7d ago
W
1-0
vs Astralis
Nuke
Jun 6
7d ago
L
1-2
vs FaZe
MirageOverpassAncient
May 29
15d ago
W
2-1
vs HEROIC
InfernoOverpassDust2
May 28
16d ago
L
1-2
vs Sharks
InfernoOverpassNuke
May 27
17d ago
L
1-2
vs magic
Dust2MirageAncient
May 15
29d ago
W
2-1
vs MOUZ
NukeInfernoAncient
May 11
33d ago
Player Matchups
Spirit
Ratings
9z
DO
donk
EntryADR 98.6KAST 79%
LU
luchov
RiflerADR 84.5KAST 72%
SH
sh1ro
AWPADR 75.6KAST 77%
DG
dgt
EntryADR 78.5KAST 73%
TN
tN1R
RiflerADR 73.8KAST 74%
HU
HUASOPEEK
RiflerADR 71.7KAST 73%
MA
magixx
RiflerADR 69.0KAST 75%
ME
meyern
AWPADR 62.9KAST 73%
ZO
zont1x
RiflerADR 66.8KAST 76%
MA
max
RiflerADR 64.3KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Ancient
SPIR
13
–
5
9Z
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPIR
9Z
After First Death
SPIR
9Z
Overall Rating
SPIR
9Z
T 5v4
SPIR
9Z
Opening Kills
SPIR
9Z
Recent on Ancient
Spirit
13-10
vs Falcons
May 17
13-11
vs G2
May 15
19-16
vs The MongolZ
May 10
13-3
vs The Huns
May 9
13-8
vs RED Canids
Apr 15
9z
9-13
vs FaZe
May 29
11-13
vs magic
May 15
13-9
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-8
vs PARIVISION
May 9
13-11
vs Legacy
Apr 26
Mirage
SPIR
13
–
5
9Z
92%
8%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPIR
9Z
After First Death
SPIR
9Z
Map Player Rating
SPIR
9Z
Overall Rating
SPIR
9Z
Opening Kills
SPIR
9Z
Recent on Mirage
Spirit
13-3
vs 9z
Jun 7
13-5
vs BetBoom
Jun 6
13-1
vs MIBR
Jun 6
13-7
vs Falcons
May 17
13-11
vs FURIA
May 11
9z
13-9
vs Vitality
Jun 12
3-13
vs Spirit
Jun 7
15-19
vs FaZe
May 29
13-2
vs magic
May 15
9-13
vs Falcons
May 10
Anubis
SPIR
13
–
8
9Z
75%
25%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPIR
9Z
After First Kill
SPIR
9Z
Opening Kills
SPIR
9Z
Map Player Rating
SPIR
9Z
Ban Rate
SPIR
9Z
Recent on Anubis
Spirit
13-4
vs Aurora
Jun 12
13-8
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 11
4-13
vs Falcons
Apr 14
3-13
vs PARIVISION
Mar 21
13-10
vs G2
Mar 8
9z
11-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-11
vs Legacy
Mar 30