Bo3 · IEM Cologne Major 2026
· 2026-06-14
MOUZ
vs
FUT
67%
33%
Series win probability
MOUZ
2–1
43%
MOUZ
2–0
34%
FUT
2–0
16%
FUT
2–1
7%
Model Insights
MOUZ has a moderate edge at 67%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong overpass (85% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
47%
Nuke · Mirage · Overpass
Scenario 2
28%
Nuke · Mirage · Ancient
Scenario 3
25%
Nuke · Mirage · Dust2
Nuke
MOUZ
16
–
14
FUT
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Map Win Rate
MOUZ
FUT
After First Death
MOUZ
FUT
After First Kill
MOUZ
FUT
Opening Kills
MOUZ
FUT
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
FUT
Recent on Nuke
MOUZ
5-13
vs FURIA
Jun 12
13-6
vs Legacy
Jun 11
10-13
vs Falcons
May 22
13-4
vs paiN
May 21
13-6
vs NRG
May 20
FUT
8-13
vs Vitality
Jun 11
8-13
vs paiN
May 12
10-13
vs Astralis
Apr 30
11-13
vs Vitality
Apr 29
14-16
vs Astralis
Apr 11
Mirage
MOUZ
13
–
10
FUT
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opening Kills
MOUZ
FUT
After First Kill
MOUZ
FUT
Map Player Rating
MOUZ
FUT
After First Death
MOUZ
FUT
Ranking
MOUZ
FUT
Recent on Mirage
MOUZ
9-13
vs Vitality
Jun 13
13-7
vs Falcons
May 22
13-2
vs M80
May 21
13-9
vs NRG
May 20
13-2
vs magic
May 17
FUT
13-9
vs B8
Jun 13
9-13
vs G2
Jun 12
5-13
vs Astralis
Apr 30
6-13
vs Vitality
Apr 29
13-5
vs Astralis
Apr 11
Overpass
MOUZ
13
–
6
FUT
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
MOUZ
FUT
After First Death
MOUZ
FUT
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
FUT
Map Player Rating
MOUZ
FUT
Map Win Rate
MOUZ
FUT
Recent on Overpass
MOUZ
7-13
vs FURIA
Jun 12
13-3
vs MIBR
May 23
13-8
vs B8
May 22
13-3
vs M80
May 21
13-7
vs paiN
May 21
FUT
5-13
vs G2
Jun 12
2-13
vs Vitality
Jun 11
7-13
vs G2
Jun 7
13-9
vs TYLOO
Jun 6
11-13
vs B8
May 13
Nuke
MOUZ
16
–
14
FUT
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Map Win Rate
MOUZ
FUT
After First Death
MOUZ
FUT
After First Kill
MOUZ
FUT
Opening Kills
MOUZ
FUT
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
FUT
Recent on Nuke
MOUZ
5-13
vs FURIA
Jun 12
13-6
vs Legacy
Jun 11
10-13
vs Falcons
May 22
13-4
vs paiN
May 21
13-6
vs NRG
May 20
FUT
8-13
vs Vitality
Jun 11
8-13
vs paiN
May 12
10-13
vs Astralis
Apr 30
11-13
vs Vitality
Apr 29
14-16
vs Astralis
Apr 11
Mirage
MOUZ
13
–
10
FUT
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opening Kills
MOUZ
FUT
After First Kill
MOUZ
FUT
Map Player Rating
MOUZ
FUT
After First Death
MOUZ
FUT
Ranking
MOUZ
FUT
Recent on Mirage
MOUZ
9-13
vs Vitality
Jun 13
13-7
vs Falcons
May 22
13-2
vs M80
May 21
13-9
vs NRG
May 20
13-2
vs magic
May 17
FUT
13-9
vs B8
Jun 13
9-13
vs G2
Jun 12
5-13
vs Astralis
Apr 30
6-13
vs Vitality
Apr 29
13-5
vs Astralis
Apr 11
Ancient
MOUZ
16
–
14
FUT
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
MOUZ
FUT
Opening Kills
MOUZ
FUT
After First Death
MOUZ
FUT
Multi-Kills
MOUZ
FUT
Map Player Rating
MOUZ
FUT
Recent on Ancient
MOUZ
13-1
vs MIBR
May 23
22-20
vs B8
May 22
10-13
vs NRG
May 20
9-13
vs 9z
May 11
13-5
vs Gentle Mates
May 9
FUT
13-11
vs B8
Jun 13
13-6
vs G2
Jun 12
13-4
vs G2
Jun 7
13-11
vs B8
Jun 6
7-13
vs B8
May 13
Nuke
MOUZ
16
–
14
FUT
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Map Win Rate
MOUZ
FUT
After First Death
MOUZ
FUT
After First Kill
MOUZ
FUT
Opening Kills
MOUZ
FUT
Round Win Rate
MOUZ
FUT
Recent on Nuke
MOUZ
5-13
vs FURIA
Jun 12
13-6
vs Legacy
Jun 11
10-13
vs Falcons
May 22
13-4
vs paiN
May 21
13-6
vs NRG
May 20
FUT
8-13
vs Vitality
Jun 11
8-13
vs paiN
May 12
10-13
vs Astralis
Apr 30
11-13
vs Vitality
Apr 29
14-16
vs Astralis
Apr 11
Mirage
MOUZ
13
–
10
FUT
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opening Kills
MOUZ
FUT
After First Kill
MOUZ
FUT
Map Player Rating
MOUZ
FUT
After First Death
MOUZ
FUT
Ranking
MOUZ
FUT
Recent on Mirage
MOUZ
9-13
vs Vitality
Jun 13
13-7
vs Falcons
May 22
13-2
vs M80
May 21
13-9
vs NRG
May 20
13-2
vs magic
May 17
FUT
13-9
vs B8
Jun 13
9-13
vs G2
Jun 12
5-13
vs Astralis
Apr 30
6-13
vs Vitality
Apr 29
13-5
vs Astralis
Apr 11
Dust2
MOUZ
10
–
13
FUT
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
MOUZ
FUT
Ranking
MOUZ
FUT
After First Death
MOUZ
FUT
Map Player Rating
MOUZ
FUT
Opening Score
MOUZ
FUT
Recent on Dust2
MOUZ
13-7
vs Vitality
Jun 13
13-5
vs Legacy
Jun 11
7-13
vs Falcons
May 22
3-13
vs Spirit
May 16
13-11
vs Aurora
May 14
FUT
10-13
vs B8
Jun 13
11-13
vs paiN
May 12
13-11
vs Vitality
Apr 29
13-3
vs Astralis
Apr 11
13-11
vs PARIVISION
Apr 6
Recent Results
last 11 matches
MOUZ
FUT
L
1-2
vs Vitality
MirageDust2Inferno
Jun 13
1d ago
L
1-2
vs FURIA
NukeInfernoOverpass
Jun 12
2d ago
W
2-0
vs Legacy
Dust2Nuke
Jun 11
3d ago
W
2-0
vs MIBR
OverpassAncient
May 23
22d ago
W
2-0
vs B8
OverpassAncient
May 22
23d ago
L
1-2
vs Falcons
MirageDust2Nuke
May 22
23d ago
W
2-1
vs M80
OverpassInfernoMirage
May 21
24d ago
W
2-0
vs paiN
NukeOverpass
May 21
24d ago
W
2-1
vs NRG
AncientNukeMirage
May 20
25d ago
L
0-1
vs TYLOO
Inferno
May 19
26d ago
W
2-0
vs magic
MirageInferno
May 17
28d ago
W
2-1
vs B8
Dust2MirageAncient
Jun 13
1d ago
L
1-2
vs G2
OverpassAncientMirage
Jun 12
2d ago
L
1-2
vs Vitality
AnubisOverpassNuke
Jun 11
3d ago
W
2-1
vs G2
AnubisOverpassAncient
Jun 7
7d ago
W
1-0
vs B8
Ancient
Jun 6
8d ago
W
1-0
vs TYLOO
Overpass
Jun 6
8d ago
L
0-2
vs B8
AncientOverpass
May 13
32d ago
L
1-2
vs paiN
NukeOverpassDust2
May 12
33d ago
W
2-0
vs NRG
AncientOverpass
May 11
34d ago
L
0-2
vs Astralis
MirageNuke
Apr 30
45d ago
L
1-2
vs Vitality
MirageDust2Nuke
Apr 29
46d ago
Player Matchups
MOUZ
Ratings
FUT
XE
xertioN
RiflerADR 85.4KAST 75%
DZ
dziugss
EntryADR 78.2KAST 75%
XE
xelex
RiflerADR 75.5KAST 71%
DE
dem0n
RiflerADR 73.9KAST 73%
SP
Spinx
EntryADR 70.7KAST 72%
KR
Krabeni
RiflerADR 79.2KAST 69%
TO
torzsi
AWPADR 64.0KAST 72%
CM
cmtry
AWPADR 65.7KAST 71%
LA
lauNX
RiflerADR 70.5KAST 73%
Unpredicted Maps
2 maps
Dust2
MOUZ
10
–
13
FUT
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
MOUZ
FUT
Ranking
MOUZ
FUT
After First Death
MOUZ
FUT
Map Player Rating
MOUZ
FUT
Opening Score
MOUZ
FUT
Recent on Dust2
MOUZ
13-7
vs Vitality
Jun 13
13-5
vs Legacy
Jun 11
7-13
vs Falcons
May 22
3-13
vs Spirit
May 16
13-11
vs Aurora
May 14
FUT
10-13
vs B8
Jun 13
11-13
vs paiN
May 12
13-11
vs Vitality
Apr 29
13-3
vs Astralis
Apr 11
13-11
vs PARIVISION
Apr 6
Ancient
MOUZ
16
–
14
FUT
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
MOUZ
FUT
Opening Kills
MOUZ
FUT
After First Death
MOUZ
FUT
Multi-Kills
MOUZ
FUT
Map Player Rating
MOUZ
FUT
Recent on Ancient
MOUZ
13-1
vs MIBR
May 23
22-20
vs B8
May 22
10-13
vs NRG
May 20
9-13
vs 9z
May 11
13-5
vs Gentle Mates
May 9
FUT
13-11
vs B8
Jun 13
13-6
vs G2
Jun 12
13-4
vs G2
Jun 7
13-11
vs B8
Jun 6
7-13
vs B8
May 13
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026
5 matches