Bo3 · IEM Cologne Major 2026
· 2026-06-14
The MongolZ
vs
Monte
69%
31%
Series win probability
TM
2–0
47%
TM
2–1
22%
MONT
2–1
21%
MONT
2–0
10%
Model Insights
The MongolZ has a moderate edge at 69%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong dust2 (70% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
40%
Mirage · Dust2 · Nuke
Scenario 2
31%
Mirage · Dust2 · Inferno
Scenario 3
30%
Mirage · Dust2 · Ancient
Mirage
TM
13
–
10
MONT
67%
33%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
T 5v4
TM
MONT
Opening Kills
TM
MONT
Ranking
TM
MONT
Map Player Rating
TM
MONT
Round Win Rate
TM
MONT
Recent on Mirage
The MongolZ
6-13
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 13
16-14
vs B8
Jun 12
6-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 11
13-10
vs Legacy
May 22
11-13
vs Liquid
May 21
Monte
10-13
vs Falcons
Jun 13
7-13
vs PARIVISION
Jun 12
13-6
vs BetBoom
Jun 8
13-8
vs BIG
Jun 6
19-22
vs G2
Jun 6
Dust2
TM
13
–
10
MONT
70%
30%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
TM
MONT
After First Kill
TM
MONT
Ranking
TM
MONT
Map Player Rating
TM
MONT
T 5v4
TM
MONT
Recent on Dust2
The MongolZ
13-11
vs BetBoom
Jun 11
13-4
vs PARIVISION
May 21
8-13
vs Falcons
May 12
11-13
vs Spirit
May 10
13-2
vs G2
May 10
Monte
13-11
vs Falcons
Jun 13
13-11
vs paiN
Jun 9
8-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 8
4-13
vs G2
May 13
10-13
vs The Huns
May 12
Nuke
TM
16
–
14
MONT
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
T 5v4
TM
MONT
Round Win Rate
TM
MONT
After First Death
TM
MONT
Map Win Rate
TM
MONT
Opening Kills
TM
MONT
Recent on Nuke
The MongolZ
13-8
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 13
10-13
vs Legacy
May 22
13-9
vs Liquid
May 21
13-11
vs B8
May 20
10-13
vs FUT
Apr 10
Monte
10-13
vs Aurora
Jun 11
13-5
vs paiN
Jun 9
7-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 8
13-2
vs The Huns
May 12
3-13
vs FURIA
May 9
Mirage
TM
13
–
10
MONT
67%
33%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
T 5v4
TM
MONT
Opening Kills
TM
MONT
Ranking
TM
MONT
Map Player Rating
TM
MONT
Round Win Rate
TM
MONT
Recent on Mirage
The MongolZ
6-13
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 13
16-14
vs B8
Jun 12
6-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 11
13-10
vs Legacy
May 22
11-13
vs Liquid
May 21
Monte
10-13
vs Falcons
Jun 13
7-13
vs PARIVISION
Jun 12
13-6
vs BetBoom
Jun 8
13-8
vs BIG
Jun 6
19-22
vs G2
Jun 6
Dust2
TM
13
–
10
MONT
70%
30%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
TM
MONT
After First Kill
TM
MONT
Ranking
TM
MONT
Map Player Rating
TM
MONT
T 5v4
TM
MONT
Recent on Dust2
The MongolZ
13-11
vs BetBoom
Jun 11
13-4
vs PARIVISION
May 21
8-13
vs Falcons
May 12
11-13
vs Spirit
May 10
13-2
vs G2
May 10
Monte
13-11
vs Falcons
Jun 13
13-11
vs paiN
Jun 9
8-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 8
4-13
vs G2
May 13
10-13
vs The Huns
May 12
Inferno
TM
13
–
10
MONT
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
TM
MONT
Opening Kills
TM
MONT
Days With Lineup Team
TM
MONT
Round Win Rate
TM
MONT
Map Player Rating
TM
MONT
Recent on Inferno
The MongolZ
11-13
vs Legacy
May 22
13-7
vs Liquid
May 21
13-11
vs Falcons
May 12
19-15
vs G2
May 10
13-4
vs magic
May 9
Monte
9-13
vs Falcons
Jun 13
13-5
vs PARIVISION
Jun 12
5-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
13-8
vs M80
Apr 2
13-11
vs 9INE
Mar 25
Mirage
TM
13
–
10
MONT
67%
33%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
T 5v4
TM
MONT
Opening Kills
TM
MONT
Ranking
TM
MONT
Map Player Rating
TM
MONT
Round Win Rate
TM
MONT
Recent on Mirage
The MongolZ
6-13
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 13
16-14
vs B8
Jun 12
6-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 11
13-10
vs Legacy
May 22
11-13
vs Liquid
May 21
Monte
10-13
vs Falcons
Jun 13
7-13
vs PARIVISION
Jun 12
13-6
vs BetBoom
Jun 8
13-8
vs BIG
Jun 6
19-22
vs G2
Jun 6
Dust2
TM
13
–
10
MONT
70%
30%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
TM
MONT
After First Kill
TM
MONT
Ranking
TM
MONT
Map Player Rating
TM
MONT
T 5v4
TM
MONT
Recent on Dust2
The MongolZ
13-11
vs BetBoom
Jun 11
13-4
vs PARIVISION
May 21
8-13
vs Falcons
May 12
11-13
vs Spirit
May 10
13-2
vs G2
May 10
Monte
13-11
vs Falcons
Jun 13
13-11
vs paiN
Jun 9
8-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 8
4-13
vs G2
May 13
10-13
vs The Huns
May 12
Ancient
TM
13
–
9
MONT
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Map Win Rate
TM
MONT
After First Death
TM
MONT
Opening Kills
TM
MONT
Map Player Rating
TM
MONT
Ranking
TM
MONT
Recent on Ancient
The MongolZ
13-16
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 13
11-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 11
11-13
vs B8
May 20
13-3
vs Lynn Vision
May 19
16-19
vs Spirit
May 10
Monte
13-9
vs PARIVISION
Jun 12
13-11
vs Legacy
Jun 7
2-13
vs G2
May 13
10-13
vs Falcons
May 11
13-11
vs magic
May 10
Recent Results
last 11 matches
The MongolZ
Monte
L
1-2
vs Natus Vincere
NukeAncientMirage
Jun 13
1d ago
W
2-0
vs B8
MirageOverpass
Jun 12
2d ago
L
1-2
vs BetBoom
Dust2MirageAncient
Jun 11
3d ago
L
1-2
vs Legacy
InfernoMirageNuke
May 22
23d ago
W
2-1
vs Liquid
MirageInfernoNuke
May 21
24d ago
W
2-0
vs PARIVISION
Dust2Mirage
May 21
24d ago
L
1-2
vs B8
AncientNukeMirage
May 20
25d ago
W
1-0
vs Lynn Vision
Ancient
May 19
26d ago
L
0-2
vs Aurora
OverpassMirage
May 13
32d ago
L
1-2
vs Falcons
Dust2InfernoMirage
May 12
33d ago
L
0-2
vs Spirit
Dust2Ancient
May 10
35d ago
L
1-2
vs Falcons
InfernoDust2Mirage
Jun 13
1d ago
W
2-1
vs PARIVISION
MirageAncientInferno
Jun 12
2d ago
L
0-2
vs Aurora
NukeAnubis
Jun 11
3d ago
W
2-0
vs paiN
NukeDust2
Jun 9
5d ago
L
1-2
vs BetBoom
NukeMirageDust2
Jun 8
6d ago
W
1-0
vs Legacy
Ancient
Jun 7
7d ago
W
1-0
vs BIG
Mirage
Jun 6
8d ago
L
0-1
vs G2
Mirage
Jun 6
8d ago
L
0-2
vs G2
AncientDust2
May 13
32d ago
W
2-1
vs The Huns
NukeDust2Mirage
May 12
33d ago
L
0-2
vs Falcons
Dust2Ancient
May 11
34d ago
Player Matchups
The MongolZ
Ratings
Monte
91
910
AWPADR 75.0KAST 73%
AF
afro
AWPADR 75.1KAST 71%
MZ
mzinho
EntryADR 72.6KAST 70%
RA
Rainwaker
EntryADR 75.3KAST 72%
CO
cobrazera
RiflerADR 72.3KAST 70%
AZ
AZUWU
RiflerADR 69.6KAST 70%
BL
bLitz
RiflerADR 76.1KAST 70%
GI
Gizmy
RiflerADR 70.5KAST 70%
TE
Techno
RiflerADR 68.9KAST 70%
BY
Bymas
RiflerADR 63.7KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Overpass
TM
13
–
6
MONT
84%
16%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
TM
MONT
After First Death
TM
MONT
Round Win Rate
TM
MONT
Map Player Rating
TM
MONT
Opening Kills
TM
MONT
Recent on Overpass
The MongolZ
13-3
vs B8
Jun 12
11-13
vs Aurora
May 13
13-7
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 5
13-9
vs Spirit
Mar 23
13-16
vs Vitality
Mar 21
Monte
3-13
vs FURIA
May 9
3-13
vs 9INE
Mar 25
11-13
vs FaZe
Mar 8
16-19
vs fnatic
Feb 21
Anubis
TM
7
–
13
MONT
18%
82%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
TM
MONT
After First Death
TM
MONT
Map Player Rating
TM
MONT
Ranking
TM
MONT
Opening Kills
TM
MONT
Recent on Anubis
The MongolZ
no data
Monte
7-13
vs Aurora
Jun 11
13-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
16-14
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 24
13-11
vs Alliance
Mar 31
13-8
vs Passion UA
Mar 31
Ancient
TM
13
–
9
MONT
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Map Win Rate
TM
MONT
After First Death
TM
MONT
Opening Kills
TM
MONT
Map Player Rating
TM
MONT
Ranking
TM
MONT
Recent on Ancient
The MongolZ
13-16
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 13
11-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 11
11-13
vs B8
May 20
13-3
vs Lynn Vision
May 19
16-19
vs Spirit
May 10
Monte
13-9
vs PARIVISION
Jun 12
13-11
vs Legacy
Jun 7
2-13
vs G2
May 13
10-13
vs Falcons
May 11
13-11
vs magic
May 10
Inferno
TM
13
–
10
MONT
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
TM
MONT
Opening Kills
TM
MONT
Days With Lineup Team
TM
MONT
Round Win Rate
TM
MONT
Map Player Rating
TM
MONT
Recent on Inferno
The MongolZ
11-13
vs Legacy
May 22
13-7
vs Liquid
May 21
13-11
vs Falcons
May 12
19-15
vs G2
May 10
13-4
vs magic
May 9
Monte
9-13
vs Falcons
Jun 13
13-5
vs PARIVISION
Jun 12
5-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
13-8
vs M80
Apr 2
13-11
vs 9INE
Mar 25
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026
5 matches