Bo3 · IEM Cologne Major 2026
· 2026-06-14
Aurora
vs
9z
72%
28%
Series win probability
AURO
2–1
43%
AURO
2–0
25%
9Z
2–0
17%
9Z
2–1
14%
Model Insights
Aurora is strongly favored at 72%, holding a map advantage on 2 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a strong inferno (75% win probability). 9z's best shot is nuke where they hold a 66% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
42%
Overpass · Nuke · Inferno
Scenario 2
42%
Overpass · Nuke · Dust2
Scenario 3
17%
Overpass · Nuke · Mirage
Overpass
AURO
13
–
10
9Z
74%
26%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
AURO
9Z
Opening Kills
AURO
9Z
After First Kill
AURO
9Z
Map Win Rate
AURO
9Z
After First Death
AURO
9Z
Recent on Overpass
Aurora
13-8
vs G2
Jun 13
13-11
vs The MongolZ
May 13
13-6
vs B8
Apr 15
11-13
vs Alliance
Apr 1
13-7
vs Sashi
Mar 31
9z
16-12
vs Spirit
Jun 13
13-1
vs PARIVISION
Jun 11
13-10
vs TYLOO
Jun 8
19-16
vs FaZe
May 29
12-16
vs HEROIC
May 28
Nuke
AURO
8
–
13
9Z
34%
66%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
AURO
9Z
After First Death
AURO
9Z
Map Player Rating
AURO
9Z
Round Win Rate
AURO
9Z
Map Win Rate
AURO
9Z
Recent on Nuke
Aurora
5-13
vs Spirit
Jun 12
13-10
vs Monte
Jun 11
8-13
vs MOUZ
May 14
15-19
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-4
vs The Huns
May 10
9z
1-13
vs Spirit
Jun 7
13-5
vs Astralis
Jun 6
11-13
vs Sharks
May 27
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-8
vs Falcons
May 10
Inferno
AURO
13
–
8
9Z
75%
25%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
AURO
9Z
Opening Kills
AURO
9Z
After First Death
AURO
9Z
Map Player Rating
AURO
9Z
Elo Diff
AURO
9Z
Recent on Inferno
Aurora
4-13
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 15
13-2
vs Alliance
Apr 1
13-3
vs M80
Mar 31
5-13
vs Vitality
Mar 28
13-6
vs The MongolZ
Mar 27
9z
4-13
vs Vitality
Jun 12
13-9
vs PARIVISION
Jun 11
13-6
vs TYLOO
Jun 8
16-14
vs HEROIC
May 28
11-13
vs Sharks
May 27
Overpass
AURO
13
–
10
9Z
74%
26%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
AURO
9Z
Opening Kills
AURO
9Z
After First Kill
AURO
9Z
Map Win Rate
AURO
9Z
After First Death
AURO
9Z
Recent on Overpass
Aurora
13-8
vs G2
Jun 13
13-11
vs The MongolZ
May 13
13-6
vs B8
Apr 15
11-13
vs Alliance
Apr 1
13-7
vs Sashi
Mar 31
9z
16-12
vs Spirit
Jun 13
13-1
vs PARIVISION
Jun 11
13-10
vs TYLOO
Jun 8
19-16
vs FaZe
May 29
12-16
vs HEROIC
May 28
Nuke
AURO
8
–
13
9Z
34%
66%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
AURO
9Z
After First Death
AURO
9Z
Map Player Rating
AURO
9Z
Round Win Rate
AURO
9Z
Map Win Rate
AURO
9Z
Recent on Nuke
Aurora
5-13
vs Spirit
Jun 12
13-10
vs Monte
Jun 11
8-13
vs MOUZ
May 14
15-19
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-4
vs The Huns
May 10
9z
1-13
vs Spirit
Jun 7
13-5
vs Astralis
Jun 6
11-13
vs Sharks
May 27
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-8
vs Falcons
May 10
Dust2
AURO
13
–
10
9Z
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
AURO
9Z
Round Win Rate
AURO
9Z
After First Death
AURO
9Z
Opening Kills
AURO
9Z
Overall Rating
AURO
9Z
Recent on Dust2
Aurora
13-9
vs Spirit
Jun 12
11-13
vs MOUZ
May 14
11-13
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-3
vs The Huns
May 10
16-14
vs PARIVISION
May 10
9z
14-16
vs Spirit
Jun 13
13-11
vs Vitality
Jun 12
8-13
vs PARIVISION
Jun 11
13-9
vs FlyQuest
Jun 6
13-11
vs HEROIC
May 28
Overpass
AURO
13
–
10
9Z
74%
26%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
AURO
9Z
Opening Kills
AURO
9Z
After First Kill
AURO
9Z
Map Win Rate
AURO
9Z
After First Death
AURO
9Z
Recent on Overpass
Aurora
13-8
vs G2
Jun 13
13-11
vs The MongolZ
May 13
13-6
vs B8
Apr 15
11-13
vs Alliance
Apr 1
13-7
vs Sashi
Mar 31
9z
16-12
vs Spirit
Jun 13
13-1
vs PARIVISION
Jun 11
13-10
vs TYLOO
Jun 8
19-16
vs FaZe
May 29
12-16
vs HEROIC
May 28
Nuke
AURO
8
–
13
9Z
34%
66%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
AURO
9Z
After First Death
AURO
9Z
Map Player Rating
AURO
9Z
Round Win Rate
AURO
9Z
Map Win Rate
AURO
9Z
Recent on Nuke
Aurora
5-13
vs Spirit
Jun 12
13-10
vs Monte
Jun 11
8-13
vs MOUZ
May 14
15-19
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-4
vs The Huns
May 10
9z
1-13
vs Spirit
Jun 7
13-5
vs Astralis
Jun 6
11-13
vs Sharks
May 27
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-8
vs Falcons
May 10
Mirage
AURO
13
–
7
9Z
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
After First Death
AURO
9Z
Map Player Rating
AURO
9Z
Opening Kills
AURO
9Z
Multi-Kills
AURO
9Z
Round Win Rate
AURO
9Z
Recent on Mirage
Aurora
13-10
vs The MongolZ
May 13
13-7
vs B8
Apr 15
13-11
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 15
8-13
vs MOUZ
Apr 14
13-4
vs HOTU
Apr 13
9z
13-16
vs Spirit
Jun 13
13-9
vs Vitality
Jun 12
3-13
vs Spirit
Jun 7
15-19
vs FaZe
May 29
13-2
vs magic
May 15
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Aurora
9z
W
2-0
vs G2
OverpassAnubis
Jun 13
1d ago
L
1-2
vs Spirit
Dust2AnubisNuke
Jun 12
2d ago
W
2-0
vs Monte
NukeAnubis
Jun 11
3d ago
L
0-2
vs MOUZ
Dust2Nuke
May 14
31d ago
W
2-0
vs The MongolZ
OverpassMirage
May 13
32d ago
L
0-2
vs MOUZ
Dust2Nuke
May 11
34d ago
W
2-0
vs The Huns
NukeDust2
May 10
35d ago
W
2-0
vs PARIVISION
AnubisDust2
May 10
35d ago
L
0-2
vs HEROIC
NukeDust2
May 8
37d ago
W
2-0
vs B8
MirageOverpass
Apr 15
60d ago
L
1-2
vs Natus Vincere
InfernoMirageDust2
Apr 15
60d ago
L
1-2
vs Spirit
OverpassMirageDust2
Jun 13
1d ago
W
2-1
vs Vitality
InfernoMirageDust2
Jun 12
2d ago
W
2-1
vs PARIVISION
OverpassDust2Inferno
Jun 11
3d ago
W
2-0
vs TYLOO
OverpassInferno
Jun 8
6d ago
L
0-2
vs Spirit
MirageNuke
Jun 7
7d ago
W
1-0
vs FlyQuest
Dust2
Jun 6
8d ago
W
1-0
vs Astralis
Nuke
Jun 6
8d ago
L
1-2
vs FaZe
MirageOverpassAncient
May 29
16d ago
W
2-1
vs HEROIC
InfernoOverpassDust2
May 28
17d ago
L
1-2
vs Sharks
InfernoOverpassNuke
May 27
18d ago
L
1-2
vs magic
Dust2MirageAncient
May 15
30d ago
Player Matchups
Aurora
Ratings
9z
WI
Wicadia
RiflerADR 82.1KAST 72%
LU
luchov
RiflerADR 84.2KAST 72%
XA
XANTARES
EntryADR 77.6KAST 72%
DG
dgt
EntryADR 79.1KAST 74%
WO
woxic
AWPADR 71.4KAST 71%
HU
HUASOPEEK
RiflerADR 71.6KAST 73%
SO
soulfly
RiflerADR 67.6KAST 72%
ME
meyern
AWPADR 63.2KAST 73%
MA
MAJ3R
RiflerADR 64.1KAST 69%
MA
max
RiflerADR 63.8KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Mirage
AURO
13
–
7
9Z
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
After First Death
AURO
9Z
Map Player Rating
AURO
9Z
Opening Kills
AURO
9Z
Multi-Kills
AURO
9Z
Round Win Rate
AURO
9Z
Recent on Mirage
Aurora
13-10
vs The MongolZ
May 13
13-7
vs B8
Apr 15
13-11
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 15
8-13
vs MOUZ
Apr 14
13-4
vs HOTU
Apr 13
9z
13-16
vs Spirit
Jun 13
13-9
vs Vitality
Jun 12
3-13
vs Spirit
Jun 7
15-19
vs FaZe
May 29
13-2
vs magic
May 15
Dust2
AURO
13
–
10
9Z
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
AURO
9Z
Round Win Rate
AURO
9Z
After First Death
AURO
9Z
Opening Kills
AURO
9Z
Overall Rating
AURO
9Z
Recent on Dust2
Aurora
13-9
vs Spirit
Jun 12
11-13
vs MOUZ
May 14
11-13
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-3
vs The Huns
May 10
16-14
vs PARIVISION
May 10
9z
14-16
vs Spirit
Jun 13
13-11
vs Vitality
Jun 12
8-13
vs PARIVISION
Jun 11
13-9
vs FlyQuest
Jun 6
13-11
vs HEROIC
May 28
Anubis
AURO
10
–
13
9Z
37%
63%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ban Rate
AURO
9Z
After First Kill
AURO
9Z
Opening Kills
AURO
9Z
Round Win Rate
AURO
9Z
After First Death
AURO
9Z
Recent on Anubis
Aurora
13-7
vs G2
Jun 13
4-13
vs Spirit
Jun 12
13-7
vs Monte
Jun 11
13-7
vs PARIVISION
May 10
9-13
vs Alliance
Apr 1
9z
11-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-11
vs Legacy
Mar 30
Ancient
AURO
14
–
16
9Z
48%
52%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
AURO
9Z
After First Death
AURO
9Z
Ban Rate
AURO
9Z
Round Win Rate
AURO
9Z
Map Player Rating
AURO
9Z
Recent on Ancient
Aurora
22-25
vs Vitality
Feb 3
9z
9-13
vs FaZe
May 29
11-13
vs magic
May 15
13-9
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-8
vs PARIVISION
May 9
13-11
vs Legacy
Apr 26
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026
5 matches