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Bo3  ·  IEM Cologne Major 2026 · 2026-06-14
Natus Vincere
vs
Falcons
37%
63%
Series win probability
FALC 2–1 44%
FALC 2–0 38%
NAVI 2–0 14%
NAVI 2–1 4%
Model Insights
Falcons has a moderate edge at 63%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#4 vs #3), a strong anubis (92% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 36% Ancient · Dust2 · Anubis
Scenario 2 36% Ancient · Dust2 · Mirage
Scenario 3 28% Ancient · Dust2 · Inferno
Ancient
NAVI 11 13 FALC
44%
56%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
NAVI
FALC
After First Death
NAVI
FALC
Map Player Rating
NAVI
FALC
Opening Kills
NAVI
FALC
Map Win Rate
NAVI
FALC
Recent on Ancient
Natus Vincere
16-13 vs The MongolZ Jun 13
13-10 vs Legacy Jun 12
13-8 vs BetBoom May 16
13-8 vs Legacy May 13
1-13 vs GamerLegion May 12
Falcons
10-13 vs BetBoom Jun 12
16-13 vs G2 Jun 11
9-13 vs Legacy May 23
13-9 vs Legacy May 21
13-11 vs M80 May 20
Dust2
NAVI 9 13 FALC
33%
67%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
NAVI
FALC
Opponent-Rating Diff
NAVI
FALC
Round Win Rate
NAVI
FALC
After First Kill
NAVI
FALC
Opening Kills
NAVI
FALC
Recent on Dust2
Natus Vincere
1-13 vs Spirit Jun 11
11-13 vs Vitality May 15
6-13 vs Legacy May 13
3-13 vs Vitality May 3
13-5 vs FaZe May 2
Falcons
11-13 vs Monte Jun 13
13-8 vs G2 Jun 11
6-13 vs Legacy May 23
13-7 vs MOUZ May 22
13-7 vs Legacy May 21
Anubis
NAVI 5 13 FALC
8%
92%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
NAVI
FALC
After First Death
NAVI
FALC
Opening Kills
NAVI
FALC
Opponent-Rating Diff
NAVI
FALC
Map Win Rate
NAVI
FALC
Recent on Anubis
Natus Vincere
8-13 vs Spirit Jun 11
13-9 vs GamerLegion May 17
13-11 vs Vitality May 15
16-13 vs Passion UA May 11
11-13 vs Vitality May 3
Falcons
13-4 vs Spirit Apr 14
13-11 vs FURIA Feb 16
13-9 vs FaZe Feb 15
13-5 vs 3DMAX Feb 3
7-13 vs Aurora Feb 1
Ancient
NAVI 11 13 FALC
44%
56%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
NAVI
FALC
After First Death
NAVI
FALC
Map Player Rating
NAVI
FALC
Opening Kills
NAVI
FALC
Map Win Rate
NAVI
FALC
Recent on Ancient
Natus Vincere
16-13 vs The MongolZ Jun 13
13-10 vs Legacy Jun 12
13-8 vs BetBoom May 16
13-8 vs Legacy May 13
1-13 vs GamerLegion May 12
Falcons
10-13 vs BetBoom Jun 12
16-13 vs G2 Jun 11
9-13 vs Legacy May 23
13-9 vs Legacy May 21
13-11 vs M80 May 20
Dust2
NAVI 9 13 FALC
33%
67%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
NAVI
FALC
Opponent-Rating Diff
NAVI
FALC
Round Win Rate
NAVI
FALC
After First Kill
NAVI
FALC
Opening Kills
NAVI
FALC
Recent on Dust2
Natus Vincere
1-13 vs Spirit Jun 11
11-13 vs Vitality May 15
6-13 vs Legacy May 13
3-13 vs Vitality May 3
13-5 vs FaZe May 2
Falcons
11-13 vs Monte Jun 13
13-8 vs G2 Jun 11
6-13 vs Legacy May 23
13-7 vs MOUZ May 22
13-7 vs Legacy May 21
Mirage
NAVI 13 10 FALC
66%
34%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
NAVI
FALC
After First Death
NAVI
FALC
Map Player Rating
NAVI
FALC
Opening Kills
NAVI
FALC
Map Win Rate
NAVI
FALC
Recent on Mirage
Natus Vincere
13-6 vs The MongolZ Jun 13
13-3 vs GamerLegion May 17
13-11 vs GamerLegion May 12
13-4 vs Passion UA May 11
13-10 vs GamerLegion Apr 30
Falcons
13-10 vs Monte Jun 13
6-13 vs Legacy May 23
7-13 vs MOUZ May 22
7-13 vs Spirit May 17
9-13 vs FURIA May 15
Ancient
NAVI 11 13 FALC
44%
56%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
NAVI
FALC
After First Death
NAVI
FALC
Map Player Rating
NAVI
FALC
Opening Kills
NAVI
FALC
Map Win Rate
NAVI
FALC
Recent on Ancient
Natus Vincere
16-13 vs The MongolZ Jun 13
13-10 vs Legacy Jun 12
13-8 vs BetBoom May 16
13-8 vs Legacy May 13
1-13 vs GamerLegion May 12
Falcons
10-13 vs BetBoom Jun 12
16-13 vs G2 Jun 11
9-13 vs Legacy May 23
13-9 vs Legacy May 21
13-11 vs M80 May 20
Dust2
NAVI 9 13 FALC
33%
67%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
NAVI
FALC
Opponent-Rating Diff
NAVI
FALC
Round Win Rate
NAVI
FALC
After First Kill
NAVI
FALC
Opening Kills
NAVI
FALC
Recent on Dust2
Natus Vincere
1-13 vs Spirit Jun 11
11-13 vs Vitality May 15
6-13 vs Legacy May 13
3-13 vs Vitality May 3
13-5 vs FaZe May 2
Falcons
11-13 vs Monte Jun 13
13-8 vs G2 Jun 11
6-13 vs Legacy May 23
13-7 vs MOUZ May 22
13-7 vs Legacy May 21
Inferno
NAVI 13 9 FALC
63%
37%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
NAVI
FALC
Opponent-Rating Diff
NAVI
FALC
T 5v4
NAVI
FALC
Map Player Rating
NAVI
FALC
Opening Kills
NAVI
FALC
Recent on Inferno
Natus Vincere
13-4 vs Legacy Jun 12
13-3 vs Vitality May 15
11-13 vs Legacy May 13
13-4 vs GamerLegion May 12
13-4 vs Aurora Apr 15
Falcons
13-9 vs Monte Jun 13
10-13 vs G2 Jun 11
19-15 vs M80 May 20
11-13 vs The MongolZ May 12
13-10 vs 3DMAX Apr 13
Recent Results last 11 matches
Natus Vincere
Falcons
W 2-1 vs The MongolZ NukeAncientMirage Jun 13 1d ago
W 2-0 vs Legacy InfernoAncient Jun 12 2d ago
L 0-2 vs Spirit Dust2Anubis Jun 11 3d ago
W 3-0 vs GamerLegion MirageAnubisNuke May 17 28d ago
W 2-0 vs BetBoom AncientNuke May 16 29d ago
W 2-1 vs Vitality Dust2AnubisInferno May 15 30d ago
L 1-2 vs Legacy InfernoAncientDust2 May 13 32d ago
W 2-1 vs GamerLegion InfernoAncientMirage May 12 33d ago
W 2-0 vs Passion UA AnubisMirage May 11 34d ago
L 0-3 vs Vitality NukeAnubisDust2 May 3 42d ago
W 2-0 vs FaZe Dust2Ancient May 2 43d ago
W 2-1 vs Monte InfernoDust2Mirage Jun 13 1d ago
L 0-2 vs BetBoom NukeAncient Jun 12 2d ago
W 2-1 vs G2 InfernoDust2Ancient Jun 11 3d ago
L 1-3 vs Legacy NukeAncientMirageDust2 May 23 22d ago
W 2-1 vs MOUZ MirageDust2Nuke May 22 23d ago
W 2-0 vs Legacy Dust2Ancient May 21 24d ago
W 2-0 vs M80 InfernoAncient May 20 25d ago
W 1-0 vs BC.Game Dust2 May 19 26d ago
L 0-3 vs Spirit Dust2MirageAncient May 17 28d ago
W 2-0 vs magic AncientDust2 May 16 29d ago
W 2-1 vs FURIA MirageNukeDust2 May 15 30d ago
Player Matchups
Natus Vincere
Ratings
Falcons
W0
w0nderful
AWPADR 75.5KAST 77%
1.19 vs 1.26
M0
m0NESY
AWPADR 80.8KAST 76%
MA
makazze
RiflerADR 81.2KAST 75%
1.16 vs 1.12
KY
kyousuke
RiflerADR 80.2KAST 73%
B1
b1t
RiflerADR 78.7KAST 76%
1.14 vs 1.09
NI
NiKo
EntryADR 74.3KAST 72%
IM
iM
EntryADR 77.1KAST 74%
1.07 vs 1.05
TE
TeSeS
RiflerADR 69.5KAST 72%
AL
Aleksib
RiflerADR 60.8KAST 73%
0.89 vs 0.81
KA
karrigan
RiflerADR 57.9KAST 67%
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Nuke
NAVI 9 13 FALC
25%
75%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
NAVI
FALC
After First Kill
NAVI
FALC
After First Death
NAVI
FALC
Map Win Rate
NAVI
FALC
Map Player Rating
NAVI
FALC
Recent on Nuke
Natus Vincere
8-13 vs The MongolZ Jun 13
16-13 vs GamerLegion May 17
13-6 vs BetBoom May 16
12-16 vs Vitality May 3
13-16 vs FURIA Apr 14
Falcons
11-13 vs BetBoom Jun 12
13-11 vs Legacy May 23
13-10 vs MOUZ May 22
22-20 vs FURIA May 15
8-13 vs 9z May 10
Mirage
NAVI 13 10 FALC
66%
34%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
NAVI
FALC
After First Death
NAVI
FALC
Map Player Rating
NAVI
FALC
Opening Kills
NAVI
FALC
Map Win Rate
NAVI
FALC
Recent on Mirage
Natus Vincere
13-6 vs The MongolZ Jun 13
13-3 vs GamerLegion May 17
13-11 vs GamerLegion May 12
13-4 vs Passion UA May 11
13-10 vs GamerLegion Apr 30
Falcons
13-10 vs Monte Jun 13
6-13 vs Legacy May 23
7-13 vs MOUZ May 22
7-13 vs Spirit May 17
9-13 vs FURIA May 15
Inferno
NAVI 13 9 FALC
63%
37%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
NAVI
FALC
Opponent-Rating Diff
NAVI
FALC
T 5v4
NAVI
FALC
Map Player Rating
NAVI
FALC
Opening Kills
NAVI
FALC
Recent on Inferno
Natus Vincere
13-4 vs Legacy Jun 12
13-3 vs Vitality May 15
11-13 vs Legacy May 13
13-4 vs GamerLegion May 12
13-4 vs Aurora Apr 15
Falcons
13-9 vs Monte Jun 13
10-13 vs G2 Jun 11
19-15 vs M80 May 20
11-13 vs The MongolZ May 12
13-10 vs 3DMAX Apr 13
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