Bo3 · IEM Cologne Major 2026
· 2026-06-14
G2
vs
Legacy
61%
39%
Series win probability
G2
2–1
32%
LEGA
2–0
28%
G2
2–0
22%
LEGA
2–1
18%
Model Insights
G2 has a moderate edge at 61%, favored on 1 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#13 vs #6), a strong inferno (63% win probability). Legacy's best shot is mirage where they hold a 55% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
42%
Ancient · Mirage · Inferno
Scenario 2
41%
Ancient · Mirage · Dust2
Scenario 3
17%
Ancient · Mirage · Overpass
Ancient
G2
16
–
14
LEGA
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
G2
LEGA
Map Win Rate
G2
LEGA
Ranking
G2
LEGA
Opening Kills
G2
LEGA
Map Player Rating
G2
LEGA
Recent on Ancient
G2
6-13
vs FUT
Jun 12
13-16
vs Falcons
Jun 11
4-13
vs FUT
Jun 7
11-13
vs Spirit
May 15
13-2
vs Monte
May 13
Legacy
10-13
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 12
11-13
vs Monte
Jun 7
13-9
vs Falcons
May 23
9-13
vs Falcons
May 21
16-12
vs TYLOO
May 20
Mirage
G2
10
–
13
LEGA
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
G2
LEGA
T 5v4
G2
LEGA
After First Death
G2
LEGA
Map Player Rating
G2
LEGA
Map Win Rate
G2
LEGA
Recent on Mirage
G2
13-9
vs FUT
Jun 12
13-8
vs BIG
Jun 8
13-8
vs M80
Jun 6
22-19
vs Monte
Jun 6
13-5
vs PARIVISION
May 12
Legacy
13-7
vs TYLOO
Jun 9
16-12
vs MIBR
May 23
13-6
vs Falcons
May 23
10-13
vs The MongolZ
May 22
13-4
vs BetBoom
May 17
Inferno
G2
13
–
10
LEGA
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
G2
LEGA
T 5v4
G2
LEGA
Map Player Rating
G2
LEGA
Opening Kills
G2
LEGA
After First Death
G2
LEGA
Recent on Inferno
G2
13-10
vs Falcons
Jun 11
13-3
vs BIG
Jun 8
15-19
vs The MongolZ
May 10
7-13
vs MOUZ
May 9
13-5
vs Fisher College
May 8
Legacy
16-12
vs PARIVISION
Jun 13
4-13
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 12
13-4
vs TYLOO
Jun 9
16-13
vs M80
Jun 8
13-5
vs MIBR
May 23
Ancient
G2
16
–
14
LEGA
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
G2
LEGA
Map Win Rate
G2
LEGA
Ranking
G2
LEGA
Opening Kills
G2
LEGA
Map Player Rating
G2
LEGA
Recent on Ancient
G2
6-13
vs FUT
Jun 12
13-16
vs Falcons
Jun 11
4-13
vs FUT
Jun 7
11-13
vs Spirit
May 15
13-2
vs Monte
May 13
Legacy
10-13
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 12
11-13
vs Monte
Jun 7
13-9
vs Falcons
May 23
9-13
vs Falcons
May 21
16-12
vs TYLOO
May 20
Mirage
G2
10
–
13
LEGA
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
G2
LEGA
T 5v4
G2
LEGA
After First Death
G2
LEGA
Map Player Rating
G2
LEGA
Map Win Rate
G2
LEGA
Recent on Mirage
G2
13-9
vs FUT
Jun 12
13-8
vs BIG
Jun 8
13-8
vs M80
Jun 6
22-19
vs Monte
Jun 6
13-5
vs PARIVISION
May 12
Legacy
13-7
vs TYLOO
Jun 9
16-12
vs MIBR
May 23
13-6
vs Falcons
May 23
10-13
vs The MongolZ
May 22
13-4
vs BetBoom
May 17
Dust2
G2
13
–
10
LEGA
67%
33%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
G2
LEGA
Map Win Rate
G2
LEGA
After First Death
G2
LEGA
Opening Kills
G2
LEGA
Ranking
G2
LEGA
Recent on Dust2
G2
8-13
vs Falcons
Jun 11
6-13
vs Spirit
May 15
13-4
vs Monte
May 13
11-13
vs PARIVISION
May 12
2-13
vs The MongolZ
May 10
Legacy
16-13
vs PARIVISION
Jun 13
5-13
vs MOUZ
Jun 11
13-8
vs M80
Jun 8
13-7
vs FlyQuest
Jun 6
13-6
vs Falcons
May 23
Ancient
G2
16
–
14
LEGA
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
G2
LEGA
Map Win Rate
G2
LEGA
Ranking
G2
LEGA
Opening Kills
G2
LEGA
Map Player Rating
G2
LEGA
Recent on Ancient
G2
6-13
vs FUT
Jun 12
13-16
vs Falcons
Jun 11
4-13
vs FUT
Jun 7
11-13
vs Spirit
May 15
13-2
vs Monte
May 13
Legacy
10-13
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 12
11-13
vs Monte
Jun 7
13-9
vs Falcons
May 23
9-13
vs Falcons
May 21
16-12
vs TYLOO
May 20
Mirage
G2
10
–
13
LEGA
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
G2
LEGA
T 5v4
G2
LEGA
After First Death
G2
LEGA
Map Player Rating
G2
LEGA
Map Win Rate
G2
LEGA
Recent on Mirage
G2
13-9
vs FUT
Jun 12
13-8
vs BIG
Jun 8
13-8
vs M80
Jun 6
22-19
vs Monte
Jun 6
13-5
vs PARIVISION
May 12
Legacy
13-7
vs TYLOO
Jun 9
16-12
vs MIBR
May 23
13-6
vs Falcons
May 23
10-13
vs The MongolZ
May 22
13-4
vs BetBoom
May 17
Overpass
G2
13
–
8
LEGA
67%
33%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
G2
LEGA
After First Death
G2
LEGA
T 5v4
G2
LEGA
Ranking
G2
LEGA
Pistol Rounds
G2
LEGA
Recent on Overpass
G2
8-13
vs Aurora
Jun 13
13-5
vs FUT
Jun 12
13-7
vs FUT
Jun 7
13-11
vs Vitality
Apr 30
13-9
vs Astralis
Apr 29
Legacy
19-16
vs TYLOO
May 20
8-13
vs Galorys
Mar 27
13-8
vs Aurora
Mar 13
13-9
vs Aurora
Mar 6
13-9
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Mar 1
Recent Results
last 11 matches
G2
Legacy
L
0-2
vs Aurora
OverpassAnubis
Jun 13
1d ago
W
2-1
vs FUT
OverpassAncientMirage
Jun 12
2d ago
L
1-2
vs Falcons
InfernoDust2Ancient
Jun 11
3d ago
W
2-0
vs BIG
InfernoMirage
Jun 8
6d ago
L
1-2
vs FUT
AnubisOverpassAncient
Jun 7
7d ago
W
1-0
vs M80
Mirage
Jun 6
8d ago
W
1-0
vs Monte
Mirage
Jun 6
8d ago
L
0-2
vs Spirit
Dust2Ancient
May 15
30d ago
W
2-0
vs Monte
AncientDust2
May 13
32d ago
W
2-1
vs PARIVISION
MirageDust2Ancient
May 12
33d ago
L
0-2
vs The MongolZ
Dust2Inferno
May 10
35d ago
W
2-0
vs PARIVISION
InfernoDust2
Jun 13
1d ago
L
0-2
vs Natus Vincere
InfernoAncient
Jun 12
2d ago
L
0-2
vs MOUZ
Dust2Nuke
Jun 11
3d ago
W
2-0
vs TYLOO
MirageInferno
Jun 9
5d ago
W
2-0
vs M80
Dust2Inferno
Jun 8
6d ago
L
0-1
vs Monte
Ancient
Jun 7
7d ago
L
0-1
vs MIBR
Nuke
Jun 6
8d ago
W
1-0
vs FlyQuest
Dust2
Jun 6
8d ago
W
2-0
vs MIBR
MirageInferno
May 23
22d ago
W
3-1
vs Falcons
NukeAncientMirageDust2
May 23
22d ago
W
2-1
vs The MongolZ
InfernoMirageNuke
May 22
23d ago
Player Matchups
G2
Ratings
Legacy
HE
HeavyGod
EntryADR 77.3KAST 75%
LA
latto
RiflerADR 80.0KAST 77%
NE
NertZ
RiflerADR 80.0KAST 72%
DU
dumau
EntryADR 85.1KAST 74%
MA
MATYS
RiflerADR 72.3KAST 74%
SA
saadzin
AWPADR 67.9KAST 75%
HU
huNter-
RiflerADR 74.3KAST 74%
N1
n1ssim
RiflerADR 65.8KAST 74%
SU
SunPayus
AWPADR 70.3KAST 76%
AR
arT
RiflerADR 72.1KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Nuke
G2
7
–
13
LEGA
10%
90%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
G2
LEGA
After First Death
G2
LEGA
Ban Rate
G2
LEGA
Opening Kills
G2
LEGA
T 5v4
G2
LEGA
Recent on Nuke
G2
no data
Legacy
6-13
vs MOUZ
Jun 11
8-13
vs MIBR
Jun 6
11-13
vs Falcons
May 23
13-10
vs The MongolZ
May 22
13-10
vs NRG
May 19
Dust2
G2
13
–
10
LEGA
67%
33%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
G2
LEGA
Map Win Rate
G2
LEGA
After First Death
G2
LEGA
Opening Kills
G2
LEGA
Ranking
G2
LEGA
Recent on Dust2
G2
8-13
vs Falcons
Jun 11
6-13
vs Spirit
May 15
13-4
vs Monte
May 13
11-13
vs PARIVISION
May 12
2-13
vs The MongolZ
May 10
Legacy
16-13
vs PARIVISION
Jun 13
5-13
vs MOUZ
Jun 11
13-8
vs M80
Jun 8
13-7
vs FlyQuest
Jun 6
13-6
vs Falcons
May 23
Overpass
G2
13
–
8
LEGA
67%
33%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
G2
LEGA
After First Death
G2
LEGA
T 5v4
G2
LEGA
Ranking
G2
LEGA
Pistol Rounds
G2
LEGA
Recent on Overpass
G2
8-13
vs Aurora
Jun 13
13-5
vs FUT
Jun 12
13-7
vs FUT
Jun 7
13-11
vs Vitality
Apr 30
13-9
vs Astralis
Apr 29
Legacy
19-16
vs TYLOO
May 20
8-13
vs Galorys
Mar 27
13-8
vs Aurora
Mar 13
13-9
vs Aurora
Mar 6
13-9
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Mar 1
Anubis
G2
11
–
13
LEGA
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
G2
LEGA
Map Win Rate
G2
LEGA
T 5v4
G2
LEGA
After First Death
G2
LEGA
Round Win Rate
G2
LEGA
Recent on Anubis
G2
7-13
vs Aurora
Jun 13
11-13
vs FUT
Jun 7
10-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 4
13-2
vs Fluxo
Mar 30
10-13
vs BetBoom
Mar 30
Legacy
13-11
vs 9z
Apr 26
11-13
vs 9z
Mar 30
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026
5 matches