Bo3 · IEM Cologne Major 2026
· 2026-06-15
9z
vs
The MongolZ
33%
67%
Series win probability
TM
2–0
37%
TM
2–1
28%
9Z
2–1
19%
9Z
2–0
15%
Model Insights
The MongolZ has a moderate edge at 67%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong mirage (63% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
35%
Nuke · Mirage · Inferno
Scenario 2
33%
Nuke · Inferno · Ancient
Scenario 3
32%
Nuke · Inferno · Dust2
Nuke
9Z
11
–
13
TM
41%
59%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
9Z
TM
After First Kill
9Z
TM
After First Death
9Z
TM
Opening Kills
9Z
TM
T Side
9Z
TM
Recent on Nuke
9z
1-13
vs Aurora
Jun 14
1-13
vs Spirit
Jun 7
13-5
vs Astralis
Jun 6
11-13
vs Sharks
May 27
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 11
The MongolZ
9-13
vs Monte
Jun 14
13-8
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 13
10-13
vs Legacy
May 22
13-9
vs Liquid
May 21
13-11
vs B8
May 20
Mirage
9Z
10
–
13
TM
37%
63%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
9Z
TM
T 5v4
9Z
TM
After First Death
9Z
TM
Round Win Rate
9Z
TM
Ranking
9Z
TM
Recent on Mirage
9z
13-16
vs Spirit
Jun 13
13-9
vs Vitality
Jun 12
3-13
vs Spirit
Jun 7
15-19
vs FaZe
May 29
13-2
vs magic
May 15
The MongolZ
6-13
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 13
16-14
vs B8
Jun 12
6-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 11
13-10
vs Legacy
May 22
11-13
vs Liquid
May 21
Inferno
9Z
11
–
13
TM
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
9Z
TM
After First Death
9Z
TM
T 5v4
9Z
TM
Round Win Rate
9Z
TM
Opening Kills
9Z
TM
Recent on Inferno
9z
4-13
vs Vitality
Jun 12
13-9
vs PARIVISION
Jun 11
13-6
vs TYLOO
Jun 8
16-14
vs HEROIC
May 28
11-13
vs Sharks
May 27
The MongolZ
13-7
vs Monte
Jun 14
11-13
vs Legacy
May 22
13-7
vs Liquid
May 21
13-11
vs Falcons
May 12
19-15
vs G2
May 10
Nuke
9Z
11
–
13
TM
41%
59%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
9Z
TM
After First Kill
9Z
TM
After First Death
9Z
TM
Opening Kills
9Z
TM
T Side
9Z
TM
Recent on Nuke
9z
1-13
vs Aurora
Jun 14
1-13
vs Spirit
Jun 7
13-5
vs Astralis
Jun 6
11-13
vs Sharks
May 27
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 11
The MongolZ
9-13
vs Monte
Jun 14
13-8
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 13
10-13
vs Legacy
May 22
13-9
vs Liquid
May 21
13-11
vs B8
May 20
Inferno
9Z
11
–
13
TM
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
9Z
TM
After First Death
9Z
TM
T 5v4
9Z
TM
Round Win Rate
9Z
TM
Opening Kills
9Z
TM
Recent on Inferno
9z
4-13
vs Vitality
Jun 12
13-9
vs PARIVISION
Jun 11
13-6
vs TYLOO
Jun 8
16-14
vs HEROIC
May 28
11-13
vs Sharks
May 27
The MongolZ
13-7
vs Monte
Jun 14
11-13
vs Legacy
May 22
13-7
vs Liquid
May 21
13-11
vs Falcons
May 12
19-15
vs G2
May 10
Ancient
9Z
11
–
13
TM
37%
63%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
9Z
TM
After First Kill
9Z
TM
Round Win Rate
9Z
TM
Map Win Rate
9Z
TM
Map Player Rating
9Z
TM
Recent on Ancient
9z
9-13
vs FaZe
May 29
11-13
vs magic
May 15
13-9
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-8
vs PARIVISION
May 9
13-11
vs Legacy
Apr 26
The MongolZ
13-16
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 13
11-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 11
11-13
vs B8
May 20
13-3
vs Lynn Vision
May 19
16-19
vs Spirit
May 10
Nuke
9Z
11
–
13
TM
41%
59%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
9Z
TM
After First Kill
9Z
TM
After First Death
9Z
TM
Opening Kills
9Z
TM
T Side
9Z
TM
Recent on Nuke
9z
1-13
vs Aurora
Jun 14
1-13
vs Spirit
Jun 7
13-5
vs Astralis
Jun 6
11-13
vs Sharks
May 27
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 11
The MongolZ
9-13
vs Monte
Jun 14
13-8
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 13
10-13
vs Legacy
May 22
13-9
vs Liquid
May 21
13-11
vs B8
May 20
Inferno
9Z
11
–
13
TM
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
9Z
TM
After First Death
9Z
TM
T 5v4
9Z
TM
Round Win Rate
9Z
TM
Opening Kills
9Z
TM
Recent on Inferno
9z
4-13
vs Vitality
Jun 12
13-9
vs PARIVISION
Jun 11
13-6
vs TYLOO
Jun 8
16-14
vs HEROIC
May 28
11-13
vs Sharks
May 27
The MongolZ
13-7
vs Monte
Jun 14
11-13
vs Legacy
May 22
13-7
vs Liquid
May 21
13-11
vs Falcons
May 12
19-15
vs G2
May 10
Dust2
9Z
10
–
13
TM
37%
63%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
9Z
TM
T 5v4
9Z
TM
Round Win Rate
9Z
TM
Opening Kills
9Z
TM
After First Kill
9Z
TM
Recent on Dust2
9z
5-13
vs Aurora
Jun 14
14-16
vs Spirit
Jun 13
13-11
vs Vitality
Jun 12
8-13
vs PARIVISION
Jun 11
13-9
vs FlyQuest
Jun 6
The MongolZ
13-11
vs Monte
Jun 14
13-11
vs BetBoom
Jun 11
13-4
vs PARIVISION
May 21
8-13
vs Falcons
May 12
11-13
vs Spirit
May 10
Recent Results
last 11 matches
9z
The MongolZ
L
0-2
vs Aurora
NukeDust2
Jun 14
1d ago
L
1-2
vs Spirit
OverpassMirageDust2
Jun 13
2d ago
W
2-1
vs Vitality
InfernoMirageDust2
Jun 12
3d ago
W
2-1
vs PARIVISION
OverpassDust2Inferno
Jun 11
4d ago
W
2-0
vs TYLOO
OverpassInferno
Jun 8
7d ago
L
0-2
vs Spirit
MirageNuke
Jun 7
8d ago
W
1-0
vs FlyQuest
Dust2
Jun 6
9d ago
W
1-0
vs Astralis
Nuke
Jun 6
9d ago
L
1-2
vs FaZe
MirageOverpassAncient
May 29
17d ago
W
2-1
vs HEROIC
InfernoOverpassDust2
May 28
18d ago
L
1-2
vs Sharks
InfernoOverpassNuke
May 27
19d ago
W
2-1
vs Monte
NukeInfernoDust2
Jun 14
1d ago
L
1-2
vs Natus Vincere
NukeAncientMirage
Jun 13
2d ago
W
2-0
vs B8
MirageOverpass
Jun 12
3d ago
L
1-2
vs BetBoom
Dust2MirageAncient
Jun 11
4d ago
L
1-2
vs Legacy
InfernoMirageNuke
May 22
24d ago
W
2-1
vs Liquid
MirageInfernoNuke
May 21
25d ago
W
2-0
vs PARIVISION
Dust2Mirage
May 21
25d ago
L
1-2
vs B8
AncientNukeMirage
May 20
26d ago
W
1-0
vs Lynn Vision
Ancient
May 19
27d ago
L
0-2
vs Aurora
OverpassMirage
May 13
33d ago
L
1-2
vs Falcons
Dust2InfernoMirage
May 12
34d ago
Player Matchups
9z
Ratings
The MongolZ
LU
luchov
RiflerADR 83.7KAST 71%
91
910
AWPADR 74.9KAST 73%
DG
dgt
EntryADR 78.6KAST 73%
MZ
mzinho
EntryADR 72.8KAST 70%
HU
HUASOPEEK
RiflerADR 71.3KAST 73%
CO
cobrazera
RiflerADR 72.2KAST 71%
ME
meyern
AWPADR 62.8KAST 72%
BL
bLitz
RiflerADR 76.3KAST 70%
MA
max
RiflerADR 63.7KAST 71%
TE
Techno
RiflerADR 68.3KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Anubis
9Z
13
–
7
TM
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
9Z
TM
After First Death
9Z
TM
Map Player Rating
9Z
TM
Opening Kills
9Z
TM
T 5v4
9Z
TM
Recent on Anubis
9z
11-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-11
vs Legacy
Mar 30
The MongolZ
no data
Overpass
9Z
10
–
13
TM
37%
63%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
9Z
TM
After First Kill
9Z
TM
Map Win Rate
9Z
TM
Opening Kills
9Z
TM
Round Win Rate
9Z
TM
Recent on Overpass
9z
16-12
vs Spirit
Jun 13
13-1
vs PARIVISION
Jun 11
13-10
vs TYLOO
Jun 8
19-16
vs FaZe
May 29
12-16
vs HEROIC
May 28
The MongolZ
13-3
vs B8
Jun 12
11-13
vs Aurora
May 13
13-7
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 5
13-9
vs Spirit
Mar 23
13-16
vs Vitality
Mar 21
Dust2
9Z
10
–
13
TM
37%
63%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
9Z
TM
T 5v4
9Z
TM
Round Win Rate
9Z
TM
Opening Kills
9Z
TM
After First Kill
9Z
TM
Recent on Dust2
9z
5-13
vs Aurora
Jun 14
14-16
vs Spirit
Jun 13
13-11
vs Vitality
Jun 12
8-13
vs PARIVISION
Jun 11
13-9
vs FlyQuest
Jun 6
The MongolZ
13-11
vs Monte
Jun 14
13-11
vs BetBoom
Jun 11
13-4
vs PARIVISION
May 21
8-13
vs Falcons
May 12
11-13
vs Spirit
May 10
Ancient
9Z
11
–
13
TM
37%
63%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
9Z
TM
After First Kill
9Z
TM
Round Win Rate
9Z
TM
Map Win Rate
9Z
TM
Map Player Rating
9Z
TM
Recent on Ancient
9z
9-13
vs FaZe
May 29
11-13
vs magic
May 15
13-9
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-8
vs PARIVISION
May 9
13-11
vs Legacy
Apr 26
The MongolZ
13-16
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 13
11-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 11
11-13
vs B8
May 20
13-3
vs Lynn Vision
May 19
16-19
vs Spirit
May 10
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026
2 matches